Category 5 Nepartak Headed for a Thursday Landfall in Taiwan

By: Jeff Masters , 3:31 PM GMT on July 06, 2016

Category 5 Super Typhoon Nepartak is steaming towards a Thursday landfall in Taiwan after putting on a phenomenal display of rapid intensification on Monday and Tuesday. Nepartak went from a tropical storm with 70 mph winds on Monday afternoon to a Category 4 super typhoon with 150 mph winds on Tuesday afternoon, in just 24 hours. Since then, the typhoon has continued to take advantage of light wind shear of 5 - 15 knots and extremely warm ocean waters of 31°C (88°F) to intensify into a ferocious Category 5 storm. These waters are about 1 - 2°C (1.8 - 3.6°F) above average. At 8 am EDT Wednesday, the Japanese Meteorological Agency estimated that Nepartak had a central pressure of 900 mb, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) estimated top sustained winds of 175 mph. Over the past two days, unusually warm waters have extended to great depth below the storm, creating some of the highest oceanic heat content readings one sees for a tropical cyclone--near 150 kJ/cm**2 (Figure 2). Satellite loops from NOAA/SSED and NOAA/RAMMB show a fearsome storm with huge area of heavy thunderstorms with cold cloud tops reaching high into the atmosphere, surrounding a prominent eye. The storm has taken on an annular appearance, with very little in the way of spiral banding. These type of storms are more resistant to weakening than typical tropical cyclones.


Figure 1. MODIS visible satellite image of Super Typhoon Nepartak at 04:50 UTC (12:50 am EDT) July 6, 2016. At the time, Nepartak was a Category 5 super typhoon with 175 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.


Figure 2. Total Ocean Heat Content (in kilojoules per square centimeter) on July 6, 2016. The past track and forecast track of Super Typhoon Nepartak from the 2 am EDT July 6, 2016 JTWC advisory are overlaid. After traveling over a long stretch of ocean with very high heat content, Nepartak will be moving over a relatively cool area on Wednesday afternoon (U.S. EDT time.) This reduced heat energy means that Nepartak will likely be unable to strengthen further on Wednesday. On Thursday morning, typhoon will be passing over another area of relatively high oceanic heat content, which will likely prevent rapid weakening before landfall in Taiwan occurs. Image credit: University of Wisconsin/CIMSS.

Nepartak's impact on Taiwan and China
Nepartak was headed west-northwest at 18 mph on Wednesday morning (U.S. EDT) on a track that will take it over Taiwan on Thursday afternoon. Our two top global models for predicting tropical cyclone tracks, the GFS and European models, both predicted that Nepartak would make landfall in Taiwan between 18 - 21 UTC (2 pm - 5 pm EDT) on Thursday. Later that day, a trough of low pressure passing to the north of the storm is expected to pull Nepartak to the northwest and then north, taking the storm on a path that should bring it just west of Shanghai, China on Sunday, when the storm will likely dissipate. Nepartak will continue to be over very warm ocean waters of 31°C (88°F) with light wind shear of 5 - 15 knots until about 6 - 12 hours before landfall in Taiwan on Thursday. In the final 12 hours before landfall, increasing wind shear, decreasing ocean temperatures, and interaction will land should act to weaken Nepartak to Category 4 strength.


Figure 3. Swath of total rainfall from Nepartak as predicted by the 06 UTC (2 am EDT) Wednesday, July 6, 2016 run of the HWRF model. The model predicted widespread rains of 8 - 16" (light yellow colors) over much of Taiwan and Eastern China. Image credit: NOAA/NCEP/EMC.


Figure 4. Rainfall for the 10-day period ending on July 5, 2016 over China. Rainfall amounts in excess of 15.75" (400+ mm, dark blue color) fell over a large swath of China from Wuhan to just west of Shanghai. Image credit: National Meteorological Center of CMA.

