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Historic Blizzard Rips across New England; New York City Largely Spared

By: Jeff Masters and Bob Henson 4:46 PM GMT on January 27, 2015

Although the New York City metropolitan area was largely spared, the Blizzard of 2015 is pulling no punches this morning across much of eastern New England. Some locations in Massachusetts have already topped two feet of snow, with heavy snowbands still pounding the Boston metropolitan area and Cape Cod, extending northeast into coastal Maine. Although the heaviest snow will exit New England later this afternoon, lighter snow could persist into tonight in some areas.

According to the 10 EST Tuesday NWS Storm Summary and reports from the Boston NWS and New York City NWS, total snowfall amounts as of 9 am EST Tuesday at some Northeast U.S. locations included:

26.0" Worcester, MA
20.9" Islip, NY
18.0" New Bedford, MA
14.8" Portland, ME
11.0" Providence, RI
11.0" NYC La Guardia Airport
8.6" NYC JFK Airport
7.8" NYC Central Park
4.5" East Hartford, CT
3.5" Bridgeport, CT
7.0" New Haven, CT
6.0" Newark, NJ
1.1" Washington DC

At 10:10 am EST, an observer in Framingham, MA, reported 30.0”.
Top wind gusts:

78 mph, Nantucket Island, MA
78 mph, Mount Washington, NH
74 mph, Humarock, MA
70 mph, Sagamore on Cape Cod, MA

The highest sustained winds thus far have occurred at Nantucket Island: 59 mph at 6:09 am Tuesday.


Figure 1. Photo credit: A vehicle buried under a night’s worth of heavy snow in East Lyme, Connecticut. Photo credit: Wunderphotographer Xchange.

The Massachusetts coastline experienced high waves, moderate coastal flooding, and a few areas of major coastal flooding this morning. According to the Boston Globe, Scituate, located southeast of Boston, reported “rapidly deteriorating conditions’’ after the predawn high tide, with residents along Central Avenue and Surfside Road calling for help to evacuate their flooded homes. Preliminary data from the NOAA Tides and Currents website shows that the storm surge in Boston Harbor (the amount delivered by the storm above normal high and low tides) was exceeding 4.5 feet as of 11:00 am EST--considerably higher than expected. This surge is higher than the maximum storm surge observed in the blizzard of February 1978, but slightly less than the 5 feet observed in the “Perfect Storm” of Halloween 1991. Fortunately, the maximum surge occurred as the tide was going out; during the 4:30 am Tuesday high tide, the surge was lower, about 3.2 feet.


Figure 2. Infrared satellite images of the “Storm of the Century” (March 13, 1993) and the Blizzard of 2015 (January 27, 2015). Image credit: CIMMS Satellite Blog (left), WunderMap (right).


Why was the snowfall forecast for New York City too high?
On Monday morning, the National Weather Service predicted storm-total snowfall amounts of 20 - 30" for New York City. As of 9 am EST Tuesday, snowfall amounts in the city ranged from 7.8" in Central Park to 11" at La Guardia Airport, with just 1 - 2" more snow likely. So what went wrong with the forecast? Heavy snow forecasts are notoriously difficult, since our computer models struggle to accurately predict where the very narrow bands of heavy snow with snowfall rates of 2 - 4" per hour will set up. Furthermore, an error of 50 miles in predicting the track of the storm can make a huge difference in snowfall amounts, and a 50-mile error in track in a 24-hour forecast is fairly common for a storm system 1000 miles across. The 7 am EST (12 UTC) Monday run of what is usually our top forecast model, the European model, predicted that the storm would track about 100 miles farther west than it actually did. The American GFS model, which just underwent a significant upgrade over the past month to give it increased horizontal resolution, performed better, putting the storm farther to the east. Forecasts that relied too heavily on the European model put too much snow over New York City. The heaviest snows were about 50 miles east of the city, over central Long Island (Islip Airport, located 50 miles east of New York City, got 20.9" of snow as of 9 am EST Tuesday.) Moral of the story: the European model, which famously out-predicted the GFS model during Hurricane Sandy, is not always right. The GFS model is also a top-notch model, and will sometimes outperform the European model. The Weather Channel forecasts relied less heavily on the European model, and predicted 15" of snow for NYC early on Sunday. The forecast snow amounts were cut to less than 10" by Sunday evening, and stayed that way for the duration of the storm.


Figure 3. Surface pressure (blue contours) and precipitation (color-fill) forecast for 7 am Tuesday January 27, 2015, as predicted by the 7 am EST (12 UTC) Monday January 26 run of the European model. The model's predicted center location of the blizzard (marked with an "L") was about 100 miles farther west than the what actually occurred. Image taken from our wundermap with the model maps layer turned on.

As recently as Monday morning, the Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system suggested a wide range of possibilities for total snowfall in the New York area (considerably wider than for Boston, where models were in closer agreement on a big storm). Forecasters are increasingly looking to probabilistic tools as a way to convey the uncertainty inherent in multiple model solutions. As we noted yesterday, the NWS Boston office released maps showing the lowest and highest 10% of accumulations that might be expected based on a range of model guidance. Such maps remain experimental, and it is not yet clear what formats will be most useful to the wide range of public and specialized users of NWS forecasts. The recent growth in collaboration among social scientists and meteorologists could shed light on the best routes forward as probabilistic guidance grows in complexity (and potential usefulness). For more on the probabilistic aspects of the Blizzard of 2015, see Lee Grenci’s Wunderground post “Misleading Snowfall Forecasts.” We will continue to update our live blog on the storm through the day.


Figure 4. Cumulative snowfall predictions for New York (LaGuardia Airport) from the Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system issued at 5 pm EST (21 UTC) Monday, January 26. The SREF ensemble is drawn from several independent runs using the NAM, WRF-NMM, and WRF-ARW models. A split between model clusters is evident in the large spread of projected accumulations, with predicted snowfall amounts ranging from 4" to 40". Image credit: NOAA Storm Prediction Center.

Bob Henson and Jeff Masters
whoa! open my back door and saw this!
whoa! open my back door and saw this!
snow gremlin gives good sense of accumulation in Boston
snow gremlin gives good sense of accumulation in Boston
E 83rd snow love
E 83rd snow love
MORE SMITHTOWN, NEW YORK. LONG ISLAND.
MORE SMITHTOWN, NEW YORK.  LONG ISLAND.

Winter Weather Juno Blizzard

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Worcester has had 26.0" of snow at the airport ;)

Hey! The blog just got changed ;)
Thanks Dr. Bob Henson!
The eye of the storm.

Wow the month has run, February begins in 5 days.
Quoting 2. Climate175:

Thanks Dr. Masters!


Bob Henson does the majority of the blog entries now.
"Why was the snowfall forecast for New York City too low?"

Should that not in fact be "too high" ?
Meteorologists apologize for busted forecast [Philly/NJ]

While meteorologists had been calling for the Philadelphia area to get slammed with a foot or more of snow, most of the region has ended up getting just an inch or two.

The storm shifted east overnight, dumping much less snow than expected on the area. As it became clear earlier forecasts had drastically overstated the amount of snow headed to Philadelphia, some meteorologists took to social media to apologize for the massive snow predictions.

Shortly before 1 a.m., Gary Szatkowski of the National Weather Service's Mount Holly office posted on Twitter:

[more at link]
Quoting 6. DonnieBwkGA:



Bob Henson does the majority of the blog entries now.
Yes, I got used to saying that, thank you for the correction.
Thanks Bob,Here's a photo I got from a house located in Long island

Beautiful I'm sure on a clear day but a hassle during a strong storm.
I wouldn't say this was a "Historic Storm". 1993 Superstorm was historic but this no as there have been many storms over the years of this caliber across New England. This is a big storm for them yes but historic i don't think that would be correct at this juncture. JMO.
I didn't realize that in just 2013, Boston got 24.9" and Worcester 28.5" in a snow storm. So it hasn't been that long for them.
Thanks to MahFL and DonnieBwkGA for the great catches on our snow subheadline and the Worcester snow report.

Re the blog authorship, Jeff and I teamed up for yesterday's and today's posts. More typically, it'll be one or the other of us posting, as reflected in the byline at top.

Bob H.
Thank you. I'm in the low snow area,by just a few miles. My towns reverse 911 calls were a little extreme. State of emergency. bah,a snow storm in winter N.E. Wx. I'll just wait a minute,it'll change. BTW: better safe that sorry. :) Peace.
Quoting MahFL:
"Why was the snowfall forecast for New York City too low?"

Should that not in fact be "too high" ?


Yeah, I think they got that backwards or it needs to be restated.
Carried over from the previous blog:
Quoting 1030. LAbonbon:

Updated:

Middlesex County, MA - 30 in
Worcestor County, MA - 26.5 in
Windham County, CT - 22.5 in
Hartford County, CT - 21.5 in
Providence County, RI - 21 in
Plymouth County, MA - 21 in
Suffolk County, MA - 20 in
Tolland County, CT - 19.5 in
Bristol County, MA - 19.5 in
Norfolk County, MA - 19.4 in
Barnstable County, MA - 19 in
Essex County, MA - 19 in
Norfolk County, MA - 18 in
Dukes County, MA - 16 in
Kent County, RI - 16 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Washington County, RI - 15 in

(Source)

Quoting 1036. sar2401:

That's quite a range in Worcester County. All the way from 6" to 26". It's a big county though, as I'm sure you know, that takes up about half of Massachusetts, so it's probably a pretty good proxy for those areas not on the immediate coast.

I used to live there :) When someone in MA is referring to the 'snowbelt', they're referring to Worcester County. There is often quite a bit of variability in snowfall.

Quoting 1034. Sfloridacat5:



During the Lake Effect snow event in Buffalo the NWS didn't count "ham radio" and "trained Spotters" as "official storm totals."

