# Winning the chart numbers... there is an "equal" chance for all.

By: trHUrrIXC5MMX , 12:33 AM GMT on August 01, 2013

Hurricane Scorecard 2013

Hi everyone, yes Im back to touch up with you some extra things about it, this will be about winning your prediction!

First off, note that we already have four named storms in the Atlantic Basin: Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian

As you know Im the creator of the Hurricane Score Card which lists many hurricane predictions of those who participated.

This is how it's going to work...

If you think you got a number right I urge you to check the following, there are two ways of winning

1. If you submitted a range of numbers, you must get two of them right (out of the three)
2. If you submitted exact numbers, you just have to get one right (of out the three)

Submitting exact numbers have a higher chance for being wrong but you can still bingo. The greater probabilities go for those why submitted range of numbers but again, everyone has an equal chance. Im telling you, there should be many winners out of the 142 of you.
so based on the 2 ways, you can win.

For example, Im going to pick randomly 2 bloggers out of the list to give you a better understanding

a) Aussiestorm: 18-25 named storms, 9-13 hurricanes and 3-6 majors
...Aussie could only win if he gets two of the three predictions right because he did a range prediction

b) OriginalLT: 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 majors
...Mr. LT could only win if he gets only one of the three predictions right

lets assume the 2013 hurricane season numbers end up being 19 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 majors...

Aussie wins the range, 19 in 18-25 named storms AND 4 in 3-6 majors
LT wins the exact numbers, he got the prediction of 7 hurricanes right.

Its harder to nail exact numbers than a number within a range, that's why for a range prediction I want 2 of the three and not 1 like in exact number prediction.
Do you understand the rules? Tell me otherwise please.

now, the ULTIMATE WINNER will be the one who wins the entire prediction... either all exact numbers or all range. You will have a "higher regard".

Rewards, I'll make a list of all winners for display in the Main Blog, including any ultimate winners. Please congratulate them and remember that this is only for fun.

If you lose, don't worry, you can try again next year! I urge you to and those who didn't participate to do next season please!

Final Hurricane Season results... Hopefully by December the season will be over and all the storms we end up having will stay the same in the NHC PSA (Post Storm Analysis), hopefully we won't get a storm like Sandy making landfall as a 110 mph hurricane but reanalyzed as a 115 major hurricane. This is a significant change and many of you may be affected if this kind of situation happens, top which I may delay to publish the final results into next year.

Speaking of next year, on April 2nd, the poll will re-open for the new Hurricane Scorecard 2014. more info by then...

Remember, you can always find the hurricane chart under my recommended links menu to the right.

_______________________

Storm Track

Tropical Storm Flossie...
Flossie fizzled out as it neared Hawaii and the TS warnings were cancelled. Nonetheless, heavy rains and some gusty winds impacted Maui.

I would like to share with you some of the pictures Civicane49 (a fellow blogger from Honolulu) sent me. Appreciations extended to him.

From Kailua

Paia, HI

Oahu, HI

Flossie is now gone...the final advisory was written on it by the CPHC.

Hurricane Gil

Gil became a hurricane...no land threat

NHC

NWS

MaxWeather
hurricaneZONE
Tropical Awareness

Atlanta, GA

PS. This is how I say goodbye to the long J months... finally over with.
Happy August everyone!

