update on the tropics this week & MD

By: cws6196 , 3:38 AM GMT on October 10, 2011

Still watching the developing tropical situation just east of FL at the moment, although it does not look likely that this system will form into a tropical storm and definitely not a hurricane. The model data is still not consistent with the track of this Low, so timing and intensity will need to be updated as time progresses. But, I do see us seeing the rain effects from this system come mid-week.

Come early Wednesday morning Southern MD should start to see some of the rain, with Central MD feeling it closer to noon or so. The models, although differing in the path and timing, do seem to show the most intense rains to effect Howard Co into Baltimore Co and over the PA line. There is the possibility for all of us to see rain accumulations of close to an inch with locally heavier rainfalls.

As this system moves into the area it will draw the Atlantic moisture over us, thus producing thick cloud cover. Therefore, expect temps to be dropping as the week moves on. After Wednesday I see some Lows move into the area from the NW, thus bringing more rain chance through the weekend and a considerable drop in the temps.

I will keep you posted on this event as the timing and intensity are better realized. Follow me daily on Twitter (@wxmanmd) and I will update the Weather Phone as needed (443-470-9804).

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About cws6196

I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.

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