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At least 370 dead from Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:21 PM GMT on December 05, 2012

The death toll in the Philippines from Typhoon Bopha has risen to at 370, with hundreds more missing. Bopha (called "Pablo" in the Philippines), slammed ashore on the Philippine island of Mindanao at 4:45 am local time on Tuesday morning as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. Bopha is only Category 5 typhoon on record to make landfall on Mindanao, which rarely sees strong typhoons due to its position close to the Equator. Most of the deaths occurred in the gold-rush mountain towns of New Bataan and Monkayo due to typhoon-spawned landslides and flash floods. According to an op-ed published at sunstar.com, much of the death toll can be blamed on the fact that deforestation has reduced forest cover on Mindanao to just 10%, which allows more dangerous flash floods to occur. Passage over land has weakened Bopha to a Category 1 storm today, and the typhoon is now far enough from the Philippines that it no long poses a heavy rain threat. The island of Mindanao is highly vulnerable to flood disasters from tropical cyclones; last year's Tropical Storm Washi, which hit Mindanao on December 16, 2011 with 60 mph winds and torrential rains, killed over 1200 people. Before hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Bopha brought a storm surge estimated at ten feet to the island nation of Palau, where near-total destruction is being reported in some coastal areas.


Figure 1. Super Typhoon Bopha as seen from the International Space Station on December 2, 2012. At the time, Bopha had top sustained winds of 150 - 155 mph. Image credit: NASA.


Figure 2. The devastation brought about by powerful Typhoon Bopha is seen at Montevista township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Wednesday Dec. 5, 2012. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)

Extreme damage on Mindanao
Category 5 storms make landfall only once every few years somewhere in the world, and the damage they cause is invariably extreme and dramatic. According to a story at inquirer.net, a 10-hectare plantation of coconut trees in the town of Baganga, Davao Oriental, were all felled. It's takes some pretty extreme winds to bring down coconut trees, which commonly are the only things still standing after passage of a major hurricane or typhoon. Damage surveys from Tropical Cyclone Larry, which made landfall in 2006 in Australia as a Category 4 storm, indicated that coconut trees were able to withstand wind gusts of 135 mph, but toppled when the gusts reached 145 mph (thanks go to Dr. Bruce Buckley of the Reinsurance Group Australia for this info.) Aerial damage surveys from Mindanao (Video 1) show very heavy damage near where the eye came ashore, due to extreme winds and high storm surge.


Video 1. An aerial survey of damage near where the eye of Typhoon Bopha made landfall in Davao Oriental province on Mindanao Island in the Philippines shows widespread severe damage, bordering on catastrophic.

The International Red Cross is accepting donations for typhoon relief in the Philippines.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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Quoting Jedkins01:



lol no, I just it was a funny quote!
Since it was out of the blue and not related to anything anyone was discussing it appeared to be aimed as a criticism. I can be very small minded too. I just try to refrain.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


If Eleanor is telling the truth, then since she is discussing people, she too must have had a small mind.


lol nice point :)
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Quoting kwgirl:
Are you saying we are all average minded for talking about events? Or just throwing it out there so we can pick our label? I don't understand why you quoted Mrs. Roosevelt.



lol no, I just it was a funny quote!
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Dead Sea drying up--again--it seems.

"the salty body's water level is dropping about 5 feet (1.5 meters) a year, and that fall is accelerating"

"If the Dead Sea is drying down from both human usage and climate change, that means the Sea of Galilee would be in danger," Torfstein said. "And once this big reservoir of freshwater to the region is shut down, that has a huge implication."

Edit: blog is eating the link.

www.livescience.com/25295-dead-sea-dried-up.html
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'Open your eyes': typhoon-hit Philippines tells climate meet

By Mariette le Roux (AFP) – 3 hours ago
 
DOHA — The Philippines urged bickering UN climate negotiators in Doha on Thursday to take heed of the deadly typhoon that struck the archipelago this week and wake up to the realities of global warming.

Philippine climate envoy Naderev Sano made an emotive appeal for action as the annual United Nations gathering hit deadlock on the issue of money for poorer countries' efforts to adapt to a warming world in the next few years.

"I appeal to the whole world, I appeal to leaders from all over the world, to open our eyes to the stark reality that we face," he said to applause from delegates.

