Flooding, tornadoes for TX, OK; dangerous 92L forms; 4th hottest summer for U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:41 PM GMT on September 09, 2010

Dangerous flash flooding is occurring in Eastern Oklahoma this morning, where rainfall rates as heavy as three inches per hour from the remains of Tropical Storm Hermine are occurring. A large area of Eastern Oklahoma received 3 - 6 inches of rain last night and this morning, with radar-estimated rainfall amounts as high as fifteen inches (Figure 2.) Yesterday, Hermine killed two people in Texas, who were attempting to cross flood waters in their vehicles. Hermine dropped 6 - 8 inches of rain in the Dallas/Fort Worth area, creating moderate to major flooding along the Trinity River in Dallas. Two tornadoes touched down near Dallas, and NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged a total of eight tornado reports in Oklahoma and Texas from Hermine. The latest rainfall totals from NOAA's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center show 15.62" fell in Georgetown, Texas, with fifteen locations in Texas receiving over ten inches of rain. Big city rainfall totals included 7.57" at Austin, 6.73" at San Antonio, 6.52" at Dallas, and 7.20" at Fort Worth.


Figure 1. Radar estimated rainfall for the Dallas/Fort Worth, Texas area from Hermine shows a large area of 6+ inches of rain, with maximum amounts of ten inches.

Figure 2. Radar estimated rainfall for eastern Oklahoma, where up to fifteen inches of rain fell last night and this morning.

Potentially dangerous Lesser Antilles tropical disturbance 92L forms
A tropical disturbance (92L) has developed over the extreme southeastern Caribbean just north of the coast of South America, over the southernmost Lesser Antilles Islands. Surface observations indicate that pressures have been slowly falling at a number of stations, and satellite loops show a modest region of heavy thunderstorm activity is building. A strong flow of upper level easterly winds is creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear, and the waters are plenty warm for development. Water vapor satellite loops show a large area of dry air lies over the northern Caribbean, but this dry air should not interfere with development over the next two days.

The disturbance is slowly drifting westward, but steering currents favor a more northwest motion Friday and Saturday. Lower shear lies over the Central Caribbean, away from the coast of South America, so any northward component of motion will allow for more significant development. There is drier air to the north, but 92L is steadily moistening the atmosphere in the Caribbean, so dry air may not be a problem for it. There is substantial model support for development. The disturbance is in a dangerous location for development, and gives me the greatest concern of any Atlantic disturbance so far this year. The models predict that by Saturday, 92L will bring heavy rains to Puerto Rico. These rains will then spread to the Dominican Republic on Sunday, and Haiti, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba on Monday. The longer range track of 92L is uncertain, and will strongly depend on where the storm drifts during the next two days. The ECMWF and GFS models predict a more southerly path through the Western Caribbean towards Belize and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, and the NOGAPS and Canadian models predict a more northerly path along the length of Cuba towards Florida. NHC is giving 92L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Saturday. Stay tuned.


Figure 3. Morning satellite image of the potentially dangerous disturbance in the Southeast Caribbean.

Igor
Tropical Storm Igor is barely hanging on in the face of 20 - 25 knots of winds shear, courtesy of strong upper-level winds out of the east. The shear has exposed Igor's low level circulation to view, and the storm has just one small spot of heavy thunderstorms near its center. Once Igor gets another 200 miles away from Africa, the shear should decline to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, and allow steady strengthening to occur. Waters are warm, 28°C, and the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) is well north of Igor, so the storm should intensity once the shear drops. The models are pretty unanimous about developing Igor into a hurricane 3 - 5 days from now. Igor will track west to west-northwest over the next week, with long range forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models putting the storm several hundred miles northeast of the Lesser Antilles Islands a week from now. Climatology shows that about 20% of all tropical cyclones that have existed at Igor's current position have gone on to hit the U.S. East Coast; these odds are 10% for the U.S. Gulf Coast, 5% for Puerto Rico, and 10% for Canada. The forecast steering pattern for the coming two weeks from the GFS model shows a continuation of the pattern we've seen all hurricane season, with regular strong troughs of low pressure moving off the U.S. East Coast. This pattern favors Igor eventually recurving out to sea without affecting any land areas, and the odds of Igor hitting land are lower than climatology.