Heavy rains a huge concern for Taiwan and China
About 1 - 2" of rain has fallen over Taiwan during the past ten days, so the soils should be able to absorb some of the expected 5 - 15" of rain Nepartak will dump over much of the island. Nevertheless, damaging flooding from the torrential rains of Super Typhoon Nepartak will likely cause tens of millions of dollars in damage to agriculture in Taiwan. The bigger concern for heavy rainfall from Nepartak is in mainland China, though. Exceptionally heavy monsoon rains affected large portions of central and eastern China over the past ten days, bringing rampaging floods that killed at least 170 people and caused over $5 billion in damage. The soils are still saturated from these rains, and Nepartak's rains will trigger additional damaging flooding. The largest city in central China--Wuhan, with a population of 10.8 million--received over 560mm (1.8 feet) of rain over the past ten days, causing widespread chaos there. However, the Wednesday morning run of the HWRF model (Figure 3) showed the heaviest rains of Nepartak would likely miss Wuhan. The main concern is for the region between Wuhan and Shanghai, where another 8 - 16" of rain is likely to fall on regions where more than 8" of rain fell last week.

Taiwan's recent typhoon history
If Nepartak hits Taiwan at Category 4 strength, as currently forecast by JTWC, this will not necessarily be catastrophic for the island. Taiwan is no stranger to powerful typhoons, and has endured many strikes by major typhoons without suffering catastrophic impacts. The island was hit by two major typhoons last year: Category 4 Typhoon Dujuan and Category 3 Typhoon Soudelor. Typhoon Dujuan made landfall on the island on September 28, 2015, with 140 mph winds, killing three, injuring 376, but causing less than $10 million in damage. Dujuan brought heavy rains to eastern China that caused $652 million in damage, but did not kill anybody there. On August 7, 2015, Typhoon Soudelor hit Taiwan as a Category 3 storm with 120 mph winds. Souledor killed eight, injured 420, and caused over $100 million in damage. At the peak of the storm, 4.85 million households lost electricity--the largest blackout on record in Taiwan due to a typhoon (previous record: 2.79 million customers blacked out by Typhoon Herb in 1996.) Taiping Mountain in eastern Taiwan's Yilan County saw the heaviest rains from the typhoon, with accumulations peaking at 1,334 mm (52.52".) Souledor brought heavy rains to eastern China that killed 26 people and caused $3.08 billion in damage.

Nepartak: Earth's third Category 5 storm of 2016
Nepartak is the third Category 5 storm on Earth so far in 2016, and tied for the second strongest tropical cyclone of the year (by wind speed). The other two Category 5 storms earlier this year were in the Southern Hemisphere: the Southwest Indian Ocean's Tropical Cyclone Fantala, which topped out with 175 mph winds and a 910 mb central pressure on April 17, and the Southeast Pacific's Tropical Cyclone Winston, which devastated Fiji on February 20 with sustained winds of 180 mph. Winston's lowest central pressure was 915 mb. Both storms were tied for the strongest tropical cyclones ever observed (by sustained winds) in their respective ocean basins. On average, Earth sees 4 - 5 Category 5 storms per year, with over 50% of these being typhoons in the Northwest Pacific.

Links
Stunning visible animation of Nepartak from July 6, 2016, from NOAA/RAMMB/Colorado State.

The Himawari-8 Floater satellite loops have some impressive animations of Nepartak during daylight hours in the Western Pacific.

Taiwan radar

I'll have a new post on Thursday.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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374. unknowncomic
2:53 AM GMT on July 08, 2016
Nepartak-Center almost offshore.
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 08 JUL 2016 Time : 021000 UTC
Lat : 22:54:08 N Lon : 119:48:11 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.0 / 936.3mb/115.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.2 5.2 4.7

Center Temp : -66.3C Cloud Region Temp : -67.0C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : FLAG
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
373. vis0
2:25 AM GMT on July 08, 2016
i hope the people being affected by 2016 Nepartak stay safe, BUt i have to add this comment.

It might have been posted already.
 Did anyone see the VId of a gentleman trying to hold 2 (mostly glass ) doors shut with his hand as winds / gusts went up to 90mph. Each hand on each doors push to open full length levers ...wait for wait for it...a slight wind gust ran over the outside of the door and KABOOM both doors blew wide open. He wasn't hurt but the ease in which those doors blew open, WOW.  wait fer it wait fer it... guy looked around and went slightly outside grabbed both doors and went back to (trying) to hold doors shut.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
372. Climate175
4:24 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 367. BayFog:


Too much dust for development. Too early in the season.
.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
371. beell
4:18 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
As Nepartak nears the central (N/S) mountain range of Taiwan, the lower, environmental steering flow may be shunted to the south a bit-resulting in at least a slight turn to the left with respect to forward direction along with a decrease in forward speed.

