We're changing our WunderBlogs. Learn more about this important update on our FAQ page.

CSU forecast

By: Tropicsweatherpr , 2:55 PM GMT on April 04, 2012

I am creating this blog for all to make comments about this April CSU forecast of 10/4/2. This blog will also have the June,August forecasts,and the 15 day ones too. I am sure that Dr Masters will talk about it,but I know that many times,that blog deviates to other themes not related. Here is one topic only,so what do all think of what they are forecasting?

Link


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Log In or Join

You be able to leave comments on this blog.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 11 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

11. Tropicsweatherpr
1:58 AM GMT on May 04, 2012
Will CSU up their numbers by one or two on the June 1rst outlook?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
10. Tropicsweatherpr
1:23 AM GMT on May 04, 2012
What will they do when they release the June 1rst outlook?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
9. nigel20
11:31 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
I said to you earlier that I generally wait until May to put numbers out there. But as of right now, I believe it is a little underdone, even though odds favor a slow season. I think there will be a lot of local activity. The waters of the Eastern Seaboard, the Gulf of Mexico and the western half of the Caribbean.

I have to agree with you there hydrus
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
8. Tropicsweatherpr
11:30 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I think CSU has pretty much gotten it nailed, a weak El Niño with normal to below normal activity. If we were to get a moderate/strong El Nino, these numbers would have to be lower.


Agree 100% with that. The key will be ENSO and second,how will the sst's be in Atlantic during the peak of the season.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
7. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:04 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
I think CSU has pretty much gotten it nailed, a weak El Niño with normal to below normal activity. If we were to get a moderate/strong El Nino, these numbers would have to be lower.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
6. hydrus
10:37 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
I said to you earlier that I generally wait until May to put numbers out there. But as of right now, I believe it is a little underdone, even though odds favor a slow season. I think there will be a lot of local activity. The waters of the Eastern Seaboard, the Gulf of Mexico and the western half of the Caribbean.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
5. Doppler22
10:33 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Thanks for the link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
4. nigel20
5:28 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


I also agree with what you said. Let's see what occurs eventually with ENSO in the next few weeks.

Over the next two to three weeks we will have a better forecast of what will occur during the hurricane season
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
3. Tropicsweatherpr
5:27 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
From CSU forecast:

For Puerto Rico, the probability of a Tropical Storm passing within 50 miles is 26%,a Hurricane is 12% and a Major Hurricane is 4%. I will take it,but wont be complacient at all.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
2. Tropicsweatherpr
5:17 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Quoting nigel20:
Thanks for the link Tropicsweatherpr. I think those numbers are more dependent on a moderate to strong el nino....wether or not we will see a moderate or strong el nino is yet to be seen


I also agree with what you said. Let's see what occurs eventually with ENSO in the next few weeks.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
1. nigel20
4:17 PM GMT on April 04, 2012
Thanks for the link Tropicsweatherpr. I think those numbers are more dependent on a moderate to strong el nino....wether or not we will see a moderate or strong el nino is yet to be seen
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 11 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

Top of Page
Ad Blocker Enabled

Tropicsweatherpr's WunderBlog

About Tropicsweatherpr

I am a tropical weather enthusiastic as I live on hurricane alley.

Recent Posts

Local Weather

Light Rain
74 °F
Light Rain Mist