Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 10:09 PM GMT on June 06, 2014
Odds are now yet again stacked against the development of 90L into a tropical cyclone, after an impressive increase in convection overnight. The near-depression is currently moving ashore Veracruz, and with it, the threat for flash flooding and mudslides remain. So villages and cities in low-lying areas susceptible to flash flooding, mountainous terrain susceptible to mudslides, would be in the wrong to write any remaining danger off. It is still vital to be prepared for the possibility of flash flooding affecting your area.
Eyes shift to the NW Caribbean and Gulf Of Mexico where certain models have been hinting at cyclogenesis in the next week or so, give or take. The ECMWF wants to differ from the other models on the bandwagon (CMC, FIS and GFS) by taking the low northwest in the general direction of Mainland Mexico and Texas, while the other three bring it on a NE recurve towards the Florida Peninsula where a substantial amount of very heavy rainfall could contribute to some flooding problems down the road. Of course, this is a week out, great uncertainty exists and nothing appears to be set in stone. It may not even spin up, as significant wind shear may inhibit such development. Props go out to First Choice Weather for providing the convenient, effective graphic.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
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