Earth has its 5th Warmest June on Record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:11 PM GMT on July 18, 2013

June 2013 was the globe's 5th warmest June since records began in 1880, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated it the 2nd warmest June on record. The year-to-date period of January - June has been the 7th warmest such period on record. June 2013 global land temperatures were the 3rd warmest on record, and global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record. June 2013 was the 340th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average. Global satellite-measured temperatures in June 2013 for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 5th or 4th warmest in the 35-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH), respectively. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of June 2013 in his June 2013 Global Weather Extremes Summary.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2013, the 5th warmest June for the globe since record keeping began in 1880. Record warmth was observed over much of northern Canada, far northwestern Russia, southern Japan, the Philippines, part of southwestern China, and central southern Africa. It was cooler than average across part of central Asia, central India, western Europe, and far northeastern Canada. No record cold was observed over land areas during the month. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Five billion-dollar weather disasters in June
At least five billion-dollar weather disasters hit Earth during June. The most damaging of these was the historic $22 billion flood disaster that killed at least 23 people in Central Europe in late May and early June--the 5th costliest non-U.S. weather disaster in world history. Record flooding unprecedented since the Middle Ages hit major rivers in Austria, the Czech Republic, Germany, Poland and Slovakia; the Danube River in Passau, Germany hit its highest level since 1501, and the Saale River in Halle, Germany was the highest in its 400-year period of record. Numerous cities recorded their highest flood waters in more than a century, although in some locations the great flood of 2002 was higher.

The world-wide tally of billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2013 is sixteen, and the U.S. total is four, according to the June 2013 Catastrophe Report from insurance broker Aon Benfield:

1) Flooding, Central Europe, 5/30 - 6/6, $22 billion
2) Drought, Brazil, 1/1 - 5/31, $8.3 billion
3) Tornado, Moore, OK, and associated U.S. severe weather, 5/18 - 5/22, $4.5 billion
4) Drought, Central and Eastern China, 1/1 - 4/30, $4.2 billion
5) Flooding, Calgary, Alberta Canada, 6/19 - 6/24, $3.8 billion
6) Flooding, Indonesia, 1/20 - 1/27, $3.31 billion
7) Flooding, Australia, 1/21 - 1/30, $2.5 billion
8) Tornadoes and severe weather, U.S., 5/26 - 6/2, $2 billion
9) Severe weather, Midwest U.S., 3/18 - 3/20, $2 billion
10) Winter weather, Europe, 3/12 - 3/31, $1.8 billion
11) Drought, New Zealand, 1/1 - 5/10, $1.6 billion
12) Flooding, Sichuan Province, China, 7/7 - 7/11, $1.6 billion
13) Flooding, China, 6/29 - 7/3, $1.4 billion
14) Flooding, Argentina, 4/2 - 4/4, $1.3 billion
15) Flooding, India and Nepal, 6/14 - 6/18, $1.1 billion
16) Winter weather, Plains, Midwest, Northeast U.S., 2/24 - 2/27, $1.0 billion

The $8.3 billion cost of the 2013 drought in Brazil makes it by far the costliest natural disaster in Brazil's history, according to the international disasters database EM-DAT. Their 2nd most costly disaster was the drought of 1978 ($2.3 billion in 1978 dollars.)


Figure 2. The Danube River in Passau, Germany hit its highest level since 1501 during the June 2013 flood. Image credit: Stefan Penninger.


Figure 3. The $22 billion price tag of the June - June 2013 Central European floods puts that disaster in 5th place on the list of most expensive non-U.S. weather-related disasters.

Neutral El Niño conditions continue in the equatorial Pacific
For the 15th month in row, neutral El Niño conditions existed in the equatorial Pacific during June 2013. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) expects neutral El Niño conditions to last through summer and into the fall, and the large majority of the El Niño models also predict that neutral conditions will last through the fall of 2013. Temperatures in the equatorial Eastern Pacific need to be 0.5°C below average or cooler for three consecutive months for a La Niña episode to be declared; sea surface temperatures were 0.4°C below average as of July 15, and have been +0.1 to -0.4°C from average since April 1, 2013.

Arctic sea ice falls to 11th lowest June extent on record
Arctic sea ice extent during June was 11th lowest in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The relatively high coverage was due to wind patterns that helped spread the ice out over a larger area. During the first two weeks of July, Arctic ice extent has fallen to the 5th lowest level on record.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no tropical cyclone threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of the reliable models for tropical cyclone formation is predicting development during the coming seven days. If the Atlantic stays quiet, I plan on making my next post on Saturday.

