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Grace Dissipates; TD 8 Forms South of Newfoundland

By: Jeff Masters 3:27 PM GMT on September 09, 2015

Tropical Depression Eight spun into life on Wednesday morning in the waters a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda, and appears poised to become Tropical Storm Henri by Thursday. TD 8 is under high wind shear of 20 knots, which is inhibiting development, but ocean waters are warm, near 28.5°C (83°F). The 8 am EDT Wednesday run of the SHIPS model predicted that by Thursday, TD 8 should find moderate wind shear of 5 - 15 knots and a much moister atmosphere, which should allow it to become a tropical storm. By Friday afternoon, TD 8 will move northwards across the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and encounter very cold waters near 23°C (73°F), which should cause a rapid transition to an extratropical storm. TD 8 will likely pass over or near southeast Newfoundland, Canada on Saturday morning.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of TD 8.

Grace dissipates
Tropical Storm Grace finally succumbed to dry air and high wind shear and dissipated on Wednesday morning. The remains of Grace could produce some gusty winds and showers over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Friday.

Gulf of Mexico disturbance next week
An area of disturbed weather is expected to form in the Western Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche on Sunday or Monday next week. This disturbance will be capable of developing into a tropical depression, and could bring heavy rains to the coast of Mexico south of Texas early next week.


Figure 2. Hurricane Linda near peak intensity as seen by the GOES West satellite at 2 pm EDT September 8, 2015. At the time, Linda was a Category 3 storm with 125 mph winds. Image credit: NOAA Viz Lab.

Three tropical cyclones in the Pacific
In the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico's Baja Peninsula, Hurricane Linda put on a spectacular show on Tuesday, peaking as a Category 3 storm with 125 mph winds--the Northeast Pacific's fifth major hurricane of the season. A northeasterly flow of moisture along the east side of Linda is streaming into Northwest Mexico and the Southwest U.S., and will contribute to numerous thunderstorms with heavy rain over the next two days. Flash flood watches are posted for Southwest California for the regions just inland from San Diego to Los Angeles. As of 11 am EDT Wednesday, Linda had weakened to a Category 1 storm with 80 mph winds, and is expected to continue to weaken to tropical depression status by Thursday, well offshore from Mexico. In the Central Pacific waters 320 miles north of Honolulu, Hawaii, Jimena has weakened to a tropical depression with top sustained winds of 35 mph at 11 am EDT Wednesday. Jimena will continue to weaken over the next few days, and will not bring heavy rain to Hawaii. Long-lived Category 1 Typhoon Kilo is now in its 21st day as a tropical cyclone and 12th day at hurricane strength. Kilo is predicted to move on a northerly path that will take it into the cold waters between Russia and Japan on Friday, when it will finally die after 23 - 24 days as a tropical cyclone.

Tropical Storm Etau hit Japan just after 10 a.m. on Sept. 9 on the Chita Peninsula, Aichi Prefecture. A band of heavy rain associated with Etau is hammering the Tokyo metropolitan area. As of 11 am EDT Wednesday, evacuation advisories are currently in effect for about 697,000 people. The vast majority (626,000) are in the city of Kawasaki, just south of Tokyo. According to JMA, the highest 24-hour rainfall total is currently 398 mm (15.67 inches) in Dorobu, part of the city of Nikkō in Tochigi Prefecture. That's the highest 24-hour total ever recorded at that location since observations began there in 1977. The top 72-hour total is 438 mm (17.24 inches) in Okunikkō, which is also part of the city of Nikkō (thanks go to TWC's Nick Wiltgen for this info.)


Weather Underground has opened a new Weather Underground store where you can get your favorite WunderFriend t-shirt or hood. Not sure which style is best? Take this short quiz to see which WunderFriend fit best here.

Today (September 9) is the 50th anniversary of Category 3 Hurricane Betsy hitting Louisiana. Storm Surge expert Hal Needham has a blog post analyzing Betsy's storm surge.

