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Second ferocious Nor'easter in a week pounds U.S. East Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:57 PM GMT on February 10, 2010

A ferocious blizzard likely to be even more intense that last weekend's crippling Mid-Atlantic "Snowmageddon" snowstorm is rapidly intensifying off the Northeast U.S. coast, just south of New York City today. Blizzard conditions with heavy snow, high winds, and near zero visibility have hit or are expected to hit portions of West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, Washington D.C., Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Jersey, and New York, including the cities of New York, Newark, Wilmington, Atlantic City, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington D.C. The storm responsible tracked across the center of the country yesterday, leaving a wide swath of snow amounts of 4 - 16" across Texas, Tennessee, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Missouri, Minnesota, Kansas, Iowa, Arkansas, Alabama, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky. The storm is now centered over Lake Erie, with a new 989 mb low pressure center developing off the coast of Delaware. This new low is predicted to "bomb" into a mighty Nor'easter with a central pressure below 970 mb, the kind of pressure typically found in a Category 1 hurricane. This will bring strong winds, gusting over 40 mph, to a large portion of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S. today, causing a larger region of blizzard conditions with blowing and drifting snow than was experienced during last weekend's "Snowmageddon" Nor'easter. Fortunately, today's Nor'easter will be far enough from the coast during its peak intensity that coastal flooding from storm surges will not be a concern. In addition, today's blizzard has a lower moisture content than "Snowmageddon", and the snowfall totals will not be as great. The storm has also wrapped in some warmer air from the south, resulting in a change-over to freezing rain and sleet near the coast this morning, which will limit accumulations. Nevertheless, most of the Mid-Atlantic that received two feet of snow from "Snowmageddon" last weekend will receive another foot of snow today, and there is a significant risk of roof collapses from the weight of all this snow.


Figure 1. The Nor'easter of February, 11, 2010 in a visible satellite image taken at 9:01 am EST. Image credit: NASA GOES project.

Snowiest winter on record for Baltimore, Wilmington, and Dulles
The snow from this latest blizzard have pushed snow totals for the 2009 - 2010 winter season to a new record for Baltimore, Wilmington, and Dulles Airport, and will likely set a new seasonal snowfall record in Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and Washington National Airport later today. As of midnight last night, here are the snowfall numbers so far for the 2009 - 2010 winter, and the records they have broken:

Baltimore, MD, 64.4". Old record: 62.5", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Washington Dulles Airport, VA, 65.7". Old record: 61.9", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Wilmington, DE, 59.5". Old record: 55.9", winter of 1995 - 1996.

Cities close to breaking their seasonal snowfall record:

Philadelphia, PA, 62.3". Current record: 65.5", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Washington D.C. National Airport, 48.8". Current record: 54.4", winter of 1898 - 1899.
Atlantic City, NJ, 45.5". Current record: 46.9", winter of 1966 - 1967.

All this comes with the end of winter still more than a month away. The latest runs of the GFS and ECMWF models show yet another Nor'easter hitting the D.C./Baltimore/Philadelphia region next Monday. However, next Monday's storm is likely to be much weaker than the last two Nor'easters, with perhaps 4 - 8 inches of snow falling. It is too early to be confident of this prediction, and a Mid-Atlantic snowstorm may not materialize at all on Monday--or the storm could grow stronger than currently forecast, with more than a foot of snow falling.

Heavy snow events--a contradiction to global warming theory?
As I discussed in my previous post, record-breaking snowstorms are not an indication that global warming is not occurring. In fact, we can expect there may be more heavy snowstorms in regions where it is cold enough to snow, due to the extra moisture global warming has added to the atmosphere--an extra 4% since 1970. Snow is not the same as cold, and we have to look at global temperatures, not snowfall, to evaluate whether global warming is occurring. Heavy snow can act to bring down global temperatures, as occurred in December 2009, when the Northern Hemisphere experienced its second greatest snow extent on record (only 1985 saw greater December snow cover since reliable snow records began in 1967). Global average land temperatures, as a result, were just 31st warmest on record, even though global ocean temperatures were the 2nd warmest on record. It will be interesting to see what global temperatures did in January, when the statistics are released next week. The global temperature of the lower atmosphere as measured by satellites was the warmest on record in January, and by a considerable margin. I'll discuss this finding in more detail once the blizzard is over. It's also of interest to note that December temperatures in the U.S. were the 18th coldest in the historical record, but January temperatures were 0.3°F above average, according to the National Climatic Data Center. As a whole, it's been a colder than average winter in the U.S., but not greatly so. However, December snow cover was the greatest on record in the contiguous U.S., and January's ranked sixth. Snow cover records go back 44 years, to 1967.

