Instead of a count down, we're having a count up.

By: hcubed , 3:01 PM GMT on April 11, 2012

Dr Masters wrote his usual numbers game for March. Not much about any cause, more about the "astonishing" values.

There was this, however:

"...Dr. Martin Hoerling of NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder has posted a thorough analysis of the heat wave, which he calls, "Meteorological March Madness 2012". He explains that the event was probably a natural phenomenon, one that was predicted more than a month in advance by NOAA's long-range CFS model..."

*** Get that? PROBABLY a natural event. ***

"...A similar, though not as intense heat wave occurred in March 1910..."

*** And the current heat wave was not unprecedented, either. Dr Masters added a chart showing that Jul '36 was worse than this year, too. No doubt that both of those events are the result of Man's use of fossil fuels. ***

"...However, he notes that the approximate 0.5 - 1┬░C warming in the Ohio Valley/Midwest U.S. in recent decades--due to human-caused emission of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide--has significantly increased the odds of major heat waves occurring..."

*** And THERE'S the obligatory reference to CAGW. Had to be in there, don't ya know? ***

"...He speculates that the odds of a 1-in-40 year heat wave in the Midwest may have increased by about 50% due to human-caused global warming, but that we really don't know how much global warming may have increased the odds of the March 2012 heat wave, saying "This issue of estimating reliable statistics of extreme, rare events continues to be a matter of active research."

He estimates that human-caused global warming likely increased the intensity of the March 12 - 23, 2012 heat wave by about 5 - 10%, and concludes by saying, "The probability of heatwaves is growing as [human-caused] warming continues to progress. But there is always the randomness."..."

*** So I guess he's saying that this heatwave was made worse by HCEHTG (human-caused emission of heat trapping gases, since they like acronyms so much) and the ones in the past were just plain old weather. ***

Just think: it's gonna get worse - much worse.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About hcubed

Living in Biloxi MS, have been here since '85 (first Hurricane was Elena).