We're changing our WunderBlogs. Learn more about this important update on our FAQ page.

Category 2 Evan batters Samoa, killing two

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:30 PM GMT on December 13, 2012

The Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season is beginning to heat up. Category 2 Tropical Cyclone Evan is pounding Samoa and American Samoa with heavy rains and high winds, after making landfall earlier today on the north shore of Samoa near the capital of Apia. At landfall, Evan had a small 10-mile diameter eye and top winds of 90 mph, but has since intensified to 105 mph winds. Media reports indicate that Evan has killed two, and brought a 12 - 15' storm surge, heavy rains, and severe damage to the island nation. Satellite loops show a well-organized storm with a tiny 7-mile diameter eye. Evan has plenty of intense heavy thunderstorm activity near its core, solid upper-level outflow, and is in an area with weak steering currents. Evan is expected to meander over Samoa until about 18 UTC on Friday, when a ridge of high pressure will build in and force the cyclone to the west. The storm will be in a region with light wind shear and very warm ocean waters that extend to great depth, and could intensify into a Category 3 or 4 cyclone by this weekend. On Sunday, when the ECMWF model predicts that Evan will be near Fiji, the storm will encounter increasing wind shear and should weaken.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Evan over Samoa at 01:05 UTC December 13, 2012. At the time, Evan was a Category 1 storm with 90 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 185 - 135

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

185. CybrTeddy
12:15 AM GMT on December 14, 2012
This has the look of a system that's about to go beyond Category 3 status.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
184. indianrivguy
12:12 AM GMT on December 14, 2012
Morning Aussie!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
183. Slamguitar
11:59 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting KoritheMan:


What was the third winter storm?


Caesar was declared in the upper Midwest a half week ago. I got 4" of snow from that system.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
182. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:59 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


no storm:com given anywhere yet... what re you saying...

I don't know where you've been but The Weather Channel has been saying all day that Flagstaff has a STORM:CON of 6.

Quoting KoritheMan:


What was the third winter storm?

The one up in the northern Plains that produced nearly 20 inches of snow in some locations.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
181. KoritheMan
11:57 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Flagstaff, Arizona has a STORM:CON of 6/10 over the next 24-36 hours as the first major winter storm of the season makes its way through there.

Would not be surprised to see it named "Draco".



What was the third winter storm?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
180. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:55 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Flagstaff, Arizona has a STORM:CON of 6/10 over the next 24-36 hours as the first major winter storm of the season makes its way through there.

Would not be surprised to see it named "Draco".



no storm:com given anywhere yet... what re you saying...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
179. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:52 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Flagstaff, Arizona has a STORM:CON of 6/10 over the next 24-36 hours as the first major winter storm of the season makes its way through there.

Would not be surprised to see it named "Draco".

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
178. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:46 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
someone is ready for doom!!!!
BRING IT ON!!!!



see TWC site
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
177. GeoffreyWPB
11:10 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
For West Palm Beach...Long range forecast has 60 has the high for Christmas Eve day...

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
176. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:10 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:


We don't have Typhoons down here in the SW Pacific. They are called Tropical Cyclones.


The name is for al southern hemisphere storms
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
175. AussieStorm
11:10 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting barbamz:


O.K. Thanks, Aussi. Then Cyclone Evan. You'll fill in now. :-)

Fiji met is calling it Hurricane Evan.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
174. trHUrrIXC5MMX
11:10 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting plutorising:
this blog is a great source of facebook pictures, especially 103 and that one earlier with the trailer houses.


yep...

Guys check out posts 101 and 103 if you haven't
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
173. AussieStorm
11:09 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER THIRTEEN (13) FOR SAMOA
ISSUED BY SAMOA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AT 132200 UTC OR 12:00 P.M
FRIDAY 14TH DECEMBER 2012

.............. Hurricane warning remains in effect for Upolu……………..

.............. Hurricane watch remains in effect for Savaii……………..

……….. Flood Advisory remains in effect for low lying areas due to heavy rain ……….

Tropical Cyclone Evan was moving north at 10 mph and is located at about 13.28 south, 171.56 west or 34 miles north-northeast of Apia, 41 miles northeast of Faleolo or 47 miles north-northeast of Avao at 131900 UTC or 9:00 a.m. this morning. TC Evan is expected to move west-southwest and may relocate at about 39 miles north-northwest of Apia at 5pm this evening.

Expected winds:

Hurricane force winds of 70-95 mph within 15 nautical miles from the centre
Storm force winds of 55-70 mph within 25 nautical miles from the centre.
Gale force winds of 40-55 mph within 40 miles from the centre

Forecast

For Upolu: Southern side: East to southeast winds of 50-70 mph with higher gusts at times mainly at exposed areas.
Northern side: East to northeast winds of 50-70 mph with higher gusts at times mainly at exposed areas.
Poor visibility in heavy rain. Damaging storm surges of 12-16 feet and very rough seas. Periods of occasional rain, moderate to heavy falls at some areas with thunderstorms.