Jeff Masters

Hurricane

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting 456. Gearsts:

Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue 17h17 hours ago
Looking at ECMWF seasonal forecast SST -- of course #ElNino but thru March 2016, most of North Atlantic as much as 2°C below normal



So... what does that mean :( ?? Dry Caribbean again??
Thank you, Doc Masters.
Quoting 1. CaribBoy:

Quoting 456. Gearsts:

Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue 17h17 hours ago
Looking at ECMWF seasonal forecast SST -- of course #ElNino but thru March 2016, most of North Atlantic as much as 2°C below normal



So... what does that mean :( ?? Dry Caribbean again??
Not looking great for and active 2016 season if the ECMWF is right.
You headline is technically correct at any rate.
Quoting 3. Gearsts:

Not looking great for and active 2016 season if the ECMWF is right.


OMG No... :( I hate the ECMWF, always dry!
Quoting 3. Gearsts:

Not looking great for and active 2016 season if the ECMWF is right.


Not buying the Euro @ all. I think the 2016 season is going to be very active.
I see some clouds moving from the west on Grace :

Quoting 3. Gearsts:

Not looking great for and active 2016 season if the ECMWF is right.


Latest NMME shows warm in hurricane region.


I took the Wunderfriend test. It says my Wunderfriend is Sharpy, the psychotic serial killer.

Maybe I took the wrong test.
Not sure if this was posted on the earlier blog, but it appears Sam Champion lost his morning show on TWC.
Thankful for all the rain today in North Texas...ends that drought since the floods....
Thanks for the Update Dr. Masters..... took your quiz, says I am Brutus....
Quoting 8. nrtiwlnvragn:



Latest NMME shows warm in hurricane region.



And a crazy el nino.
Quoting 10. nash36:

Not sure if this was posted on the earlier blog, but it appears Sam Champion lost his morning show on TWC.
Where did you hear this.
Quoting 6. StormTrackerScott:



Not buying the Euro @ all. I think the 2016 season is going to be very active.
Good morning Scott.. I am not sure about 2016. This El Nino will not be going anywhere soon. The affects will certainly linger into the next hurricane season unless something unusual happens. Would not surprise me. Next season will have the Nino to deal with, at for the first couple months. Not much activity forms in June or July anyway, but the weather patterns are getting stranger by the day.
Quoting 15. HurricaneAndre:

Where did you hear this.
It's on CNN. They are making huge changes. No more Fat Guys in the Woods!! More live coverage. Yay!
Quoting 11. DFWjc:

Thankful for all the rain today in North Texas...ends that drought since the floods....


Did it drop your temps? Waiting for the rain at Highland Lakes, first in literally 3 months, but looks like it's trying to go around us... again.
My test results reveal that my WunderFriend is Tubby. Is anyone here named Tubby, or would admit to be?
Quoting 17. Alagirl:

It's on CNN. They are making huge changes. No more Fat Guys in the Woods!! More live coverage. Yay!


First they got rid of Al and now more dominos fall.

TWC is being cleaned up!
Good afternoon and thanks for the new blog, doc!

It's the time of the year when weather in the Mediterranean gets interesting. Told you this morning in a little post of the threat of severe storms in Sicily and Southern Italy today (and maybe even a medicane might form later, but hasn't yet). Well, this is the result so far from a heavy MCS which is still ongoing (saved radar loop here). Severe flashflooding in several towns in Sicily, especially at the eastern coast and here in Giardini Naxos:




Saved airmass loop. Source.
Thanks for the Update Dr. Masters..... took your quiz, says I am Brutus....


i took the quiz and got banned......actually i got claude
Quoting 19. Some1Has2BtheRookie:

My test results reveal that my WunderFriend is Tubby. Is anyone here named Tubby, or would admit to be?


Howdy Rookie... Tubby here too.
Quoting 15. HurricaneAndre:

Where did you hear this.


A step in the right direction no doubt.

http://money.cnn.com/2015/09/09/media/weather-cha nnel-sam-champion/
thanks for lunch time read
Quoting 23. ChillinInTheKeys:



Howdy Rookie... Tubby here too.


Then I am in great company! I can go with that! Actually, all here make for great company, although sar's test results make me a bit skiddish. :)
Quoting 20. FunnelVortex:



First they got rid of Al and now more dominos fall.

