Monitoring East Pacific for development; Isolated showers/storms possible across SE

By: JohnnyParker , 12:11 PM GMT on August 12, 2014

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 95 with lows between 60 and 72. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Sunday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Monday, an 80% chance of thunderstorms on Tuesday, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday, and a slight chance of rain. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Todays high is 88 and a low of 62 with a slight chance of rain. Wednesdays high is 85.

Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around August 17th-27th.

Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley and Northeast/Mid-Atlantic States (Eastern Indiana, Northern West Virginia, Northern Virginia, Maryland, District of Columbia, Southwestern New York, most of Pennsylvania), and a (#2) Slight Risk of severe weather today across parts of the Pacific Northwest/Northern Intermountain Region (parts of extreme Western Montana, Northern Idaho, Southeastern Washington, and East-Central Oregon). Threats for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States: large hail, damaging winds, a few isolated tornadoes, heavy rain, and flash flooding. Threats for the Pacific Northwest/Northern Intermountain Region: damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain, and flash flooding. (#3) The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a Slight Risk of severe weather tomorrow across parts of Eastern Oregon, Southern Washington, Central/Northern Idaho, and Western Montana. Threats for tomorrow will be for heavy rain, possible flash flooding, large hail, and damaging winds.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, (#1) Shower activity associated with a westward-moving broad area of low pressure centered about 750 miles West-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has diminished. Environmental conditions are not favorable for tropical cyclone formation. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) A tropical wave located a few hundred miles South-Southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. Although the thunderstorm activity has recently weakened, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a few days while the system moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph.The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 90%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#2) A broad area of low pressure has formed about 1500 miles East-Southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves to the West or West-Northwest at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Julio has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 990mbars. Movement is Northwest at 9mph. Is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by Saturday. Not a threat to land. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected in the near term. In the North Indian Ocean, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean Region), all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific Region), no development is expected over the next couple of days.

Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. God Bless!

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 22. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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