For Savaii: Southerly winds of 50-70 mph, with higher gusts mainly at exposed areas. Poor visibility in heavy rain. Seas very rough with damaging storm surge of 12-16 feet. Periods of rain, heavy at times with thunderstorms.



The next Special Weather Bulletin will be issued at 3.00 p.m. today.







Evan ain't going to be nice for Fiji, a Cat 4.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
172. barbamz
11:01 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:


We don't have Typhoons down here in the SW Pacific. They are called Tropical Cyclones.


O.K. Thanks, Aussi. Cyclone Evan. You'll fill in now with further news. I hit the cushion.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
171. AussieStorm
11:00 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
170. barbamz
10:57 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
169. AussieStorm
10:56 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting barbamz:
Typhoon Evan






Source


We don't have Typhoons down here in the SW Pacific. They are called Tropical Cyclones.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
168. plutorising
10:45 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
this blog is a great source of facebook pictures, especially 103 and that one earlier with the trailer houses.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
167. barbamz
10:33 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
There is a new blog from Christopher C. Burt on Evan, a thyphoon which does not get much love by the blog comments on this site by Jeff Masters though the entry is dedicated to Evan ;-)

Samoan Cyclone History

Good night everybody from Germany (with snow, then rain on frozen soil = dangerous ice on its roads in some regions; thawing the next days)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
166. dabirds
10:14 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Snow is also a cheap alternative from nature to make slushees :).My family does it before the animals come back out...

Reminded me of one of my fave Zappa songs - "Don't Eat the Yellow Snow"
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
165. wxchaser97
9:57 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
But it's not pretty to look at.Snow is also a cheap alternative from nature to make slushees :).My family does it before the animals come back out...

Or sometimes during a snowstorm I'll go get a large coke Slurpee from 7/11, mmmm.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
164. LargoFl
9:55 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
163. barbamz
9:51 PM GMT on December 13, 2012


Despite the reports and forecasts from Samoa Typhoon Evan seems to head a bit (edit: much!, edit edit: but now several hours later south again!!) to the northwest surrounding Samoa, avoiding a second direct hit? This would be really good.



Edit (Joint Typhoon Warning Center JTWC):


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
162. MeteorologistTV
9:51 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
There has got be be Hurricane force winds in that 947mb low pressure system south of Greenland.YIKES
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
161. washingtonian115
9:48 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting wxgeek723:


Actually I love events like those; it's great lazy/cuddling/sleeping weather LOL.
But it's not pretty to look at.Snow is also a cheap alternative from nature to make slushees :).My family does it before the animals come back out...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
160. LargoFl
9:47 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
water temps still warm especially under cuba huh
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
159. LargoFl
9:45 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
158. LargoFl
9:43 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
157. wxgeek723
9:43 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting WxGeekVA:



I'm watching, and I'm really excited... for a chilly, windy rain!

~No One Ever


Actually I love events like those; it's great lazy/cuddling/sleeping weather LOL.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
156. barbamz
9:42 PM GMT on December 13, 2012


Source and many more photos:
Frightening night for Chch pair in Samoa
ANNA TURNER
Last updated 10:24 14/12/2012
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
155. LargoFl
9:41 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
HIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE MAY AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH
A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLY STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK AND TIMING OF
THIS SYSTEM IS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
154. LargoFl
9:39 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
winds gusting over on the east coast now.....
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
153. WxGeekVA
9:38 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Lol.During that afternoon as Sandy was approaching and the wind was blowing hard I was getting smacked in the face with rain.That stuff really does hurt.My hands were numb wet and cold.


I didn't go outside... I was too busy inside being sick :/
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
152. washingtonian115
9:31 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting WxGeekVA:



I'm watching, and I'm really excited... for a chilly, windy rain!

~No One Ever
Lol.During that afternoon as Sandy was approaching and the wind was blowing hard I was getting smacked in the face with rain.That stuff really does hurt.My hands were numb wet and cold.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
151. nymore
9:30 PM GMT on December 13, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
The local mets keep getting excited about next week with each passing day.They keep saying "stay tuned".They're getting people's hops up for something a week out.


That is why I call them weather terrorists because the next storm is the worst one ever, even if they have to manufacture it.

Here is nice example

">

just for fun here is one more

">

What a couple of dolts
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Samoa told to brace for more
Last updated 09:59 14/12/2012

LATEST: Cyclone Evan is set to hit Apia again this morning with greater force, after reportedly killing three people - including two children - yesterday.

The cyclone has already inflicted massive damage on the Samoan capital while details around the fatalities are not yet available.

Winds close to the cyclone's centre are predicted to increase to 120 kmh to 145 kmh within the next 6-12 hours.

A special weather bulletin said Upolu could expect to see high gusts of wind up to 160 kmh and damaging storm surges of 3.6 metres to 4.3m.

Phone lines are still down in Samoa and the country's High Commissioner in New Zealand has been struggling to get updated information.

