I'm a CMU Honors student and love meteorology and extreme weather. I've been fascinated by weather since I was 5, and plan on becoming a meteorologist
By: wxchaser97 , 8:59 PM GMT on July 15, 2012
Fabio peaked and Emilia dead
Hurricane Fabio, now a 100mph cat2 hurricane with a pressure of 972mb, with a peak intensity at 105mph yesterday. This followed the NHC intensity forecast pretty well. Fabio has now hit higher wind shear and cooler sst's will weaken Fabio over the next couple days and he will dissipate in about 3 days. He could bring light winds and moisture to the Baja and California. Emilia has went post-tropical and is not a threat to land. She now has winds of 40mph and a pressure of 1005mb. None of the models predict a tropical storm in the next 2 weeks.
Atlantic development possible
Possible storm(s) in the Atlantic in the next 2 weeks. The GFS and ECMF models are showing a tropical storm off the Carolinas. The GFS predicts 1-4 TS off the east coast. Any development would be from a trough split. These possible storm(s) would most likely remain a TS.
Conditions off Africa are slowly improving for TC development. The SAL is slowly being worked out by tropical waves and shear is decreasing. Although none of the reliable models develope anything major, I think something can develope in a couple weeks.
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