Lee's winds fan deadly Texas fires; a dangerous day for Lee's floods and tornadoes

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:43 PM GMT on September 05, 2011

Texas' unprecedented heat wave and drought turned deadly yesterday when fires fanned by Tropical Storm Lee's gusty winds swept through East Texas, torching 300 homes near Austin, and killing a woman and her 18-month old daughter who couldn't escape the flames in Gladewater. At Austin Bergstrom Airport yesterday afternoon, the counter-clockwise circulation around Tropical Storm Lee brought sustained winds of 25 mph, gusting to 31. Lee didn't bring any clouds or moisture to Austin, and the afternoon high hit 102°, with a humidity of 22%. With the region enduring it's driest 1-year drought on record, yesterday's heat, dryness, and winds resulted in extremely critical fire conditions. The forecast today for Austin is marginally better--temperatures will be cooler, only reaching the upper 80s, but strong winds of 20 - 25 mph will continue to blow, and the atmosphere will be drier, with humidities in the 15 - 25% range. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has declared a "Critical" fire weather danger area for East Texas today, one level below yesterday's "Extremely Critical" conditions. You can monitor today's fire activity by using our wundermap for Austin with the fire layer turned on. The summer of 2011 now holds every major heat record for the city of Austin, including most 100° days (67 so far), hottest month in recorded history (August, breaking the previous record by a remarkable 2.1°), hottest summer (by 1.1°), and hottest day in history (112°F, tied with Sep, 5, 2000.)

Texas' unprecedented heat
For as long as people have been taking weather measurements in Texas, there has never been a summer hotter than the summer of 2011. As wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt documents in his latest blog post, seventeen major cities in Texas recorded their hottest summer on record in 2011. Most of these stations had records extending back more than 100 years, and several of the records were smashed by an amazing 3.4°F--at Lubbock and at Wichita Falls. Neighboring states also experienced unprecedented heat, with Oklahoma recording America's hottest month by any state in recorded history during July, and Shreveport, Louisiana breaking its record for hottest month by 3°F in August. Mr. Burt commented to me: " I do not believe I have ever seen a site with a long period of record, like Shreveport, where records go back to 1874, break its warmest single month on record by an astonishing 3°. This is unheard of. Usually when a site breaks its single month temperature record, we are talking about tenths of a degree, rarely a whole degree, let alone 3 degrees! Hard to believe, frankly." Texas has also had its worst fire season on record, with over 3.5 million acres burned this year, and it's driest 1-year period in recorded history.


Figure 1. Observed rainfall for the seven-day period ending at 8 am EDT Monday Sep 5, 2011. Tropical Storm Lee had dumped in excess of ten inches of rain sections of Louisiana and Mississippi (pink colors). Image credit: NOAA/AHPS.

Heavy rains from Lee creating dangerous flooding situation
Tropical Storm Lee has been absorbed by a cold front, and is no longer a tropical depression. However, the remnants of Lee are bringing torrential rains to the South and Appalachians today, and pose a serious flood threat. NOAA's latest Quantitative Precipitation Forecast warns that "an excessive and life-threatening rainfall event will be unfolding today and tonight across the Tennessee Valley and also the Southern Appalachians." A wide region of 4 - 8 inches of rain is expected along the path of Lee's remnants as they slide northeastwards along the front. These rains will likely accumulate later this week to 2 - 3 inches over New England regions devastated by Hurricane Irene's floods. Also of concern is the potential for tornadoes today. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has logged 22 tornado reports so far from Lee, and today promises to be the most serious day for tornadoes yet, with SPC predicting a "Moderate Risk" of tornadoes across the South. Lee's heaviest rain amounts, by state, as of 10 am CDT today:

Holden, LA: 15.43"
Florence, MS: 13.45"
Mobile, AL: 11.35"
Milton, FL: 10.03"
Cumberland City, TN: 5.09"
Bridge City, TX: 3.12"
Plum Springs, KY: 3.10"


Figure 2. Predicted rainfall for the 5-day period 8am EDT Monday - 8 am EDT Saturday, Sep 10, 2011. Lee's remnants are expected to bring a large swath of 4+ inches of rain all the way to Pennsylvania. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.


Figure 3. Severe weather risk for Monday, September 5, 2011.

Hurricane Katia
Hurricane Katia is close to major hurricane strength, and is now a high-end Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds. Latest satellite loops show a well-defined eye and good upper-level outflow on all sides, but the hurricane still has a lopsided appearance, due to the impacts of dry air and moderate wind shear on its south side.