"We don't have any update (on whether the next phase of the cyclone has hit). We've been trying to call the Disaster Management Office but have had no luck," a spokesman said.

He could confirm that at least three people were dead - two children and one adult. But did not have detail on ages or nationalities.

Samoan newspaper editor Tevita Terrance said wind gusts of up to 112 kph were being experienced.

"There are several missing people at the moment. The damage is pretty extensive," he told RNZ.

More with raw video from Reuters
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Or: Beer tastes better at 30+ degrees but I have been known to drink it at room temperature when the wind is blowing.


Ditto my comment in #145. You guys are blowing my covert browsing! :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
The local mets keep getting excited about next week with each passing day.They keep saying "stay tuned".They're getting people's hops up for something a week+ out.



I'm watching, and I'm really excited... for a chilly, windy rain!

~No One Ever
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
The local mets keep getting excited about next week with each passing day.They keep saying "stay tuned".They're getting people's hops up for something a week+ out.

This is the last paragraph from the area discussion from the NWS in Detroit. There could be a storm for the east coast.

The upper low stalls briefly over Ontario as the trough becomes negatively tilted sending another
weak vort max and a cool air mass through northern lower Tuesday leading to a low chance of light
snow showers. Then as the model solutions become more divergent next week there, a strong +160 knot
jet max will enter the nw Contiguous U.S. which looks to dig a west coast trough and could lead to
another large system over the eastern Contiguous U.S. later in the week, but that is about all there
is to say currently on that system this far out.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
The local mets keep getting excited about next week with each passing day.They keep saying "stay tuned".They're getting people's hops up for something a week+ out.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
132 FunnelVortex: What exactly do winter storms have to do with dogs?

Ask TheWeatherChannel, they're the ones givin' 'em doggy names.


haha
You made me laugh out loud in my quiet office. Now everyone knows I wasn't working for a minute. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting kwgirl:
Well this goes to show you that you can still learn something new. So windchill is basically for living things and not inanimate objects. The temp records for Key West have been at the airport which is on the south side of the Island near the water. It must be warmer on that side of the island to account for the lack of 32 degrees and my sister telling she had to scrape ice. I guess you can't argue with "official" records. However, in my mind they are suspect. My sister would never lie to me!LOL


Learning is always a good thing :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
any new model runs for the potential nor'easter ??
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Oh it is my friend :) And yes, today is a beautiful yet chilly day here in NOVA, about 42° and sunny.

I am surprised though that it was removed.

We have basically the same weather in SE MI.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting wxchaser97:

It..can't..be..possible..
I'm doing good.

Good afternoon everyone, wonderful weather today, barely a cloud in the sky.


Oh it is my friend :) And yes, today is a beautiful yet chilly day here in NOVA, about 42° and sunny.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting kwgirl:
The air temp may be 90 but I bet your car is hotter in the direct sun than 90.
Or: Beer tastes better at 30+ degrees but I have been known to drink it at room temperature when the wind is blowing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
132 FunnelVortex: What exactly do winter storms have to do with dogs?

Ask TheWeatherChannel, they're the ones givin' 'em doggy names.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Typhoon Evan






Source
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting FunnelVortex:


Considering two are children, they were most likely carried away by surge or floods and diddnt know how to swim.


From the New Zealand Herald report

Last night there were reports of widespread flash floods, blocked roads, damaged buildings and evacuations.

Radio Samoa reported that one of the victims, a man, drowned in the Vaisigano, a river that runs alongside the famous Aggie Grey's hotel in Apia.

The river burst its banks, and local media said Aggie Grey's had been badly damaged.
It is the same river where a New Zealand teenager perished in March.

Taiana Pilitati, 18, from Wellington, drowned while desperately trying to save her 8-year-old sister Vaiola after they were hit by a large wave while swimming. Taiana was a cousin for former All Blacks Tana Umaga and Ne'emia Tialata.

It was not known last night how the other two storm victims died.

Samoa newspaper editor Terry Tavita told Radio New Zealand people were still missing.

"In fact there are a couple missing from my village which is about five minutes from downtown (Apia)."

The amount of warning locals got before the cyclone pounded the region would need to be reviewed, he said.

"Some people were taken by surprise by this cyclone. Yesterday we drove around the villages, the cyclone was picking up and some of the people said they didn't get enough warning."



Remember, Samoa just recovered from the devastating tsunami in 2009. Unfortunately Evan will cause a lot of widespread destruction again.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxGeekVA:
Ladies and gentlemen, it's good to be back. How's everybody doing? I for one am looking forward for maybe some snow soon in my area!

It..can't..be..possible..
I'm doing good.

Good afternoon everyone, wonderful weather today, barely a cloud in the sky.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting nymore:
Here is a poes (NOAA19) view of your Greenland storm



I <3 Mid-latitude cyclones...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 185 - 135

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Top of Page

Category 6™

About

Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

Ad Blocker Enabled