Tropical Cyclone Gelena

Last Updated: 2/15/2019, 12:00:00 AM (UTC)

  • Location: 29.3 S 88.8 E
  • Movement: ESE at 10 mph
  • Wind: 45 mph
  • Pressure: --

  • Forecast

  • Model

  • Ensemble

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Gelena

Select a report to view:

000 
WTXS32 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 037//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (GELENA) WARNING NR 037
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   150000Z --- NEAR 29.3S 88.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 29.3S 88.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z --- 31.0S 90.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 29.7S 89.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13S (GELENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1426 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS
CURRENTLY ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE SUBTROPICAL WESTERLIES WITH MODERATE BAROCLINICITY.
ADDITIONALLY, A RECENT AMSU CROSS SECTION DEPICTS A COLD TEMPERATURE
ANOMALY IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A
WEAK FRONTAL STRUCTURE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A FULLY-EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PGTW SUBTROPICAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE (USING
HEBERT-POTEAT METHOD) OF ST2.5 (35 TO 40 KTS). ALONG TRACK SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED BELOW 24 DEGREES CELSIUS AND WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 22 DEGREES CELSIUS BY TAU 12. THE SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TAU 12 UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN GALE-FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE NEXT 1
TO 2 DAYS. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 14
FEET.//
NNNN

Learn more about Tropical Cyclone Gelena and the 2019 Southern Hemisphere hurricane season in our hurricane archive.

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Storm Track Statistics

Feb 6
00:00 GMT
-12.4°
53.7°
40 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 6
06:00 GMT
-12.1°
53.4°
45 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 6
12:00 GMT
-12.3°
53.4°
50 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 6
18:00 GMT
-12.4°
53.1°
65 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 7
00:00 GMT
-12.5°
53.1°
75 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 7
06:00 GMT
-12.5°
53.4°
80 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 7
12:00 GMT
-13.1°
53.7°
85 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 7
18:00 GMT
-13.9°
54.1°
90 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 8
00:00 GMT
-14.5°
54.2°
90 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 8
06:00 GMT
-15.2°
54.7°
115 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 8
12:00 GMT
-15.7°
55.3°
120 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 8
18:00 GMT
-16.4°
56.3°
125 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 9
00:00 GMT
-16.9°
57.1°
125 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 9
06:00 GMT
-17.9°
58.8°
130 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
4
Feb 9
12:00 GMT
-18.7°
60.4°
140 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
4
Feb 9
18:00 GMT
-19.4°
61.8°
125 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 10
00:00 GMT
-20.2°
63.2°
115 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
3
Feb 10
06:00 GMT
-21.1°
64.4°
110 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
2
Feb 10
12:00 GMT
-21.7°
65.5°
105 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
2
Feb 10
18:00 GMT
-22.2°
66.9°
80 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 11
00:00 GMT
-23.1°
68.0°
75 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
1
Feb 11
06:00 GMT
-23.7°
69.0°
70 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 11
12:00 GMT
-24.4°
69.9°
65 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 11
18:00 GMT
-25.2°
71.4°
60 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 12
00:00 GMT
-25.4°
72.6°
45 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 12
06:00 GMT
-26.0°
73.5°
60 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 12
18:00 GMT
-25.5°
75.1°
60 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 13
00:00 GMT
-25.2°
76.0°
65 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 13
06:00 GMT
-25.4°
77.1°
65 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 13
12:00 GMT
-25.8°
78.5°
65 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 13
18:00 GMT
-26.4°
79.4°
50 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 14
00:00 GMT
-26.9°
81.0°
50 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 14
06:00 GMT
-27.5°
83.8°
50 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 14
12:00 GMT
-28.2°
85.8°
45 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 14
18:00 GMT
-28.9°
87.7°
45 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
Feb 15
00:00 GMT
-29.3°
88.8°
45 mph -- in
Tropical Cyclone
-
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