Portlight continues relief efforts in Haiti
Portlight.org disaster-relief continues to be more effective than some of the traditional large aid agencies in getting much-needed crutches, walkers, and other medical supplies to disabled victims of the Haitian earthquake. So, please visit the Portlight.org blog to learn more and to donate. Floodman's blog has the latest info on Portlight's plan for Haitian relief. A few highlights from his blog:

The latest shipment arrived at Quisqueya University in Port-au-Prince on Friday morning; the shipment was unloaded and a portion of the supplies distributed to the St Nicholas Hospital in Sainte-Marc north of Port-au-Prince. This shipment included wheelchairs, crutches and canes in addition to clinical supplies. It was a busy day at Quisqueya; Susan Eitel, representative of USAID met with Richard this morning and Dr. Amy Nguyen of ACTS World Relief took delivery of DME at the Quisqueya campus.

We have several additional shipments queued up for transport, one of which shipped on Saturday; these shipments include the remainder of the donation from H&H Wholesalers. We are hoping to have another shipment out in the next few days.

We are concentrating on distribution for the next few days as storage is currently at a premium at Quisqueya; we are also concentrating on expanding our storage capabilities to allow for larger shipments to be handled, allowing us to help a larger segment of the disabled community.



Figure 2. The Portlight Relief Team unloads crutches shipped from Portlight's warehouse in Atlanta to a staging area at University Quisqeya, Port-au-Prince, Haiti. The relief team consists of ten Haitians being coordinated by Haitian-American Richard Lumarque, Portlight's on-site coordinator in Haiti. The relief team has been working full-time over the past week doing aid work.

Next post
I'll have a new post on Thursday.

Jeff Masters

No School!! (CalicoBass)
Woohoo, another day of "No School". The kids will be crying about it in the Summer when they have to make up the Snow Days, lol.
No School!!
Whiteout, Feb. 10 (Proserpina)
We have whiteout conditions in the Annandale area of Fairfax County. The wind is picking up at a fast pace. We are now under a blizzard warning.
Whiteout, Feb. 10
Brabus Cave (f37189)
Little car in a big storm
Brabus Cave

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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412. beell
Quoting Drakoen:


I was looking at the raw output with the color fill and station plots:





Guess we'll see. Just thought the surface temps looked a little odd in the GFS.

Cold enough for snow at the 850mb (approx 5,000 ft) level per the charts you posted.

One other negative may be the de-amplification of the mid-level trough as it runs into the confluent flow of the N & S jets over the SE and a quick change to NW flow aloft. Shutting down the moisture pretty quick. Greater chance of this being a hindrance to snow further E-towards GA and N FL.

Where ever it falls, this looks like it will be mostly a "fun" snow. Just right!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting tornadodude:


thats awesome!!


*and* weather related - hopefully circumventing ban. :)
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Quoting Beachfoxx:
Hey Dan!

Its 20° warmer than home! LOL


Should have gone with you. Oh...wait...wife says, LIKE H@@@, NOT WITHOUT ME. (She from Milwaukee, but been here long time and has finally acclimatized.) LOL
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Greyelf:


thats awesome!!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Oh and my toes are finally warm!
Quoting Beachfoxx:
Hey Dan!

Its 20° warmer than home! LOL
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Hey Dan!

Its 20° warmer than home! LOL
Quoting PcolaDan:


Thought you could out run it didn't you. LOL
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Vancouver finally gets snow
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Beachfoxx:
This artic air has dipped too far south!
Somebody, puh-lease --- make it stop!
Brrrrr



Thought you could out run it didn't you. LOL
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Zoo!

Going to be here until Saturday mid day.
Thankfully it IS warmer here than home! LOL
Quoting zoomiami:


Beachie! I didn't know you were in town! How long are you hanging out?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Do not know if anyone has posted this, but it is slaining in the greater La Porte/Pasadena TX area right now

Temp. outside a balmy 48, about 1 mile from Galveston bay

Now I know it is not snowmageddon, but a tenth of an inch of this and the whole area would come to a grinding halt.....

