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Manuel becomes a hurricane, Humberto now a depression, and watching Gulf

By: JohnnyParker , 12:47 PM GMT on September 19, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Highs will continue to range between 76 and 91 with lows between 57 and 67. There is a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 70% chance of thunderstorms on Saturday, a slight chance of rain on Sunday, and a slight chance of rain on Monday. Some storms could be strong to severe Saturday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. Secondary threats will be for heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally 3+ inches possible and flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Todays high is 91 with a low of 66. Fridays high is 88 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around September 27th-October 4th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Humberto is weakening now and should dissipate within the next few days. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Movement is North at 8mph. Is not a threat to land. Also, in the Atlantic, an area of low pressure located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity near the Coast of the Bay of Campeche. Conditions still appear conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or two, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours while it moves to the West-Northwestward to Northwestward at 5 to 10mph, and a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. This disturbance will likely spread heavy rain over portions of Eastern and Southern Mexico and could cause life-threatening floods and mudslides over areas already impacted by torrential rain during the past several days. Also, in the Atlantic, cloudiness and showers located about midway between the Bahamas and Bermuda are associated with a frontal trough. Although upper-level winds do not appear conducive for significant tropical development, an area of low pressure is forecast to form in this area during the next couple of days. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves generally Northeastward over the Western Atlantic through early next week. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Manuel is located between the Coast of Mexico and the Southern Baja California Peninsula. Winds are at 75mph with a pressure of 987mbars. Movement is stationary. Is expected to make landfall late this evening in Mexico and will remain a slow mover. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Topolobampo, Mexico down to La Cruz, Mexico, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect form Topolobampo, Mexico to just North of there.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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2. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:56 AM GMT on September 20, 2013
JohnnyParker has created a new entry.
1. originalLT
12:50 PM GMT on September 19, 2013
Thanks Johnny.
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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 22. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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