November 2012: Earth's 333rd consecutive warmer-than-average month

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:57 PM GMT on December 18, 2012

November 2012 was the globe's 5th warmest November on record, said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Monday. NASA rated November 2012 the 2nd warmest November on record. Global temperature records begin in 1880. November 2012 global land temperatures were the 6th warmest on record, and global ocean temperatures were also the 6th warmest on record. Including this November, the 10 warmest Novembers have occurred in the past 12 years, and November 2012 was the 333rd consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average. The last time Earth had a below-average November global temperature was in 1976, and the last below-average month of any kind was February 1985--during the Reagan administration, when the cost of a first-class stamp was 20 cents. Global satellite-measured temperatures in November 2012 for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 11th or 3rd warmest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH), respectively. The September - October - November season of 2012 (fall in the Northern Hemisphere, spring in the Southern Hemisphere) was the globe's second warmest such period on record, behind 2005. The Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during November 2012 was the fifth largest on record for the month, and marked the fourth consecutive November with above-average snow cover for the hemisphere. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of November 2012 in his November 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for November 2012, the 5th warmest November for the globe since record keeping began in 1880. The most unusual warmth was observed across parts of far eastern Russia, where temperatures were at least 5°C (9°F) above average for the month. Much warmer-than-average November temperatures, and even record warmth in several regions, were observed across the western United States, Mexico, Central and South America, eastern Russia, southeastern and western Asia, Australia, and most of Africa and Europe. Due to the near universal warmth in the Southern Hemisphere (with the exception of New Zealand), that region of the world observed its warmest November on record. In the Northern Hemisphere, cooler-than-average temperatures occurred across parts of central Asia, part of the eastern United States, and much of Alaska and western Canada. Nonetheless, the Northern Hemisphere land surface temperature ranked as the eighth warmest on record for November. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Neutral El Niño conditions in the Pacific
Neutral El Niño conditions exist in the equatorial Pacific, where sea surface temperatures were 0.1°C below average as of December 17. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) expects neutral El Niño conditions to last through winter and into early spring. Temperatures in the equatorial Eastern Pacific need to be 0.5°C above average or warmer to be considered an El Niño.


Figure 2. Arctic sea ice extent in November 2012 was the third lowest since satellite records began in 1979. Image credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).

Arctic sea ice falls to 3rd lowest November extent on record
Arctic sea ice extent during November reached its third lowest extent in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Only the November sea ice extents in 2006 and 2010 were smaller. This was the 19th consecutive November and 138th consecutive month with below-average Arctic sea ice extent. I discussed this year's extraordinary loss of Arctic sea ice in my November 20, 2012 post, Earth's attic is on fire: Arctic sea ice bottoms out at a new record low.

A new weather station deal
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Jeff Masters

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Quoting nymore:
What browser do you use


Internet Explorer
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Quoting hydrus:
216 hours..I found this to be one of the most impressive storms the GFS has put out in some time, even if it does not materialize.


Hasn't the GFS been showing monster storms in the 300 hour range for last 2 months resulting in major arctic outbreaks? I don't think any of which have really truly verified as of yet. I am not giving up hope though.
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


Like a picture from the internet?
What browser do you use
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216 hours..I found this to be one of the most impressive storms the GFS has put out in some time, even if it does not materialize.
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110. MTWX
Like So...

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Quoting WunderGirl12:



Okay. Still not following you...



Hydrus, where might I find the home page?? I'm sort of new to this kind of stuff

I want to thank everyone for your help!
Home page..Scroll down the list to find what you need..Link
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


Like a picture from the internet?


Yes. It might be different for different browsers, though. That's for Internet Explorer.
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


Like a picture from the internet?


I just showed you.....look at post 92
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106. MTWX
Quoting WunderGirl12:



Okay. Still not following you...



Hydrus, where might I find the home page?? I'm sort of new to this kind of stuff

I want to thank everyone for your help!


If you are using Internet Explorer, you just right click the image you want. At the bottom of the popup,click properties. Copy the info in the "URL" box.

On the blog post area click the image button above the text area. Paste copied info into box that pops up and then ok. type what you want ing the body of the post. Post comment.
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Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
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Quoting yonzabam:


Well, I don't know how to upload from the likes of photobucket etc, but you can right click on a picture, click 'properties', then cut the 'address' and click 'ok'. Then you paste it on here. To paste it you click on 'image' and a box appears top left. Delete the 'http://' in the box and paste the address. Then click 'ok'.

However, there are copyright issues doing this.


Like a picture from the internet?
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Quoting yonzabam:


Well, I don't know how to upload from the likes of photobucket etc, but you can right click on a picture, click 'properties', then cut the 'address' and click 'ok'. Then you paste it on here. To paste it you click on 'image' and a box appears top left. Delete the 'http://' in the box and paste the address. Then click 'ok'.

