UPDATE snow Maryland

By: cws6196 , 1:40 AM GMT on February 08, 2013

UPDATE Fri afternoon

At this time the southern Low is near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay as it moves toward New England while the OH Low is still in the OH area. It appears that Low is not advancing as quickly as originally thought, and if that track continues at this pace the result could be a bit less snow in MD later this evening. Since any deviation from the path and timing makes a difference to us, I am sticking to my previous forecast, although, if the OH Low keeps doing what it's doing then S MD may not see any snow and northern MD might only see an inch. Either way, New England still takes the hit.

Original Post
This is not an easy forecast for as I mentioned in my previous post, any shift in the path, intensity or phasing of the Lows will drastically change this forecast. But as of this writting, I am as confident as can be with my forecast.

TIMING: After midnight Friday into Friday morning those west and north of Baltimore should see mixed wintry precip of ice and snow. S MD will see rain. Later Friday the wrap around flow could bring snow into the area through Saturday morning.

ACCUMULATION: Friday morning there could be up to an inch of accumulated mixed precip N and W of Baltimore. Snow accumulations Friday evening could be a couple inches mainly in N Baltimore, N Harford and Cecil Co. It is possible that S MD could see a dusting of snow by Saturday morning.

FUTURE: Still watching chance for our own coastal storm mid next week.

Keep in mind that any deviation in the behavior of the Lows will change this forecast. If that appears to be happening I will keep you posted. Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) for weather updates and tidbits.

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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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