I'm a CMU Honors student and love meteorology and extreme weather. I've been fascinated by weather since I was 5, and plan on becoming a meteorologist
By: wxchaser97 , 6:03 PM GMT on August 10, 2012
TD7 has been holding it own in the C Atlantic. The storm is though disorganized and will remain so. It's llc is partly exposed but there is decent convection around the center. This has been the same organizational traits as yesterday. Right now TD7 has 35mph winds, 1009mb pressure, and is moving W @ 23mph. TD7 should continue to move W/WNW for the next few days and move into the Caribbean. A marginally favorable environemt will allow some strengthening. Dry Air and moderate trade winds combined with TD7's fast movement will keep it from strengthening much. Over the next couple days expect slow strengthening and then level off until the W Caribbean. TD7 shouldn't be much of a threat to anyone. He needs to be watch since if he gets to the W Caribbean/ GOM he could really strengthen. This is the same set-up as Ernesto and expect an Ernesto-like storm for now.
An area of showers and thunderstorms with a low pressure system has been named invest 93L. 93L has been steadily organizing and it could become a TD in the next 2 days. The conditions for development are decent except for dry air. A WNW movement should be expected over the next few days. I give 93L a 40% chance of development in the next 48 hours. 93L should be watch over the next few days since models still develop it.
Post-TS Ernesto: TD Ernesto has became post tropical and the NHC wrote their last advisory on Ernesto. He is still producing heavy rain and flooding in Mexico. Ernesto made landfall in Costa Maya and then Coatzacoalcos. Some damage and a few fatalities have been caused by Ernesto. He may try to redevelop in the epac but if that happens he won't be a threat to land.
Remnants of Florence: The remnants of Florence have mostly diminished and she is not much of a threat to anywhere.
I'll have a new update tonight or, more likely, tomorrow.
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