Elsewhere in the tropics
The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF models predict the development of a new tropical wave off the coast of Africa 4 - 6 days from now.

Hottest summer in history for 50 million Americans
The U.S. had its fourth warmest summer since record keeping began 116 years ago, according to statistics issued yesterday by the National Climatic Data Center. Only 1936, 2006 and 1934 were hotter. Ten states had their warmest summer on record--Rhode Island, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama. Seventeen other states had a top-ten warmest summer, including five states that had their second warmest summer in history (Figure 4.) No states had a top-ten coldest summer. Record daily highs outpaced record daily lows by about 4 to 1 during the summer, with 5,287 daily record highs set, and 1,426 record lows. The summer warmth was a pretty remarkable swing from this past winter, which was the 18th coldest in U.S. history.


Figure 4. State-by-state temperature rankings for the summer of 2010. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center.

According to Chris Burt, author of Extreme Weather, approximately 50 - 60 million Americans experienced their hottest summer ever. No summer in U.S. history has affected so many Americans as "hottest-summer-on-record". The following large cities all posted a record hottest summer:

Washington D.C. National Airport: 81.3° (old record 80.0° summer of 1943)
Dulles Airport, VA: 77.8° (old record 76.8° summer of 2007)
Richmond, VA: 81.3° (old record 80.0° summer of 1994)
Atlantic City, NJ: 77.5° (old record 75.8° summer of 2005)
Philadelphia, PA: 79.6° (old record 78.9° summer of 1995)
New York City (Central Park): 77.8° (old record 77.3° summer of 1966)
Trenton, NJ: 77.7° (old record 76.5° summer of 1898)
Wilmington, DE: 77.8° (old record 77.7° summer of 1900)
Baltimore, MD: 79.2° (old record 79.1° summer of 1943)
Norfolk, VA: 81.1° (old record 80.0° summer of 1994)
Tampa, FL: 84.5° (previous record 84.2° in 1998)
Lakeland, FL: 84.6° (previous record 84.4° in 1987)
St. Petersburg, FL: 85.6° (old record 84.6° in 1987)

Santa Barbara, CA was the only major U.S. city that had its coldest summer on record, though several other California cities were unusually cool. San Diego had its 3rd coolest summer, and the Los Angeles airport had its 2nd coolest summer.

Fortunately, it was a very wet summer, and the record heat did not lead to widespread drought. Summer 2010 ranked as the 16th wettest summer in the 116-year record for the contiguous U.S. Wisconsin had its wettest summer on record, and six other states had a top-ten wettest summer. No state had a top-ten driest summer.

Next post
I'll have an update Friday morning.

Jeff Masters

Tornado from TS Hermine, Dallas, TX (Richochet)
Tornado (bright area, middle of photo over flooded Trinity River, form during an evening squall from TS Hermine
Tornado from TS Hermine, Dallas, TX
Hermine is on the way (BBedford)
Wave action on Padre Island,near Bob Hall pier this afternoon. Rain bands are already coming ashore.
Hermine is on the way
Tornado Damage Dallas, TX (Bordonaro)
An EF-2 Tornado (winds 111-115MPH) spawned by TD Hermine 9-8-10@ 6:20PM CDT damages warehouse in Dallas, TX.
Tornado Damage Dallas, TX

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1786. robj144
Quoting Grothar:


I "knew" you were going to ask that.


Ha! Maybe you should take over as psychic then.
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Quoting Grothar:


Are you trying to start a Scaramouch with me? How do you doing atmo? Long time no see on here. Been busy?
Doing well.

Busy and, umm, repulsed combo.
And how are you? (Still using old as a crutch, I see)
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Igor is my masster he will do has i say
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5101 Comments: 118560
new vort map shows ex-"dead"gaston has iscreased vort by a fraction and has consolidated more to the ESE-E of jamaica and 92L has also increased its vort but with Igor loos like a bed ball over the CV islands
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I posted this earlier today from CaribWx update.