From everybody looking at it instead of the road, and running into each other
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
401. Drakoen
10:59 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Looks like the NWS offices are trying to find a balance between the Foreign and the American models. They are acknowledging the snow line being pushed farther south as I have noted.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
400. nrtiwlnvragn
10:59 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Excerpt from STATE FORECAST FOR FLORIDA


.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY...EXCEPT PARTLY CLOUDY KEYS. RAIN
AND SNOW LIKELY WESTERN PANHANDLE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW BIG BEND...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS ELSEWHERE NORTH.
LOWS IN THE 30S NORTH...CENTRAL AND SOUTH INTERIOR...WITH THE LOWER
TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE SOUTH...TO 55 TO 60 KEYS.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
399. zoomiami
10:58 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting Beachfoxx:
Ahhh, Gypsy - that's so sweet of you, but I'm sorry to say that I'll have to decline your offer; I don't do snow!
63° in Coconut Grove, FL currently. Cool, but almost 20° warmer than home! : )


Beachie! I didn't know you were in town! How long are you hanging out?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
398. Beachfoxx
10:58 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
This artic air has dipped too far south!
Somebody, puh-lease --- make it stop!
Brrrrr

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
397. NRAamy
10:57 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Domo-kun!!!

:)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
396. tornadodude
10:56 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting doabarrelroll:

i cant agree to that


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
395. Drakoen
10:56 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting IKE:


He's done real well this winter. I like to read what he says.


I'd have to agree as well.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
394. stormsurge39
10:56 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Can someone please explain if the rain tracks farther S, how this accounts for more snow fall along the N Gulf Coast? Appose to the low tracking farther N on the Gulf Coast?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
393. Drakoen
10:55 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
NWS Mobile:

Mobile/Pensacola AFD

..WINTER STORM BECOMING MORE LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER
CHILLY NIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST. ALREADY SEEING AN ABUNDANCE OF MID
AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING INTO THE REGION WELL IN ADVANCE OF
THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT
WARMER THAN THEY WOULD OTHERWISE BE. STAYED ON THE WARMER SIDE OF
GUIDANCE WITH UPPER 20S INLAND TO LOWER 30S ALONG THE COAST.

THE SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA/SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EAST DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY...ENTERING INTO CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE LOW
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN TRACK EAST
ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AHEAD OF
THE MID LEVEL ENERGY. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO MUCH BETTER
AGREEMENT ON THE LOW TRACK...WITH IT MOVING A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTN INTO THE
EVENING...RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION
SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE PRECIP WILL LIKELY
START OUT AS LIGHT RAIN...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND CRITICAL
THICKNESSES INDICATE THAT SNOW COULD QUICKLY MIX IN OVERNIGHT NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 65. AS WE HEAD INTO DAYBREAK FRIDAY...PRECIP INTENSITY
WILL LIKELY INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH OF THE 850 MB LOW. THE 850 MB
LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR AN AREA OF ENHANCED LIFT AND DYNAMIC COOLING TO THE NORTH AND
WEST OF THE 850 MB LOW TRACK. TEMPERATURE PROFILES QUICKLY DROP TO AT
OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE FAR INTERIOR BY DAYBREAK AND TRANSITION
SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY. BASED ON THE LATEST DATA...THE
RAIN/SNOW LINE COULD BE AS FAR SOUTH AS INTERSTATE 10 BY MIDDAY
FRIDAY WITH EVEN A WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE COAST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
THE LOW QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST FRIDAY EVENING...WITH ALL
PRECIP EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE REGION.

QPF IS ACTUALLY FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE GUIDANCE...AVERAGING NEAR A
HALF INCH ACROSS THE NORTH WITH THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH CLOSER TO
THE COAST. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT TEMP PROFILES WILL BE
ISOTHERMAL AND NEAR FREEZING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS TYPICALLY
LENDS ITSELF TO SNOW RATIOS OF AROUND 8:1. RATIOS COULD BE CLOSER TO
10:1 ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLDER.
WITH THIS
IN MIND...AND CONSIDERING LOSING SOME OF THE QPF TO MELTING AND
COMPACTION SETTLING...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 2-4 INCHES ACROSS
THE FAR NORTH WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES BETWEEN HIGHWAY 84 TO INTERSTATE 10.