"An important backdrop for my delegation is the profound impacts of climate change that we are already confronting. As we sit here, every single hour, even as we vacillate and procrastinate here, the death toll is rising."

Officials say 477 people were killed and a quarter of a million people made homeless by the Philippines' worst typhoon this year -- the kind of extreme weather event scientists believe will become more frequent as global temperatures rise.
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Quoting Jedkins01:
"Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." -Eleanor Roosevelt
"Take your stinking paws off me you damn dirty ape" -Taylor
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Ernesto is up to cat 2 hurricane.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Jedkins01:
"Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." -Eleanor Roosevelt


If Eleanor is telling the truth, then since she is discussing people, she too must have had a small mind.
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Quoting goosegirl1:


I celebrated the 23rd anniversary of my 21st birthday this year, myself :)

Happy 44th
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Quoting RetiredChiefP:


If you had turned 18 when I did...we would be able to have an adult beverage...so, since I have been 18 more than once (and then some), my advice is to register to vote and register for the selective service. ;P

Happy birthday fellow blogger! Go out and enjoy yourself and be safe!

Welcome to adulthood

Respect
Chief P


I celebrated the 23rd anniversary of my 21st birthday this year, myself :)

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Quoting kwgirl:
So they aren't concerned on how the snakes are killed? Short of cutting off it's head or running it over, I wouldn't know how to kill them. I hope they at least keep the skins or sell them to the boot and handbag makers.

Edit: I know it needs to be done, but I hope they all opt for decapitation to quickly kill the animal.


read it...
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Quoting kwgirl:
With winter approaching the FWC is asking Keys dwellers to be on the look out for the pythons. They come out and sun themselves on the roads, so the FWC is hoping to catch them sunning. They have invaded as far south as Key Largo so far. But they are decimating the protected Key Largo silver rice rat. Probably the marsh rabbits as well.


Fear of Snakes Drove Pre-Human Evolution

An evolutionary arms race between early snakes and mammals triggered the development of improved vision and large brains in primates, a radical new theory suggests.

lots more, pretty interesting hypothesis
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Quoting Jedkins01:
"Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." -Eleanor Roosevelt
Are you saying we are all average minded for talking about events? Or just throwing it out there so we can pick our label? I don't understand why you quoted Mrs. Roosevelt.
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Quoting kwgirl:
So they aren't concerned on how the snakes are killed? Short of cutting off it's head or running it over, I wouldn't know how to kill them. I hope they at least keep the skins or sell them to the boot and handbag makers.
I'm sure the hides will be put to good use kw, but I understand they have a high mercury content for those that may want to make it a BBQ dish.But I'm sure many will be consumed
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"Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." -Eleanor Roosevelt
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Quoting indianrivguy:


Cerabino: State-sanctioned python hunt could bring out the worst in residents, tourists


A grand prize of $1,500 will be awarded to the hunter who kills the most pythons, and another $1,000 goes to the hunter who bags the longest snake. The prizes will be awarded in two divisions: the novices; and those who already have python hunting permits.

snip

%u201CA severed snake head might be able to bite for up to an hour purely by reflex,%u201D was a memorable one.

snip

So it specifies that hunters will be disqualified if they present a dead python %u201Coriginally possessed as a pet.%u201D
Also that snakes must be dead before brought to the contest%u2019s collection points.
So they aren't concerned on how the snakes are killed? Short of cutting off it's head or running it over, I wouldn't know how to kill them. I hope they at least keep the skins or sell them to the boot and handbag makers.

Edit: I know it needs to be done, but I hope they all opt for decapitation to quickly kill the animal.
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Quoting LargoFl:
...................................florida is going to hold a month long Python hunt, paying $1,500 dollars for every one caught....whew...good luck with that
And when some of our crackers see the rewards and go out on there own???? Mark my word, there will be people shot, stabbed, cut, for the sake of money.... Hey Bubba, watch this attitude.
Largo...The reward is follows: $1,000 for the most caught & $1500 for the longest
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Quoting LargoFl:
...................................florida is going to hold a month long Python hunt, paying $1,500 dollars for every one caught....whew...good luck with that