The computer models have finally come into agreement on the long-range future of Katia, determining that the trough of low pressure that will develop over the Eastern U.S. later this week will turn the hurricane to the north well before the storm reaches the U.S. As the storm moves northwards past North Carolina, Katia will get caught up in west-to-east moving winds associated with the jet stream, and taken northeastwards out to sea. No land areas are in Katia's cone of uncertainty, though Newfoundland, Canada will need to watch future forecasts to see how close Katia may pass to the southeastern portion of that province. The main impact of Katia will be high surf leading to beach erosion and dangerous rip currents. Long period swells from Katia are arriving at the Southeast U.S. coast today, and the entire U.S. East Coast will receive an extended multi-day period of high surf.


Figure 4. Afternoon satellite image of Hurricane Katia.

95L off the coast of Africa
A large tropical wave with plenty of intense thunderstorm activity and spin is located about 500 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands off the coast of Africa. This wave, Invest 95L, is under a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear, and is headed west at 15 mph. Water vapor satellite images show that 95L is embedded in a very moist environment. Ocean temperatures are near 28°C, which is 1.5°C above the 26.5°C threshold usually needed for a tropical storm to form. With wind shear predicted to drop to the low range tomorrow, I don't see anything that would keep 95L from becoming a tropical depression in two or so days. NHC is giving 95L a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Wednesday; given the storm's rather impressive organization and spin apparent on recent satellite loops, I'd put these odds at 40%. The NOGAPS model predicts 95L will develop by Saturday, a few hundred miles north of the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands, but this storm could just as easily pass directly through the Lesser Antilles on Saturday or Sunday, and develop into a tropical storm much sooner. If you plan on being in the Lesser Antilles Islands this weekend, pay attention to 95L.

New Gulf of Mexico disturbance
A cold front swept into the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Texas behind Tropical Storm Lee early this morning. The front is expected to continue to the east and stall out Tuesday and Wednesday along a line from Louisiana to Mexico's Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Several recent runs of the ECMWF and GFS models have given support to the idea that a tropical depression would form at the tail end of this front late this week, in Mexico's Bay of Campeche. The path such a storm might take would depend strongly on where the center forms. A more northerly formation location near the top of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula would likely result in a northward motion towards the Florida Panhandle, while a more southerly formation location might lead to the storm getting trapped in a region of weak steering currents, resulting in a slow, erratic motion in the southern Gulf. NHC is currently not highlighting the Bay of Campeche in their Tropical Weather Outlook, and it will likely be Wednesday before enough heavy thunderstorms build to warrant mention.

Jeff Masters

Up In Smoke (Madermade)
Another wildfire this afternoon in Bridgeport, Tx... still burning!
Up In Smoke
Mandeville, Louisiana Lakefront during TS LEE (hurricanep)
Mandeville, Louisiana Lakefront during TS LEE
Lake Pontchartrain Lakefront (hurricanep)
TS Lee still affecting Louisiana
Lake Pontchartrain Lakefront
Tropical Storm Lee-Day 2 #2 (jennjeff1)
Tropical Storm Lee-Day 2 #2

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Quoting twincomanche:
If I misread your post I apologize. You do understand that the way it was worded could easily be interpreted as some sort criticism if Texas were to take any Federal money. As long as they remain part of the Union it would only seem reasonable in the face of this disaster that a request for federal funds would be forthcoming if for no other reason than to help out the people that are not properly insured.


We are the UNITED States of America. My tax dollars would gladly go to help Texas as yours would go to help Florida or any other State in a disaster.
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2160. beell
Quoting twincomanche:
"The phenomenon was caused by severe drought" referring to the Dust Bowl. Can someone tell us about the drought conditions, like when did it start how dry was it and how long did it last? Please spare us the evils of the bad farming practices.


Wonder why they called it the "Dust Bowl"? I get your point from a purist stance but the evils of bad farming practices resulted in a large area of the country unable to support agriculture and the end of the road for thousands and not much that would even burn.

We have made some progress, lol.

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Quoting Altestic2012:
First Cat. 4 since Igor.


Julia right after Igor was a cat. 4...I think....

....or did Julia reach cat. 4 first...then Igor followed suit?
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Quoting twincomanche:
"The phenomenon was caused by severe drought" referring to the Dust Bowl. Can someone tell us about the drought conditions, like when did it start how dry was it and how long did it last? Please spare us the evils of the bad farming practices.