However, there are copyright issues doing this.


not so many of us care...look at all those pic from model runs, NHC, TWC and all the others end up here..
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


Yes, to Weather Underground Blogs. For instance, look at ILwthrfan (post 67). I just want to know how to post the pics like he did


Well, I don't know how to upload from the likes of photobucket etc, but you can right click on a picture, click 'properties', then cut the 'address' and click 'ok'. Then you paste it on here. To paste it you click on 'image' and a box appears top left. Delete the 'http://' in the box and paste the address. Then click 'ok'.

However, there are copyright issues doing this.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WunderGirl12:



Okay. Still not following you...



Hydrus, where might I find the home page?? I'm sort of new to this kind of stuff

I want to thank everyone for your help!


what.?..what do you mean home page?
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Quoting LargoFl:
click the pic..a box will come up..click...Copy URL...then come post it here in IMAGE box.



Okay. Still not following you...

Quoting hydrus:
Then use the model page on Dr. Masters home page..They are all listed and linkable.


Hydrus, where might I find the home page?? I'm sort of new to this kind of stuff

I want to thank everyone for your help!
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Guys...I'm working on the new map for the big snow from Draco...
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Quoting aspectre:
18 TomballTXPride: I wonder why no mention of this by Dr. Masters.

He also failed to mention that my coffee is cold. Your point?
If gw is real, your coffee cannot BE cold..ever..jk..really..jk..:) pfft..:)
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Quoting aspectre:
18 TomballTXPride: I wonder why no mention of this by Dr. Masters.

He also failed to mention that my coffee is cold. Your point?


Clearly Dr. Masters is in on the coffee-cooling conspiracy and is on the payroll of Big Tea.
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


Thanks hydrus. :-) I couldn't access the link you gave me, due to Mom and Dad's blocking agent. (rolls eyes) Thanks!

WunderGirl12
Then use the model page on Dr. Masters home page..They are all listed and linkable.
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COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1118 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

DCZ001-VAZ054-181900-
/O.CON.KLWX.CF.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-121218T1900Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
1118 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIDAL ANOMALY...1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

* TIMING...DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR SHORELINE INUNDATION ALONG SENSITIVE
AREAS.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES
FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER...

WASHINGTON CHANNEL...11:52 AM...
ALEXANDRIA...12:10 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 64624
18 TomballTXPride: I wonder why no mention of this by Dr. Masters.

He also failed to mention that my coffee is cold. Your point?
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


What do you mean by address?


LOOK AT THIS PICS..it'll help you


you have to have the picture all by itself


read this clockwise starting from the top
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Quoting catman306:
When we get to 666 consecutive months of above average temperatures we'll surely know what the devil is and exactly what we are hotter than.
when we get to that point,winter goes away and drought will be an everyday occurance for most of us
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 64624
72... 216..360.
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Quoting WunderGirl12:


What do you mean by address?
click the pic..a box will come up..click...Copy URL...then come post it here in IMAGE box.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 64624
When we get to 666 consecutive months of above average temperatures we'll surely know what the devil is and exactly what we are hotter than.
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Quoting hendric:
nymore stated the temps are 52 below normal temps, which is accurate. They are not record-setting temps, just lowest temps since 19xx.
42 degrees below average not 52
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Just posting this article ,It tells a little bit of an interesting story, not in the mood to get a beating, but its from a very beleivable source Just trying to give a little balance
28 November 2012 — This year is on course to be the ninth warmest on record, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7159
nymore stated the temps are 52 below normal temps, which is accurate. They are not record-setting temps, just lowest temps since 19xx.

Edit: I stand corrected, there have been a few record-setting days.

Just because your die can still roll ones, doesn't mean it ain't loaded to roll 6's more often.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


after you upload the pic...get it's address and select image when you are making your post


What do you mean by address?
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
What seems apparent Some1, is that Tomball tried to oust Dr. M for ignoring something, which he did not ignore, and T has taken everyone's efforts to pin the tail to a donkey to say, "hey, i was playing simon says!"
so listen up, and repeat what T says, and you will win companionship :)
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Quoting hydrus:
Here is a link to one of the model pages, and there are plenty of them. I will WU mail you on how to post images, but be patient as people are usually working now.....Link


Thanks hydrus. :-) I couldn't access the link you gave me, due to Mom and Dad's blocking agent. (rolls eyes) Thanks!

WunderGirl12
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Quoting WunderGirl12:


Yes, to Weather Underground Blogs. For instance, look at ILwthrfan (post 67). I just want to know how to post the pics like he did


after you upload the pic...get it's address and select image when you are making your post
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


go to imgur.com
are you talking about uploading pics?