KEEP IN MIND THESE ARE ROUGH BOUNDARIES WE ARE REFERRING TO. WE
CANNOT DISCOUNT THE POTENTIAL FOR A BAND OF EVEN HIGHER TOTALS...IF A
SOLID DEFORMATION BAND ON THE NW SIDE OF THE 850 MB LOW MATERIALIZES.
THAT IS TOO DIFFICULT TO ASSESS AT THIS RANGE AND THIS ULTIMATELY
WILL BE DETERMINED BY MESOSCALE PROCESSES. WE HAVE ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT COASTAL BALDWIN/MOBILE AND THE FL
PANHANDLE. CLOSER TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST...THE SHORT DURATION OF
ANY SNOW IS EXPECT TO RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ONLY MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS. THIS COULD CHANGE HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LOW TRACK.
WILL CONTINUE A SPS FOR AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH TO COVER THE
POTENTIAL FOR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS.

LOOKING FOR LOW TEMPS IN THE LOWER 30S THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
TEMPERATURES MAKING LITTLE RECOVERY DURING THE DAY GIVEN THE
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. THEREFORE...SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERCUT
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE. NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION.

AS ALWAYS...THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SFC LOW WILL GO A LONG WAY IN
DETERMINING WHERE THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SETS UP. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE
HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE GIVEN THAT THE GUIDANCE IS GRADUALLY COMING
INTO GOOD AGREEMENT. IF ANYTHING...THE TREND HAS BEEN FOR A COLDER
SOLUTION WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SHIFTING FURTHER SOUTH.
WE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAREFULLY MONITOR AND FINE TUNE THE FORECAST AND EXPECTED
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER. 34/JFB

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
390. tornadodude
10:54 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting aquak9:
no snow in Jax!!! Bwahahahaaa!

Ike- I'm gonna ship ya the bikini overnite- you can be my stand-in...

bwaaahahahahaaa!



Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
389. IKE
10:54 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting CycloneOz:


I don't know about the use of "always."

He's been "accurate" so far with all the storms this winter.


He's done real well this winter. I like to read what he says.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
386. aquak9
10:52 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
no snow in Jax!!! Bwahahahaaa!

Ike- I'm gonna ship ya the bikini overnite- you can be my stand-in...

bwaaahahahahaaa!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
385. Minnemike
10:52 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting WAHA:
Guys, check it out. It looks like from February 4 to February 8, 2010, a tropical cyclone formed over Zambia, traveled across Angola, and dissipated in Namibia! WTC?! Check it out!

Thanks, I got a new bookmark!!
..and that was an interesting event on display during that time frame.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
383. Beachfoxx
10:51 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Ike,

I'd hate to have to drive in NWFL in any serious snow! Geez, if it sprinkles rain the roads become dangerous! LOL
Quoting IKE:


I use to live in Knoxville,TN. I've got experience too. Drive....s l o w. Brake gently...just tap the brakes.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
382. PcolaDan
10:49 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting NRAamy:
Fresh blanket of snow covers local mountains

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

RUNNING SPRINGS, Calif. (KABC) -- A fresh blanket of snow in the local mountains is drawing visitors, but drivers are required to have chains on tires because driving conditions heading up to the mountains are treacherous.

The San Bernardino Sheriff's Department said 6 to 8 inches has fallen in the Big Bear area.

It's a beautiful morning in Running Springs on Wednesday morning, as light snow continues to blanket the area.

The new snow is great news for ski resorts. They've had a great winter already, and for a lot of residents, the latest snowfall is just icing on the cake.

"It's real nice in Snow Valley right now," said Leroy Gregory, a Running Springs resident.


Maybe they should move the Olympics! :)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
380. PcolaDan
10:48 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting ElConando:
I guess 18 miles is not that far inland...

...Areas nearer to the
coast... like Tallahassee... Panama City and Apalachicola... are expected
to only see rain with this system.



Never thought of Tallahassee as "nearer to the coast". :)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
379. IKE
10:48 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting CycloneOz:


Uh (raises hand) Floridian here! I do pretty well in the stuff.


I use to live in Knoxville,TN. I've got experience too. Drive....s l o w. Brake gently...just tap the brakes.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
378. tornadodude
10:47 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
I made a new blog if ya wanna check 'er out
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
377. Drakoen
10:46 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting Patrap:
Im gonna get some Pics and Video Drak of the Sneaux Storm in McComb for sure.


Glad to hear!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
375. WAHA
10:45 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Guys, check it out. It looks like from February 4 to February 8, 2010, a tropical cyclone formed over Zambia, traveled across Angola, and dissipated in Namibia! WTC?! Check it out!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
373. IKE
10:44 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting ElConando:
sleet can't form at 40-45 degrees can't it?


No frozen precip in your forecast....for now.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
372. mossyhead
10:44 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting IKE:


Well...you're in Niceville(?), so maybe you won't see much.

