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Bill brushes Massachusetts; Nova Scotia gets pounded

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:05 PM GMT on August 23, 2009

The winds and waves are dying down in coastal Massachusetts, which took a glancing blow from Hurricane Bill last night and this morning. Bill's center passed about 200 miles southeast of Massachusetts' Nantucket Island, bringing top sustained winds of 24 mph, gusting to 31 mph, at the airport. A storm surge of 1 foot was observed on Cape Cod and Nantucket at high tide. A storm surge of 0.5 feet was reported at Newport, RI, and Boston, MA. President Obama arrives in neighboring Martha's Vineyard today for vacation, and will not want to go swimming--seas of up to 15 feet will continue to batter the shores of southeast Massachusetts. Significant wave heights at Buoy 44008, about 60 miles southeast of Nantucket Island reached 27 feet early this morning. A rainband from Bill set up over Massachusetts, from Boston southwestward, and several reports of 3 - 4 inches of rain came from stations in the rain band (Figure 1).


Figure 1. Radar estimated precipitation from Hurricane Bill. Kingston, MA, received 3.74 inches of rain from Bill. Western Massachusetts got even heavier rain from an approaching cold front.

Bill's impact on Canada
The Canadian Hurricane Center is predicting that Bill will generate a storm surge of 0.5 - 1.0 meters (1.5 - 3 feet) along the coasts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland today, as the storm races northeast at 30 mph. The surge, when combined with the 5 - 10 meter (16 - 33 foot) waves expected to pound the coast, will cause considerable coastal damage. This is the main threat of Bill to Canada. Bill's highest hurricane-force winds should stay offshore this afternoon as the hurricane passes the heavily populated capital, Halifax. However, winds of 60 - 70 mph will likely impact eastern Nova Scotia, where Bill is expected to make landfall later today, causing considerable tree damage and power outages. Heavy rains of 3 - 4 inches will also cause localized flooding problems. Radar out of Halifax, Nova Scotia shows heavy rain from Bill impacting most of the province, but Bill's center is located well offshore. Buoy 44150 was in the east eyewall of Bill at 9:30 am EDT, and reported sustained winds of 62 mph, gusting to 85 mph, with waves of 40 feet. Bill is expected to make landfall over Newfoundland near midnight tonight, but will have likely weakened to a tropical storm by then.

Links to follow:
wundermap for Nova Scotia
Halifax radar
Canadian Hurricane Center advisories

Elsewhere in the tropics
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic worth mentioning today. Most of the models are calling for the possible development of a tropical cyclone in the waters between the Bahamas and North Carolina on Wednesday or Thursday. There could be two triggers for tropical cyclone formation--the remains of the cold front that pushed off the U.S. East Coast this morning, plus a tropical wave that is currently approaching the northern Lesser Antilles Islands. We will also need to watch the region off the coast of Africa this week.

I'll have an update Monday, when I'll show a remarkable photo taken in the eye of Hurricane Bill by the Hurricane Hunters.

Jeff Masters

After Bill (denmar)
Looking south easterly off St. David's, Bermuda
After Bill
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill (bugbug)
East Coast surfers trying their hand at "big" surf.
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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The Canadian GEM (I know, Great Errors Mainly) produces a lot of QPF (precip) from the easterly wave to the SSE of the ULL (the area in the NHC yellow circle), in the 24-48 hour period and beyond. Like around 10 cm (4 inches) every 12 h. Now, as the ULL moves to the west, it is producing divergence over the wave. This is one positve factor for convection. If the CMC forecast is good, the convection should really expand overnight and tomorrow. Strong convection produces ascent in the mid and upper levels, and surface convergence of the wind. A big postive feeback loop. SO we should know within 36 hrs if there is any credibility to the current CMC global GEM run.



Link
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The answer to Florida's hurricane shield. Don't you just love local television station reporting?



No Hurricanes - Thank Crist, Then God

Getty Images

Gov. Charlie Crist is holier than you and has the stats to prove it
By TODD WRIGHT
Updated 4:59 PM EDT, Fri, Aug 21, 2009


Getty Images
With a name so close to the son of God, you'd have to think Gov. Charlie Crist would have a little easier time getting the ear of the Big Fella in heaven.

Turns out, he kind of does, especially when it comes to hurricane season.

Crist told a group of reporters Friday that it's no coincidence the state hasn't been plagued by hurricanes during his tenure in office. (Click title for complete article)


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700. JRRP
Link
NOGAPS show it too
see you tomorrow
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Nothing promising so far...

