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Forecasting Tip

By: mvemjsunp , 11:14 AM GMT on April 03, 2014

When I make my "official" weather forecast, I do it the same way I predict the outcome of a college football game. I read everything I can about each team, look at what all the "experts" say, and then inject my own gut feeling. Sometimes I am right, but more times than not, I miss it. I have been a weather enthusiast my entire life, yet I am not sure if I am any better now than when I first began. For predicting rain, I have learned not to depend on any one particular indicator. But yesterday, I noticed three indicators of an approaching storm system: a falling barometer, a shift in the direction and speed of the winds, and the appearance of high cirrus clouds. I believe these are fairly accurate clues to rain. I guess you and I can put those indicators to the test over the next three days. The NWS does have a chance of rain in their forecast through Tuesday, and the possibility of severe or heavy rain does exist. If you get a chance, notice if the clouds start get a little thicker as the day progresses, and also see if you notice if the winds pick-up a little bit throughout the day. If these things happen, and it does rain this weekend, then maybe we can all become better weather guessers.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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8:17 PM GMT on April 04, 2014
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High school & college math teacher for the past 20 years. Skywarn storm spotter for the National Weather Service and volunteer for Houston County, AL

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