Who did they use?
Quoting BobHenson:
Thanks to MahFL and DonnieBwkGA for the great catches on our snow subheadline and the Worcester snow report.

Re the blog authorship, Jeff and I teamed up for yesterday's and today's posts. More typically, it'll be one or the other of us posting, as reflected in the byline at top.

Bob H.
I don't know how it works there but I can tell when you've posted the blog article compared to Dr. Masters. Yours are just the headline with no text while Dr. Masters gets about a couple of sentences below the headline. I don't know if there's a way to coordinate that so the look is the same for both of you on the main page.
Hopefully you can see this.

Storm totals from the 2013 storm.


Top snowfall for Boston.



Link
Quoting 13. Sfloridacat5:

I didn't realize that in just 2013, Boston got 24.9" and Worcester 28.5" in a snow storm. So it hasn't been that long for them.


That's my point.
Thanks Dr. and Mr. Henson for the current analysis on the storm and the snowfall-model issue. The analysis as to the "50" mile difference in tracks is a good point and almost similar to the "cone" projections in the case of tropical low pressure systems as any jogs in either direction can make a huge difference to any particular location. This is frequently seen with "coast hugging" low pressure systems and their impacts (or lack of of) on the coastal areas to their West depending on the ultimate trajectories as they ride the coast.

I will defend the NY authorities for their warnings for the City and better safe than sorry at the end of the day; I would never accuse NOAA or NWS of a busted forecast in this situation when all professional mets, and those on TWC, were noting the significant model divergence, and lack of consensus, as late as last evening.
Quoting 22. tampabaymatt:


Sorry for SoFlo but happy for TX!
Meanwhile in CA, I'm just happy about the 0.3 inches of rain from our storm overnight.
FWIW; my Wife graduated from Holy Cross in Worchester in the 1980's and she remembers several tough winters during her 4 years there. For the uninitiated, the phonetic pronunciation is like "wurster"......... :)
Quoting 23. weathermanwannabe:

will defend the NY authorities for their warnings for the City and better safe than sorry at the end of the day; I would never accuse NOAA or NWS of a busted forecast in this situation when all professional mets, and those on TWC, were noting the significant model divergence, and lack of consensus, as late as last evening.
For some time Joe Bastardi has been noting an eastward bias to the GFS. As it turns out, this time the GFS was correct and the Euro was off to the west. Hindcasting is easy.
Quoting 11. DonnieBwkGA:

Rough water at Boston Harbor buoy

Wave heights are getting up there..

Quoting 27. weathermanwannabe:

FWIW; my Wife graduated from Holy Cross in Worchester in the 1980's and she remembers several tough winters during her 4 years there. For the uninitiated, the phonetic pronunciation is like "wurster"......... :)


No, silly, it's "wuster"
Quoting 31. klaatuborada:



No, silly, it's "wuster"


And I still go w/ Wister :)
The winds are NOT letting up here on Cape Cod. Can barely see out my living room window. All doors have drifts. Garage door has three to four foot drift against it. Going to get dressed and get outside and take pictures.
Quoting 31. klaatuborada:



No, silly, it's "wuster"


My bad and you are correct; met a Man from "Wuster" at a party last year and that is exactly how my Wife and Him chatted up the town for 2 hours......................
Still wonder what this system would have done if the NAO had been negative. Things might have been different.
Thanks to the Dynamic Duo for the new post,
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Thanks Dr. and Mr. Henson for the current analysis on the storm and the snowfall-model issue. The analysis as to the "50" mile difference in tracks is a good point and almost similar to the "cone" projections in the case of tropical low pressure systems as any jogs in either direction can make a huge difference to any particular location. This is frequently seen with "coast hugging" low pressure systems and their impacts (or lack of of) on the coastal areas to their West depending on the ultimate trajectories as they ride the coast.

I will defend the NY authorities for their warnings for the City and better safe than sorry at the end of the day; I would never accuse NOAA or NWS of a busted forecast in this situation when all professional mets, and those on TWC, were noting the significant model divergence, and lack of consensus, as late as last evening.
You don't have to accuse them of a busted forecast. The head forecaster for the NWS Philly office took to Twitter this morning at 1:00 am EST and made a heartfelt and appropriate apology for the busted forecast. The snow and blizzard forecast for everywhere from south New Jersey to eastern PA and over to Delaware ranged from wrong to really wrong. Obviously the NYC forecast was off as well, but they stuck with their forecast snow totals for way too long. This is a big area to have a forecast be over a foot and then have the actual be two inches or less.

I don't blame the government officials that took the steps they did. They were advised by the NWS this was going to be a historic blizzard and took the appropriate steps to deal with it if that forecast had turned out to be correct. The NWS does need to take a serious look at why their forecast using the models didn't verify and decide how they would have done this differently. This can't happen very often before those same government officials and the people just don't pay attention when the real deal comes along.
Quoting 27. weathermanwannabe:

FWIW; my Wife graduated from Holy Cross in Worchester in the 1980's and she remembers several tough winters during her 4 years there. For the uninitiated, the phonetic pronunciation is like "wurster"......... :)
It's more like "Wooster" with the "oo" phonetically the same as in "good."

CoCoRaHS site nearby has .39" for 1/26 and .62 for the month.
54 nautical miles S.E. of Nantucket..

Station 44008
NDBC
Location: 40.503N 69.248W
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2015 16:50:00 UTC
Winds: NW (320°) at 36.9 kt gusting to 50.5 kt
Significant Wave Height: 19.0 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 11 sec
Mean Wave Direction: E (88°)
Atmospheric Pressure: 28.98 in and rising rapidly
Air Temperature: 37.8 F
Dew Point: 36.7 F
Water Temperature: 48.4 F
thanks for the update
next time we will forecast 2 to 3 inches for the next storm
then get 3 to 5 feet

watch lol

have a good day
Quoting 34. weathermanwannabe:



My bad and you are correct; met a Man from "Wuster" at a party last year and that is exactly how my Wife and Him chatted up the town for 2 hours......................


In the local tongue it sounds like "whist-tah"
Here are some current bouy readings from this morning on wind speeds and wave heights off of the Boston coast; impressive

Nantucket Island

Station NTKM3
NOS
Location: 41.285N 70.096W
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2015 17:00:00 UTC
Winds: N (350) at 22.9 kt gusting to 42.9 kt
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.24 in and rising
Air Temperature: 27.1 F
Water Temperature: 31.1 F


Long Island Sound

Station 44039
MYSOUND
Location: 41.138N 72.655W
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2015 17:00:00 UTC
Winds: N (350) at 21.4 kt gusting to 31.1 kt
Significant Wave Height: 3.3 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 4 sec
Air Temperature: 25.5 F
Dew Point: 17.6 F
Water Temperature: 35.8 F

Due East of Boston:

Station 44013
NDBC
Location: 42.346N 70.651W
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2015 16:50:00 UTC
Winds: NNE (20) at 40.8 kt gusting to 52.4 kt
Significant Wave Height: 27.2 ft

Dominant Wave Period: 14 sec
Mean Wave Direction: E (84)
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.35 in and falling rapidly
Air Temperature: 25.9 F
Dew Point: 25.7 F
Water Temperature: 40.5 F

Quoting PedleyCA:

CoCoRaHS site nearby has .39" for 1/26 and .62 for the month.

Is the desert getting above average rainfall this year? Good spring for wild flowers maybe?
Looking at the current radar loops it looks like the low is starting to turn inland to the west North of Boston (between Concord and Augusta).
Quoting 33. klaatuborada:

The winds are NOT letting up here on Cape Cod. Can barely see out my living room window. All doors have drifts. Garage door has three to four foot drift against it. Going to get dressed and get outside and take pictures.
stay safe up there.
410 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY SNOW
SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Quoting 45. RedwoodCoast:


Is the desert getting above average rainfall this year? Good spring for wild flowers maybe?


I haven't paid much attention to the totals East of here, but they do seem to get a lot more rain in the Eastern 2/3's of this county at least visually.
Quoting 46. weathermanwannabe:

Looking at the current radar loops it looks like the low is starting to turn inland to the west North of Boston (between Concord and Augusta).


That's not the storm center, just a precipitation free slot, the center is further away and moving slowly NNE.
This is the low level center :

Its winter in the Northern Hemisphere. The E. US got some snow. Yawn.
Quoting 52. ekogaia:

Its winter in the Northern Hemisphere. The E. US got some snow. Yawn.


Thanks for the thought provoking comment. This is a weather blog last time I checked, so it stands to reason that a snow storm in the NE will draw some comments on a weather blog. Imagine that.
DT has been awfully quite today..lol.I guess because king Euro busted in N.Y.C,
Quoting 50. MahFL:



That's not the storm center, just a precipitation free slot, the center is further away and moving slowly NNE.

I was looking at both vis sat & long range radar earlier & thought the center was pretty tilted or not stacked well on top of itself.
Skycam: Views of St. John's, the Narrows and the Harbour from Signal Hill



storm has yet to arrive begin as snow to ice to rain mostly rain or freezing rain event temps will rise to mid forties later tonight
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Taunton Massachusetts
107 PM EST Tuesday Jan 27 2015

Synopsis...


&&


Near term /through tonight/...
highlights...


* blizzard continues across eastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island this afternoon with
gradual improvement tonight


* snow diminishing across western Massachusetts/northern CT this afternoon but
some blowing and drifting snow continues


* destructive winds continue on the cape/Nantucket through the
afternoon with winds gradually diminishing tonight


1235 PM update...


Just lighter snowfall remained across northern CT and western Massachusetts at
around noon. Therefore...have downgraded northern CT to a Winter
Storm Warning. Any additional snow accumulations in this region
should be light with it all pretty much over by early this evening.
However...gusts between 25 and 35 miles per hour will result in blowing and
drifting snow and poor visibilities at times.


