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2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #1A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009 , 6:22 AM GMT on May 12, 2013

...SUNDAY MAY 12 2013...2:30 AM EDT...
Although the subtropical disturbance north of Puerto Rico gained a closed surface low yesterday afternoon and continued to have organized thunderstorms northeast of center...vertical wind shear has increased as forecast in the special feature section of discussion #1. Therefore any additional development with this system is not expected...and I have discontinued full birdseye discussions on my blog until Atlantic Hurricane Season starts in June...or until another pre-season disturbance develops.

As promised in my final 2012 hurricane season birdseye discussion back in December...I still plan to release post-storm reports for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season which will include an evaluation of how my storm forecasts (issued on these birdseye discussions) compared with that of the official forecasts from the National Hurricane Center.


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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5. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:14 AM GMT on May 30, 2013
NCHurricane2009 has created a new entry.
4. hatrickp
4:51 PM GMT on May 14, 2013
@Andre that's an impressive major hurricanes forecast for this year indeed, 7-11, particularly since last year saw surprisingly few major hurricanes given the huge amount of overall activity. Any particular reason you reckon this year's storms will reach higher intensity? Or was last year's lack of high intensity storms an unusual quirk?
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3. Andrebrooks
9:49 PM GMT on May 13, 2013
What is your forecast for the 2013 hurricane season,mine is 17-21 storms,11-15 hurricanes,7-11 major hurricanes.
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2. Andrebrooks
9:47 PM GMT on May 13, 2013
When are you going to start focusing on the disturbance that might develop in the Caribbean next week.
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1. Andrebrooks
9:46 PM GMT on May 13, 2013
I agree on all of this.
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