Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.
By: hurricaneben , 10:16 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Tropical Storm Miriam is weakening, now with winds down to 60 MPH, and no longer is threatening to make a direct hit on Baja California at any strength. Further weakening is forecast and in the next few days, we should see a goner for Miriam as it races out to sea with no land masses currently in sight.
Tropical Storm Nadine is hovering around the same strength for the past couple of days. It has slightly strengthened, now with winds only up to 50 MPH, and we could see this peak as a stronger tropical storm by tomorrow into Saturday before starting to weaken. Good thing is that this one does not pose a threat to land either.
Invest 94E has a chance of becoming a TD/TS in the next couple of days and should follow a path relatively alike Miriam's--if not a bit closer to Baja California that Miriam is forecast to be. A lot of time to watch this one and development into a TD seems rather possible with a forecast 30% chance of TC formation by Friday evening.
An area of interest is struggling against upper level winds in the short term--now located NE of the Northernmost Lesser Antilles. A TD/TS is unlikely in the short term but things may change down the road. A westward motion is forecast to continue but we have a lot of time to figure out the land masses threatened, if any and if it even develops. For now just a weak area of interest that may become one to watch eventually but not much of a threat in the short term. NHC gives this one a 10% chance of TC formation by Friday afternoon. By Sunday, I'd give it a 40% chance depending on where it goes and the conditions there.
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