--"Invest 92"...this TROF-like feature along about 14N/65W...8N/50W (and along which the strongest squalls in SE Caribbean lie) is no longer associated with remnants of Gaston. The WAVE we mentioned yesterday E of Windwards has amplified...into a broad, weak LO, centered about 11N/59.5W, drifting W-WNW slowly, about 5k-or-less.

--There is some chance LO could become a TropicalDepression/TropicalStorm over the next few days...NOAA increased risk assessment for Tropical LO formation next 48hrs from 10% yesterday afternoon to 40% this morning. I think I'd say 10% chance thru Noon tomorrow / 20% chance thru tomorrow night / 60% chance thru Sun12 (i.e. best chance for Tropical LO formation is Sat11 onward).

--I look for 3 characteristics on satellite imagery to gauge risk for developing Tropical LO: #1 Convection is ABUNDANT (YES it is with Invest 92); #2 Convection is FOCUSED (NO, it is NOT with Invest 92); #3 Convection is PERSISTENT AT THE FOCAL POINT (NO...it's not even FOCUSED yet with Invest 92).

--This analysis suggests to me Tropical LO formation next 24hrs is not likely.

--LO may still lie not far from Windwards Sat11 morning...but SHOULD accelerate W-WNW beginning Sat11...and SHOULD exit SE Caribbean before it intensifies beyond a minimal TropicalStorm (NOTE the "SHOULD" wording...this is not 100% certain).

--My Caribbean Forecasts assume TropicalStorm forms Sat11, just W of Windwards, and moves WNW while gradually strengthening.

--LO should pass btwn ABCs & Hispanola about Mon13 / Jamaica area about Tue14 / Caymans area about Wed15 / NW Caribbean about Thu16-Fri17 / somewhere in GOMEX (most likely SW GOMEX) thereafter.

--The first few Tropical models are just now (as I write this) weighing-in on prospects for "Invest 92"...unreliable BAM suite offers range of solutions...all variants have LO W of 65W near 13N-14N by Sat11 morning...spread on Tue14 morning from E of N Nicaragua 14N/82W (if it's a strong Hurricane) to S of Haiti 17N/74W if it's a weaker LO.
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1778. Greyelf
Quoting maeko:


Sorry, I don't follow. Please elaborate.

Heh. The only elaboration I'll make is I'm sure you actually do follow, but just refuse to believe it was made in reference to posts just like yours.

And so my post is somewhat relative to weather - it's 73 and cloudy. (LOL)
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my first comment i think we are in for it with Igor it could be a big us hit or a fish storm to early to tell
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1776. Grothar
Quoting atmoaggie:
Guess they had you in mind with that bracelet-thing.
Help, I've fallen and can't get up!


Are you trying to start a Scaramouch with me? How do you doing atmo? Long time no see on here. Been busy?
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
I think when he said "scatta-moosh" he was referring to squadoosh....which means $#&% in english. It is "You owe me $200, and all you're offering is squadoosh?"
Pretty sure that means "you die now" in KungFooPandaese...
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1774. xcool
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15739
1773. Drakoen
Quoting atmoaggie:
YW. I mean it.

(despite my opinion about the lack of obs)


Your opinion is valid, subtle differences in initial data can result in big differences in model output.
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1772. Vero1
...TROPICAL WAVES...

NO TROPICAL WAVES ARE ON THE 1800 UTC SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS.

...THE ITCZ...

FROM 10N27W TO 7N35W TO 11N58W. BROAD LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW
THAT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
TO THE EAST OF 27W. NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 48W AND 51W. ISOLATED MODERATE
RAINSHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 5N TO 10N
BETWEEN 28W AND 48W. REMAINING RAINSHOWERS ARE TO THE SOUTH OF
12N BETWEEN 51W AND 60W.
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hey guys weatherlover94 joining the team of other weather fans on here i will be discussing with you guys on weather situations and give my personal thoughts and opinions along with you all
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1770. Grothar
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Our season this year will be Abby Someone....Abby Normal. :)


Looks like someone gave 92L a seda-give.
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Quoting ConchHondros:


FYI when dressing down...fact up..."scatta-moosh" It is "Scaramouche,scaramouche will you do the fandango" from Bohemian Rhapsody Scaramouch means skirmish in english. so you told him to skirmish...does that mean you want to take it out back?