Checking your forecast....Friday
Rain through the day...mixing with snow and sleet in the afternoon.
That could be worse than just snow. Floridians do not know how to drive in the sleet and freezing rain.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
371. NRAamy
10:42 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Fresh blanket of snow covers local mountains

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

RUNNING SPRINGS, Calif. (KABC) -- A fresh blanket of snow in the local mountains is drawing visitors, but drivers are required to have chains on tires because driving conditions heading up to the mountains are treacherous.

The San Bernardino Sheriff's Department said 6 to 8 inches has fallen in the Big Bear area.

It's a beautiful morning in Running Springs on Wednesday morning, as light snow continues to blanket the area.

The new snow is great news for ski resorts. They've had a great winter already, and for a lot of residents, the latest snowfall is just icing on the cake.

"It's real nice in Snow Valley right now," said Leroy Gregory, a Running Springs resident.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
370. Drakoen
10:42 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
The 18z GFS spits out .1 to .25 inches of liquid over the panhandle; with a snow to liquid ratio of 10:1 that would be 1-2.5 inches of snow.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
369. ElConando
10:42 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
I guess 18 miles is not that far inland...

... Potential for snow mixing with rain on Friday across portions
of the region...

A developing area of low pressure across the western Gulf of
Mexico near the Texas Gulf Coast will move eastward toward the
region on Thursday afternoon. As this low nears the region
Thursday night... light precipitation will begin to occur across
the Florida Panhandle... portions of the Florida Big Bend and south
central Georgia. Due to a cool airmass that will be in place
across the region... some of the rain will occasionally mix with
snow... especially on Friday morning and again on Friday evening.

Due to the warm air at the surface... little or no accumulation is
expected across the Florida Panhandle... south central
Georgia... and the Florida Big Bend. This includes the Metro areas
of Albany and Valdosta. Any accumulation that occurs will be
confined to grassy or elevated surfaces. Areas nearer to the
coast... like Tallahassee... Panama City and Apalachicola... are expected
to only see rain with this system.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
367. mossyhead
10:39 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Quoting IKE:


I don't blame her.

Just rare to see it here.
I grew up in Destin-Ft. Walton Beach and 9 years in Pensacola and the heaviest snow i saw was in Pensacola in the early 70s.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
366. Patrap
10:39 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Winter Storm Watch Pike County,Miss

Statement as of 4:04 PM CST on February 10, 2010

... Winter Storm Watch now in effect from Thursday evening through
Friday afternoon...

Frozen precipitation will begin as early as late tomorrow
afternoon and more so during the evening. Sleet will likely begin
first. Along and north of a line from New Roads to Picayune once
sleet begins it could quickly change over to snow. South of that
line and towards the 10 12 corridor... sleet may persist quite a
while longer. This could provide a very hazardous situation as
sleet builds up on the roads making things very slick. The
locations of greatest concern due to sleet build up will be the
Baton Rouge Metro beginning tomorrow evening and possibly as early
as late afternoon and east along the 10 12 corridor. Sleet should
finally completely change over to snow during the overnight hours.
Further to the north sleet will have a better chance of quickly
changing over to snow.

Once the snow begins it is expected to pick up in intensity during
the overnight hours Thursday and continue well after sunrise for
portions of the watch area. Moderate to even heavy snow is
expected to drop visibilities below a quarter of a mile at times
creating very hazardous driving conditions. Snow is anticipated to
taper off from west to east during the mid and late morning hours
and should be done by early afternoon. Total snow accumulation
will range from a few tenths just south of the 10 12 corridor to
as much as 6 inches with locally higher amounts across the
northern Florida parishes and southwestern Mississippi.

The snow will also be a wet snow and as it accumulates on tree
branches and power lines it could begin to bring some of these
down.

Everyone in the watch area should take the necessary precautions
to prepare for significant snow accumulations for Thursday night
and Friday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
364. ElConando
10:39 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
sleet can't form at 40-45 degrees can't it?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
363. TampaSpin
10:38 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
I'm waiting to see the 18Z run......should be coming out any moment....
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
362. Beachfoxx
10:38 PM GMT on February 10, 2010
Ahhh, Gypsy - that's so sweet of you, but I'm sorry to say that I'll have to decline your offer; I don't do snow!
63° in Coconut Grove, FL currently. Cool, but almost 20° warmer than home! : )
Quoting Appalachiangypsy:

I vote you take the rest of mine ;)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

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