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2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #119A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009 , 9:30 AM GMT on September 28, 2012

...SEPTEMBER 28 2012...5:30 AM EDT...
This special update is written concerning Tropical Storm Nadine. Nadine strengthened while I was writing full discussion #119. Given the amount of recent strengthening...I have decided to upgrade my intensity forecast I just recently released in discussion #119. As such...here are my updated intensity forecast points:

5 AM Fri Sep 28 2012...70 mph...initial
11 PM Fri Sep 28 2012...75 mph...21 hr
11 PM Sat Sep 29 2012...65 mph...42 hr
11 PM Sun Sep 30 2012...50 mph...66 hr
11 PM Mon Oct 01 2012...40 mph (Dissipating)...90 hr

This means I now forecast Nadine to gain hurricane strength (75+ mph max winds) later today. I am making no changes to my Nadine track forecast at this time. If this verifies...Nadine will become a hurricane for the second time...as Nadine was previously a hurricane on September 15 and 16. Return to full discussion #119 for an assessment on the rest of the Atlantic tropics.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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5:47 PM GMT on September 29, 2012
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