Or it may just plow straight on across the island, lol.

Some degradation of the SW eyewall-but still a powerful storm.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
370. MahFL
4:18 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Lanyu gust of 110mph.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
369. PedleyCA
4:09 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
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368. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
4:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
incredible shrinking storm

02W/STY/N/C4
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
367. BayFog
4:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 350. Climate175:

It has been trying in recent runs.

Too much dust for development. Too early in the season.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
366. WunderAlertBot
4:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
365. SouthTampa
4:05 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 336. Neapolitan:

Lack of La Nina =\= El Nino. El Nino 2015 esta muerto. Muy, muy muerto.


That will not stop [redacted] from predicting an El Nino *next* year can claiming to be correct when it inevitably shows up. Enjoy your crow whether it be in 2017, 2018, or ... 2045.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
364. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
4:04 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
airport temps as of noon obs

Temperature:

83.8°F

Dewpoint:

67.3°F

Humidity:

57%

Wind:

E 2 mph

Humidex:

97
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
363. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
4:03 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
PWS shows 84.4
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
362. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
4:02 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
the great spin down in the middle of
nowhere

03E

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
361. PedleyCA
4:02 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 360. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

I was joking with landscaper yesterday saying maybe we should get into a tropical cactus look or semi arid desert theme for ornamentation of property lol

typo corrected dessert double s sensitive keys


I have rocks and they don't need much water(sic). Hows your temps Keeper? 9:00AM PDT 66.6F or 19.22C
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
360. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
3:40 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
I was joking with landscaper yesterday saying maybe we should get into a tropical cactus look or semi arid desert theme for ornamentation of property lol

typo corrected dessert double s sensitive keys
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
359. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
3:38 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 352. CaribBoy:



The grass needs tons of rain!


we are getting very dry as well all lawn cutting has been suspended here by me till we get sufficient rains to spur
re greening regrowth so hot and dry watering is useless suns heat is just burning the grass up leaves on trees getting droopy not looking the way they should but its the heat and lack of rains doing it

no grass cutting till end of august early sept for sure long hot dry summer continues
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
358. Patrap
3:33 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
357. cRRKampen
3:28 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 355. Patrap:



If that patch of lesser OHC wasn't there, it might have Tipped the record.
Well, soon.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
356. Patrap
3:27 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Record ReportIssued: 2:23 AM CDT Jul. 7, 2016 – National Weather Service

... Numerous record high minimum temperatures set or tied
for July 6th...

A record high minimum temperature of 79 degrees was set at Baton
Rouge Airport yesterday. This breaks the old daily record of 78 set
in 2009. The period of record for Baton Rouge Airport began in
January of 1930.

A record high minimum temperature of 83 degrees was set at New
Orleans International Airport yesterday. This breaks the old daily
record of 79 degrees set in 2009. The period of record for New
Orleans International Airport began in may of 1946.

A record high minimum temperature of 83 degrees was set at New
Orleans Lakefront Airport yesterday. This breaks the previous record
of 82 degrees set in 1998. The period of record for New Orleans
Lakefront Airport began in January of 1937.

A record high minimum temperature of 83 degrees was set at Slidell
Airport yesterday. This breaks the previous record of 76 degrees set
in 2010. The period of record for Slidell Airport began in April
1994.

A record high minimum temperature of 83 degrees was set at Gulfport
Airport yesterday. This breaks the old record of 78 set in 2010.
Record reports for this station may not be as meaningful as those
for stations with 30 year decadal normals. The period of record
at Gulfport Airport began in September of 2000.

A record high minimum temperature of 75 degrees was tied at
McComb/Pike County Airport yesterday. The last time this occurred
was in 1998. The period of record at McComb Airport began in October
1948.