Meanwhile...1 to 2 inch per hour snowfall rates continue across
eastern MA/RI. This a result of well developed storm and a good middle
level deformation zone. Moderate to heavy snow will continue in
this region for another few hours...before tapering to lighter
snowfall by early evening. Blowing and drifting snow will continue
to result in blizzard conditions and near zero visibility through the
afternoon. Gradual improvement occurs this evening and especially
tonight.


Conditions across the cape and islands are life threatening.
Northerly wind gusts between 55 and 70 miles per hour with heavy snow and
near zero visibility continue to affect the region. Snow will
diminish some in intensity by late afternoon/early evening...but
blowing and drifting snow will continue right through tonight.
Winds will remain powerful with strong northerly low level jet
through the afternoon...so it will take until this evening to
diminish some although they will remain strong.


Tonight...
as middle level low lifts north from east of Cape Cod...expect snow
to gradually wind down and end from west to east. Some minor
additional accumulate possible. Otherwise very cold with lows down
into the single numbers...except teens immediate coast. Expect
subzero wind chills developing and approaching wind chill
threshold of -15 over the higher terrain in western and northern
Massachusetts.


&&
IN PA right now did not get a lot of snow but here are some pictures from last night.

Quoting 55. Skyepony:


thought the center was pretty tilted or not stacked well on top of itself.


Yes I thought I saw the upper level part a little further west, kinda heading north.
Maine and New Hampshire are getting some wind as well:. Below are some recent wind reports:

...MAINE...

...ANDROSCOGGIN...
AUBURN/LEWISTON MUNICIPAL AI 45 MPH 1135 AM 01/27

...CUMBERLAND...
BRUNSWICK NAVAL AIR STATION 45 MPH 1248 PM 01/27
PORTLAND JETPORT (PWM) 41 MPH 1012 AM 01/27
1 WNW CAPE ELIZABETH 40 MPH 1243 PM 01/27

...KENNEBEC...
AUGUSTA STATE AIRPORT 54 MPH 1211 PM 01/27
WATERVILLE ROBERT LAFLEUR AI 40 MPH 1255 PM 01/27

...KNOX...
10 WSW SWANS ISLAND 54 MPH 1210 PM 01/27
KNOX COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT 46 MPH 1155 AM 01/27
10 E VINALHAVEN 45 MPH 1038 AM 01/27

...LINCOLN...
3 ESE SOUTH BRISTOL 55 MPH 1145 AM 01/27
3 E SOUTH BRISTOL 46 MPH 1132 AM 01/27
WALDOBORO 34 MPH 1121 AM 01/27
WISCASSET AIRPORT 30 MPH 1213 PM 01/27

...MARINE REPORTING STATIONS...
MATINICUS ROCK 67 MPH 1200 PM 01/27
WESTERN MAINE SHELF 63 MPH 1100 AM 01/27
PENOBSCOT BAY 56 MPH 1130 AM 01/27
7 ESE CAPE ELIZABETH 54 MPH 1150 AM 01/27
CENTRAL MAINE SHELF 54 MPH 1030 AM 01/27
CHEBEAGUE ISLAND 53 MPH 1059 AM 01/27

...SAGADAHOC...
5 SSW GEORGETOWN 43 MPH 1250 PM 01/27
2 S BATH 40 MPH 1220 PM 01/27

...YORK...
CAPE NEDDICK 47 MPH 1142 AM 01/27

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...

...CARROLL...
4 ENE MEREDITH 48 MPH 1137 AM 01/27

...HILLSBOROUGH...
MANCHESTER AIRPORT GRENIER I 40 MPH 1220 PM 01/27
1 SW AMHERST 40 MPH 1153 AM 01/27

...MARINE REPORTING STATIONS...
ISLE OF SHOALS 62 MPH 1100 AM 01/27

(Source and for full list)

An earthquake reached the Mid-West of Brazil yesterday. The quake of 4.4 in Richter Scale and were felt by 12 seismograph stations.
58. SFLWeatherman
1:25 PM EST on January 27, 2015


That is an awesome pic.....................Reminds me of Neo from the Matrix...............
If the snow band had moved 35 miles to the west -- the forecast would have been good. I think that in this day and age of we "want it now" people forget that its an imperfect science. No one controls the weather -- not even the great models.

Was it absolutely necessary to close down NYC? probably not -- but hundreds of thousands that work there would be coming from the harder hit areas. What is acceptable risk? How many deaths due to accidents is the allowable amount not to lose a day's business? In hurricane country when we close for the day, and it doesn't hit we say thank goodness and go about our business. We don't sit and whine that they "got it wrong"
Lol Thanks! :P
Quoting 62. weathermanwannabe:

58. SFLWeatherman
1:25 PM EST on January 27, 2015


That is an awesome pic.....................Reminds me of Neo from the Matrix...............
Whiteout conditions right now. Can't see across the street.
25" in Rockland Ma and still snowing hard
Mike Seidel can't do a live shot without acting like the wind is knocking him over.
little spin way out there 20w25n
Quoting 12. StormTrackerScott:

I wouldn't say this was a "Historic Storm". 1993 Superstorm was historic but this no as there have been many storms over the years of this caliber across New England. This is a big storm for them yes but historic i don't think that would be correct at this juncture. JMO.


Seems like with more and more extreme weather events, people aren't satisfied with anything short of unprecedented apocalypse.

It would seem to me that the most straightforward definition of "historic" is a storm which is likely to "go down in the history books," or meteorological annals, which in this context probably means something like, "to generate a Top-5-ever snowfall in a substantial area." A storm that generated an all-time record snowfall at any major location would seem to be a shoo-in for the label "historic." Given that this storm looks likely to break Boston's all-time and Worcester's all-time records (or at worst to fall short by a couple inches), in line with predictions, the label seems entirely appropriate. (Not to mention the second-highest storm surge ever in Boston harbor, missing the "Perfect Storm" of '91 by only an inch.)
Boston's official total through about 1PM is 20.8". 27.5" is the single storm record to beat. Still some pretty heavy banding around the city, especially towards the airport where they take the official readings. Not out of the question the record falls, but I think they come up a little short.
Quoting 32. LAbonbon:



And I still go w/ Wister :)


Whistah
Well, MANY pissed off people in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and NYC today. Everything was shut down and some places don't even have enough snow to cover the ground. Honestly just glad it wasn't worse.

My diagnosis: too much faith in the Euro solution.
Quoting 73. wxgeek723:

Well, MANY pissed off people in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and NYC today. Everything was shut down and some places don't even have enough snow to cover the ground. Honestly just glad it wasn't worse.

My diagnosis: too much faith in the Euro solution.


Or new GFS upgrade has been very good.
@FlyingScotsman - you are dead on. This is absolutely a historic storm. But apparently, since it wasn't a historic storm in Central Park, it doesn't count to some people.

Hurricane-force gusts, a large swatch of 2'+ snowfalls - that's historic.
Could be a big storm across FL next week. Nothing historic LOL but a heavy rain maker for sure if this pans out as the Euro and CMC suggest.

I see a number of, "This was no big deal" posts from some claiming that the event wasn't historic.

Seriously?

As of about 1:00 PM, Boston has picked up 21.5" from Juno, placing the storm into 7th place on the list of the top-ten largest snowfalls ever for Boston since recordkeeping began back in 1890. And the snow is still coming down, of course, so several more inches are likely to be added.



Bottom line: if someone tells you this storm isn't historic, they're not being truthful.
BREAKING NEWS... Wxrisk and the European weather Model are getting a Divorce

from here
Link
Quoting 75. Tropicsweatherpr:



Or new GFS upgrade has been very good.


Perhaps both. Revoking the Euro's special privileges and taking the GFS more seriously.



heavy snow in MAINE...
Jut spoke with friends living in Wellfleet, near the tip of Cape Cod, They say the storm there is "as advertised". They can't really judge how much snow has fallen in total: "enough that the 50+ mph winds is creating whiteouts." Unfortunately, it is heavy, wet snow.Shovelling will be brutal. They still have power.
Quoting 78. Neapolitan:

I see a number of, "This was no big deal" posts from some claiming that the event wasn't historic.

Seriously?

As of about 1:00 PM, Boston has picked up 21.5" from Juno, placing the storm into 7th place on the list of the top-ten largest snowfalls ever for Boston since recordkeeping began back in 1890. And the snow is still coming down, of course, so several more inches are likely to be added.



Bottom line: if someone tells you this storm isn't historic, they're not being truthful.



Anyone saying the storm collectively busted is most certainly wrong. Desperate conditions materialized over New England and I am very impressed with the images coming out of Massachusetts. However, it cannot be overlooked that New York City/New Jersey and to a lesser extent Philadelphia were shut down and sent into panic mode for a storm that turned out to be quite ordinary and in some cases nothing.
Quoting 79. Tazmanian:

BREAKING NEWS... Wxrisk and the European weather Model are getting a Divorce

from here
Link
very funny
Quoting 76. rwdobson:

@FlyingScotsman - you are dead on. This is absolutely a historic storm. But apparently, since it wasn't a historic storm in Central Park, it doesn't count to some people.

Hurricane-force gusts, a large swatch of 2'+ snowfalls - that's historic.



