The Pattern

By: NewportOr , 4:05 PM GMT on December 15, 2013

15Dec2013 - Newport, Oregon

Summary: Anybody can forecast the weather with a certain degree of accuracy when we get into this typical late Fall, early Winter pattern. A couple of dry days, a couple of wet days, and repeat. Mostly cloudy yesterday, highs around 50F, but Central Coast weather ran obliquely with Lincoln City warmer and less cloudy early in the day. Newport was next with a little cooler temperatures and more clouds. Yachats coldest and cloudiest. As expected, not much moisture, though a little light rain managed to hit the ground overnight. The wind left nothing to write home about. Ground is damp this morning and we're in the low 40s with a thicker cloud layer above.

Past 24 hours high/low/rain...
Lincoln City/Depoe Bay: 52F/38F/0.04"
Newport: 46F/40F/0.02"
Yachats/Waldport: 45F/39F/0.01"

Forecast: About a 50-50 chance for some additional light rain today, high near 50F and tonight's low in the upper 30s with winds remaining light. Fog could turn out to be the biggest worry with some areas of pea soup predicted over the next 24 hours. That may put a damper on tomorrow which could be a fairly nice, partly cloudy day with highs in the low 50s, low about 40F. Ditto for Tuesday, though the fog should lighten up. Outlook is for the next system in the pattern to arrive Tuesday night or Wednesday with more rain, a break Thursday and Friday, and the following weather system to come in on Saturday. No temperature anomalies during the period with the mercury remaining between 40F and 50F, and not much breeze.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 will have areas of dense fog today, pass temperatures 35F-37F, rising to the low 40s. An advisory is still in place for Highway 34 at Alsea Mountain summit for standing water. Cascade passes have a Special Weather Statement out today for icy spots, even though the free-air freezing level is 8,000 feet.

Marine: SW winds 10-15 knots dropping to W 5 knots later today. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for hazardous seas building from 8 feet this morning to 13 feet this afternoon. Depoe Bay bar is restricted for vessels 20 feet and under. Yaquina Bay Bar is unrestricted. Winds veering to N tonight and rising back to 10-15 knots. For opening day of the commercial crab season tomorrow, the seas are expected to remain high at 13 feet, with winds from the NE 10-15 knots gusting 20. Outlook is for slowly subsiding seas, but remaining around 10 feet through the week, moderate northerly winds, with the next blow of 20-25 knots out of the NW by mid-week.

On the Beach... Cloudy, light rain, light wind, surf 8 feet building to 12 feet.
12/15 Sun 10:13 AM 9.24 H
12/15 Sun 05:16 PM -0.49 L
12/16 Mon 12:00 AM 7.09 H
12/16 Mon 04:53 AM 3.61 L

In Short: Cloudy, light rain, fog, then partly cloudy.

White Christmas Countdown: Dec. 24th-25th -- Partly cloudy, high 48F, low 37F.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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Coastal forecaster, weather observer and offshore sailor specializing in the local nuances of Central Oregon Coast weather for residents and visitors.

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