TWC is being cleaned up!


Al's studio costs too much, Sam is being reassigned to another time. go here
Thanks Dr M. I took the quiz and got Brutus. A nice vacation in the mountains sounds good right about now. Or any time. :)
I'm so happy that TWC is getting back to normal.
I got Brutus, fitting I think

Quoting 9. sar2401:

I took the Wunderfriend test. It says my Wunderfriend is Sharpy, the psychotic serial killer.

Maybe I took the wrong test.
you think
Thanks Dr. Masters..
GOM..
Plausible in my way of seeing it ATM..

I'm a Claude..
Or Clod??
I'm leaning towards the "Clod" Lol..
:)
Thanks again..
Haha doc, i took your quiz;my wunderfriend name is Claude. Fits well with my nickname tigger.... I'm a very unique teenager, so Claude fits well!!!!
Quoting 27. PedleyCA:



Al's studio costs too much, Sam is being reassigned to another time. go here


I thought they got rid of Al because of something to do with the Katrina thing.
Looks like shear is weakening some, although not by much..... circulation seems to be slowly drawing near the convection....
here sar I found ur cloud friend

Quoting 33. tiggerhurricanes2001:

Haha doc, i took your quiz;my wunderfriend name is Claude. Fits well with my nickname tigger.... I'm a very unique teenager, so Claude fits well!!!!
Hey Makik can you accept my friend request on Facebook. I'll be good.
Where do you take this wunderfriend quiz?
Quoting 38. FunnelVortex:

Where do you take this wunderfriend quiz?
at the bottom of the docs blog entry 2 links first is wu store second is the friend quiz
This T-Wave is giving us some much needed rain.
Heavy stuff falling right now along the Mountains and North Coast.
Constant drizzle here in Central T&T, with cloud-to-cloud noises overhead.
Quoting 38. FunnelVortex:

Where do you take this wunderfriend quiz?


Funnel..
It's the last word in Dr. Masters blog post..
It's a link.. :)
Quoting 40. pottery:

This T-Wave is giving us some much needed rain.
Heavy stuff falling right now along the Mountains and North Coast.
Constant drizzle here in Central T&T, with cloud-to-cloud noises overhead.
need rain for the tropical paradise to grow lush
43. JRRP
lol nice to see the classic CMC
The question is whether Sam Champion is completely gone, that guy is not a serious weather guy. Wears tennis shoes with a suit and smiles when announcing severe weather that is destroying people's lives! Definitely won't miss his morning show here, was annoying when all you wanted to do was check on your local weather.
Quoting 3. Gearsts:

Not looking great for and active 2016 season if the ECMWF is right.


I don't follow. Why would a forecast showing below average SSTs thru March 2016 be a signal for a weak 2016 hurricane season?
oh gaude

I'm a claude

guess it was all the baked goods and grilling and sweets
no wonder claude is so "fluffy"
Took the test. I got Claude.
Quoting 36. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

here sar I found ur cloud friend


That's him!!! Where do I get a sweatshirt?
Quoting 45. tampabaymatt:



I don't follow. Why would a forecast showing below average SSTs thru March 2016 be a signal for a weak 2016 hurricane season?


You are correct. SST is but one variable of what makes a hurricane season active.
wow the entire basin and the caribbean are dry.

it is amazing how el nino impacts on our rainy season.....

Quoting 39. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

at the bottom of the docs blog entry 2 links first is wu store second is the friend quiz
I tried it but my test locked up on number 7 so I don't know who I am. Not important, that's for sure.
Quoting 33. tiggerhurricanes2001:

Haha doc, i took your quiz;my wunderfriend name is Claude. Fits well with my nickname tigger.... I'm a very unique teenager, so Claude fits well!!!!


Hey there, I'm Claude too. I thought I was going to be Brutus but guess not. :)
Quoting 34. FunnelVortex:



I thought they got rid of Al because of something to do with the Katrina thing.