Jeff Masters

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2290. Grothar
Quoting 2281. PensacolaDoug:


Wet. I gotta go out and work in Myrtle Grove by 7:30... Drag.


You're still working at your age??
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
2289. Grothar
Quoting 2286. barbamz:


Good morning and bye for the weekend as well. I'm out for some hiking and BBQ. You see it's hot in Germany and forecast tells us it will be even hotter next week (blame the jet stream, lol). Well, it's summer :)
Have a nice weekend everybody!


Ah, You always bring back memories, but where is my Heidelberg to remind me of my school days?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
2288. pcola57
Quoting 2287. Grothar:


Drying out today, but looks like a batch is heading our way. I am sipping my favorite Columbian brew this morning. Ever since Juan Valdez, I just love it.


Heck of a guy that Juan..
1 burro and walked all the way to Publix..
He's on my Xmas card list.. :)

Quoting 2285. PensacolaDoug:



RUN CAT RUN!


Actually little thing doesn't stand a chance..
Leader of the family (my mother ) has declared it so and that means it's a certanty..
Poor little sucker.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 7058
2287. Grothar
Quoting 2278. pcola57:


LOL..
Seriously though..
Been getting what you got 2 days ago so far this am..
I don't know the rain rate..
And at this time in the morning I don't care..
Just me and my great cup of luxourious Brazillian coffee are friends, forever LOl..
Drying out yet there?


Drying out today, but looks like a batch is heading our way. I am sipping my favorite Columbian brew this morning. Ever since Juan Valdez, I just love it.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
2286. barbamz


Good morning and bye for the weekend as well. I'm out for some hiking and BBQ. You see it's hot in Germany and forecast tells us it will be even hotter next week (blame the jet stream, lol). Well, it's summer :)
Have a nice weekend everybody!
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 11051
Quoting 2283. pcola57:


Hey I live in Myrtle Grove..
Come on over..
Make before 8:30 though as I gotta go get a cat nutered..
It makes me sad.. :(
Glad my keeper didn't nuter me.. :)



RUN CAT RUN!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2284. GatorWX
Strong front too for northern NE. I'm not sure what things have been like that far north, but perhaps a sign the jet is changing a bit, the start of something. I'm outta time, gotta get ready for work. Looks pretty stable on the Pacific side however. Alright I'm out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2283. pcola57
Quoting 2281. PensacolaDoug:


Wet. I gotta go out and work in Myrtle Grove by 7:30... Drag.


Hey I live in Myrtle Grove..
Come on over..
Make before 8:30 though as I gotta go get a cat nutered..
It makes me sad.. :(
Glad my keeper didn't nuter me.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 7058
Down to 0%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 20 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
DIMINISHED AS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH MOVES INLAND OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2280. pcola57:


Hey Doug..
How's it going on the Bayou De Grande?


Wet. I gotta go out and work in Myrtle Grove by 7:30... Drag.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2280. pcola57
Quoting 2279. PensacolaDoug:


G'morning neighbor!


Hey Doug..
How's it going on the Bayou De Grande?
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 7058
Quoting 2278. pcola57:


LOL..
Seriously though..
Been getting what you got 2 days ago so far this am..
I don't know the rain rate..
And at this time in the morning I don't care..
Just me and my great cup of luxourious Brazillian coffee are friends, forever LOl..
Drying out yet there?


G'morning neighbor!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2278. pcola57
Quoting 2275. Grothar:


Then take one from column A and one from column B


LOL..
Seriously though..
Been getting what you got 2 days ago so far this am..
I don't know the rain rate..
And at this time in the morning I don't care..
Just me and my great cup of luxourious Brazillian coffee are friends, forever LOl..
Drying out yet there?
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 7058
Quoting 2259. Neapolitan:
It's not at all unusual for temperatures to drop below freezing in Paraguay and southern Brazil during winter. In fact, the coffee-growing regions there often see frost and snow at this time of year, with single-digit Fahrenheit temps occurring from time to time..

