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UPDATE snow Monday in Maryland

By: cws6196 , 12:50 PM GMT on March 14, 2014

Even though the temps are cold this morning we will see a rise in the temps today and through the weekend, making it quite pleasant. Get out and enjoy today and tomorrow!

I'm sure most of you are more interested in the Sunday-Monday weather instead of our temps right now. I do want to caution you on listening to accumulation amounts right now, and I will not post any until at least tomorrow. Why? Because its late March. The time of the year and proximity to the change in seasons makes a big difference in our area when it comes to snow accumulation. I'm not saying it can't happen, it has, its just more difficult and rare. Here are some of my thoughts:

1. This is a rain turning into snow event, so the longer it rains the less snow accumulation we will see.
2. The ground is warm, so we need a heavy burst of snow to create an initial layer for the rest of the snow to stick to. The first flakes will be wasted as they will melt, again, lessening our accumulation numbers.
3. The snow will be wet and heavy, meaning as layers of snow fall they will compact, thus measuring the snow on the ground will be a lower number than what it would be if it were light and fluffy.

I say all this because many people are reading the model data verbatum and giving accumulation numbers without taking the above into account. I do believe we will see accumulating snow, I am just not sure how much. The potential exists for it to be significant, and if this were February I would be way excited; but we shall see.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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1:01 PM GMT on March 15, 2014
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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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