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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##### 150. Astrometeor
 Quoting 145. trHUrrIXC5MMX:not weather related... we have PBS, CNN, FOX, ABC and countless others to do the job...Idk...knowing the probabilities for precipitation in the Middle East is a weather task. As in, how many inches of shells and bullets are going to fall today?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
##### 149. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 148. Astrometeor:I can't tell if that thing is even rotating anymore. I wouldn't be too surprised if it started to weaken. Looks pathetic.well, it was raised to 50 mph even though it "apparently" looks pathetic
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
##### 148. Astrometeor
 Quoting 147. trHUrrIXC5MMX:the real cyclone has a lot of garbage tstorms all around it... a bit hard to locate but you can bell by the loopI can't tell if that thing is even rotating anymore. I wouldn't be too surprised if it started to weaken. Looks pathetic.
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##### 147. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 the real cyclone has a lot of garbage tstorms all around it... a bit hard to locate but you can tell by the loop
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##### 146. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 oh, something Larry should read...Today for the first time I see a car on I-75 with a license plate from my dear Connecticut, and it had a frame about "New Haven".... I love that city!New Haven is awesome, the prestigious Yale University is there!
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##### 145. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 144. Astrometeor:It's a travel warning. They are doing a public service by broadcasting that out. Any US site should, try to get word out about it. Just like how the NWS and local transportation officials coordinate Amber Alerts. Same thing.not weather related... we have PBS, CNN, FOX, ABC and countless others to do the job...
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##### 144. Astrometeor
 Quoting 142. trHUrrIXC5MMX:why TWC have "news" about Al-quaeda...? how further off weather can they go..?It's a travel warning. They are doing a public service by broadcasting that out. Any US site should, try to get word out about it. Just like how the NWS and local transportation officials coordinate Amber Alerts. Same thing.
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##### 143. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 141. Astrometeor:In reply to your edit, this is why I am talking to you in your own blog. If I deemed this necessary to talk via e-mail, I would. But this meets no such criteria.you want this to be seen I know. I got a visit from that location already last time I checked the map loco thing map
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##### 142. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 why TWC have "news" about Al-quaeda...? how further off weather can they go..?
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##### 141. Astrometeor
 In reply to your edit, this is why I am talking to you in your own blog. If I deemed this necessary to talk via e-mail, I would. But this meets no such criteria.
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##### 140. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 139. Astrometeor:Did you know that Shakespeare never wrote that play? It is an Italian play, that Shakespeare plagiarized and used for his own profit.Anyways, I don't think you can compare you and Cody with the Capulets and Monatagues.I don't care if he ever did or did not... btwI mean about the families hate toward each other
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##### 139. Astrometeor
 Quoting 138. trHUrrIXC5MMX:see umm, Capulets and Montagues... they hated each other to death but their "offspring" loved each other so much they died for love despite the families' issueDid you know that Shakespeare never wrote that play? It is an Italian play, that Shakespeare plagiarized and used for his own profit.Anyways, I don't think you can compare you and Cody with the Capulets and Monatagues.
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##### 138. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 136. Astrometeor::)Can't move on till you two get on friendly footing again.There's my lecture for ya. Not going to waste my breath beating on a dead horse. Just going to give it a whack every once in a while.see umm, Capulets and Montagues... they hated each other to death but their "offspring" loved each other so much they died for love despite the families' issueps... keep such conversation on e-mail please, this place is ab omnibus videtur...
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##### 137. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 135. Astrometeor:Ah, the edit. I was about to say...You don't want to improve TWC? At least make them look more presentable on TV? We can work on their meteorology skills later.first...why? Im just a simple guy with creativity beyond his imagination (it gets better everytime...as you can see)second... the people who design this "are supposed to be hired" because they are certified artists with software knowledge ...third... TWC owns WU, they own my blog and Im 1000% sure they have seen my graphics...
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##### 136. Astrometeor
 Quoting 134. trHUrrIXC5MMX:Are you going to give me a lecture...again???let's just jump on forward:)Can't move on till you two get on friendly footing again.There's my lecture for ya. Not going to waste my breath beating on a dead horse. Just going to give it a whack every once in a while.
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##### 135. Astrometeor
 Quoting 131. trHUrrIXC5MMX:EDITED!!***A-...? what's that about? EDIT.... I got it!me at the TWC...? my originalism will banish away... and be corrupted with their crap but indeed some maps TWC does need LOTS of improvement...like this one... Ah, the edit. I was about to say...You don't want to improve TWC? At least make them look more presentable on TV? We can work on their meteorology skills later.
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##### 134. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 133. Astrometeor:I haven't been lurking. Been here more often than you for a while."don't care". Right...Are you going to give me a lecture...again???let's just jump on forward
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##### 133. Astrometeor
 Quoting 132. trHUrrIXC5MMX:you have been lurking I seeI don't care about thatI haven't been lurking. Been here more often than you for a while."don't care". Right...
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##### 132. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 130. Astrometeor:I wouldn't think you'd go since Cody's in there, and two have negative feelings for each other.you have been lurking I seeI don't care about that
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##### 131. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 128. Astrometeor: Max A-, Graphic Artist at TWC.EDITED!!***A-...? what's that about? EDIT.... I got it!me at the TWC...? my originalism will banish away... and be corrupted with their crap but indeed some maps TWC does need LOTS of improvement...like this one...
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##### 130. Astrometeor
 Quoting 129. trHUrrIXC5MMX:felt like going?Im sorry for not asking permission "dad"I wouldn't think you'd go since Cody's in there, and two have negative feelings for each other.
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##### 129. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 127. Astrometeor:Why were you in chat?felt like going?Im sorry for not asking permission "dad"
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##### 128. Astrometeor