It seems as if Boston gets hit like this every 2 to 3 years. My point is I don't think this would go down as "Historic" as the worst weather was located with 100 miles of the coast. Impacts were limited to a relatively small area. The 1993 Superstorm impacted the entire Eastern US with Gale to Hurricane force winds from FL to Maine.
Updated:

Middlesex County, MA - 30 in
Worcestor County, MA - 30 in
Windham County, CT - 25 in
Bristol County, MA - 24 in
Plymouth County, MA - 23.8 in
Providence County, RI - 23 in
Essex County, MA - 23 in
Norfolk County, MA - 22 in
Hartford County, CT - 21.5 in
Suffolk County, MA - 21.5 in
Tolland County, CT - 19.5 in
Norfolk County, MA - 19.4 in
Barnstable County, MA - 19 in
Kent County, RI - 17.3 in
Dukes County, MA - 16 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Washington County, RI - 15 in

(Source)
As far as totals across the region go, the GFS upgrade performed better than the ECMWF. However, I think it would be pretty silly to declare either of them a winner considering they didn't show this blizzard until 2 days before it began.

Still a long way to go with modelling.
Quoting 78. Neapolitan:

I see a number of, "This was no big deal" posts from some claiming that the event wasn't historic.

Seriously?

As of about 1:00 PM, Boston has picked up 21.5" from Juno, placing the storm into 7th place on the list of the top-ten largest snowfalls ever for Boston since recordkeeping began back in 1890. And the snow is still coming down, of course, so several more inches are likely to be added.



dangit nea....got to agree with you on this one........i think many tend to forget...this isn't just a snow event.....areas are being affected by snow..but also by wind and in some places coastal flooding
here's a good explanation of what mets determine to call a storm historic

Will Winter Storm Juno Be a Historic Blizzard?
By Nick Wiltgen
Published Jan 27 2015 10:44 AM EST
weather.com


Millions in the Northeast are stocking up and hunkering down for Winter Storm Juno, a potentially crippling blizzard. But before Juno's parent low pressure system even reached the Atlantic coast, many began wondering aloud: Will Winter Storm Juno be historic?

"Historic" is not a precisely defined term, but generally meteorologists reserve it for weather events of exceptional strength or magnitude. A hallmark of such events is their ability to break all-time records. For instance, Winter Storm Nemo broke the all-time 24-hour snowfall record for the entire state of Connecticut when it dumped 36 inches of snow near Ansonia on Feb. 8-9, 2013.

(MORE: Forecast | Live Updates)

That said, Northeast blizzards aren't just snowfall amounts: They're high winds, they're storm surge, they're epic traffic jams, they're days-long power outages. Arguably a storm doesn't have to break all-time records to have historic impacts if it brings a crippling combination of disruption and destruction.



Quoting StormTrackerScott:


It seems as if Boston gets hit like this every 2 to 3 years. My point is I don't think this would go down as "Historic" as the worst weather was located with 100 miles of the coast. Impacts were limited to a relatively small area. The 1993 Superstorm impacted the entire Eastern US with Gale to Hurricane force winds from FL to Maine.
No, the city doesn't "gets hit like this every 2 to 3 years". There have only been six larger snowstorms in the city since 1890. Those have occurred over the past 47 years, for an average return period of, what, 7 years and 10 months?

Now, no one is claiming this week's event is the equal of 1993's Storm of the Century, so the comparison is a bit ludicrous. But a storm doesn't have to be that incredible to warrant "historic" status.

At any rate, if it means anything, here's the wording of the brand new NWS Boston forecast discussion:

"A CRIPPLING AND HISTORIC WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD WILL GRADUALLY LOOSEN ITS GRIP ON EASTERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING."
Looks like coastal Mass towns took yet another beating this time around. All pictures are from Marshfield.

A seawall collapsed


Coastal flooding


Home damaged


So, rebuild or retreat?

More pictures here
Quoting 91. Neapolitan:

No, the city doesn't "gets hit like this every 2 to 3 years". There have only been six larger snowstorms in the city since 1890. Those have occurred over the past 47 year, for an average return period of, what, 7 years and 10 months?

Now, no one is claiming this week's event is the equal of 1993's Storm of the Century, so the comparison is a bit ludicrous. But a storm doesn't have to be that incredible to warrant "historic" status.

At any arte, if it means anything, here's the wording of the brand new NWS Boston forecast discussion:

"A CRIPPLING AND HISTORIC WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD WILL GRADUALLY LOOSEN ITS GRIP ON EASTERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING."
Not to mention the worst coastal flooding since 1991, and another high tide to go.
DT and the Euro are getting divorced LOL.
NANTUCKET - National Grid expects all customers who have lost power due to Winter Storm Juno to be returned to full service well before the original estimate, but it will still take many hours.

On a conference call with reporters, Marcy Reed, president of National Grid in Massachusetts, said 13,300 total customers are without electricity, mostly on the island, while the company's natural gas service was not affected.
From Ryan Maue:

The authorities acted exactly as they should have considering the information that was provided to them by the National Weather Service and emergency planners responsible for putting the wheels in motion.

The NWS was consistently forecasting worse conditions e.g. higher snowfall amounts and more severe impacts after each successive weather model forecast on Sunday and Monday for NYC, New Jersey. Eventually, the official NWS forecast turned into a historic, worst-case scenario. So, as each update arrived, NWS's adjustments were all in the "more severe" direction. That's an ominous signal that suggested NWS had a high-level of confidence in their forecast. However, it was clear at the time that the exact opposite was true -- this was a low-confidence solution meaning the chance of a 30-inch snowfall occurring in NYC required everything to "go right" for the Blizzard's track, intensity, and motion. The uncertainty level on this forecast was also considerable for NYC as reliable weather models were giving an enormous range of solutions from 6-inches to 3-feet for NYC.

The NWS produces a deterministic forecast with a certain range e.g. 24-36'' of snowfall but information about confidence is not imparted. Were they expecting 3-feet more than 2-feet or were the values inside that range equally likely? What was the chance of 4-feet or 1-foot? Weather forecasters deal with this question every day when they issue a rain-fall forecast and call for 30% chance of rain or 100% chance of rain. That's more easily understood by the public as they can take action based on their perceived risk of the event. An umbrella would be a good fashion accessory with 90% chance of thunderstorms at rush hour.

This indeed goes back to Hurricane Sandy which was the "worst case scenario". Our weather models were all very confidently saying that all hell would break loose. The same NWS forecasters at Mount Holly were warning at the top of the lungs to take immediate action to save lives and property. In this respect, the public was appropriately warned and should have definitely feared the effects of this extraordinary hurricane.

The same level of media hype and perceived (update: 2:35 PM) government (city, state) overreaction surrounding this blizzard in NYC may cause future complacency with warnings. However, the weather forecasters and authorities will not hesitate to issue the same emergency declarations because a False Alarm in the "safe direction" is hardly the worst possible outcome.

The public should be upset that the forecast was blown for NYC and ask for answers. They will get them and the weather forecasting enterprise at the NWS will benefit from the added experience and lessons learned. But should we be disappointed that NYC wasn't buried in 3-feet of snow? Some say "go big or go home" or "bring it". The historical nature of extreme weather events is exciting -- as evidenced by the sometimes outlandish media coverage -- and drives ratings. In the case of NYC, everyone was able to watch the forecast bust unfold from the warmth and comfort of their homes rather than risk being stuck in traffic or buried on the Thruway.

While private weather forecasters including the Weather Channel were skeptical of the enormous snowfall forecasts for NYC, the risk of publicly challenging NWS and emergency management decisions would have provided "mixed messages" that could have led to the worst possible outcome: public not heeding legitimate and lawful warnings.
This could turn out to be the biggest storm of the winter for many areas in the Northeast and could rank among the greatest snowstorms in some communities.
In Worcester, Massachusetts, the greatest snowstorm on record is 33 inches set during the late March and early April storm in 1997. As of 8:00 a.m. EST, Tuesday, Worcester had tied their fourth largest snowstorm of 25 inches set during February of 1893. During February of 2013, Worcester received 28.7 inches.
Quoting 92. wxgeek723:

Looks like coastal Mass towns took yet another beating this time around. All pictures are from Marshfield.

A seawall collapsed


Coastal flooding


Home damaged


So, rebuild or retreat?

More pictures here


I'd add elevate if they rebuild. Saw this photo in the gallery, sure hope they got to where they needed to go:

boston as of 2 pm eastern.....has 21 inches and still counting...this ranks juno as 8th....and their largest single storm snowfall amount is 27.5.........boston could see as much as another 6 to 12 inches by 8 this evening......making this their largest snow event

in mass.....36,000 people are without power
Quoting 92. wxgeek723:
Looks like coastal Mass towns took yet another beating this time around. All pictures are from Marshfield.

A seawall collapsed


Coastal flooding


Home damaged


So, rebuild or retreat?

More pictures here
hereRETREAT? Are you kidding? We keep making the same mistakes over and over again because "we love the view", "it's so peaceful here", "just LOVE the smell of the ocean". I wonder if it's so lovely when that ocean comes crashing through the windows into the living room!
As WunderCamOperator Andrew02459's patio furniture is about to disappear, I took a moment to document the event..

Quoting 83. wxgeek723:



Anyone saying the storm collectively busted is most certainly wrong. Desperate conditions materialized over New England and I am very impressed with the images coming out of Massachusetts. However, it cannot be overlooked that New York City/New Jersey and to a lesser extent Philadelphia were shut down and sent into panic mode for a storm that turned out to be quite ordinary and in some cases nothing.
I have to say, its better to be forewarned about something possible like this than to sit by and wait...it COULD have moved closer westward and maybe could have been a horrible time for NYC etc...luckily it passed them by..but they were prepared in any case...and that's the good thing...they did the right thing...no one..can predict with 100% certainty what the weather will do...not yet anyway.
Quoting 101. Skyepony:

As WunderCamOperator Andrew02459's patio furniture is about to disappear, I took a moment to document the event..