Yeah... skirmish... skirmish... no I actually meant like "scat" as in get going... moosh was just a little add-on.
Thanks for the insight though.
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Quoting Grothar:


Are you trying to confuse an old man? I can't even find the center of my remote control.
Guess they had you in mind with that bracelet-thing.
Help, I've fallen and can't get up!
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Quoting BreadandCircuses:


537 quintillion



IT'S OVER 9000!!!!!
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Quoting Drakoen:


Thank You
YW. I mean it.

(despite my opinion about the lack of obs)
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1765. Vero1
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU SEP 09 2010

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL STORM IGOR HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED AT 09/2100 UTC
TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGOR
AT 09/2100 UTC IS NEAR 16.0N 26.4W...MOVING NORTHWESTWARD 11 KT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
PLEASE READ
THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO
HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST AND ADVISORY
UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N TO
16N BETWEEN 27W AND 30W.

A SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM 16N59W TO A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER THAT IS NEAR 12N61W...TO 10N61W. SCATTERED MODERATE
RAINSHOWERS AND ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 13N TO
15N BETWEEN 59W AND 62W. THIS PRECIPITATION ALSO IS OCCURRING
IN AN AREA OF A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS FEATURE CURRENTLY IS AFFECTING
THE ISLANDS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...AND MAYBE IN
NEARBY VENEZUELA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH GOES FROM PUERTO RICO TO 15N70W
TO THE VENEZUELA COAST NEAR 11N70W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS
ARE FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W. RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA TO 15N
BETWEEN 72W AND 77W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GOES FROM THE WATERS
NEAR GREAT INAGUA AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TOWARD THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL AND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA. RAINSHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS COVER CUBA FROM EAST TO WEST...AND FROM THE
HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN
HAITI AND JAMAICA. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CONTINUES FROM THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO HONDURAS.
NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM
NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA TO HONDURAS...AND EASTERN GUATEMALA.
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Quoting clwstmchasr:


Not looking very good right now. Let's see what happens in the Diurnal Max.
I think I have read on here that when a system is still attached to the itcz when it starts to separate it loses convection until it begins to sustain itself.
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1763. Grothar
Quoting clwstmchasr:


I guess the question is - where is the LLC? If it is under the burst then he is back to TS. If he is still east then he still could be a TD.


Are you trying to confuse an old man? I can't even find the center of my remote control.
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Local weather guy was pretty much calling 92L former gaston....oy.
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Quoting ConchHondros:


FYI when dressing down...fact up..."scatta-moosh" It is "Scaramouche,scaramouche will you do the fandango" from Bohemian Rhapsody Scaramouch means skirmish in english. so you told him to skirmish...does that mean you want to take it out back?
I think when he said "scatta-moosh" maybe he was referring to squadoosh....which means $#&% in english. As in "You owe me $200, and all you're offering is squadoosh?" Then the skirmish begins.
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1760. Drakoen
Quoting atmoaggie:
Best of luck.

Until we have a real profile of the atmosphere over the oceans, with decent spatial coverage and no worse than 12 hour intervals and the vertical resolution of temps, Td, and winds that we get from the radiosondes at airports, tropical modeling will remain a SWAG beyond a few days out. Sure, research campaigns will help with the physics some, but without better obs, fuggedaboudit getting a lot better than it is now.


Thank You
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1759. Gearsts
Quoting clwstmchasr:


I guess the question is - where is the LLC? If it is under the burst then he is back to TS. If he is still east then he still could be a TD.
is not under the burst jet.
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5881
1757. Skyepony (Mod)
Igor model error is coming in interesting. Many have just singled the storm for 24hrs. Others have 2 days on it. Overall most aren't doing well. For the 48 hr all are well more than 200nm off except for NGPS with 119nm. For the last 24hrs the winner is CMC with it's 1st day it was only 35nm off, NGPI 49nm, NGPS 81nm, GFDL 92, OFCL 101..
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Quoting jeremynalabama:
Igor shouldn't have adsorbed that other TD chick now he has gotten himeself a STD.
Sub tropical depression
(STD)

lol, lighten up in here guys, you argue too much.
do not
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1754. Vero1
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1751. Grothar
Image of Tropical Depression Igor. RITOL

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1750. hydrus
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Quoting Grothar:


I thought the hump was on the right side?


