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Will 2011 season reach Greek names?

By: Tropicsweatherpr , 3:04 PM GMT on September 14, 2011

Is a good question to have comments from the members here about this. As a lull in tropical activity appears likely in the North Atlantic basin during the next few days, the question is if the season going to reach the greek names after the lull is over. IMO,the season will not reach the greek names as 6 more named storms will form. With easch passing day,the probability of reaching the Greek names dwindle,but still are there if a very active period occurs.

List of names left before the greek list.

Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney



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10. Tropicsweatherpr
7:13 PM GMT on November 01, 2011
It looks like no Greek names will be in the cards.
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9. Tropicsweatherpr
9:14 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Since 1995, the average season, regardless whether outliers are included or not, has seen six named storms after this point. That would put this season at 20 named storms.

It would need eight named storms to go Greek, which has only happened in 2001, 2005, and 2010. That is only a 19% chance of going Greek. It's fairly small, but it's still possible.




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8. CybrTeddy
10:21 AM GMT on September 15, 2011
IMO, Alpha or Whitney will be our last.
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7. Tropicsweatherpr
1:42 AM GMT on September 15, 2011
Here is the greek alphabet list.

Alpha
Beta
Gamma
Delta
Epsilon
Zeta
Eta
Theta
Iota
Kappa
Lambda
Mu
Nu
Xi
Omicron
Pi
Rho
Sigma
Tau
Upsilon
Phi
Chi
Psi
Omega

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6. MississippiWx
10:15 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
I think we'll stop just shy of the Greek names and hold at Whitney.
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5. WeatherNerdPR
10:13 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
It's quite possible. But with the weirdness of this season so far, anything can happen.
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4. Tropicsweatherpr
6:38 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I don't think the lull will last very long, maybe another week or so. We have possible Cape Verde development, possible frontal boundary develop being picked up by the ECMWF, and possible Caribbean development, all in September.

Personally, I believe the Caribbean one will form. That leaves 6 named storms between 2/3 months.


Let's see what occurs in the 77 days that are left for the season to end.
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3. TropicalAnalystwx13
6:17 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


You think after the present lull is over, more than seven named systems will form? I can tell you that La Nina may help a bit to cause formations in late season,but will it be enough to get more than seven is the question.


I don't think the lull will last very long, maybe another week or so. We have possible Cape Verde development, possible frontal boundary develop being picked up by the ECMWF, and possible Caribbean development, all in September.

Personally, I believe the Caribbean one will form. That leaves 6 named storms between 2/3 months.
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2. Tropicsweatherpr
5:40 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I believe we will.


You think after the present lull is over, more than seven named systems will form? I can tell you that La Nina may help a bit to cause formations in late season,but will it be enough to get more than seven is the question.
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1. TropicalAnalystwx13
5:28 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
I believe we will.
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