Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 7:50 PM GMT on September 09, 2013
Tropical Storm Humberto has formed as a depression yesterday and has gathered strength since--now packing winds around 45 MPH while nearing the Cape Verde Islands, as of the 2 PM EDT. Tropical storm warnings are up for the Cape Verdes and there is the enhanced potential for flash flooding in these islands--where isolated rainfall amounts as high as 10 inches are possible. Gradual strengthening is forecast due to a decreasing trend of dry air and lower shear and this has a very strong chance of becoming the first Atlantic hurricane of the season, possibly by late tomorrow or Wednesday, could briefly peak as a CAT II at that before moving over much less favorable conditions for development late in the week. Now there does not seem to be any sort of threat to the Lower 48, Bermuda or Caribbean whatsoever as Humberto is forecast to make a northward turn in the next couple of days but we will watch this situation if solely due to the flood threat in the Cape Verde Islands. No land masses are supposed to be affected at the time of Humberto's peak, regardless. Not much else is going on--the remnants of Gabrielle still have a decent chance of long term regeneration as models generally take it toward Bermuda and/or Atlantic Canada, and there is the potential for TC genesis in the SW Gulf Of Mexico/Bay Of Campeche towards the weekend, in which Mexico or even S Texas can be prime targets for tropical development.
I'll have another update either tomorrow or Wednesday.
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