At any rate, in the good news department for coffee-guzzlers, meteorologists have moderated their forecasts:

"ICE September arabicas were up 0.40 cent, or 0.3 percent, at $1.2795 per lb by 12:31 pm EDT (1631 GMT), remaining well below a seven-week high of $1.3400 touched on Thursday, driven by concerns over forecasts for rains and frost in Brazil. Brazilian forecaster Somar reported Friday it is still awaiting the risk of "light frost and damaging temperatures", but that it no longer expects the cold front to bring bitter cold to Mogiana and southern Minas Gerais next week.

"US-based World Weather, Inc, removed the potential for crop damaging cold from its Brazilian forecast. US-based MDA Weather Services lowered its chance of frost just south of the coffee growing region in Parana to 30 percent, from 60 percent, between July 24-28."


(IOW: JB is just being JB...)



As much cold and snow they've been prognosticating is unusual, however.

Nea is just being Nea.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2276. GatorWX
Quoting 2269. Grothar:
GFS at 348 hours



That kinda looks like Sandy! Hmmm....I really dont like the steering this summer. Have we not been kind of stuck in a Sandy type pattern up there? At least in that single region?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2275. Grothar
Quoting 2273. pcola57:


Mornin' Gro..
Me no likey.. :(


Then take one from column A and one from column B
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
2274. GatorWX
Quoting 2264. LargoFl:
geez yet another day for these bad storms for us...........
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
WE WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH
SOME POTENTIALLY BECOMING STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH.
ALL THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR SO HAS CAUSED THE GROUND TO
BECOME SATURATED AND SOME RIVERS TO BE NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL SMALL RIVERS AND
STREAMS TO FLOOD. MINOR URBAN FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR IN HEAVIER
THUNDERSTORMS.


Yea, but look at next Tue and Wed. It shows 0% currently, fingers crossed. Atmosphere stabilizing a bit until later into next week. Mostly low numbers and zeros until midweek, but then back up to 50's and 60's. Strange weather this summer. There was another reverse training storm in my town yesterday that dumped 3-4" in about 1.5 hrs. I feel like these types of events are usually early morning ordeals, however our air temps have certainly been cooler than avg from the absolute abundance of moisture out there and jet patterns so maybe that makes a particular difference. Overall though, there's been so much convectivity in the region I've been focusing on which is the GOM and NW Carib/Bahamas. If the overall dynamics don't change quite drastically and quickly, it'd certainly appear to me this might be the steering we'll see with only slight variations. Northern GOM I feel would look most at risk as well as anywhere really along the e coast US, but I'm no expert. I'd also assume shear is about to begin falling a bit considerably as it has been in the GOM across the western Caribbean. Alright, I gotta stop thinking this hard this early lol. Hope it's decent in Tampa today.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2273. pcola57
Quoting 2269. Grothar:
GFS at 348 hours



Mornin' Gro..
Me no likey.. :(
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 7058
Quoting 2270. Neapolitan:
Where did you see -30F? I've not seen a single forecast calling for temperatures like that in the lower agricultural regions...
I this is agricultural regions... but there are people there not used to this brutal conditions. Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2271. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
Quoting 2262. Luisport:
Ok a few F degrees it's ok, but -30F??? It's pure crazyness!
Where did you see -30F? I've not seen a single forecast calling for temperatures like that in the lower agricultural regions...

EDIT: Okay, I just looked at the older GFS map which shows a small strip of -30C temperatures in southern Brazil next Wednesday. Take it to the bank: that is not going to happen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2269. Grothar
GFS at 348 hours

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
2268. LargoFl
Dont worry folks..this Blogs coffee is Free..so drink up LOL
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
Quoting 2257. Pallis:
Coffee is the devils brew, a dangerous, addictive stimulant grown by the same people who supply the world with cocaine. The only way to become a patriotic American again, and get that monkey off your back, is cold turkey. I won't even hire someone who drinks that stuff.
If coffee is "the devil's brew", call me Satan. ;-)

