Tropical Update 2011: TD-6 Forms N Of Bermuda, No Threat To Land

By: hurricaneben , 1:55 AM GMT on August 13, 2011

We now have Tropical Depression Six from 94L to the north of Bermuda. This might slightly intensity further possibly into a minimal tropical storm before being absorbed by a front sometime tomorrow morning as it races out to sea. No land masses should feel any decent effects from this weak system so there is no need for anyone to be concerned about this one.

Invest 92L
Invest 92L has suffered from a slight decrease in organization today but conditions are still favorable for gradual development as it drifts well east of the Northern Lesser Antilles and turn away from the Caribbean and Lower 48 in the general direction of Bermuda. It has a 40% chance of TC formation by Sunday evening and I think we might see this become a TD at the very least sometime this weekend and a few models even made this a decent hurricane which I don't think is such an unlikely possibility. There is no threat to land in the near term but Bermuda may have to monitor this system just in case next week. However it doesn't appear like a major threat to at least the Lower 48 in the foreseeable future.

Invest 93L
Invest 93L is struggling right now as it is supposed to remain under unfavorable upper-level winds for the next day or two but after that it might really get its act together as it drifts into warmer waters on its track toward the Northern Lesser Antilles. This is the greatest threat to land and this might even enter the Caribbean next week as a tropical storm or hurricane. The NHC gives this a 30% chance of TC formation by Sunday evening. The threat to the CONUS is highly unclear at this time and there remains a chance that some part of the United States Mainland Coast may be greatly affected by this system whether it's the Gulf Coast, Florida or East Coast. Where remains to be seen.

Invest 94L
This one located well NE of Puerto Rico is steadily organizing and we might see something try to form from this in the next couple of days as it tugs westward than sharply recurve generally towards Bermuda. A few models make this certainly a healthy named system and perhaps close to hurricane strength at peak. This might be a concern for Bermuda and then maybe not, models generally take it either over the island or well east of the island. The NHC gives this a 30% chance of TC formation by Sunday evening.

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Will devote this hurricane season to provide up-to-the-minute, basic information when a tropical system is threatening land. Both basins included.