His/her video loop is pretty cool. That snow came up fast!
Remarkably similar to the Blizzard of 2013 with a maximum of 34.5" of snow.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
102 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007> 009-013>016-020>023-
029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-281815 -
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-H ARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER- VENANGO-
FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-
ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND- WESTMORELAND RIDGES-
FAYETTE-FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-
MONONGALIA-PRESTON-TUCKER-
102 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MARYLAND...EAST
CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A WINTRY MIX...INCLUDING POTENTIAL FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
COLD ROAD SURFACES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POSSIBLE TRAVEL PROBLEMS. IN
ADDITION...ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH
BETTER ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL OVER THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR AND
RIDGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$


Update # 3 from Portland Maine. 15 deg f. I was about to write wind has mostly died down but just picked-up again. And same with the snow. It seemed as if the snow had lost it's intensity and getting brighter but now seems to be coming down harder. Overall it seems as if there is much less wind than forecast but according to the reports being provided the local NWS we are definitely getting the snow forecasted... Beginning to see more accumulation versus just drifting. and if the first report is accurate 20" then we'll probable exceed the forecast. But it still thankfully seems a typical storm event. Helpful to get the current blog post and see that the storm was further west and seems we are experiencing that here with less intense storm. And as always the weather related posts here much appreciated!

This has also made for a nice day here with blueberry pancakes and getting to read books with my son!

Here are some of the reported snow amounts:

...Cumberland County... Portland 20.3 217 PM 1/27 1 SSE Gorham 19.0 1240 PM 1/27 11.6 in past 6 hours E Portland 18.4 1201 PM 1/27 1 ENE South Windham 18.0 100 PM 1/27 2 NW Falmouth 16.6 114 PM 1/27 gray NWS office 16.4 133 PM 1/27 Portland jetport 16.0 118 PM 1/27 4 WSW New Gloucester 14.5 1149 am 1/27 2 NE Gorham 13.8 1143 am 1/27 1 SSW South Portland 13.3 1209 PM 1/27 3 SSE Gorham 13.0 1246 PM 1/27 Pownal 12.2 219 PM 1/27 Gorham 12.2 111 PM 1/27 2 SW Casco 11.5 119 PM 1/27 1 SSE North Sebago 9.0 112 PM 1/27 Bridgton 8.0 1154 am 1/27
The 12Z 25 Jan NAEFS Ensemble with it's 20 GFS, 20 CMC plus 2 control members performed very well for NYC. There was a large precipitation quantity spread -which indicated uncertainty, and the ensemble mean was basically bang-on. This is 36 hours prior to the event, so it suggests the utility of global model resolution ensembles even at a time when many are tempted to focus on the short-range, high resolution products (which simply replicate the errors of the driving models by producing erroneous detail) . It's this kind of product, with all it's nuance, that should form the fundamental basis of risk communication. When responsible managers make decisions, they should not be solely lead by the worst case.
Quoting 96. TropicalAnalystwx13:

From Ryan Maue:

The authorities acted exactly as they should have considering the information that was provided to them by the National Weather Service and emergency planners responsible for putting the wheels in motion.

The NWS was consistently forecasting worse conditions e.g. higher snowfall amounts and more severe impacts after each successive weather model forecast on Sunday and Monday for NYC, New Jersey. Eventually, the official NWS forecast turned into a historic, worst-case scenario. So, as each update arrived, NWS's adjustments were all in the "more severe" direction. That's an ominous signal that suggested NWS had a high-level of confidence in their forecast. However, it was clear at the time that the exact opposite was true -- this was a low-confidence solution meaning the chance of a 30-inch snowfall occurring in NYC required everything to "go right" for the Blizzard's track, intensity, and motion. The uncertainty level on this forecast was also considerable for NYC as reliable weather models were giving an enormous range of solutions from 6-inches to 3-feet for NYC.

The NWS produces a deterministic forecast with a certain range e.g. 24-36'' of snowfall but information about confidence is not imparted. Were they expecting 3-feet more than 2-feet or were the values inside that range equally likely? What was the chance of 4-feet or 1-foot? Weather forecasters deal with this question every day when they issue a rain-fall forecast and call for 30% chance of rain or 100% chance of rain. That's more easily understood by the public as they can take action based on their perceived risk of the event. An umbrella would be a good fashion accessory with 90% chance of thunderstorms at rush hour.

This indeed goes back to Hurricane Sandy which was the "worst case scenario". Our weather models were all very confidently saying that all hell would break loose. The same NWS forecasters at Mount Holly were warning at the top of the lungs to take immediate action to save lives and property. In this respect, the public was appropriately warned and should have definitely feared the effects of this extraordinary hurricane.

The same level of media hype and perceived (update: 2:35 PM) government (city, state) overreaction surrounding this blizzard in NYC may cause future complacency with warnings. However, the weather forecasters and authorities will not hesitate to issue the same emergency declarations because a False Alarm in the "safe direction" is hardly the worst possible outcome.

The public should be upset that the forecast was blown for NYC and ask for answers. They will get them and the weather forecasting enterprise at the NWS will benefit from the added experience and lessons learned. But should we be disappointed that NYC wasn't buried in 3-feet of snow? Some say "go big or go home" or "bring it". The historical nature of extreme weather events is exciting -- as evidenced by the sometimes outlandish media coverage -- and drives ratings. In the case of NYC, everyone was able to watch the forecast bust unfold from the warmth and comfort of their homes rather than risk being stuck in traffic or buried on the Thruway.

While private weather forecasters including the Weather Channel were skeptical of the enormous snowfall forecasts for NYC, the risk of publicly challenging NWS and emergency management decisions would have provided "mixed messages" that could have led to the worst possible outcome: public not heeding legitimate and lawful warnings.


Hi my friend.Check your WU box.
Quoting 86. StormTrackerScott:



It seems as if Boston gets hit like this every 2 to 3 years. My point is I don't think this would go down as "Historic" as the worst weather was located with 100 miles of the coast. Impacts were limited to a relatively small area. The 1993 Superstorm impacted the entire Eastern US with Gale to Hurricane force winds from FL to Maine.


Apparently weather only matters if it occurs in Central Florida and, specifically, over your house!
I think a lot of people were hoping to see New York City look like this today (1888 Blizzard in NYC).
Quoting 68. Skyepony:




Very interesting! Looks like this is the retrogradal move (or how it's called) back to the coast which some of the models (esp. Euro) had predicted - just happening 12 hours (or so) later?


(Saved current water vapor loop).


Saved pic. Source. Click the image above to enlarge it.

Quoting 99. ricderr:

boston as of 2 pm eastern.....has 21 inches and still counting...this ranks juno as 8th....and their largest single storm snowfall amount is 27.5.........boston could see as much as another 6 to 12 inches by 8 this evening......making this their largest snow event

in mass.....36,000 people are without power

It will be interesting to see how their final total shapes up.  Some isolated areas could probably still see half a foot additional accumulation EASY off ocean enhanced snowfall there right in the Boston area and points SE towards Nantucket.  Boston is at the very edge of that main 1-2" band, but these storms almost always expand back west when they move off NE up the coast.





light snow this morning in east haven,conn
Quoting capeflorida:


Apparently weather only matters if it occurs in Central Florida and, specifically, over your house!


That's typically the WU mindset, yes.

Hurricanes > Florida weather > Deep South weather > weather elsewhere if it is extreme




over 12 inches of snow in east haven!!
Some of the pictures in this link look like a lot of the place was devastated, its going to be a big opperation to rebuild some of these properties:-





Link
Updated:

Worcestor County, MA - 32.5 in
Windham County, CT - 30.5 in
Middlesex County, MA - 30 in
Dukes County, MA - 27 in
Essex County, MA - 26 in
Norfolk County, MA - 25.5 in
Bristol County, MA - 25.5 in
Plymouth County, MA - 24 in
Providence County, RI - 23.1 in
Hartford County, CT - 21.5 in
Suffolk County, MA - 21.5 in
Tolland County, CT - 20 in
Norfolk County, MA - 19.4 in
Barnstable County, MA - 19 in
Kent County, RI - 17.3 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Washington County, RI - 15 in

(Source and full list)
Quoting 110. Sfloridacat5:

I think a lot of people were hoping to see New York City look like this today (1888 Blizzard in NYC).

great pic there ty
I should note that the 21.5" at Boston's Logan was the 11:00 AM reading. It's been snowing moderately heavy the four hours since, and there are at least a few more hours to go. I don't know whether this storm will surpass 2003's 27.6", but it's certainly possible--and a top five finish (24.9" or more) is probably a lock at this point.
Quoting 118. LargoFl:

great pic there ty


Yeah, it's often shown these days. But the more I look at it the more suspicious I get. The footprints somehow don't look right (somehow artificial), the original size of the guy in relation to his surrounding may be deceptive, and the location of his right (bent) knee, hmmm - a case of antique "photoshopping", lol?

Edit: Looking closer at it by using the link below (you can blow it up): it's at least a kid which is leaning against the wall of snow.

http://fineartamerica.com/featured/new-york-blizz ard-of-1888-granger.html

Not that it matters ... I was just curious.


my dog likes the snow on the ground


I guess it's a good thing the Super Bowl is indoors. Looks like Phoenix will be rainy around that time.
new pictures here from east haven,conn








i am outside walking in this windy weather and cold weather in east haven


A toasty afternoon near Phoenix.

At 72% humidity, by looking at the heat index, if the heat doesn't kill you the humidity will.

But not to worry, the temp is forecast to drop back down into the 50s tonight. That'll feel refreshing!!
Quoting 126. 47n91w:



A toasty afternoon in Phoenix.

At 72% humidity, by looking at the heat index, if the heat doesn't kill you the humidity will.

But not to worry, the temp is forecast to drop back down into the 50s tonight. That'll feel refreshing!!


I'm curious would that actually be the heat index? Does it go up exponentially with the real temperature?
No snow here, yet.

