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96L developing nicely, a threat to the Leeward Antilles

By: TheDawnAwakening , 10:57 PM GMT on August 20, 2014

Invest 96L is a threat to develop into a tropical cyclone and make landfall along the Leeward Antilles island chain in the easternmost Caribbean Sea. These islands mark the distinction between the tropical Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea. These waters are relatively warmer than most of the tropical Atlantic in a good hurricane season, but this season is also no exception. Wind shear is high in front of 96L but has shown signs of weakening in due time for the disturbance to enter to and move through and develop and strengthen in the short term. A strong Upper level Anticyclone has developed over the low level circulation of invest 96L at around 12.5n: and around 52.0w to 52.5w. This location will allow the disturbance to miss most of Hispaniola, Cuba and the rest of the Caribbean Sea west of PR. PR might take a direct hit to 96L, by then he should be a tropical storm. As for the long range threat of 96L, any where from Miami, FL to Cape Cod, MA should be monitoring this disturbance, just watching it for the next 8 days, before it threatens land. I will have more tomorrow if we do have a tropical depression.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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