Our season this year will be Abby Someone....Abby Normal. :)
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1748. maeko
Quoting Greyelf:

See post #1652. Really. It was written just for you.


Sorry, I don't follow. Please elaborate.
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1747. Levi32
Quoting Seastep:
Levi - with all your cold talk, you're in trouble. If you recall, I lived in Anchorage for 4 years. Winters were pretty mild there, relatively speaking because of the ocean.

Fairbanks is a whole different ballgame, LOL.

I imagine they still have the plugs at the parking spots to plug your car in so the battery doesn't go dead while you are inside?

Or has technology advanced on that front and I am showing my age.


Oh I know lol. I get to experience something below -20 for the first time. Yes I believe they still have the plugs on the parking things.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26780
1746. Grothar
Quoting robj144:


Didn't you also say that Texas wouldn't be hit with anything for the next month or whatever a couple of weeks ago too? Something about Florida being hit too a couple of weeks ago...


I "knew" you were going to ask that.
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Quoting Drakoen:


I'd have to agree. The models still have a long ways to go and the errors are very much evident. While I highly value the numerical computer forecast models, there's still a lot that needs to be done to improve the forecast even within the 5 day period.
One of the things I hoping to do with my degree(s) in the future is to help improve the models.
Best of luck.

Until we have a real profile of the atmosphere over the oceans, with decent spatial coverage and no worse than 12 hour intervals and the vertical resolution of temps, Td, and winds that we get from the radiosondes at airports, tropical modeling will remain a SWAG beyond a few days out. Sure, research campaigns will help with the physics some, but without better obs, fuggedaboudit getting a lot better than it is now.
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Quoting 954FtLCane:


-50 on this post, people are allowed to disagree. You'll never see me disagree or criticize Storm w's posting (and agreed there are a few others) because he examines everything closely and comes to his own conclusions but don't expect me to agree with certain folks that just throw up models and say this is a fish storm without any backup... puh-leeze. Just because you are scared of storms or love them (down or up-caster. By the way the holier than though junk ain't working.
And finally, it's time for the ain't to go back where they belong. Bags on heads and 1-15. You got your ring now scatta-moosh.


FYI when dressing down...fact up..."scatta-moosh" It is "Scaramouche,scaramouche will you do the fandango" from Bohemian Rhapsody Scaramouch means skirmish in english. so you told him to skirmish...does that mean you want to take it out back?
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Quoting yoda5150:
Once again, I'm going to offer an opinion here that is more than likely unwarranted, unwanted and maybe even unwelcome, but that's never stopped me before...so here goes. I've been coming to this site for quite a few years now for one thing and one thing alone....tropical information. And the coolest thing about that is, I've actually learned a few things. Sadly, this year seems to be a little bit different in that there seems to be a lot more bickering over inane things than I remember. Very sad. Secondly, IMHO calling out someone over posting facts (eventhough they are computer models and are subject to change, but they are fact at the time) is damn near criminal. To those guily parties, I have but one word of advice.......leave, and do it now. My suspicion is that most of said parties don't even live in a hurricane prone area (like I do) and are just here to cause trouble. Find a new hobby. It's always *caster this or *caster that. I say it's BS. To me, science (and I consider understanding the tropics a science) has no room for some of the crap I see here. Again, JMO. I, for one, appreciate all the information that I glean from people like IKE, Storm, Drak and others. My hat's off to them and would buy them a beer for the services they have rendered to me (albeit they didn't know it was for me LOL).