Temp, 84F
Humidity, low
Winds, warm.
Quoting 128. pottery:

No snow here, yet.

Temp, 84F
Humidity, low
Winds, warm.
need any rain
Quoting 128. pottery:

No snow here, yet.

Temp, 84F
Humidity, low
Winds, warm.


Quoting 116. PlazaRed:

Some of the pictures in this link look like a lot of the place was devastated, its going to be a big opperation to rebuild some of these properties:-





Link


that picture looks like that home was damaged before this blizzard .. notice the tarp on the roof .. don't think that was put there today !!
Quoting 128. pottery:

No snow here, yet.

Temp, 84F
Humidity, low
Winds, warm.


Shoudn't prevent your exercise, pottery :-)
Quoting 126. 47n91w:



A toasty afternoon near Phoenix.

At 72% humidity, by looking at the heat index, if the heat doesn't kill you the humidity will.

But not to worry, the temp is forecast to drop back down into the 50s tonight. That'll feel refreshing!!


I wonder what being under 19.64 inches of mercury (665mb) feels like.
Downeast Maine may be ultimate bullseye (Calais, Machias). Interested to see totals when all is said and done.

Quoting 122. tampabaymatt:


Quoting 132. barbamz:



Shoudn't prevent your exercise, pottery :-)

LOL, true that !

Good to 'see' you.
Daughter arrives from UK tomorrow. For a week.
She says she's had it with the weather there.
How has yours been ?
Quoting 129. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

need any rain

NO !

but thanks anyway.
Actually, it's being a slow start to the dry season. Still getting some showers.
Very nice.
Quoting Neapolitan:
I should note that the 21.5" at Boston's Logan was the 11:00 AM reading. It's been snowing moderately heavy the four hours since, and there are at least a few more hours to go. I don't know whether this storm will surpass 2003's 27.6", but it's certainly possible--and a top five finish (24.9" or more) is probably a lock at this point.


TWC just said 22.5" currently in Boston.
Quoting Sfloridacat5:


TWC just said 22.5" currently in Boston.
NWS just updated: 20.8" at the airport as of 3:00 PM*. So, #8 on the list, and it's still coming down.



* - These are unofficial until verified. Just sayin'...
Quoting 135. pottery:


LOL, true that !

Good to 'see' you.
Daughter arrives from UK tomorrow. For a week.
She says she's had it with the weather there.
How has yours been ?

Good trip for your daughther, pott! --- And my weather down in the German plains? Hmm, lately nothing to speak of. That's why I'm here :-)

----------------------------



Spottet this a minute ago at "Severe Weather Europe" and repost it, as I don't know where to find the original source:
Nighttime View of the Blizzard of 2015
A combination of the day-night band and high resolution infrared imagery from the Suomi NPP satellite shows the historic blizzard near peak intensity as it moves over the New York through Boston Metropolitan areas at 06:45Z (1:45 am EST) on January 27, 2015. The nighttime lights of the region are blurred by the high cloud tops associated with the most intense parts of the storm.
Credit: NASA/NOAA/NPP/VIIRS
Quoting 133. Drakoen:



I wonder what being under 19.64 inches of mercury (665mb) feels like.


Nice catch on the pressure, that number didn't even register in my mind.

I wonder if a probe on Mars is beaming back some weather information. Hot, low pressure, gusty north winds. Actually, I'm sure Mars has to be close to 0% humidity. Anyone know what an average afternoon on Mars would register on a weather station?
Quoting 131. whitewabit:



that picture looks like that home was damaged before this blizzard .. notice the tarp on the roof .. don't think that was put there today !!

I agree with you about the roof but the rest of the place is in a bad way and the "pebbles" in the front garden look like the beginnings of a giant rockery, or small moonscape simulation.

Some of the pictures in the link show places in a bad way and they will only become more vulnerable with the possible further rising of sea levels.
BLIZZARD WARNING
Warning Issue Date: 1217 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015
Warning Expiration: 800 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...LITCHFIELD COUNTY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 8 TO 14 INCHES.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. THE
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED
ROADWAYS AND SEVERELY REDUCED VISIBILITY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW MAY MAKE SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE. OCCASIONAL WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

The current radar loops/winter mosaic for the NE still show snow (in the radar path anyway) offshore of Boston for about 40 miles slowly moving in-shore. Don't have access to TV until this evening and don't know how heavy the snow is actually falling in those parts at the moment. But if these bands hold together, they are probably good for a few more inches in the Boston area between this evening and tomorrow morning.
Northeastern and Central Connecticut

Much of the state's interior has received between 10 and 15 inches of snow, but a band of heavy precipitation dropped up to 30 inches along the eastern border in towns such as Thompson and Moosup. Check the full list of snow totals for Hartford, Tolland and Windham counties.

Southeastern and Southwestern Connecticut

The disparity between the eastern and western parts of the shoreline is significant. Most of Fairfield County has received less than a foot of snow, while parts of Middlesex County have received up to about 20 inches and areas of New London County have received 2 feet. Check the list of snow totals for Fairfield, Middlesex, New Haven and New London counties.
Neapolitan, the official Boston records are kept at Logan Airport which has had 'only' 20.8" of snow. That reading is from 1 p.m.


From CIMSS Satellite Blog: New England Nor'easter January 27th, 2015 (with more infos and data like ASCAT microwave)
Quoting Drakoen:


I wonder what being under 19.64 inches of mercury (665mb) feels like.


Happens in La Paz Bolivia and Tibet all the time.
Quoting 138. TropicalAnalystwx13:




Is important that you check your WU MAIL.
Updated:

Worcestor County, MA - 33.1 in
Middlesex County, MA - 31.5 in
Windham County, CT - 30.5 in
Dukes County, MA - 27 in
Suffolk County, MA - 26 in
Essex County, MA - 26 in
Norfolk County, MA - 25.5 in
Bristol County, MA - 25.5 in
Plymouth County, MA - 24 in
Providence County, RI - 24.4 in
Hartford County, CT - 21.5 in
Barnstable County, MA - 24 in
Tolland County, CT - 20 in
Norfolk County, MA - 19.4 in
Kent County, RI - 18.5 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Washington County, RI - 14.5 in
Hampden County, MA - 12.5 in

(Source and full list)
Quoting 131. whitewabit:



that picture looks like that home was damaged before this blizzard .. notice the tarp on the roof .. don't think that was put there today !!
possibly, but homes in other photos at that link also show damage from the wind and flooding from a damaged sea wall, so there was definitely some bad weather out there.
Quoting 140. barbamz:


Good trip for your daughther, pott! --- And my weather down in the German plains? Hmm, lately nothing to speak of. That's why I'm here :-)

----------------------------



Spottet this a minute ago at "Severe Weather Europe" and repost it, as I don't know where to find the original source:
Nighttime View of the Blizzard of 2015
A combination of the day-night band and high resolution infrared imagery from the Suomi NPP satellite shows the historic blizzard near peak intensity as it moves over the New York through Boston Metropolitan areas at 06:45Z (1:45 am EST) on January 27, 2015. The nighttime lights of the region are blurred by the high cloud tops associated with the most intense parts of the storm.
Credit: NASA/NOAA/NPP/VIIRS



Enjoy the weather anyway !

:):))
Quoting 150. Tropicsweatherpr:



Is important that you check your WU MAIL.

Calm down, Luis, lol. I read your message earlier and already posted the thread.
Quoting 131. whitewabit:



that picture looks like that home was damaged before this blizzard .. notice the tarp on the roof .. don't think that was put there today !!

Found some info in the Patriot Ledger:

Seawall breached in Marshfield
By Lisa Kashinsky
Wicked Local Marshfield
Posted Jan. 27, 2015 @ 9:58 am
Updated at 10:05 AM

MARSHFIELD - A seawall along Marshfield's Bay Avenue was breached Tuesday morning as the town was pummeled by surging tides, massive waves and brutal winds.

Lt. Paul Taber, the town’s emergency management director, said a house near the breach at 50 Bay Ave. was left with "major structural damage." He said the breach was discovered just before 9 a.m.

A fire department spokesperson confirmed that an 80-foot section of the seawall had breached and that there were broken pilings and broken windows at homes along Bay Avenue. Shawn Patterson, deputy superintendent of the town's public works department, said Brant Rock had seen about six feet of water following the 4 a.m. high tide Tuesday morning, but noted that the water level had receded slightly as of 8:45 a.m.

Taber said flooding had closed parts of Brant Rock, including Bay Avenue, and Beach, Willow and Ferry Streets.

"I have several people from the [public works department] who have some pretty high experience with these storms and they've said that this is the most water they've seen," Taber said. "Areas that don't normally get water, got water."

Earlier in the morning, a man with a severe head injury had to be rescued from Brant Rock in a public works front-end loader after an ambulance got stuck and a fire truck couldn't make it through.

"We had to call a DPW front-end loader and bring emergency medical services to him, and then extricate him in the front-end loader to a police Humvee," Taber said.

The Humvee then took the man to an ambulance, which had to travel on back roads to a local hospital because it couldn't drive on the highway due to snow, he said.


- See more at: http://www.patriotledger.com/article/20150127/NEWS /150126819#sthash.7Qd1XXcO.dpuf

Now, I don't think this house is 50 Bay Ave specifically, as I found that house for sale on line, and it's a different house. This house is likely in the immediate area. Homes this size are listed at $1M+ around there.
I posted this on the previous blog, before I noticed that I was the only one that was still there.

For those that do not like the cold and the snow, here is what my area looks like

The webcam is at The San Jacinto Battlefield, just west of Houston. You can see the Battle Ship of Texas and The San Jacinto Monument.