Did you read this article? inquisitr.com/2405025/weather-channel-cancels-al- rokers-television-show-after-e-mail-dispute
Quoting 51. CaneFreeCR:

I tried it but my test locked up on number 7 so I don't know who I am. Not important, that's for sure.
maybe a test overload try again later
It's okay guys Stephanie Abrams can easily step in and replace Sam Champion. They are basically the same.
Quoting 51. CaneFreeCR:

I tried it but my test locked up on number 7 so I don't know who I am. Not important, that's for sure.


Did that to me too. Just do it over, it will ask the same stuff, just in a different order....
Quoting 41. pcola57:



Funnel..
It's the last word in Dr. Masters blog post..
It's a link.. :)


Oh thanks.

But why do I often get the feeling most people on the blog think I'm an idiot...?
Quoting 51. CaneFreeCR:

I tried it but my test locked up on number 7 so I don't know who I am. Not important, that's for sure.

You are important
don't say/think you're not
BECAUSE:

life is full of surprises and you never know what effect you'll have on others
you might save a life one day
or keep someone from committing suicide
you never know

that's what's so much fun about life

YOU ARE IMPORTANT

It is going to be muggy today(by CA standards). We have a Guest (Linda)... 88.6F/43%
Supposed to go down to 25%, but the forecast is 103, so it needs to be 10-15% for the cooler to work well.
Quoting 57. FunnelVortex:



Oh thanks.

But why do I often get the feeling most people on the blog think I'm an idiot...?


Not me Funnel..
I missed it the first time I read it myself..
:)
Quoting 57. FunnelVortex:



Oh thanks.

But why do I often get the feeling most people on the blog think I'm an idiot...?
What is this, LowSelfEsteem Wednesday?

No one here is an idiot! maybe some folks have a few loose hailstones rolling around in their noggin, but no one here is an idiot.


Heads up JOE!!!!
Quoting 59. PedleyCA:


It is going to be muggy today(by CA standards). We have a Guest (Linda)... 88.6F/43%
Supposed to go down to 25%, but the forecast is 103, so it needs to be 10-15% for the cooler to work well.


Thanks Ped for posting that loop..
Looks like a robust front in the left upper half of that loop..
(PS..Good luck with the cooler.. :)
Quoting 55. Camerooski:

It's okay guys Stephanie Abrams can easily step in and replace Sam Champion. They are basically the same.
Sam Champion will still be there, just no morning show.
What is this, LowSelfEsteem Wednesday?


it's eyeore wednesday......it's always raining on me

Quoting 22. ricderr:

Thanks for the Update Dr. Masters..... took your quiz, says I am Brutus....


i took the quiz and got banned......actually i got claude
Greetings Ric...I gots tubby...Hope thats good..:)


all wind speeds in KMH
still watching the cpc's seasonal outlooks.......precip still not looking good for california to overcome their drought....



More names underway. Sky will soon be overcrowded by personalities, especially in Europe ;-)

ID of the storm: Met Office invites public to name severe weather systems
Public asked to submit names for worst storms as British and Irish meteorologists aim to raise awareness with practice long-established in US
The Guardian, Caroline Davies, Tuesday 8 September 2015 00.01 BST
Britain’s storms may lack the ferocity and intensity of the most devastating of Atlantic hurricanes. But no longer will they be nameless.
From this autumn, forecasters will be personalising the most severe weather for the first time in UK meteorological history by naming the biggest, windiest and wettest gales in the hope of giving urgent warnings extra oomph.
Under a pilot project between the Met Office and Irish national forecaster Met Éireann, an official naming protocol is to be employed, with names submitted by the public. Once selected, the names will be used in alphabetical order alternating between male and female. A trial will run throughout this autumn and winter.
The practice of naming has long been common in the US and across much of the globe. Derrick Ryall, head of the public weather service at the Met Office, said: “We have seen how naming storms elsewhere in the world raises awareness of severe weather before it strikes.”
With no official names in Britain and Ireland, informal ones have been adopted, usually by the media, and this has led to confusion, explained a Met Office spokeswoman. ...

Whole article see link above.
Greetings Ric...I gots tubby...Hope thats good..:)


as long as it's not a teletubby!!!!!!!!!
I'm a Claude.
Hey guys im the latest to join the ranks! imma Tubby!!! let he see yo hands in the air LOL
I took the Wunderfriends test. But somehow I don't think it had my generation in mind :)

But anyways, I got Claude ;)
Hmmm...

