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By: Ossqss , 2:43 AM GMT on May 10, 2010
2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prognostication contest!
Here ya go weather fans...... Your chance to tell us what you think the Atlantic Hurricane season will look like.
You pick the following in your post
Total number of named storms
Total number of Hurricanes
Total number of Major Hurricanes
Total number of CAT 5 Hurricanes
The tie breaker will be -- Your pick on the date of the first named storm in 2010.
Please place your picks in the blog and I will quote you and lock them in just like we did last year.
Entry will close on 5-15-2010 @ 11pm EST or the time of the first named storm if that is sooner.
My Picks are 13, 8, 3, 1, 6-19-2010
Be safe and prepared !
Here is the list of last years participants and picks !
Handle,#Named Storms,#Hurricanes,#Major Storms,#Cat5, Date 1st Storm
Here are this years picks. Please check them for accuracy. I will do so again when I get time later this evening. Note- the late entries do not have a date for the first storm for the tie breaker. Thanks for participating.
Handle,# Named Storms,# Hurricanes,# Major Hurricanes,# CAT 5's, Date of the first named storm in 2010
Update -- An "X" after the date of the first storm as picked and displayed below indicates the date has passed.
Update -- Tropical Storm Alex has formed as of the 5am EST advisory on 6-26.
A big shout out of thanks to nrtiwlnvragn for creating the below for us. Thank you a bunch for your help!!!
The below is based upon the blog data.
Number of Storms
Standard Deviation 3.457674621
Standard Deviation 3.214257867
Standard Deviation 1.968740676
Standard Deviation 1.246800416
I believe that, once again, this blog's thinking will be very close to the pro's. I will dig that info up and add it later. If anyone has a some links I could use to find the other predictions, that would help expedite the comparison.
Thanks again for your participation and a special thanks to nrtiwlnvragn for crunching the numbers and creating the graphics :)
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