01/27/15 - 3:30 PM Central Time
Current Conditions:
Temperature: 77 degrees
Feels like: 77 degrees
Winds: 4mph WNW
Humidity: 28%
Clear Skies
Pressure: 30.09
Visibility: 10 miles
Dew Point: 42 degrees
UV Index: 2 out of 10
For the folks that can't lay enough blame on NWS for the forecast shortcomings of a major storm to hit NYC, you don't understand the challenges of this profession. We accept a margin of error in forecasting tropical systems. Why can't you do the same for forecasting winter storms.
Anyone heard from MAStu (I think that's his moniker)? He commented yesterday he was 15 mi S of Boston and this was his first blizzard.
159. txjac
Quoting 152. FLwolverine:

possibly, but homes in other photos at that link also show damage from the wind and flooding from a damaged sea wall, so there was definitely some bad weather out there.


This is a situation where I believe in eminent domain. There's been a global push with climate change and here is one area where we can make progress. Buy back the property and allow the coast to return to it's natural state.
I'd rather the government spend our tax money on this instead of flying to all the conferences ...its a win-win ...preserve the coast ..and not emit CO2 from the planes traveling to a conference
Quoting 157. MrNatural:

For the folks that can't lay enough blame on NWS for the forecast shortcomings of a major storm to hit NYC, you don't understand the challenges of this profession. We accept a margin of error in forecasting tropical systems. Why can't you do the same for forecasting winter storms.


Agree. If the shortcoming impacted a lesser city it wouldn't be a big deal but because it was NYC many are making it an issue.
Quoting 160. luvtogolf:



Agree. If the shortcoming impacted a lesser city it wouldn't be a big deal but because it was NYC many are making it an issue.

Original forecasts had Super Storm sandy going out to sea. Things change.
Blizzard obviously empowered the creativity on videos in some guys :-)





Myself, I've depleted my gunpowder (as a German saying goes) for today. So good night and best thoughts for all still under the reign of "Juno"!
163. txjac
Quoting 156. Some1Has2BtheRookie:

I posted this on the previous blog, before I noticed that I was the only one that was still there.

For those that do not like the cold and the snow, here is what my area looks like

The webcam is at The San Jacinto Battlefield, just west of Houston. You can see the Battle Ship of Texas and The San Jacinto Monument.

01/27/15 - 3:30 PM Central Time
Current Conditions:
Temperature: 77 degrees
Feels like: 77 degrees
Winds: 4mph WNW
Humidity: 28%
Clear Skies
Pressure: 30.09
Visibility: 10 miles
Dew Point: 42 degrees
UV Index: 2 out of 10


It has been glorious out there today hasnt it? I wish our weather was like this every day of the year
Away from Cape Ann and Cape Cod the accumulating snow in southeast New England is mostly over. There is a decent band west of Boston that will probably weaken as it approaches the city.
Seriously someone get this guy a enema.

Mikey T James So, will Wxrisk now side with the GFS because it was the most accurate model for this storm. #ChalkoneupfortheGFS

Wxrisk.com MIKEY the GFS was NOT at all the most accurate with this storm. Only idiots say that.

Wxrisk.com Spoken like a true moron.
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

..RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT PROVIDENCE RI

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 14.2 INCHES (SO FAR) WAS SET AT PROVIDENCE RI
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 6.7 INCHES SET IN 2011.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

..RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT WORCESTER MA

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 28.4 INCHES (SO FAR) WAS SET AT WORCESTER MA
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 11.0 INCHES SET IN 2011.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

..RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT BOSTON MA

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 18.5 INCHES (SO FAR) WAS SET AT BOSTON MA
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 8.8 SET IN 2011.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
0123 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

..RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT ISLIP NY

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 7.5 INCHES WAS SET AT ISLIP NY YESTERDAY. THIS
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 4.5 SET IN 1987.


Tampa Bay area.
Quoting 126. 47n91w:



A toasty afternoon near Phoenix.

At 72% humidity, by looking at the heat index, if the heat doesn't kill you the humidity will.

But not to worry, the temp is forecast to drop back down into the 50s tonight. That'll feel refreshing!!


and i thought cali got warm :)
Quoting 163. txjac:



It has been glorious out there today hasnt it? I wish our weather was like this every day of the year


We have had this beautiful weather since last Saturday and it is suppose to continue through Thursday. We deserve it after all of the cold rain we have had before this, txjac. Ize hates da winter! Give me warmth, gentle breezes and a nice surf.
Pretty clear at this point we see all-time record fall in Worcester, as that 31" reading came in an hour and a half ago, and it's been snowing steadily (not heavily, but moderately) since then. With bands still rotating into Boston area, looks increasingly likely their record will fall too. Also worth watching—Portland, ME. Unlikely they reach their Winter Storm Nemo record of 31.9", but with 20" on the ground a couple hours ago, a heavy band parked over them, and several hours still to go, it's possible.
Wow! I have been looking at the pic's, and watching the many Radar maps. We here in Western Michigan (LP) got hammered last year! I can relate to you folks along the East coast. I was snowed in for 3-4 days before the plows from town got out to my neck of the woods. (litterally). I have a well, and it froze!! Turned out, the pressure pipe to the on/off switch froze. The drilling company came out and used a crow bar to pry up my deck, to get to the well, and then a torch to defrost the pipe! Now, I keep a special "heater" in the well housing. Boy, that was a trip!! I really feel for those that lost power!!?? What does one do without electricty?! I use my fire place, but, many people don't have that option. I did not know about the flooding. Holy Cripe!! I have an oil lamp, for light, but that does not keep the blower motor on the furnace working. Call me "Trailor Trash", but this "Double-wide" uses allot of propane when it gets really cold.$$$ Last year, The county road commission used a "road grader", with a really big plow on the front, and Chains on the tires to get out to where I live. Hence, It took a few days, they do not work on weekends.
This is the Truth!! No "Joking". That's just the way it is.
One must hunker down and wait for Monday. Forget EMT., or Fire Dept!! Places along the lake had drifts up & over the windows on some of the cottages along the lake shore. It's a "rural" area. People call me "The guy with the tractor" as I use my tractor to get around. I DiD say "Rural". Well, Bless you folks, and "Hang in there", Spring's comming. Not soon enough, I'm SURE!
Five Thirty Eights take on the forecast bust

Link
What ever happened to the Negative NAO that has been forecast for forever to occur? Looks like the models have turned the Sunday storm into a rainstorm.33 more days until meteorological spring..


stop snowing in east haven everyone!!
Update # 4 from Portland Maine. 13 deg f. night is falling.

Now that I've been outside shoveling (so nice to come back in to a warm house) we must have 6 feet... ha-ha.. felt like it shoveling! More likely 2 feet. (no updates on the reports to NWS local office from earlier showing 20" for this area). From inside it seems like not much wind.... however outside... it's downright nasty with the fine snow - leaves a stinging impression, especially each time I'd forget and throw a shovelful in the wrong direction. Very fine show but still coming down rather intensely. Not great visibility. Some people are out driving, I wouldn't, but I feel for those that had to work today. Seems like there is much more storm happening. I don't think my pictures came out very well but I'll try to post one shortly. Enjoying all the information coming my way here.
Quoting LAbonbon:

I'm in Southwestern New Hampshire and that map is off by a few inches. We have at least 20" and it's drifted in some places to 5'. The wind is howling and it's about 10 degrees. I love snow days. I just made a beautiful chocolate coconut pound cake. If anyone lives near Peterborough, stop by for a cup of tea and slice of cake!
Quoting 172. Borris:

Wow! I have been looking at the pic's, and watching the many Radar maps. We here in Western Michigan (LP) got hammered last year! I can relate to you folks along the East coast. I was snowed in for 3-4 days before the plows from town got out to my neck of the woods. (litterally). I have a well, and it froze!! Turned out, the pressure pipe to the on/off switch froze. The drilling company came out and used a crow bar to pry up my deck, to get to the well, and then a torch to defrost the pipe! Now, I keep a special "heater" in the well housing. Boy, that was a trip!! I really feel for those that lost power!!?? What does one do without electricty?! I use my fire place, but, many people don't have that option. I did not know about the flooding. Holy Cripe!! I have an oil lamp, for light, but that does not keep the blower motor on the furnace working. Call me "Trailor Trash", but this "Double-wide" uses allot of propane when it gets really cold.$$$ Last year, The county road commission used a "road grader", with a really big plow on the front, and Chains on the tires to get out to where I live. Hence, It took a few days, they do not work on weekends.
This is the Truth!! No "Joking". That's just the way it is.
One must hunker down and wait for Monday. Forget EMT., or Fire Dept!! Places along the lake had drifts up & over the windows on some of the cottages along the lake shore. It's a "rural" area. People call me "The guy with the tractor" as I use my tractor to get around. I DiD say "Rural". Well, Bless you folks, and "Hang in there", Spring's comming. Not soon enough, I'm SURE!


What a great first post! Welcome to the blog :)
Quoting 177. Doxienan:


I'm in Southwestern New Hampshire and that map is off by a few inches. We have at least 20" and it's drifted in some places to 5'. The wind is howling and it's about 10 degrees. I love snow days. I just made a beautiful chocolate coconut pound cake. If anyone lives near Peterborough, stop by for a cup of tea and slice of cake!

If I lived near you I would so be there :P

Do you live anywhere near the Fitchburg/Lunenberg area in MA (on the NH border)? They have been racking up some impressive totals- Lunenberg was at 33.1" on the last report; Fitchburg at 30".

I can't find a list for NH/ME that is similar to the one I've been referring to for MA/CT/RI.
Quoting 180. LAbonbon:


If I lived near you I would so be there :P

Do you live anywhere near the Fitchburg/Lunenberg area in MA (on the NH border)? They have been racking up some impressive totals- Lunenberg was at 33.1" on the last report; Fitchburg at 30".