A record high minimum temperature of 83 degrees was tied at New
Orleans Audubon yesterday. The last time this occurred was in 1900.
The period of record at New Orleans Audubon began in January 1893.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
355. Patrap
3:25 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
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354. RitaandIke
3:24 PM GMT on July 07, 2016


This, from July 1st, turned out to be pretty accurate.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
353. Patrap
3:23 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
352. CaribBoy
3:23 PM GMT on July 07, 2016


The grass needs tons of rain!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
351. MahFL
3:14 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
102 mph gust on that island.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
350. Climate175
3:07 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 348. washingtonian115:

Last post for a few hours but the GFS is at least attempting to develop a wave in the long range.It comes off of Africa as a healthy one


It has been trying in recent runs.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
349. barbamz
3:00 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
In China, 160 killed, 28 missing in heavy rains, floods
PTI | Jul 7, 2016, 07.24 PM IST
BEIJING: At least 160 people have been killed and 28 others listed missing in China due to heavy rains and floods as the country on Thursday braced for this year's first typhoon approaching the mainland with authorities issuing an early-warning response for disaster relief preparations. ...
On Wednesday, China rushed more troops to the southern city of Wuhan as flood waters from the Yangtze entered the city inhabited by more than 10 million people. Meteorology department officials said Typhoon Nepartak was whirling towards east China's coast and is expected to bring storms tonight. ...


Terrible pics from China. And now they'll have to embrace Nepartak :-(

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
348. washingtonian115
2:58 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Last post for a few hours but the GFS is at least attempting to develop a wave in the long range.It comes off of Africa as a healthy one

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
347. bigwes6844
2:54 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 345. washingtonian115:



your daily propaganda!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
346. stoormfury
2:51 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
QUOTING 341 CaribBoy

this is not optimism it is a truism
lol
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
345. washingtonian115
2:50 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
344. Carnivorous
2:37 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
There are loads of awesome surface and subsurface data coming in from buoy NTU2 (around 170 km south-east of Taitung). It is not every day a sub 900 mb tropical cyclone almost directly passes over such a high-quality buoy!

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
343. CaribBoy
2:28 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 327. StormTrackerScott:

Models continue to pull away from La-Nina. Major bust on so many levels by so many models with regards to predicting a moderate to strong La-Nina just a couple of months ago. Fact is the PDO was the Wild Card here and models just didn't even take that into the equation. Some models even moving toward El-Nino come 2017.




Always bringing good news lol...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
342. Patrap
2:27 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
341. CaribBoy
2:26 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 310. stoormfury:

Morning,
while most of the bloggers here are focused on the typhoon about to make landfall on Taiwan, i will turn my attention to the atlantic basin where conditions are getting primed for cyclonic activity. The instability in the MDR is being enhanced by the increase moisture ,as can be seen by the mositure content at both the mid and upper levels.
The shear across the atlantic as whole from the lesser antilles to Africa as well as the Carib and Gomex have dropped considerably. the SST have begun to increase as well the area west of the African coast.. Most of the reliable models are indicating a ramp up im tropical activity towards the last week of July. There is an active tropical wave in the CATL with a low pressure area near 35 W. The GFS as well Euro is forecasting a very large and robust TW to exit the African coast next thursday with more strong waves to come off during the month of august.
By the look of things it is anticipated that the increase in tropical activity is soon to begin.



I call this optimism.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
340. HadesGodWyvern
1:53 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 330. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

02W/STY/N/C5



that 5 hour jump in frame from 8:00 AM UTC to 13:00 PM UTC, XD (Thanks, satellite service and division)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
339. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
1:48 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 334. MahFL:



That image is 8 hours out of date.

Up to date :



I go by floaters no updating I cant control that
that's the responsibility of the source
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
338. GeoffreyWPB
1:41 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
From iCyclone's facebook page...


9 pm Thursday (Taiwan): Despite my best efforts to punch holes in the theory—and some diligent early-evening recon work along the coastline N of here—the radar data strongly suggest I should stay put in Taitung City. So that's where I'm staying—for now.

I can adjust late tonight if something funny happens—for example, a weird wobble in the track. And I imagine something funny will happen. Taiwanese typhoons are *always* tricky—there's always a last-minute plot twist just before landfall: a fastball on a straight track turns into a junkball and makes a loop; the eye disappears or relocates; etc. Annoying stuff for the accuracy-obsessed chaserdude.