It is a stimulant, yes. But so are tea and chocolate; would you consider people who enjoy those as unpatriotic, as well? Anyway, conditions conducive to growing coffee beans overlap with those needed for growing coca--and with the artificially high prices for coca leaves created by our eternal and fruitless "war on drugs", why wouldn't any patriotic capitalist farmer choose to grow those over coffee?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2266. Grothar
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 76 Comments: 31961
Quoting 2257. Pallis:
Coffee is the devils brew, a dangerous, addictive stimulant grown by the same people who supply the world with cocaine. The only way to become a patriotic American again, and get that monkey off your back, is cold turkey. I won't even hire someone who drinks that stuff.
Are you Bobby Boucher's mother?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2264. LargoFl
geez yet another day for these bad storms for us...........
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
WE WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH
SOME POTENTIALLY BECOMING STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH.
ALL THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR SO HAS CAUSED THE GROUND TO
BECOME SATURATED AND SOME RIVERS TO BE NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL SMALL RIVERS AND
STREAMS TO FLOOD. MINOR URBAN FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR IN HEAVIER
THUNDERSTORMS.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
2263. GatorWX
Quoting 2260. pottery:

I've seen some incredibly amazing posts here over the years.
This one ranks in the top 10.


ha, idk, but funny
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2259. Neapolitan:
It's not at all unusual for temperatures to drop below freezing in Paraguay and southern Brazil during winter. In fact, the coffee-growing regions there often see frost and snow at this time of year, with single-digit Fahrenheit temps occurring from time to time..

At any rate, in the good news department for coffee-guzzlers, meteorologists have moderated their forecasts:

"ICE September arabicas were up 0.40 cent, or 0.3 percent, at $1.2795 per lb by 12:31 pm EDT (1631 GMT), remaining well below a seven-week high of $1.3400 touched on Thursday, driven by concerns over forecasts for rains and frost in Brazil. Brazilian forecaster Somar reported Friday it is still awaiting the risk of "light frost and damaging temperatures", but that it no longer expects the cold front to bring bitter cold to Mogiana and southern Minas Gerais next week.

"US-based World Weather, Inc, removed the potential for crop damaging cold from its Brazilian forecast. US-based MDA Weather Services lowered its chance of frost just south of the coffee growing region in Parana to 30 percent, from 60 percent, between July 24-28."


(IOW: JB is just being JB...)
Ok a few F degrees it's ok, but -30F??? It's pure crazyness!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2261. GatorWX
Quoting 2256. Luisport:
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 9 h
Better get ready to pay more for coffee. Another freeze coming for Brazil Link


I'd like to see the same chart, but for a period of time rather than a particular moment in time. A chart with at least a two week avg anomaly would certainly be much more useful.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2260. pottery
Quoting Pallis:
Coffee is the devils brew, a dangerous, addictive stimulant grown by the same people who supply the world with cocaine. The only way to become a patriotic American again, and get that monkey off your back, is cold turkey. I won't even hire someone who drinks that stuff.

I've seen some incredibly amazing posts here over the years.
This one ranks in the top 10.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 27103
It's not at all unusual for temperatures to drop below freezing in Paraguay and southern Brazil during winter. In fact, the coffee-growing regions there often see frost and snow at this time of year, with single-digit Fahrenheit temps occurring from time to time..

At any rate, in the good news department for coffee-guzzlers, meteorologists have moderated their forecasts:

"ICE September arabicas were up 0.40 cent, or 0.3 percent, at $1.2795 per lb by 12:31 pm EDT (1631 GMT), remaining well below a seven-week high of $1.3400 touched on Thursday, driven by concerns over forecasts for rains and frost in Brazil. Brazilian forecaster Somar reported Friday it is still awaiting the risk of "light frost and damaging temperatures", but that it no longer expects the cold front to bring bitter cold to Mogiana and southern Minas Gerais next week.

"US-based World Weather, Inc, removed the potential for crop damaging cold from its Brazilian forecast. US-based MDA Weather Services lowered its chance of frost just south of the coffee growing region in Parana to 30 percent, from 60 percent, between July 24-28."


(IOW: JB is just being JB...)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2258. GatorWX
Quoting 2256. Luisport:
Joe Bastardi %u200F@BigJoeBastardi 9 h
Better get ready to pay more for coffee. Another freeze coming for Brazil Link


35-40 degree F anomalies, wow. La Nina on its way?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2257. Pallis
Quoting 2256. Luisport:
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 9 h
Better get ready to pay more for coffee. Another freeze coming for Brazil Link
Coffee is the devils brew, a dangerous, addictive stimulant grown by the same people who supply the world with cocaine. The only way to become a patriotic American again, and get that monkey off your back, is cold turkey. I won't even hire someone who drinks that stuff.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 9 h
Better get ready to pay more for coffee. Another freeze coming for Brazil Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It almost had enough room to miss the East Coast, just barely stayed offshore of the Carolinas, but then clips Cape Cod as it accelerates:



