Updates to The List

By: hcubed , 3:34 PM GMT on April 26, 2012

Looks like the alarmists and counters have been busy, updating "The List", those things that can definitely be tied to CAGW, and man's use of fossil fuels.

So, here's the update:

rapid sea rise - The nation of Kiribati is close to losing their islands to the sea

global water shortages - droughts are becoming more commonplace, and severe

new pandemics - H1N1, SARS

rapid rise in insect populations

rapid desert creation - The Sahara is rapidly encroaching on the Sahel, at an alarming pace

global food shortages - East Africa

So the world better hurry up and get down below the magic number of 350ppm - scientists like Bill McKibben are saying we're doomed if we don't.

But still, it's refreshing to see the new and improved list.

Gives us things to check the facts on.

I'll look at the poor, doomed island nation of Kiribati first. Remember, they're losing their islands to the sea...

"...The Gilbert Islands were granted self-rule by the UK in 1971 and complete independence in 1979 under the new name of Kiribati. The US relinquished all claims to the sparsely inhabited Phoenix and Line Island groups in a 1979 treaty of friendship with Kiribati..."

So, although the islands have been around for awhile, the nation of Kiribati was named in 1979. That's just 33 years. I wonder if they were doomed before they gained independence.

"...The Republic of Kiribati is a low-lying Pacific Island nation situated just west of the International Date Line. It is an archipelago of 33 islands - 21 of them inhabited - with a total land area of 313 square miles (811 square kilometers)..."

So there are 12 of the islands that, if they disappear, will have no effect on the population. 12/33, or about 1/3 of the nation.

On the other hand, most of Kiribati's 112,000 people live on the atoll of Tarawa, where the capital (also called Tarawa) is located.

It looks like that the 112,000 people live on 21 islands (and remember the WHOLE country was 313 square miles, or 811 square kilometers). Most of the recent problems have been the density of the population, and there is significant concern about the impact of overcrowding and unsustainable development.

"...Rapid urban population growth, overcrowding and unsustainable development are taking their toll, particularly in South Tarawa where half the population lives. Population density is 2,558 persons per square kilometre. There are serious problems with potable water, sewerage and waste disposal, coastal erosion, over-fishing and health issues. Forty percent of the population is aged under 15, and the population is expected to double in the next 20 years, exacerbating these problems..."

Amazing that global warming wasn't mentioned there.

Looks like there's more danger of overpopulation than from sea level rise.

And, since "rapid" sea rise was mentioned, what does the data say?

Well, according to this NASA release, the island nation of Kirabati got a break:

"...While the rise of the global ocean has been remarkably steady for most of this time, every once in a while, sea level rise hits a speed bump. This past year, it's been more like a pothole: between last summer and this one, global sea level actually fell by about a quarter of an inch, or half a centimeter..."

Strange. Have temps suddenly dropped? If the drastically rising temps are still going on, why would sea level drop?

Perhaps there's a physical reason for sea level rise.

Next post, we'll look at global water shortages. On a planet that is 71.11 percent water, we'll discuss water shortages.

Added to keep the link:

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/ghgases/Fig1 A.ext.txt

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About hcubed

Living in Biloxi MS, have been here since '85 (first Hurricane was Elena).

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