The History Channel did a Mega Disasters documentary on the possibility and impacts of a mega drought.

"Trends indicate that a major drought event is looming in the not-too-distant future. In as few as three decades we could experience conditions that would make the Dust Bowl of the 1930s seem like an oasis. Efforts to conserve, while admirable and desperately necessary, may already be too late. The episode projects a scenario seventy years into the future in which a twelve-year drought leaves the United States unstable and economically depressed. Western cities are abandoned, states clash for dwindling water supplies and society devolves into a battle for survival."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mega_Disasters
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I'm a little surprised the NHC upgraded Katia to a 4. I was expecting them to be conservative and hold at 125 mph.
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Has anoyone else realized have just reached a significant moment...Katia is the strongest storm of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season to date...and the best part is that its not going to make landfall anywhere.....
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Quoting twincomanche:
"The phenomenon was caused by severe drought" referring to the Dust Bowl. Can someone tell us about the drought conditions, like when did it start how dry was it and how long did it last? Please spare us the evils of the bad farming practices.


The "dust bowl" drought was from 1929-1936 but it was not just Texas. Most of the Midwest was in drought. The spring of 1934 was the driest ever in states like Illinois and Indiana. Also there were some breaks in places in 1931-1933. Those years were below normal in rainfall over the Midwest but not catastrophically dry like late 1929-1930 and late 1933-1936.

The 1950s drought was from 1951-1956 and was more concentrated over Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. In those states the 1950s drought was worse than the 1930s drought. But the 1950s drought was not nearly as large in geographic extent.
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2153. liljade
Quoting twincomanche:


Just in case you don't want to go back and look.

2001. twincomanche 2:13 AM GMT on September 06, 2011 +2

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Is Gov. Perry going to skip the debate Wednesday? Is he going to accept federal aid to help with the drought and fire disasters in Texas?

Does this have something to do with the weather?

I suggest that I said nothing to indicate any lack of empathy for the victims of this disaster. I was merely pointing out that Geoffrey's cheap shot on the governor had nothing to do with the weather. Do you understand?
I'm not into politics just care about the people who have lost so much. Sorry if I offended you.
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GULF OF MEXICO...
THE REMNANT LOW OF LEE AT 2100 UTC IS LOCATED AT 32N87.9W OR 95
MILES N OF MOBILE ALABAMA MOVING NE AT 8 KT. FLOOD AND FLASH
FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE. THE REMNANTS OF
LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD
FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT
30N87W TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AT 26N90W TO N OF TAMPICO
MEXICO AT 23M98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90 NM OF THE FRONT. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE S OF 21N W OF 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER THE ENTIRE YUCATAN PENINSULA. FAIR
WEATHER IS ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS BEHIND THE FRONT. EXPECT THE
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM N FLORIDA TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IN
24 HOURS WITH CONVECTION.

Not yet...
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Quoting Bluestorm5:
So Katia became the strongest storm of the season with 135 MPH winds at 11 pm update... but Irene still got the lowest pressure of the season by 4 mb (942 mb vs. 946 mb of Katia).


Intensity is measured by pressure, Irene remains the strongest until that 942 mb is taken down.
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we had been praying all along this she would just die or go out to sea. now going out to sea is a prayer answered!
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Via Texas Forest Service:

Fire Name: Tamina
County: Montgomery
Start Date: 09/05/2011
Acres: 100
Percent Contained: 80%


No update on Riley Road Fire.

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What's the black blob thats eating LA and east Texas? Dry air I think but why such a strange shape?


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.ht ml
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...

KATIA IS
NOW FORECAST TO BE A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY DAY 5...AS IT IS
EXPECTED TO BE WELL-EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLIES AND OVER 20-21C
WATERS BY THAT TIME.

DRIFTING BUOY 41855...WHICH WAS LOCATED ABOUT 20 N MI NORTHEAST OF
THE EYE OF KATIA AT 0000 UTC...REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 952
MB.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 25.8N 64.4W 115 KT 135 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 26.9N 65.5W 115 KT 135 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 28.1N 66.9W 115 KT 135 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 29.4N 68.3W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 30.9N 69.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 09/0000Z 35.4N 69.7W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 10/0000Z 39.5N 63.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 11/0000Z 42.5N 48.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

why dont they have the day 5 marker marked with Post-Tropical?
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2140. j2008
Quoting Bluestorm5:
So Katia became the strongest storm of the season with 135 MPH winds at 11 pm update... but Irene still got the lowest pressure of the season by 4 mb (942 mb vs. 946 mb of Katia).