It looks to be a fairly large storms this run, though not particularly intense, maybe a Cat 1 at peak.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2254. GatorWX
Deep in thought listening to Floyd at 630 in the morning is always fun. Have a great day people.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2253. GatorWX
Quoting 2251. MAweatherboy1:
288 hours- it went far enough north to miss the Caribbean islands so was able to strengthen:



Looking at all the recent long range model posts certainly tells me one thing. The East coast is perhaps more at risk from cv's. Here in my region and the GOM, I feel it won't be what "develops" east of the islands. Time.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 1 h
US generated climate model insists on cool 45 days in front of much of the nation. Very little run to run change


Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 1 h
Destructive freeze into S America, Global Ace 2/3 normal..NO TROPICAL ACTIVITY ANYWHERE on July 20. Heck of a way to run a global warmupLink
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
288 hours- it went far enough north to miss the Caribbean islands so was able to strengthen:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ryan Maue %u200F@RyanMaue 9 h
Destructive cold outbreak underway for South America thru Paraguay into Brazil main growing regions.

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning. The 6z GFS develops the CV storm again, and so far is basically a cross between the more aggressive 18z run and the weaker 0z run).


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Absolutely Gator. Masters has mentioned that in the past. The situation exacerbates itself.

Dexter's up and telling me it's time to go. Catch up to you in a while with our GM pics...
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2247. GatorWX
Kinda looks like a giant slushy from 7 Eleven with no color. Sigh



A lot of people talk about soot as far as dark, warming particles go. Water certainly is much darker than white powdery snow, right? Asking, not telling.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I see the 00z GFS run has backed off a bit from the 18z.
00Z


18Z


CMC


I was looking at the moon last night, and I told my wife, "By the time the moon is full, there will be a storm." Zero evidence to back that up, just thought it sounded cool; made me feel American Indianish.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2245. GatorWX
Quoting 2228. sar2401:

It's a neat place to go when it's not summer or when it's not snowing. It's at about 2200 feet and does get snow every five years or so, which snarls things up worse than the monsoon. It's kind of like an adult version of Disney World. Even if you hate gambling, it's worth it just to see the Strip and Downtown at night.


They are as anxious and weary as us. With that said, there has always been quite a bit of a surface presence associated with the eastern semicircle of our our ull and now there's a tw moving into the area. Shear is low and 10 out of 100 is not a particularly high number. That's my explanation anyway. And morning folks.

Quoting 2243. LargoFl:
GFS has something at 192 hours.......................


Largo, things are bout to pop. August.........oi. Lets not see eny Chantals, ie weak, entering the Carib with low shear and a huge amount of moisture in the GOM and NW Carib eh? Seems inevitable though. This whole pattern, although I could see a TUTT setting up pretty easily, I do not see another huge ull dropping down. Look at this and tell me what's going to keep shear values up (knowing the mean flow of the steering lately). We have the current ull slowly going away. Anyway, just a thought. Things are changing. It certainly seems so to me

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2244. VR46L
Morning Folks

00Z GFS run is kinda interesting .... Chantal #2



...Its dead Jim a few hours later

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7198
2243. LargoFl
GFS has something at 192 hours.......................
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
2242. LargoFl
Flash Flood watch for These Florida Counties-Saturday.....Flash Flood Watch for:
Calhoun
Central Walton
Coastal Bay
Coastal Dixie
Coastal Franklin
Coastal Gulf
Coastal Jefferson
Coastal Taylor
Coastal Wakulla
Gadsden
Holmes
Inland Bay
Inland Dixie
Inland Franklin
Inland Gulf
Inland Jefferson
Inland Taylor
Inland Wakulla
Jackson
Lafayette
Leon
Liberty
Madison
North Walton
South Walton
Washington
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
2241. LargoFl
Good Morning Folks!..Blogs Coffee is perked for when you get here enjoy!..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 69909
2240. NotJFV
Quoting 2239. hurricanes2018:

It's looks like it might end up being a wonderful game of dodgeball for the east coast and FL this year with that Bermuda high setup we might end up having. I haven't forgotten the Carribean or Gulf Coast but just responding to your map.
I think it'll all depend how busy a year it ends up being as to whether either one ends up getting hit and yes I know it's only July. I just have a little bit of a bad feeling about this one this year.
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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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