Getting Ready to Get Ready

By: Bryan Norcross, 3:14 AM GMT on August 24, 2016

Have you noticed that weather reporting has become like political coverage? It’s the Trump model versus the Clinton model. And just like most political coverage these days, it misses the main point.

The bottom line: In South Florida it’s time to get ready to get ready. There is some reasonable chance that preparations will begin as early as Friday for a storm over the weekend. If a storm develops, the odds are it will head toward the Gulf.
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Louisiana Needed a Red Alert

By: Bryan Norcross, 12:12 PM GMT on August 23, 2016

Since the Louisiana flood disaster, everyone involved in crafting and disseminating weather warnings has been searching their mind and soul for a better way to communicate this kind of threat. The consensus is that the meteorologists generally knew there could be a bad flood, but their concern and urgency didn’t reach the people who needed to take action.

Indeed, a close look at the bulletins and outreach from the National Weather Service office servin...

Revisiting the Erika "Emergency"

By: Bryan Norcross, 12:57 PM GMT on September 03, 2015

The Erika frenzy in Florida is a fading memory, but maybe it shouldn’t be forgotten quite so quickly. It was just a week ago that much of the media was panting over the National Hurricane Center forecast of a hurricane in the vicinity of Florida and the governor declared a “state of emergency”.

There was no emergency in Florida, of course, but this was the headline on media outlets, both local and national. I asked Governor Rick Scott if “state ...

Updated: 12:57 PM GMT on September 03, 2015

The Dying Erika Dilemma

By: Bryan Norcross, 2:50 PM GMT on August 29, 2015

As a named tropical system, Erika is done, at least for now. But, despite rumors to the contrary, its weather is not. As expected, a combination of the mountains of Hispaniola and unfavorable atmospheric factors shredded the system as it moved past Haiti and toward Cuba. A new center swirl formed just north of the Cuban coast, but it’s not strong enough and it doesn’t have enough organized thunderstorm activity associated with it to count as a Tropical Storm ...

Updated: 2:52 PM GMT on August 29, 2015

Erika Meets the Mountains

By: Bryan Norcross, 2:34 PM GMT on August 28, 2015

The chances of Florida getting hit by an intensifying hurricane are lower today because the likelihood of Erika running into the giant mountains in the Dominican Republic and Haiti is now much higher. As I discussed the last couple of days, those mountains would be expected to disrupt Erika’s circulation meaning that the system that emerges on the other side is at best disorganized and perhaps completely disrupted.

It’s not out of the question that E...

Updated: 4:53 PM GMT on August 28, 2015

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This is the official blog for Bryan Norcross, Hurricane Specialist at The Weather Channel.

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