I took the quiz and got "Solita."

Not sure how I feel about that. Most people that know me well, wouldn't exactly describe me as having a bluebird permanently parked up broadway, but I digress.
I got Tubby!!
Has anyone posted the lastest runs yet? I haven't seen any.
Quoting 19. Some1Has2BtheRookie:

My test results reveal that my WunderFriend is Tubby.

Mine, too. It's kind of ironic given the work I put in precisely (and successfully) to avoid becoming tubby.
Quoting 64. Alagirl:

Sam Champion will still be there, just no morning show.


Oh god....

I'd much prefer to watch Sam over Stephanie. For whatever reason, she gets on my last reserved nerve. Honestly, just give me Jim, Carl Parker, Paul Goodloe, Bettes and Dr. Forbes. I'd be a happy camper with just those folks.
I'm totally a Brutus, quiz confirmed it. He's even on my coffee cup I'm drinking out of today.

I wrote a blog entry about all the incredible lightning and waterspouts we've had around the Southeast the last several days. The waterspouts have continued this morning off South Carolina with one in Charleston Harbor, and a few off Folly Beach and Sullivan Island.
Quoting 45. tampabaymatt:



I don't follow. Why would a forecast showing below average SSTs thru March 2016 be a signal for a weak 2016 hurricane season?
It doesn't.
Quoting 15. HurricaneAndre:

Where did you hear this.


Actually posted on CNN this AM.
Quoting 78. Skyepony:

I'm totally a Brutus, quiz confirmed it. He's even on my coffee cup I'm drinking out of today.

I wrote a blog entry about all the incredible lightning and waterspouts we've had around the Southeast the last several days. The waterspouts have continued this morning off South Carolina with one in Charleston Harbor, and a few off Folly Beach and Sullivan Island.


I saw those, Skye. Even though our weather here tends to be rather boring most of the time, sometimes Ma Nature does like to pretty it up.
Quoting 61. aquak9:

What is this, LowSelfEsteem Wednesday?

No one here is an idiot! maybe some folks have a few loose hailstones rolling around in their noggin, but no one here is an idiot.


So THAT'S what that sound is... ;)
More than anything, I just want another ice storm for Charleston this winter. Not because I want power outages and slick roads. No. Just one reason.....

Just so Jim Cantore can come back here, do another live shot across from The College of Charleston, and further cement his "Crouching Weatherman, Hidden Assassin" status, as some dweeb, who obviously huffed too much paint, bum-rushes him.
Quoting 77. nash36:



Oh god....

I'd much prefer to watch Sam over Stephanie. For whatever reason, she gets on my last reserved nerve. Honestly, just give me Jim, Carl Parker, Paul Goodloe, Bettes and Dr. Forbes. I'd be a happy camper with just those folks.
Yep. Dr. Steve Lyons too..Abrams is to bubbly for me, but for what its worth, she's got the smarts real good. A few others would be welcome back by many viewers.
Quoting 84. hydrus:

Yep. Dr. Steve Lyons too..Abrams is to bubbly for me, but for what its worth, she's got the smarts real good. A few others would be welcome back by many viewers.


Would love to have Dr. Lyons back. Was surprising he left to go head up the San Angelo NWS, but it's his love.
Welp, it says im a brutus.
Quoting 30. tornadodude:

I got Brutus, fitting I think




Same here, Brutus it is then!
Quoting 49. rmbjoe1954:



You are correct. SST is but one variable of what makes a hurricane season active.


I assume there is a point I'm missing, but based on what was posted, I don't see how that would be any indicator of a weak 2016 hurricane season. SSTs can go from below average to above average in 3 months easily.
“Steady as it goes” is your motto. Just like Claude, you are considerate and never rain on anyone’s parade. Even if things try to bring you down, you always rise above and elevate others around you. You don’t conform easily and shy away from pomp and circumstance in favor of keeping things casual. Your optimism envelops everyone around you, and you’re always there to comfort and protect those around you.
Knowing the ECMWF the SST's next year will probably be warmer than normal
Quoting 89. TropicalAnalystwx13:

“Steady as it goes” is your motto. Just like Claude, you are considerate and never rain on anyone’s parade. Even if things try to bring you down, you always rise above and elevate others around you. You don’t conform easily and shy away from pomp and circumstance in favor of keeping things casual. Your optimism envelops everyone around you, and you’re always there to comfort and protect those around you.