 Quoting 125. trHUrrIXC5MMX:hmm, I have a feeling you may like the one I posted thereedit... why would I do such thing? although TWC is just down the highway here...very closeMax A-, Graphic Artist at TWC.Edit: And yes, I did like the graphic for the winter you posted.
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##### 127. Astrometeor
 Why were you in chat?
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##### 126. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 NHC calling for Henriette to reach 80 mph cat 1 hurricane... all based on it's current look and environment ahead, "unexpected shear" is always possible as it happens with many storms in that area
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##### 125. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 124. Astrometeor:Ever think about sending in an art portfolio to TWC Max? You could help them out with their own graphics.hmm, I have a feeling you may like the one I posted thereedit... why would I do such thing? although TWC is just down the highway here...very close
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##### 124. Astrometeor
 Ever think about sending in an art portfolio to TWC Max? You could help them out with their own graphics.
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##### 123. trHUrrIXC5MMX
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##### 122. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 well, this is the work I've done this weekend on my (future winter season) snow-map... my very best creation but still half way to go...this ornate graph took me hours to get to this point... just on the top banner, over 5 hours... thinking, improvising, calculating, trying out, deciding, measuring etc... but worth it...just looking great as it is....take a peek... the next time you'll see it, and being fully completed, will be when a new winter storm strikes...I also have to work on the map, lots of touch ups
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
##### 121. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Oh man...the Atlantic is taking a rest from the many storms we've had so far... so far now in the heart months of the season NOTHING is expected this upcoming week to develop
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##### 120. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Today is a day important for praying. ..Good morning everyone. .. awesome day today
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##### 119. Astrometeor
 Quoting 118. trHUrrIXC5MMX:Astro are you done with your "exciting" homework?APES? Nope. Got done with my AP Calculus though.
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##### 118. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Astro are you done with your "exciting" homework?
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##### 117. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 working this weekend on my snow-map for 2013-2014 winter season... yes, Im going ahead and getting prepared for.this graph will be a ver very laborious one, I do see how I want it to look when finished.
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##### 116. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 115. Astrometeor:SO I WAS RIGHT! There is something fishy going on here.*Looks suspiciously around*I think Max should be the one getting the drink, I'm fine. Albeit a bit parched. Anyways, I have to go, I have to get my AP Calc homework done. And then I will come back but will be working on some AP Environmental Science Homework.something fishy... lolol.
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##### 115. Astrometeor
 Quoting 114. trHUrrIXC5MMX:there was noting false. You're just making a big deal out of nothing.. get a cold drink or something...SO I WAS RIGHT! There is something fishy going on here.*Looks suspiciously around*I think Max should be the one getting the drink, I'm fine. Albeit a bit parched. Anyways, I have to go, I have to get my AP Calc homework done. And then I will come back but will be working on some AP Environmental Science Homework.
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##### 114. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 113. Astrometeor:I saw the +s, I was just emphasizing the point.What do you mean too far off track? I don't see anything wrong or false I said there.???there was noting false. You're just making a big deal out of nothing.. get a cold drink or something...
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##### 113. Astrometeor
 Quoting 112. trHUrrIXC5MMX:I am, didn't you see I plussed your comments?Thanks sir...bw you are taking things far off track with that else you said.I saw the +s, I was just emphasizing the point.What do you mean too far off track? I don't see anything wrong or false I said there.???
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##### 112. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 111. Astrometeor:*Whispers behind Max and out of his earshot*Hmm, Max is acting all dodgy, doesn't want to explain things...strange...wonder what's wrong with him.*Whispers stop*Ok, fine Max. Be that way. I actually didn't know that, thought you were just too busy to come and visit.Just be thankful I went and copied all of Blue's pics over to here so you could see them.I am, didn't you see I plussed your comments?Thanks sir...bw you are taking things far off track with that else you said.
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##### 111. Astrometeor
 Quoting 110. trHUrrIXC5MMX:E-mail you what?.... there is nothing to talk about I just don't want to go there, you know I don't go to the main blog for days sometimes.*Whispers behind Max and out of his earshot*Hmm, Max is acting all dodgy, doesn't want to explain things...strange...wonder what's wrong with him.*Whispers stop*Ok, fine Max. Be that way. I actually didn't know that, thought you were just too busy to come and visit.Just be thankful I went and copied all of Blue's pics over to here so you could see them.
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##### 110. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 109. Astrometeor:But please tell me, you can e-mail if ya want, why won't you go to the main blog???E-mail you what?.... there is nothing to talk about I just don't want to go there, you know I don't go to the main blog for days sometimes.
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##### 109. Astrometeor
 But please tell me, you can e-mail if ya want, why won't you go to the main blog???
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##### 108. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 105. Astrometeor:Uh-oh, does Max the Teddy Bear have "issues" with the main blog again?don't start ASTRO!!
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##### 107. Astrometeor
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##### 106. Astrometeor
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##### 105. Astrometeor
 Quoting 103. trHUrrIXC5MMX:I just don't...Uh-oh, does Max the Teddy Bear have "issues" with the main blog again?
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##### 104. Astrometeor
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##### 103. trHUrrIXC5MMX
 Quoting 101. Astrometeor:Why not?I just don't...
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##### 102. Astrometeor
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##### 101. Astrometeor
1:08 AM GMT on August 04, 2013
 Quoting 100. trHUrrIXC5MMX:not going to the main blog sorry...Why not?
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##### 100. trHUrrIXC5MMX
1:06 AM GMT on August 04, 2013
 Quoting 99. Astrometeor:There have been some wicked hooks tonight on the Great Plains. Kyle posted some pictures of the radar echoes on the main blog, might have to read back a bit, start from around comment #433not going to the main blog sorry...
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