Cerabino: State-sanctioned python hunt could bring out the worst in residents, tourists


A grand prize of $1,500 will be awarded to the hunter who kills the most pythons, and another $1,000 goes to the hunter who bags the longest snake. The prizes will be awarded in two divisions: the novices; and those who already have python hunting permits.

snip

“A severed snake head might be able to bite for up to an hour purely by reflex,” was a memorable one.

snip

So it specifies that hunters will be disqualified if they present a dead python “originally possessed as a pet.”
Also that snakes must be dead before brought to the contest’s collection points.
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With winter approaching the FWC is asking Keys dwellers to be on the look out for the pythons. They come out and sun themselves on the roads, so the FWC is hoping to catch them sunning. They have invaded as far south as Key Largo so far. But they are decimating the protected Key Largo silver rice rat. Probably the marsh rabbits as well.
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Quoting kwgirl:


I read it as the prize for the largest python.
yes your right..TY...im glad i dont live down there near the everglades..whew..those snakes are HUGE huh.................The 2013 Python Challenge will be held next month on South Florida's public hunting lands, with the public invited to compete for cash prizes. Winners will receive $1,000 for catching the longest snake and $1,500 for catching the most.
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Quoting RetiredChiefP:


Nice work. If I remember correctly, you are in high school...right?

Wish my wife's students were like you...maybe she wouldn't complain so much...;P


You got that correct, I am in high school. Some of the classmates I see, whoa...
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Quoting kwgirl:


I read it as the prize for the largest python.


$1000.00 for the largest and $1500.00 for the most caught.
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Quoting LargoFl:
...................................florida is going to hold a month long Python hunt, paying $1,500 dollars for every one caught....whew...good luck with that


I read it as the prize for the largest python.
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Dr. Masters may mention this later, but NOAA's November State of the Climate report has been released. A few notable highlights:

--The January-November period was the warmest first 11 months of any year on record for the contiguous United States. The national temperature of 57.1F was 3.3F above the 20th century average, and 1.0F above the previous record warm January-November of 1934. During the 11-month period, 18 states were record warm and an additional 24 states were top ten warm.

--It appears virtually certain that 2012 will surpass the current record (1998, 54.3F) as the warmest year for the nation. December 2012 temperatures would need to be more than 1.0F colder than the coldest December (1983) for 2012 to not break the record.*

--The December 2011-November 2012 period was the warmest such 12-month period on record for the contiguous U.S., with an average temperature of 55.2F, 3.2F above average. This 12-month temperature average was the sixth warmest of any 12-month period on record for the contiguous United States. The eight warmest 12-month periods have all ended during 2012.

--The USCEI (US Climate Extremes Index) was more than twice the average value during January-November, and marked the highest USCEI value for the period. Extremes in warm daytime temperatures, warm nighttime temperatures, and the spatial extent of drought conditions contributed to the record high USCEI value.

* And so far, December is running well-above normal, with record highs so far outnumbering record lows by 2,154 to 25. (New daily maximum high records have outnumbered new daily minimum low records by a very lopsided 769 to 5, a ratio of 153:8).

Climate Extremes Index:
NOAA

YTD temperature anomalies:
NOAA

Warmest 12-month periods for the Contiguous US:
NOAA
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here are my reasons...

63 kt is needed for a hurricane.... but we WILL NEVER use 72.45 mph but 75
80 kt is for 90 mph
83 kt is for 95.45 which is for 95 mph.. but can't use 83 kt, either 80 kt or 85 kt.
111 should be 115. Even if a 110 mph hurricane is just a mile per hour away...no one knows it could breach 111 or 112...so there should be a bigger gap form 110 to 115 mph and not 110-111 mph
for a category 4 it's ok using 130 mph.
for a category 5...155 mph is right at the door of a c5. then 157 mph should be moved to 160 mph. We aren't going to use 157 mph anyway
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...................................florida is going to hold a month long Python hunt, paying $1,500 dollars for every one caught....whew...good luck with that
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
also I think the SSHWS should be modified like this...

td and TS the same
HC 1 75-90
HC 2 95-110
MH 3 115-125
MH 4 130-155
MH 5 160 and above...

if adding category 6
MH 5 160 - 175
MH 6 180 or greater
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
John's Pass..we used to go fishing nearby there...
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The NHC should come up with a new scale for the size of the storm affecting the wave height and the winds...but keeping the sshws separate
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
In 2008 the SSHS wave height pertaining to a category was challenged by Ike...then the scale with the wave height because useless. Then it became the SSHWS...