That's why I'm claude.
Thanks for the update Dr Masters.

High-level clouds stream into Soo Cal and Arizona as Linda unwinds west of Baja California. Another chance of thunderstorms today in Soo Cal......received about .20 yesterday in a thundershower at my place.







Whoope 60s coming to Savannah.... thanks cold front...
Quoting 45. tampabaymatt:



I don't follow. Why would a forecast showing below average SSTs thru March 2016 be a signal for a weak 2016 hurricane season?
Link
Quoting 55. Camerooski:

It's okay guys Stephanie Abrams can easily step in and replace Sam Champion. They are basically the same.


Sam is not being replaced, he's actually being moved to prime time.
Quoting 78. Skyepony:

I'm totally a Brutus, quiz confirmed it. He's even on my coffee cup I'm drinking out of today.

I wrote a blog entry about all the incredible lightning and waterspouts we've had around the Southeast the last several days. The waterspouts have continued this morning off South Carolina with one in Charleston Harbor, and a few off Folly Beach and Sullivan Island.


What is this test everyone is talking about? Is there a Blobus personality on it?
Quoting 93. tiggerhurricanes2001:

Whoope 60s coming to Savannah.... thanks cold front...


You and I are close enough to one another. One thing I've learned since I've lived here, is that fall doesn't actually begin until AFTER Halloween. We're still cutting grass until the end of Oct. I hate it, but that's life here.
Quoting 95. MahFL:



Sam is not being replaced, he's actually being moved to prime time.


Indeed.

The best news out of the entire shakeup is that Prospectors is getting the boot. How TWC thought watching people collect rocks would be entertaining, I have no idea.


She might stop singing

Quoting 88. tampabaymatt:



I assume there is a point I'm missing, but based on what was posted, I don't see how that would be any indicator of a weak 2016 hurricane season. SSTs can go from below average to above average in 3 months easily.


The point is that SSTs are not a sole variable that would indicate a weak or strong hurricane season. As you've indicated SST vary during a 6 month season.
Quoting 96. Grothar:



What is this test everyone is talking about? Is there a Blobus personality on it?


There are fluffy personalities with whom you may be in synch Grothar.

Follow the link:
http://www.wunderground.com/wunder-friends
My name is Claude today
103. bwi
Pretty impressive -- peak of Atlantic hurricane season and only the fleeting faintest whiff of any support from the models for tropical development. El Nino indeed.
I'm glad to see Dave Schwartz back on TWC, even though he's been back for a while. HE needs to be running that WeatherUnderground show everyday! he's the perfect match for it and has the knowledge and personality to do it. Even Mike Bettes knows this.... that this guy should be the SHOW.

I've been watching that guy in the 90s as a kid and that guy is awesome. I would sit up late at night during the summers just to watch him because he was funny and knew how to discuss weather in a laymen's talk kind of way.

TWC if you're reading this, I HIGHLY recommend you pay attention to us Weather Undergrounders, we KNOW WEATHER and LIVE FOR WEATHER.

Dave Schwartz da Man
Interesting, it appears I am Claude!
106. JLPR2
Still some life left with Grace's remains, if it keeps firing every once in awhile it could give someone a stormy day down the road.



C'mon Grace bring rain to Cariboy and me. XD
107. FOREX
Quoting 77. nash36:



Oh god....

I'd much prefer to watch Sam over Stephanie. For whatever reason, she gets on my last reserved nerve. Honestly, just give me Jim, Carl Parker, Paul Goodloe, Bettes and Dr. Forbes. I'd be a happy camper with just those folks.
I could just watch Kaite Parker 24/7.
Hurricane Betsy was this blogger's first dance with a Major with a direct pass of the eye.

I was 5.5 at the time.

The Storm was a night one and what really scared me was all the talk of "the Eye " is gonna come right over.

