Six More Weeks of Winter

By: NewportOr , 4:05 PM GMT on February 02, 2014

Sunday, Feb. 2nd – Lincoln County

Summary: Albeit not up to our “June in January” standards from last month, yesterday was altogether quite pleasant. There was abundant sunshine, light winds and highs near predictions around 50F. Saturday ended with a bright but slim, waxing crescent Moon, earthshine lightly illuminating the ‘dark’ part of the disk. Clouds started rolling in by late evening and the area was completely overcast by midnight. East-southeast winds were about 10 mph, with a peak gust of 16 at Lincoln City. It remained cloudy at daybreak with light rain showers and temperatures in the low-40s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low...
Lincoln City: 52F/41F
Depoe Bay: 48F/37F
Newport: 50F/36F
Waldport: 51F/38F
Yachats: 51F/37F

Past Month Precipitation Total...
Rainfall for the month of January 2014* was 6.36”. The average is 10.20”, so we were down -3.84” from normal. Last year, 9.10” fell during January. *These figures are from the closest National Weather Service climate summary station at Astoria. Locally, the Hatfield Marine Science Center weather station in Newport reported a January total of 4.23”, about half the yearly norm of 8.69”.

Forecast: The long term forecast is in from America’s favorite furry forecaster. At 7:28am EST on this Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, meaning we have six more weeks of winter ahead. Incidentally, Phil’s overall prediction record since his debut in 1887 is 39% correct and 61% incorrect. Flipping a coin would most likely produce superior results, but certainly isn’t as much fun as this annual event. Phil may have it right for our area as we begin this Super Bowl Sunday with a few showers. A low pressure system came on shore near the Oregon-California border this morning and produced a round of light ‘wrap-around’ showers on the Central Coast. The rest of today, though, look for partly sunny skies and highs in the upper 40s. There’s an increasing chance of more showers tonight and tomorrow. Low about 35F overnight and Monday’s high in the low 40s. Outlook is for a return to Winter (thanks, Phil) with mostly clear conditions, windy and cold. By mid-week, daytime highs may struggle to reach the freezing mark and overnight lows fall into the low-20s. On the horizon, a stormy and wet period beginning Saturday.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and near the freezing mark this morning with icy patches. Snow showers are possible on the Coast Range highways from tonight through Monday night. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway today near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38. Highway 101 has no reported issues through the Central Coast region early today. Valley destinations are in the upper-30s and mostly cloudy, with a chance of mixed rain and snow showers tonight and tomorrow. In the Cascades, look for an increasing chance of snow showers through tomorrow night. Cascade highway passes are cold, between 10F and 20F, with icy spots. The freezing level is at 3,000 feet but dropping to the surface tonight. Expect icy conditions today, and then snow on the pavement this afternoon through tomorrow. Carry chains or traction tires.

Cascades Snow Pack... 65”, a loss of 2” since yesterday.

Cascadia: A magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded at 4:36am this morning 269 miles west of Waldport. It was lightly felt in several Oregon communities.

Marine: Winds are almost calm this morning, N less than 5 knots, and seas are 5-6 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Today, expect northerlies 5-10 knots gusting 15 and seas building to 7 feet. For tonight, N wind 10-15 knots gusting 20 but wave heights returning to about 5 feet; the same for tomorrow. Outlook is for E to NE winds the rest of the week, gradually increasing to 15-20 knots by late Tuesday. With the offshore wind flow, seas are predicted to stay below 5 feet during the extended period, but a change to stormy southwesterly conditions is a probability by next Saturday.

On the Beach... Partly sunny, chance of showers, surf 5-6 feet (low).
02/02 Sun 01:45 PM 9.17 H
02/02 Sun 08:06 PM -0.34 L
02/03 Mon 02:37 AM 9.24 H
02/03 Mon 08:39 AM 1.35 L

In Short: Mostly cloudy, sunbreaks and showers, then clear, windy and cold.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About NewportOr

Coastal forecaster, weather observer and offshore sailor specializing in the local nuances of Central Oregon Coast weather for residents and visitors.

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