In 2010 the watches and warnings were extended to 36-48 hours for more preparation.

In 2012 a minimal modification was made to category 4 and 5.

In 2012 watches and warnings are now for sub and post tropical storms...


....possible changes in the future... 2013,3014,2015 etc...

-The scale could be significantly modified and adding category 6
-The size of the storm could determine the pressure in a new scale for size and pressure
-A new set of warnings could be added based on a risk scale for the potentially affected areas
-more named added into the list..adding names for q, u,x, y and z
-etc.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
All this snow talk...and I'm down here checking the potential for some strong Tstorms (and the potential is lessening) :'(
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NWS is starting to take notice.........NOVEMBER 2012 ENDS UP IN THE TOP TEN DRIEST ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
NOVEMBER 2012 WAS RATHER DRY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WITH
MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING LESS THAN ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF RAIN FOR THE MONTH
AS SEEN IN THE IMAGE BELOW. THEREFORE, MANY SPOTS ENDED UP AS ONE OF THE TOP
TEN DRIEST FOR NOVEMBER.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT SOUTHWEST FLORIDA INCLUDING THE
FORT MYERS AREA TODAY. THESE STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT BEING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
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Quoting indianrivguy:


Everything I did revolved around swamps, wetlands and rivers.

There are some special exceptions that came with the territory when the US gained possession. Spanish and English land grants generally stood up well in court challenges, and some of those included riparian ownership not allowed anyone else.
When the attorneys used to do abstracts for title searches, it was fun to look through them. Sometimes it was from a Spanish land grant and sometimes from a poker pot. LOL Lots of strange things for sure.
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now This..is a cool site...from NASA......Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Good afternoon. Big low out over the NE Atlantic:

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Quoting LargoFl:
I sure hope your right, another month like this and we could be in a serious drought situation


We will see what happens at 4:00
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for Patrap........There may be man made happenings on this date, and most governments will be on high alert for terrorist activities on this day. Scientists have said a polar shift may be at hand, and with the Polar ice caps and Greenland melting at a frenetic pace, this may be a distinct possibility, however small...12/21/2012
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Quoting FunnelVortex:


I dont think you have to wait long.

The sea breeze should kick in soon.
I sure hope your right, another month like this and we could be in a serious drought situation
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Quoting LargoFl:
wish these were coming westward but they arent............


I dont think you have to wait long.

The sea breeze should kick in soon.
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Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
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Quoting yonzabam:


No excuse needed. You should see the vids on Youtube.


I'm going to have to look those videos up.

Anyways, I know someone who is a New Age-er, but she is not at all like these hippies...

Not all New Age-ers are "wierd," but quite a few are...
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wish these were coming westward but they arent............
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Quoting FunnelVortex:


Them New Age-ers...

Now excuse me while I fall out of my chair and laugh on the floor.


No excuse needed. You should see the vids on Youtube.
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Quoting ncstorm:


its long range but it has been showing a snowy scenario for most of the eastern half of the country..would be really nice if it happens!


Its looking pretty good for Wisconsin though.

We are expecting 2-3" of snow on Sunday.
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Quoting FunnelVortex:


My only reaction to this news is



its long range but it has been showing a snowy scenario for most of the eastern half of the country..would be really nice if it happens!
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Quoting yonzabam:


And the Druids/Pagans/hippies and sundry nutjobs will be out in numbers to celebrate at Stonehenge, as they do at the summer solstice.

No one knows why Stonehenge was built, but there appears to be evidence that the solstices were part of the reason for it.

Modern 'Druids' claim to reflect the beliefs of ancient Druids, but the reality is that hardly anything is known about the ancient Druidic religion.





Them New Age-ers...

Now excuse me while I fall out of my chair and laugh on the floor.
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Quoting ncstorm:
Im excited to see the GFS trying to show a snow scenario near or at my area in long range..I might actually see a white christmas than dream of one..



My only reaction to this news is

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