I think it might still be possible for Katia's pressure to slip down 4-5 more to become the "strongest" officially. JMO
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn-l.jpg

I mean...yuck...that is one ugly cat. 4 hurricane....just look at the eye...shriveled LOL!
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Category 4 Hurricane Katia, Advisory #32;

Tracking Map:


Wind Stregnth Forecast:


TS/Hurricane Windfield Radius:(NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS)


Cumulative Wind History:

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2136. ch2os
Stay alert and safe DFWjc.
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Quoting P451:
Looks like that might be the end of the big show, folks.




If this one finds a little less shear it may have some bad intentions.


oh yeah she has peaked big time. still impressive in the environment katia has been to become a 4 i originally called she would peak at an upper 3 low end 4 the first time she formed :) notice 95L "center" is the spin South East of the strongest convection. very good spin good thunderstorms definantly a depression in the making and will approach the northern leewards end of this week
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1886
As Taz would say...now the blog is in RI mode because Katia is a cat 4!!!!!!Lots and lots of cat. 4 posts will keep comin' watch out for turbulence...wohooo!
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2132. SLU
CATEGORY 4
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2130. trey33
Quoting Progster:



don't drink and blog


ok that's funny and true.
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so glad to see they have it out sea now, k storm gone! poof!
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1100 PM AST MON SEP 05 2011

...KATIA BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE THE MAIN HAZARD ALONG U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA...

Awww...I was wrong. +100 for you guys able to say that Katia was a cat. 4 hurricane before the NHC posted it...trouble is I don't have links to stuff like the ATCF codes...and even if I did I wouldn't be able to decipher...that is why I like coming to this blog!

Katia is the uggliest cat. 4 IMO....very beautful as a storm...but still ugly for a cat. 4....
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So Katia became the strongest storm of the season with 135 MPH winds at 11 pm update... but Irene still got the lowest pressure of the season by 4 mb (942 mb vs. 946 mb of Katia).
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It wasn’t a cheap shot Twin…I just asked if Gov. Perry was going to skip Wednesday’s debate because of the drought and fires….and whether he was going to ask for Federal money to help out Texas. I know he cancelled a fundraiser to return to Texas. I admire that. And yes, it is weather related.
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...KATIA BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE THE MAIN HAZARD ALONG U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA...
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 5
Location: 25.8°N 64.4°W
Max sustained: 135 mph
Moving: NW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
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000
WTNT33 KWNH 060231
TCPAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
1000 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LEE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO NEW ENGLAND...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 86.7W
ABOUT 75 MILES...121 KM...S OF BIRMINGHAM MUNI ALABAMA.
ABOUT 20 MILES...32 KM...NW OF MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY ALABAMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT
FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO NEW ENGLAND.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST. LEE IS NOW
EXTRATROPICAL AFTER MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY
AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO THE CAROLINAS BY MID DAY
TUESDAY. TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE
WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE. EXTREMELY HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE
CIRCULATION CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.33 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH
TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION.
THESE RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.



RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT

...ALABAMA...
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 11.74
MOBILE 10.2 WSW 11.62
GRAND BAY 0.6 NW 11.32
ORANGE BEACH 3.0 ENE 10.50
FOLEY 2.0 SSW 10.39
THEODORE 3.7 WNW 10.31
ELBERTA 3.1 SSW 9.65
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 9.19
POINT CLEAR 1.6 SSW 8.42
CHEROKEE 5 S 8.20
WILMER 7.9 SE 7.55
FAIRHOPE 0.9 N 7.41
TUSCALOOSA 7.04

...FLORIDA...
MILTON 1.4 NNE 10.03
NICEVILLE 4.5 SE 7.35
PENSACOLA 3.8 N 6.57
WEST PENSACOLA 10.9 SW 6.35
ENSLEY 2.1 ENE 6.10
PACE 2.4 N 6.06
NAVARRE 2.3 NNW 6.02
DESTIN AIRPORT 5.93
GONZALEZ 2.1 E 5.68
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT 5.37
EGLIN AFB 5.6 NE 5.33
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB 5.30
HURLBURT FIELD AWS 5.30
BELLVIEW 1.7 NW 5.13