OK, I've vented enough...back to the weather. It's 85.4 here in Fairhope, AL, there's a beer with my name on it and a porch I can drink it on. So I'm going to do just that. In closing, I will say three final things: 1) Kudos to the information providers (you help more than you will ever know) 2) To the admins, drop the hammer on these wastes of time and space and 3) Offer help when and where help is needed during this (and others) tropical seasons.

Have a good night all. And, just for good mojo.....Who Dat? Bye.



Bravo !!!
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1741. xcool
now noo model support on 92L WT BEEP BEEP
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15739
1740. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting Levi32:


Indeed.


It's all starting to fall into place..

Dang~ The damage pic up there..under the heavy table would have been some okay refuge..
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
Thank you for stating the obvious to me too.
I thought the same thing when I saw the name.



At least they have never named one Chuck Norris
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1738. hydrus
The following major hurricanes either made landfall on the state or brought winds of Category 3 status to the state. Storms are listed since 1851, which is the official start of the Atlantic hurricane database.[4][8] Originally, hurricanes were classified by central pressure in the 20th century;[8][9] however, modern practices quantify storm intensities by maximum sustained winds.[10] United States hurricanes are still classified by central pressure from 1921%u20131979;[8][9] therefore, the maximum sustained winds in the Atlantic hurricane database (HURDAT) are utilized for storms from 1921%u20131979,[4] since this period has not been reanalyzed by the Atlantic hurricane reanalysis project.[11]
Storm%u2193 Saffir-Simpson
Category%u2193 Date of landfall%u2193 Year%u2193 Landfall Intensity
(in knots)%u2193 Landfall Location%u2193
Great Middle Florida 3 August 23 1851 100 Panama City
Unnamed 3 August 17 1871 100 Jupiter Island
Unnamed 3 October 7 1873 100 Captiva Island
Unnamed 3 October 3 1877 100 Panama City
Unnamed 3 September 10 1882 100 Navarre
Unnamed 3 August 16 1888 110 Miami Beach
Unnamed 3 October 9 1894 105 Panama City
Unnamed 3 September 10 1896 110 Cedar Key
Unnamed 3 October 18 1906 105 Marathon
Everglades National Park
Unnamed 3 October 11 1909 100 Marathon
Unnamed 3 September 29 1917 100 Okaloosa County
Unnamed 4 September 10 1919 130 Offshore Florida Keys
Great Miami 4 August 18 1926 115 South Miami
Okeechobee 4 September 17 1928 130[4] Jupiter Island
Unnamed 3 September 4 1933 110 Jupiter
Labor Day 5 September 3 1935 160 Craig Key
Unnamed 3 October 6 1941 105 Goulds
Unnamed 4 September 15 1945 120 Upper Florida Keys
Unnamed 4 September 17 1947 135 Pompano Beach, Florida
Unnamed 3 September 21 1948 105 Lower Florida Keys
Everglades National Park
Unnamed 3 October 5 1948 110[4] Marathon
Everglades National Park
Unnamed 4 August 26 1949 130 Palm Beach Shores
Easy 3 September 5 1950 105[4] Cedar Key
King 3 October 18 1950 105[4] Miami
Donna 4 September 10 1960 120 Key Vaca
Naples
Betsy 3 September 8 1965 110[4] Upper Florida Keys
Eloise 3 September 23 1975 110 Bay County
Elena 3 September 2 1985 100 Gulfport, Mississippi
Andrew 5 August 24 1992 145 Homestead
Opal 3 October 4 1995 100 Pensacola Beach
Charley 4 August 13 2004 130 Cayo Costa
Punta Gorda
Ivan 3 September 16 2004 105 Gulf Shores, Alabama
Jeanne 3 September 26 2004 105 Hutchinson Island
Dennis 3 July 10 2005 105 Santa Rosa Island
Wilma 3 October 24 2005 105 Cape Romano
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Evening! Is 92L still expected to develop? I see SHIPS brings it up to 100 mph out 5 days???
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1736. Grothar
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
What hump?



I thought the hump was on the right side?
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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Pictured Rocks Beach Day
Pictured Rocks dunes and clouds
Grizzlies in Lake Clark National Park
Mount Redoubt Lava Dome