Yes, to Weather Underground Blogs. For instance, look at ILwthrfan (post 67). I just want to know how to post the pics like he did
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Quoting WunderGirl12:


Okay. When you look at Largo's posts, he always has the map of florida. I just want to know how to do that. Also, do you know where I could find the latest gfs model?
Here is a link to one of the model pages, and there are plenty of them. I will WU mail you on how to post images, but be patient as people are usually working now.....Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Russian Far East = Super Warm
Alaska = Super Cold

quite the boundary there....
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9877
Quoting WunderGirl12:
Guys, Can you help me?? How on earth do you get the pictures to show up???

WunderGirl12


go to imgur.com
are you talking about uploading pics?
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Quoting eddye:
no why


Well, you got mail
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Quoting TomballTXPride:







You almost make it sound like I am making a case against Global Warming. Hysterical.

Am I right or wrong? If you can answer that from me, that is what needs to be seen from you.

Making observations based on weather conditions (present or within the past 333 doesn't necessarily indicate climate, Rookie.

Climate is a compilation of weather of 30 years or more. Is 30 years 333 months? Don't think so.








No. What I am doing is trying to figure out why you try to so heavily accent some cold weather over a small region for the past few days when the last 333 months have shown an overall warming trend for the entire planet. Does cold weather, even cold weather records, cease to occur during an overall warming trend?

Yes. Climate trends are more easily seen over a contiguous 20-30 year period. What have the trends been for the past 30 years? The 30 years prior to that? The 30 years prior to that? So, if it is not your attempt to try to discredit an overall climate warming trend over the past 150 years, just what is your intent? Merely to show that you can still find cold weather in a warming climate? Congratulations. You have shown what should be obvious to everyone.
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Quoting TomballTXPride:





LOL.

Witnessed daily on this blog? What? LOL. I haven't made a post on here in days. In fact, last week I don't even think I logged on.




ok, i'll earnestly admit lazy hyperbole, it's been slow round here and we must have similar log-on schedules ;)
but that alone i yield
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73. MTWX
Quoting TomballTXPride:





Completely incorrect on all accounts, Cody.

I was not talking about the past 333 months.

I was talking about the present months--more specifically, the past couple weeks.

Have another cup of coffee or Energy Drink.







That map is just November 2012....
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no why
Member Since: August 12, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1394
Quoting TomballTXPride:


Experience tells me that those who log-on to make a point to everyone else about your speculation upon another doesn't bode well for anything positive you can bring to the discussion.

But when you do, I will respond. I like you, Mike. Always have. But you have to make a bigger splash than incorrectly and immaturely degrading others.




while you were busy ignoring every clear and articulate position i placed towards you for discussion on prior occasions, and then you having only responded to my resulting posts containing snide remarks, has shown me your unwillingness to address legitimate critiques of your methods and (ehem) lack of provided information. what i produce for you now is the mirror of your activity, witnessed daily on this blog. it is a reminder to all.. cheers
edit: if another blogger is correct, we've been through this song and dance before, only i didn't have to change my handle ;)
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Did eddye go to sleep or something?
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 821
Fairbanks AL



Here is a really good source on Fairbanks with Climate snowfall graphs..




Number of days frost free



Great stuff on here.
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hey everyone, TomballTXPride is trying to make an arrogant point of his own, stop pulling perspective into it!
ridiculous perspective, like pointing out this quote from Dr. M's passage above: "In the Northern Hemisphere, cooler-than-average temperatures occurred across parts of central Asia, part of the eastern United States, and much of Alaska and western Canada."
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Quoting TomballTXPride:

You almost make it sound like I am making a case against Global Warming. Not what I'm trying to do, Karen.

Am I right or wrong? If you can answer that from me, that is what needs to be seen from you.

Making observations based on weather conditions (present or within the past 333 doesn't necessarily indicate climate, Karen.

Climate is a compilation of weather of 30 years or more. Is 30 years 333 months? Don't think so.

You make observations from Iceland. Great. Like your updates. And I make weather updates on Alaska.

And again, I was making observations from this month--the month of December--over the past two weeks.

Please follow along, Karen.



If your point is about long term global averages (climate), then why where you making a big deal about Alaska in the past couple weeks and acting like Dr. Masters was ignoring it when he clearly was not?

As for climate, not only is over 27 years approximately the same as 30 years (your arbitrarily picked number), but that's 27 years without a *single* below average month. There'd be a compelling case for climate change even if there were *many* below average months in that timeframe but they were statistically-significantly outnumbered by the above average months. 333 months without a single one being below average is just overkill in making the point.
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Quoting TomballTXPride:






Incorrect.

Please refer to nymore's posts.







I did and I gave you the data in post 42, just not in picture form, but apparently you think the NWS out of Fairbanks in not a valid source for temperature data.

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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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