I do remember vividly, my Sister who was 7 at the time ask my Dad, a WW-2 USMC 105 Gunner, "Dad, is the wall gonna blow down?"

No way He said, but I remembering Him watching that darn thing breathe.

The East winds were 100 plus sustained in the worst of the Eyewall.

50th Anniversary

Hurricane Betsy - 1965


NWS Baton Rouge

At the time Hurricane Betsy was the most destructive storm on record for the Louisiana coast and the worst storm in the modern era for New Orleans, until Hurricane Katrina. In September 1965, the Weather Bureau listed Betsy as responsible for 53 fatalities in Louisiana and southern Mississippi. Approximately 1,000 homes were destroyed with many more in need of major repairs, and total losses were later assessed at $1.42 billion (unadjusted for inflation). Betsy was the first U.S. hurricane to exceed a billion dollars in losses giving it the nickname Billion Dollar Betsy. Several communities along the Mississippi River south of New Orleans were lost and there was significant damage to area agriculture and oil industry.
Storm History and Track

The origins of Betsy go back to August 27, 1965 when Navy hurricane reconnaissance aircraft located a tropical depression about 350 miles east of Barbados in the Caribbean. Also on August 27 the National Weather Satellite Center stated that the TIROS X weather satellite, launched earlier that summer, photographed a circular storm in that area (Image 1). The use of weather satellite imagery was still new in the field of meteorology with TIROS I, the first weather satellite, only launched five years prior on April 1, 1960








By evening on August 27 the storm had strengthened and the San Juan Weather Bureau Office named it Tropical Storm Betsy. One of the first impacts of Betsy was to the U.S. space program. The Gemini 5 space mission was cut short by one orbit to allow for an earlier and further north splashdown east of Florida the morning of August 29 due to the threatening storm (Image 2). By later that evening the Weather Bureau office in Miami indicated that Betsy had further strengthened to a hurricane. Between August 29 and September 6 Betsy gave forecasters fits with its erratic track and sudden intensity changes. During this time Betsy weakened to a Tropical Storm then back to a hurricane and at two points the center of Betsy stalled, making gradual loops in its track (Image 3). By September 6 Betsy regained a steady forward motion heading south through the Bahamas then toward the southeast Florida coast. Overnight, September 7th Betsy skirted the Miami area as a Category 3 storm. The large eye of the storm, 40 miles in diameter, crossed Key Largo during pre-dawn hours September 8. By midday September 8 Betsy had moved through the Florida Keys and into the Gulf of Mexico. At 7pm CST a Hurricane Watch was issued from the mouth of the Mississippi River westward to central Texas (Image 4).

Air Force and Navy reconnaissance planes closely followed Hurricane Betsy in the Gulf as the storm picked up speed moving northwest toward the central Gulf Coast. At 6am CST September 9th a hurricane warning was issued from the mouth of the Mississippi River to Galveston, TX and was later extended east to Mobile, AL (Image 5). Evacuations were advised for low lying areas along the central Gulf Coast September 9th and were extended to the lake front along Lake Pontchartrain that evening.

At 11am CST September 9th the center of Betsy began to appear on land based radar from New Orleans and Pensacola. The large eye of Betsy made landfall near Grand Isle at 10pm CST September 9th with wind gusts reported at up to 160 mph and barometric pressure at 28.00 inches of mercury (946 millibars).

Conditions deteriorated quickly in New Orleans by nightfall September 9th with winds exceeding 100 mph not long after 10pm CST. By 11pm CST the center was passing 35 miles southwest of New Orleans and wind reached 125 mph over the city. About this time the New Orleans Weather Bureau lost power and the Miami office took over advisory capabilities. During the night the center tracked over Houma and Thibodaux then reaching 20 miles west of Baton Rouge by 4am CST September 10 with winds still 100 mph near the center. At 11am CST Betsy was rapidly losing strength and was downgraded to a tropical storm with its center 50 miles northeast of Alexandria. The remnants of Betsy then tracked to the northeast and brought heavy rain to the Ohio River Valley as it dissipated.

