The UK and the Tropics Update - 03/07/2014 (9pm BST)

By: WeatherWomble , 8:21 PM GMT on July 03, 2014

In the UK
The UK is currently experiencing some absolutely lovely weather at the moment as we enjoy the tail end of a high pressure system moving its way across Central Europe and the Baltics which today brought us the hottest day of the year with the nearby village of Writtle in Essex seeing 28c, while in Ipswich it seemingly reached about 26 or 27c.

Sadly it seems to end next week with us being whacked by 3 Frontal Systems travelling along the jet stream.

Figure 1: Met Office Surface Pressure Chart as of 3/7/14 (Met Office, 2014)

As can be seen by this surface pressure chart (Met Office, 2014) - a series of messy fronts are about to pass over us which stretch between the UK and North America, which suggests we will continue the current pattern of unsettled weather mixed in with short, sharp hot spells after the past wet weekend of pretty much continuous rain.

In the Tropics

The N Atlantic is of course experiencing Arthur - which has to be one of the prettiest storms I have seen for a long while.

Figure 2: NRL Navy - Satellite Picture of Hurricane Arthur (NRL Navy, 2014)

The NHC has put this as a strong Category 1 hurricane with winds of 90mph and a pressure of 980mb, and I am going to be honest and say this has surprised me. I did not expect Arthur would have been strong enough to even reach Hurricane Status let alone be in with a chance of reaching Category 2 status.


Very Dry Air. Arthur has done exceptionally well at dealing with dry air, and although it has certainly been something that has inhibited the intensification process, I would have imagined that the dry air would have stopped Arthur from ever reaching mid to high Tropical Storm intensity. This may show how rusty I am!!

Elsewhere in the Tropics - the seemingly strong looking African Storm has completely fizzled, which hasn't surprised me - Cape Verde storms may struggle in a less than perfect environment - at least until late July

The only other area of interest I have is in the Gulf of Mexico, where it looks like some of the energy off Arthur may be about to break off and form a separate system. However, this may have been created through interaction with a Cold Front currently sitting over the Gulf Coast, and thus will probably lead to nothing.

Have a great July the 4th in America, while I enjoy the last few days of a rare UK wide heatwave.

Stay safe,


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About WeatherWomble

Well this is WeatherWomble here. I am an 18 year old looking to study Geography at Lancaster University in the Summer.