Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 9:05 PM GMT on June 24, 2013
Tropical Storm Cosme is continuing to strengthen at a rather quick pace while the Atlantic remains quiet at the moment. We're going to start by discussing Cosme then bring up the potential for Atlantic development afterwards.
Tropical Storm Cosme is continuing to strengthen, now with winds up to 60 MPH. Additional strengthening is expected and Cosme could become a hurricane as early as tomorrow morning before hitting cooler SSTs on Wednesday. It is unlikely to develop into a stronger hurricane due to limited time frame but knowing how easy Pacific hurricanes flare up, a brief shot at CAT II status certainly is possible. Cosme should steer clear of any land masses but may bring some rather dangerous surf to the Pacific Coast of Mexico in the next 24-48 hours and potentially the Baja California southern tip in the next 36-72 hours. So no land masses should worry about any threatening impacts unless you're planning to swim offshore of areas mentioned, in that case, be very wary if you do decide to swim at all.
The tropics remain quiet on the Atlantic basin, that is for the short term. But models have been hinting at some Western Caribbean development potential next week which would be plausible because that's about when the MJO Pulse should cross Central America from the Pacific and approach the Caribbean in the early part of next month which basically translates to the next 1-2 weeks. A tropical wave near 24W, 8N is under a very hostile area of development but if it manages to make it into the Caribbean by that time frame, we may have this scenario potentially play out, we'll just have to wait and see.
Check back for updates on Cosme and possibly the Atlantic situation by tomorrow.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
Comments will take a few seconds to appear.