Storm surge of 10-12 feet was observed along coastal areas from Grand Isle to the Mississippi Coast. The Mississippi River at New Orleans rose 10 feet during the height of the storm. Near New Orleans significant flooding from levee overtopping and breaks occurred mainly on the east side of the city in Gentilly and St. Bernard Parish with water up to the rooftops of homes. Wind damage was widespread elsewhere in New Orleans with signs and facades blown down on Canal St, churches collapsed, roofs and chimneys of homes badly damaged, windows smashed and trees down (see images below).

President Johnson visited New Orleans late September 10 and declared Louisiana a disaster area.


Overall the 1965 Atlantic hurricane season was relatively quiet. Only six tropical cyclones reached tropical storm intensity and four became hurricanes. Betsy was the only hurricane to make US landfall and reach major hurricane strength (Category 3 or higher). Similar to this year, Betsy occurred during a season with developing El Nino conditions. Today Betsy remains part of the storied hurricane history along the central Gulf Coast and serves as a reminder to be prepared every year during the tropical season for potential storms.


Satellite

Here are some additional satellite images as Hurricane Betsy was in the western Atlantic Ocean in September 1965.





It says I'm Tubby. I just can't wear the T-shirt though. With my fantastic physic, no one would believe it.
Here we go again.

The Missing TIROS Sat Image of Betsy in my last.


This Fancy Smancy I phone thing is not co operating with my intentions, grrrr'

I hate technology




Did the 12z CMC get its days mixed up and thought it was was throwback Thursday..

Someone needs to unplug the CMC for 20 seconds and then plug it back up as my AT&T tech guy would tell me how to fix my modem issues..



Quoting 110. SouthCentralTx:

Here we go again.




Quoting 104. RitaEvac:

I'm glad to see Dave Schwartz back on TWC, even though he's been back for a while. HE needs to be running that WeatherUnderground show everyday! he's the perfect match for it and has the knowledge and personality to do it. Even Mike Bettes knows this.... that this guy should be the SHOW.

I've been watching that guy in the 90s as a kid and that guy is awesome. I would sit up late at night during the summers just to watch him because he was funny and knew how to discuss weather in a laymen's talk kind of way.

TWC if you're reading this, I HIGHLY recommend you pay attention to us Weather Undergrounders, we KNOW WEATHER and LIVE FOR WEATHER.

Dave Schwartz da Man


Dave has been around since dirt, and the man is INCREDIBLY smart!! He is a class act.
Team Claude.

12z Euro dropping a bomb in the Gulf this run, lol. Way out in time.
Ugh...
Quoting 109. Grothar:

It says I'm Tubby. I just can't wear the T-shirt though. With my fantastic physic, no one would believe it.
Me too...Thing is, technically, i,m not tubby.
Quoting 116. SouthCentralTx:

lol





That would be something
if the cmc comes to fruition my yrly forecast of storms could be really close.
And there you have it...

JeffMasters has created a new entry.
I'd suggest that we divide into wunder-friend teams for next season and place our best guesses as to the number of storms for 2016 and the winning wunder-friend team members of the team that gets close to the average number of storms by type get to appear on the Wunderground TV Show wearing their wunder-friend T-shirt and free membership for the next year.

Quoting 115. MAweatherboy1:

Team Claude.

12z Euro dropping a bomb in the Gulf this run, lol. Way out in time.


Wind shear is very high in the Gulf right now. is that forecasted to change?
Joining Gro, hydrus, & others on team Tubby. Like them, that certainly wouldn't be what I'd be called normally.

Had a little over .5" yesterday in downpour, then a little over .3" this a.m. Sun starting to break through and temp already to forecast high of 79, so may go above. Press up to almost 30", dew pt down to 66, so no HX in S C IL. Light E-ENE winds. Have dropped that Sun morning low into upper 40s now hydrus. Site I get station weather and forecast from has Mon morning back in 50s, but TWC showed mid 40s, guess we'll see.

With the passing of One Tough Dominican yesterday, kind of hope a gentle TS Joaquin (that would reflect his off field personality & deeds) would bring beneficial rains to the Northern Islands, PR, & of course the Dominican Republic.
Grace dissipated