With a Bachelors Degree in Environmental Sciences (2009), began tracking tropical storms in 2002 and is now a private forecaster.
By: Cavin Rawlins, 10:34 PM GMT on November 10, 2011
Hi guys, can never seem to stay away from the site regardless the length of time. My blog returns later this year and in the year of 2012 where I will post be posting on topics such as tropical weather and climate, the usual forecasts and tutorials along with a new Facebook page...will keep you guys posted.
By: Cavin Rawlins, 2:24 PM GMT on August 01, 2010
A tropical wave with an associated area of low pressure in the Eastern Atlantic is increasing the potential to become the next tropical depression of the season. Satellite imagery along with surface analysis charts revealed a broad area of low pressure centered near 1009 millibars at 9N-34W. Much of the convection is currently west of the low-pressure area due to easterly shear from a superimposed upper anticyclone to its northeast. Despite this, convection has incr...
Updated: 8:24 PM GMT on August 24, 2010
By: Cavin Rawlins, 11:14 PM GMT on July 29, 2010
In this morning’s blog I mentioned an area of low pressure that was likely to become the next significant invest of interest, which has done so and been designated invest 90L. Invest 90L is associated with a broad area of low pressure in the Eastern Atlantic, along the ITCZ. RGB satellite imagery revealed clear mid-low level rotation centered near 7.5N-31W. This mid-level circulation is clearly defined with somewhat organized convection within 5 degrees west and s...
Updated: 11:25 PM GMT on July 29, 2010
By: Cavin Rawlins, 10:35 AM GMT on July 29, 2010
This morning infrared imagery revealed vigorous convection along an a surface trough in the ITCZ near 30W. Satellite images revealed some level turning along the feature which is rather organized. However the feature is embedded along the ITCZ so there is no indications that the area is self-sustaining. Conditions in the MDR south of 20N should be favorable over the next 5 days and models are developing a tropical storm from this area, particularly the ECMWF, CMC an...
Updated: 10:36 AM GMT on July 29, 2010
By: Cavin Rawlins, 1:33 PM GMT on July 25, 2010
Gulf of Mexico Deep layer ridging dominates the area centered over the Eastern United States with anticyclonic flow from the southwest Atlantic into the Gulf of Mexico. Large upper level circulation moving over Eastern Texas helping to enhance diffluent shower activity over the Western Gulf along the remnants of Tropical Depression Bonnie just south of the Mississippi Delta and a broad area of low pressure over the Western Bay of Campeche. Due to the organization an...
Updated: 1:39 PM GMT on July 25, 2010