...KENTUCKY...
FLATWOODS 0.5 WNW 3.67
WHITESBURG 2 SE 3.38
PLUM SPRINGS 0.8 NNW 3.10
VERSAILLES 5.8 SSW 2.65
LAWRENCEBURG 5.2 S 2.34
BOWLING GREEN 5.9 ESE 2.33
SMITHS GROVE 0.3 SE 2.14
LEXINGTON 1.7 SSE 2.08
GUTHRIE 0.8 WNW 2.00

...LOUISIANA...
HOLDEN 15.43
N.O. CAROLLTON 14.32
MAUREPAS 13.63
PONCHATOULA 4 SE 13.22
CONVENT 2 S 13.04
RESERVE 0.5 SSE 12.43
GRAY 0.5 ENE 12.15
MARRERO 1.9 E 11.21
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE 10.91
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 10.80
PONCHATOULA 11.8 E 10.59
MERAUX 0.8 WNW 10.10
ABITA SPRINGS 2.2 SSW 9.93
LACOMBE 1.4 N 9.79
TERRYTOWN 3.3 S 9.10
ZACHARY 3.5 WNW 9.04
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E 9.00
SLIDELL 2.2 NE 8.20

...MISSISSIPPI...
FLORENCE 0.9 E 13.45
WAVELAND 1.1 NW 13.20
SAUCIER 6.4 ESE 11.75
GULFPORT 2.0 NE 11.71
LONG BEACH 0.7 S 11.59
PASS CHRISTIAN 5.0 N 11.31
RICHLAND 0.3 WSW 11.25
PHILADELPHIA 5.4 E 11.18
PEARL 3.4 ESE 11.14
JACKSON WFO 11.13
KILN 6.6 N 10.90
GULFPORT-BILOXI 10.78

...TENNESSEE...
CLARKSVILLE 10.2 WSW 5.53
CUMBERLAND CITY 1.2 ESE 5.41
OAK RIDGE 6.9 NNE 5.09
LAWRENCEBURG 8.8 SE 4.95
LORETTO 2.8 NNW 4.50
ALEXANDRIA 0.5 SW 4.48
COOKEVILLE 4.6 WNW 4.23
CHRISTIANA 6.5 E 4.22
LEBANON 4.0 SE 4.21
JAMESTOWN 6.7 W 4.07

...TEXAS...
BRIDGE CITY 1.3 NW 3.12
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 3.04
JASPER 6.7 W 2.12

...VIRGINIA...
WINCHESTER 9.4 NW 1.00

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2.87
ROCKPORT 1.3 SSE 2.22
POINT PLEASANT 5.8 E 2.00


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GARRETT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 06/0300Z 32.5N 86.7W
12HR VT 06/1200Z 34N N W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 07/0000Z 34.9N 83.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 07/1200Z 37.7N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 08/0000Z 38.9N 83.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$

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nhc says katia has peaked i agree :)
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1886
Hurricane Katia:
11:00 PM EDT: IMO
135 Mph
946 MB
64.5 W; 25.8 N
Moving NW @ 12
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2118. DFWjc
Quoting ch2os:


Oh no, please no more. Someone mentioned something a few days ago about Signs (Black Crows song) and a few lines from it. Danged song stuck in my head until ....well until I read this post with Blazing Saddles.....
It's Twue, it's twue....

Back on weather. Hoping for low winds for Texas soon so they can get control of these horrible fires.


They are getting closer to me in the Metroplex...
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2116. ch2os
Quoting DFWjc:


Telegram for Mongo! Telegram for Mongo?


Oh no, please no more. Someone mentioned something a few days ago about Signs (Black Crows song) and a few lines from it. Danged song stuck in my head until ....well until I read this post with Blazing Saddles.....
It's Twue, it's twue....

Back on weather. Hoping for low winds for Texas soon so they can get control of these horrible fires.
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25.8 N, 64.4 N movement 315 degrees at 9 kt
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Seriously guys...C'mon! I usually don't talk about trolls or quoting trolls...the trouble is you are amplifying the trolls (or whatever you believe to be trollish) by constantly quoting them and filling up half the posts or more about trolls!

Its hard to find quotes to comment and continue to converse about in the midst of all these troll comments....sheesh....LOL

I attest this is the first and only time I will mention trolls.......
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Quoting Altestic2012:
Katia ~140 mph as per Vmax.



135
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Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

About

Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Grizzlies in Lake Clark National Park
Mount Redoubt Lava Dome
Matanuska Glacier
Icebergs From Columbia Glacier