A quick note on TS Erika

By: SavannahStorm, 5:01 AM GMT on August 29, 2015

Before I head off to bed- I'd like to stress that if the scenario many of the models are showing verifies- with a slowing/stalling of a TS/TD over the SE US- it can be just as devastating as a hurricane. The drenching rains that would be drawn from both the GOM and the Atlantic are massive. This has happened before in the same area. Read up on 1994 TS Alberto to see what this can do. This is a potentially dangerous situation even if Erika is a weak system. If y...

Hurricane Flood

Purely Mathematical 2009 Atlantic Season Prediction, Part 2

By: SavannahStorm, 10:03 PM GMT on June 15, 2009

In my first post, I gave my prediction of 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes for the 2009 season. Here is my methodology and how I came up with those numbers.Let me once again give my disclaimer on the problems with using statistical climatology. Climatology merely tells us how weather has reacted to certain situations in the past, but it will not necessarily tell us what will happen in every instance. However, we can get a good idea of how tropical systems form ...

A Purely Mathematical Atlantic Season 2009 Prediction

By: SavannahStorm, 7:06 AM GMT on June 14, 2009

2009 Atlantic Hurricane SeasonClimatology merely tells us how weather has reacted to certain situations in the past, but it will not necessarily tell us what will happen in every instance, though. However, we can get a good idea of how tropical systems form under certain conditions. With this in mind, here is how I have come up with my 2009 season prediction.This is a purely mathematical system I have come up with which focuses mainly on ENSO conditions during the...

Updated: 3:12 AM GMT on June 15, 2009

E. Coast Marine Fishing Forecast

By: SavannahStorm, 4:57 PM GMT on September 23, 2008

Week of Tuesday, September 23, 2008Abbreviated ForecastDue to time restrictions, only an abbreviated forecast this week. The synopsis is much the same, though, for the entire East Coast. A strong cold front off the eastern seaboard is already building large swells and strong NE winds. The system will become cutoff in the next day or two and become an extratropical or subtropical system. The tropical invest 93L currently over the Dominican Republic will begin to a...

E. Coast Marine Fishing Forecast

By: SavannahStorm, 3:51 PM GMT on September 16, 2008

Through Sunday, September 21, 2008The dominant feature on the East Coast is a stalled low pressure front over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast. Showers and scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible from Delaware through Georgia through Thursday. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms will be likely for South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida through the week. Approaching Friday, the front will begin to slide up the East Coast, bringing rain and wind to the North...

Updated: 7:41 PM GMT on September 16, 2008


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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