I can't find a list for NH/ME that is similar to the one I've been referring to for MA/CT/RI.


Doxienan, never mind on your proximity to the towns I mentioned, just realized you listed yours...

Not too far from some of the 'high totals in northern MA.
Snow in Portland Maine around 4:30 pm - amazing how much light with the brightness of the snow.
either I haven't done something correctly to post photos or they need to be approved...


On the heels of this historic blizzard, the potential exists for a secondary winter storm across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. It's important, especially after this blizzard, to highlight the differences between the models and the uncertainty that exists. The ECMWF suggests an inland runner, with the heaviest snowfall far away from areas already impacted. The GFS, however, is farther south, putting northern Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the areas already heavily impacted by the ongoing blizzard in the zone of heaviest accumulation.


Wow! With all the problems, I hope that there was no loss of life. Take care, and be safe! As best as possible!!
We got Hammered last year. No fun! COLD!!
https://theabweatherchannel.wordpress.com/2014/10/0 2/welcome-to-ab-weather-channel/
For more JUNO information.
I wonder when Boston will have 2 top 5 snowstorms 9 days apart like in February 2003.

37/59 today, mostly sunny to clear, and windy, always windy.

Note: Yesterday's low temp of 43 was at 11:59 p.m.
Quoting 184. TropicalAnalystwx13:

On the heels of this historic blizzard, the potential exists for a secondary winter storm across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. It's important, especially after this blizzard, to highlight the differences between the models and the uncertainty that exists. The ECMWF suggests an inland runner, with the heaviest snowfall far away from areas already impacted. The GFS, however, is farther south, putting northern Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the areas already heavily impacted by the ongoing blizzard in the zone of heaviest accumulation.



NO!! Shhhhhhh!! You'll cause an apocalyptic commotion.


here we go again!!
Quoting 177. Doxienan:


I'm in Southwestern New Hampshire and that map is off by a few inches. We have at least 20" and it's drifted in some places to 5'. The wind is howling and it's about 10 degrees. I love snow days. I just made a beautiful chocolate coconut pound cake. If anyone lives near Peterborough, stop by for a cup of tea and slice of cake!


Plenty of snow still coming down in Hooksett. Typical for NH to get 6 inches in one town and two towns over get 2 feet. 15 miles from where you are could be the difference between night and day as far as accumulation is the norm for a lot of these nor'easters. Only a few miles east or west with the storm center makes a world of difference so I don't all worked up about "busted forecasts" and the like. Especially living a few miles from the county line I always take a "wait and see" approach to storm totals because the forecasts I get are for the whole county, and know that doesn't mean a whole lot.
"Old Man Oatmeal Stout" and crackers with cheese apres snowblowing and shoveling in my neck of the woods.
Cheers!!

Quoting 184. TropicalAnalystwx13:

On the heels of this historic blizzard, the potential exists for a secondary winter storm across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. It's important, especially after this blizzard, to highlight the differences between the models and the uncertainty that exists. The ECMWF suggests an inland runner, with the heaviest snowfall far away from areas already impacted. The GFS, however, is farther south, putting northern Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and the areas already heavily impacted by the ongoing blizzard in the zone of heaviest accumulation.



And just to add to the entertainment.....

I wish Gray ME office had a simple list of snowfalls in addition to (or instead of) that map.
Updated:

Worcester County, MA - 35 in
Middlesex County, MA - 32.5 in
Norfolk County, MA - 30.5 in
Windham County, CT - 30.5 in
Plymouth County, MA - 28 in
Dukes County, MA - 27 in
Providence County, RI - 26.5 in
Suffolk County, MA - 26 in
Essex County, MA - 26 in
Bristol County, MA - 26 in
Barnstable County, MA - 24 in
Hartford County, CT - 22 in
Tolland County, CT - 20 in
Washington County, RI - 18.5 in
Kent County, RI - 18.5 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Hampden County, MA - 12.5 in
Nantucket County, MA - 12 in

(Source and more listings)
Quoting 193. DonnieBwkGA:

I wish Gray ME office had a simple list of snowfalls in addition to (or instead of) that map.


Here is from the public statement issued by Gray Maine office - i see it on my Portland Maine page.

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 3 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to Highway departments...cooperative observers...Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/gray

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments snowfall of /inches/ measurement

Maine

...Androscoggin County... Durham 20.0 429 PM 1/27

...Anz153... 1 E Portland 22.7 419 PM 1/27 east end

...Cumberland County... Portland 20.3 217 PM 1/27 Portland - N Deering 20.0 314 PM 1/27 gray NWS office 19.4 350 PM 1/27 4 WSW New Gloucester 19.0 300 PM 1/27 2 NW Falmouth 18.6 421 PM 1/27 Portland jetport 18.2 402 PM 1/27 Westbrook 18.0 313 PM 1/27 3 WSW South Portland 16.1 357 PM 1/27 3 SSE Gorham 16.0 422 PM 1/27 2 NE Gorham 15.5 319 PM 1/27 Bridgton 13.9 449 PM 1/27 Pownal 12.2 219 PM 1/27

...Franklin County... Farmington 9.0 420 PM 1/27 W Jay 9.0 232 PM 1/27 Eustis 2.1 410 PM 1/27

...Lincoln County... 3 SSW South Bristol 10.5 320 PM 1/27 3 SSW Boothbay 10.0 210 PM 1/27

...Sagadahoc County... Topsham 20.3 421 PM 1/27

...York County... Wells 24.0 418 PM 1/27 Berwick 24.0 442 PM 1/27 York 23.0 350 PM 1/27 Saco 22.0 300 PM 1/27 3 W Biddeford 20.0 311 PM 1/27 Hollis 20.0 330 PM 1/27 3 NNW Wells 19.0 318 PM 1/27 2 NE Kennebunk 16.4 424 PM 1/27 1 N Kittery Point 14.5 450 PM 1/27
N/A
Thanks Bart! With a little digging I found a list here.
For snow totals, I like this one:
Link
Quoting 177. Doxienan:

Boston Logan hasn't updated since 1 p.m. Worcester airport hasn't updated since 3 p.m.
NH:

...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...
NASHUA 30.0 326 PM 1/27
1 N NASHUA 30.0 329 PM 1/27
LITCHFIELD 30.0 330 PM 1/27

...ROCKINGHAM COUNTY...
1 S LONDONDERRY 25.4 300 PM 1/27

(Source and more listings, including ME)
Diamondra


So here on Western Long Island where I live, we got a whopping.. 8 inches of snow? Haha. It wasn't even windy really, at all. I think there were maybe 1000 outages across Long Island. Definitely was quite a bit off of what the original forecast had said, by pretty much every single model out there haha.
Quoting 192. Tornado6042008X:


And just to add to the entertainment.....


Nature hates me.It really really does.I got something important to do next Sunday and next weekend (The 6th).Luckily it's still several days away.
Lol, I'm done.







Can we PLEASE have our rainy, mild winter back?
Quoting 201. Grothar:

Diamondra





They sure do know how to name 'em.
New Jackpot report, Tewksbury, Massachusetts, 35.9 as of 5:50, probably over 3 feet now, and still snowing.
That town is roughly 20 miles north of Boston, near the I93-495 interchange.
Moderate Tropical Storm Eunice (already is Eunice probably), expect to becomes a Intense Tropical Cyclone in this weekend:
Quoting 203. SyriboTigereyes:

So here on Western Long Island where I live, we got a whopping.. 8 inches of snow? Haha. It wasn't even windy really, at all. I think there were maybe 1000 outages across Long Island. Definitely was quite a bit off of what the original forecast had said, by pretty much every single model out there haha.


The "original forecast"? I was not aware that was a thing.




I wonder how klaatuborada's faring on the Cape. He's still under a blizzard warning...that's a lot of hours for the winds to be howling.
206. wxgeek723
Knowing how this winter has been probably both rainstorms for here in D.C.But since I have something to do the cold air will find some way shape or form to be in the "right place" when all winter it wasn't...Don't worry meteorological spring is 33 days away and regular spring 52 days away.
#191 wartsttocs

"Old Man Oatmeal Stout" and crackers with cheese apres snowblowing and shoveling in my neck of the woods.
Cheers!!


Love it - that's the way to do it!
Quoting 192. Tornado6042008X:


And just to add to the entertainment.....



And of course both storms would have the rain/snow line just above my county.lol Doesn't look like old man winter will be visiting me this year.lol
Quoting DonnieBwkGA:
Boston Logan hasn't updated since 1 p.m. Worcester airport hasn't updated since 3 p.m.
Yes: it's been six hours since Logan updated, during which time it's been snowing steadily (and still is). I would hazard a guess of somewhere between an additional 3" and 7" since that time, for an event total of between about 24" and 28".
Quoting 215. Neapolitan:

Yes: it's been six hours since Logan updated, during which time it's been snowing steadily (and still is). I would hazard a guess of somewhere between an additional 3" and 7" since that time, for an event total of between about 24" and 28".


And no sign of the snow bands pulling away.
Quoting 128. pottery:

No snow here, yet.

Temp, 84F
Humidity, low
Winds, warm.

About the same here in Texas today. A bit toastier than usual for January around here. Temperatures are forecasted to drop back down in the 50's in time for the weekend.
Quoting 212. washingtonian115:

206. wxgeek723
Knowing how this winter has been probably both rainstorms for here in D.C.But since I have something to do the cold air will find some way shape or form to be in the "right place" when all winter it wasn't...Don't worry meteorological spring is 33 days away and regular spring 52 days away.


Why bother looking forward to the spring? I'm sure we'll just have another hundred year flood in April and break more river crest records half of which are from the last five or ten years anyway.
219. beell
No mention of Winter Storm "Juno" in the Masters/Henson blog post. