Thoughts on the 2012-2013 Winter

By: Levi32 , 6:13 PM GMT on December 03, 2012

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While this is not a tropics post, I would like to remind readers that Supertyphoon Bopha is about to make landfall in the southern Philippines as a Category 5, and our thoughts and prayers go out to the folks over there.

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15. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
8:25 PM GMT on March 17, 2013
Levi32 has created a new entry.
14. Bogon
12:36 AM GMT on January 21, 2013
Hi, Levi. I revisited your long-range prediction to see how you were doing. So far, it's looking pretty good.
Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 89 Comments: 5138
13. palmettobug53
10:01 PM GMT on December 24, 2012

May the spirit of Christmas bring you peace,
The gladness of Christmas give you hope,
The warmth of Christmas grant you love.
~Author Unknown
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 252 Comments: 27135
11. Barefootontherocks
12:24 AM GMT on December 24, 2012
Thoughts on winter: Santa better bring snow.

Thanks for all you do, Levi.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year

Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 22102
10. Walshy
3:32 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
I don't have access to these years tho...1952, 1954,...
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 1022
9. Walshy
3:22 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
I am not sure if you noticed Levi...but your analog years for my area...NC...produced much more ice than snow.

Freezing rain developed across northwest and north central North Carolina during the early morning hours on the 15th and continued until mid morning. The freezing rain produced ice covered roads which resulted in several traffic accidents.

A light mixture of freezing rain, sleet, and snow caused a few slick spots on roads in the northern mountains and foothills.

Sleet and freezing rain from the late evening hours on the 8th to the early morning hours on the 9th resulted in hazardous conditions and several traffic accidents.

Freezing rain fell over the mountains and foothills for several hours. In Haywood and Transylvania Counties, accumulations of ice were enough to cause some power outages. Otherwise, slick roads and a number of accidents were the main problems with the freezing rain. Some sleet and snow mixed in at h...

A light but treacherous coating of ice and snow caused serious traffic problems over a large area. Direct damage by weather was light but hundreds of related automobile wrecks occurred. Several cars skidded off bridges and at least one woman was drowned as a result. Light damage to power and comm...

Intermittent light freezing rain over a three day period again caused traffic problems over a similar area. Many accidents but relatively few injuries and no know fatalities. In some areas enough ice accumulated on trees and overhead lines to cause some breakage. Schools closed one or more days i...

Heavy snow in the southwest with heavy glazing in the south central area, tapering off northward with light to none along the Virginia border. Mostly rain in the extreme east. Snow accumulations of up to 20 inches in the southern Mountains. It was a very destructive ice storm along the central South Carolina border and extending into South Carolina. There was wholesale breakage of power and telephone lines and poles. one power company reported 100,000 customers (in the two Carolinas) without electricity for periods of one to several days, and over 2,000 men were required to repair the damage. Heavy steel towers carrying high voltage lines crumpled under the weight of the ice; in one place every tower reported down over a three mile stretch. Many poultry houses and other lightly constructed frame building collapsed under the weight of ice and snow accumulation on roofs; many birds were lost. There were no known deaths or injuries directly caused by the weather, but traffic accidents were numerous and at least one death resulted.

Widespread frozen and freezing precipitation in the western portion of the state, but damage was only scattered and small compared with the storm of 15th-16th. A few trees were down along with a few scattered cases of power and telephone lines breaking.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 1022
8. lostinohio
6:12 PM GMT on December 04, 2012
Levi I am a long time follower of you and others on here. Just started posting a few times in the last few years. Can you give me an idea of what kind of Winter we will have here in N.W.Georgia(i live about 40 miles due south of Chattanooga). And i just posted and ask about maybe our 1st snow around Christmas?
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 218
7. doom22015
5:58 PM GMT on December 04, 2012
Thx for the video. Very clear and illuminating!

I remember the winter of 68-69 well. At the time I was a student at a school north of Boston, and the snows we got that year were unbelievable. In February, a storm sequence set up with a periodicity of 3 or 4 days, and the snowstorms just kept coming. One weather-guesser I listened to said at the time that we should think of ourselves as being at the wrong end of a bowling alley, and the balls were just going to keep coming for a while.

I loved all the snow. But there were a number of reports from around New England of rooves collapsing. So for some people, it was pretty bad.

I don't live in that area any more (I'm in the DC burbs), so even if winter 68-69 is a good analog, it might not benefit me much. But any snow lover has to like the idea of a replay of that winter.
Member Since: February 12, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 265
6. Walshy
1:50 AM GMT on December 04, 2012
Quoting absurfer:
walshy u live in nc

Yea. North Wilkesboro.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 1022
5. absurfer
1:37 AM GMT on December 04, 2012
walshy u live in nc
Member Since: January 3, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
4. Walshy
1:31 AM GMT on December 04, 2012
Stay w/ us this winter Levi!

Maybe do a video for a winter storm that affects the South-East...(NC)!! Or the East Coast in general.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 1022
3. PhillySnow
1:00 AM GMT on December 04, 2012
Thanks for the analysis, Levi! It makes sense as I go through these 60 degree days in December. Odd, and a known odd pattern apparently. It's good to see the historical perspective.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1642
2. originalLT
8:56 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Thanks Levi, I guess there is some hope for us snow lovers here in the North East and Middle Atlantic.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8012
1. HeavySnow
8:01 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Well done Levi. Good explanation.
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 3002

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Masters student in tropical meteorology at FSU. Raised in Alaskan blizzards, but drawn toward tropical cyclones by their superior PGF.

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