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698. TX2FL
Quoting TexasHurricane:


Not good for who?? what did I miss? I was only gone for a few minutes...


Not good for any of us..which of us specifically is to early to tell...
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I want a good Canadian radar there.


Newfoundland RADAR

Link

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696. JLPR
Im out =P
Im wondering what I will find tomorrow
after 11hours things can be very different xD
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Ode to Bill...

img src="" alt="" />
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iam leaving big fish shows up

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Bill

Bill

AOI
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anyway all iam out got to get some sleep work at 8 am be on around 630 7 for the days outlook see if we get an orange out of the aoi

later all
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Really poor ole Bill looks pretty non-tropical to me on that radar, have no good eye or even center signature at all.
its done just a wind event now fast mover too
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To quiet in here...time for a musical interlude...

img src="" alt="" />
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It took me a minute to figure out what the heck was going on. I was swimming as hard as I could and was moving AWAY from shore. I stopped for a second to tread water, realized I was still moving out, and remembered something I saw on Discovery Channel about riptides and swam sideways about 50 meters. Then, I caught the countercurrent, and almost didn't even have to swim in to shore -- was basically carried there. That same week, I actually saw a 21 year old die in the surf due to a riptide -- it took two lifeguards to get him out of the surf, and they couldn't revive him once he got to shore. One of the lifeguards even had to take oxygen -- they were carried out nearly a half mile into the ocean. Don't mess with riptides -- they are killers.
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685. JRRP
Quoting JLPR:


yep and Ana north =P
one can never trust the models so far out

yeah...
but one never know :P
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Quoting JLPR:


yep and Ana north =P
one can never trust the models so far out


The first Ana cone was supposed to move over my house...no one else's...my house. Ugg.
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
St Johns West is reporting a pressure of 976 mb and south winds of 3 mph. That must be the eye.
yep thats the centre passing over my hometown as we type
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678. JLPR
Quoting JRRP:
Bill was supposed to move weste also


yep and Ana north =P
one can never trust the models so far out
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Quoting THUNDERPR:
the site down because is very very strong high lol


That little bugger doesn't want us to know what it's up to!
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see the post 657 texas.
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674. JRRP
Bill was supposed to move weste also
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
latest image 345

AOI


that is one funky pic Keep. Looks like a cat on crack.
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Quoting TampaSpin:


NO Choice but, WEST....that High will be building West....This is not good.


Not good for who?? what did I miss? I was only gone for a few minutes...
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671. JLPR
Quoting TampaSpin:


NO Choice but, WEST....that High will be building West....This is not good.


yep =S
we had a huge Hurricane with a huge through and now a huge high =P
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669. JLPR
Quoting THUNDERPR:
the site down because is very very strong high lol


lol xD
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the site down because is very very strong high lol
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Thanks for that info StSimons. I'll keep it in mind if my sister takes anything getting close a bit too lightly. She did go down to see the waves & surfers getting out into the surf from Bill. Already had to have a chat with her about riptides because of that. Got caught swimming in one of those myself for a little bit down in Cancun a few years ago -- that'll give you an up close and personal appreciation of the power of the sea right there! (And, as you can see, I did use my knowledge, swam diagonally, and am thus here writing to you today!) ;-)
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Quoting JLPR:


yep GFS now is developing that new storm
and until now it looks like it thinks it will head west


NO Choice but, WEST....that High will be building West....This is not good.
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yes JLPR and look moves west only west.
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Well it looks like the tropics are dead once again, and anything that may devolop will probably be a fish anyway!!! I am liking this season! Nice and quite!
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663. JRRP
Quoting THUNDERPR:
wow new gfs 138 hours.

another hurricane ?
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662. JLPR
Quoting TampaSpin:
I can't find the Bermuda/Azores HIgh......WOW!
The train is heading West with that.


That's a huge high!
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Quoting iceman55:
TampaSpin that big high wowwwwwwww


Dam Site went down again........LOL
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660. JLPR
Quoting THUNDERPR:
wow new gfs 138 hours.


yep GFS now is developing that new storm
and until now it looks like it thinks it will head west
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I can't find the Bermuda/Azores HIgh......WOW!
The train is heading West with that.
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wow new gfs 138 hours.
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latest image 345

AOI
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654. JRRP
Link
edit
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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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