I'm exhausted after 30 straight hours of traveling from the other side of the earth—and I'm curiously numb about facing another Cat 5 so soon after Hurricane PATRICIA. So many lucky escapes have made me cocky. Maybe Super Typhoon NEPARKAT will teach me a lesson in respect.

The car is stowed in underground parking—a good thing, because if the core of this violent typhoon rams densely-populated downtown Taitung City, the sh*tstorm of flying debris is going to be biblical. And I highly doubt my 15th-floor room will be safe. The tower will sway and the windows will surely explode.

Tonight's sunset was curiously gorgeous... and it was preceded by a rainbow. (Never seen that before a typhoon. Random.) But NEPARKAT is fooling no one with these opening pleasantries. Radar and satellite images reveal its true nature: It's a beast. And it's coming.

More later. (Sorry for the long post—lots on my mind.)

P.S. Members in the USA—I'll be on The Weather Channel at 9:50 am EDT (6:50 am Pacific) reporting live.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
337. Carnivorous
1:38 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
I am not sure how reliable these buoy measurements are or if they are official in any way...but according to this link a bouy measured a pressure of below 900 hpa and wind speeds of above 145 kt (179 mph) one hour ago despite the fact that Nepartak's center didn't passed directly over it!
Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
336. Neapolitan
1:36 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 327. StormTrackerScott:

Models continue to pull away from La-Nina. Major bust on so many levels by so many models with regards to predicting a moderate to strong La-Nina just a couple of months ago. Fact is the PDO was the Wild Card here and models just didn't even take that into the equation. Some models even moving toward El-Nino come 2017.
Lack of La Nina =\= El Nino. El Nino 2015 esta muerto. Muy, muy muerto.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
335. pipelines
1:32 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Nepartak is starting to fall apart, not too surprising. When cyclones make landfall on shorelines with high mountain ranges, a high intensity can not be maintained. This is cyclone will be nothing special for Taiwan, heck it may not even be the strongest one they get hit by this year alone.

Link

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
334. MahFL
1:31 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 330. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

02W/STY/N/C5



That image is 8 hours out of date.

Up to date :

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
333. VAbeachhurricanes
1:23 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 331. all4hurricanes:


It looks like Nepartak is entering another ERC, what good timing


Land is already disrupting the circulation, will weaken from now until landfall.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
332. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
1:22 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
5
(major) 157 mph or higher
137 kt or higher
252 km/h or higher Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
331. all4hurricanes
1:20 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Quoting 329. barbamz:

Spiral feeder bands from Super Typhoon #Nepartak coming ashore in Taiwan now. Awesome radar feed from @BMcNoldy http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/nep artak16/Nepartak_7Jul16_taiwan_zoom.gif …

This radar loop takes a while to load. Here is the link.


It looks like Nepartak is entering another ERC, what good timing
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
330. KEEPEROFTHEGATE
1:19 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
02W/STY/N/C5
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
329. barbamz
1:13 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Spiral feeder bands from Super Typhoon #Nepartak coming ashore in Taiwan now. Awesome radar feed from @BMcNoldy http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/nep artak16/Nepartak_7Jul16_taiwan_zoom.gif …

This radar loop takes a while to load. Here is the link.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
328. Carnivorous
1:12 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
The island of Lanyu (located around 70 km west of the western eyewall) is currently reporting gusts of up to 92 kt (106 mph).
Link

Another very interesting station to follow is the island of Ludao (which lies directly in the path of Nepartak):
Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
327. StormTrackerScott
1:09 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Models continue to pull away from La-Nina. Major bust on so many levels by so many models with regards to predicting a moderate to strong La-Nina just a couple of months ago. Fact is the PDO was the Wild Card here and models just didn't even take that into the equation. Some models even moving toward El-Nino come 2017.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
326. HurrMichaelOrl
1:07 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Highest wind I see in Taiwan is 62 mph in the Penghu Islands. Just search "Taiwan" on this site and it pulls up a list of all the official reporting stations.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
325. barbamz
1:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
Population of Taitung (December 2014), the capital of the county with the same name, where Nepartak's landfall is expected: 106,929



Source Wikipedia with more info.


Taitung seen from a plane.


Source.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
324. MahFL
12:55 PM GMT on July 07, 2016
There is a PWS in Taitung County, Taiwan, currently reporting gusts to 38mph.
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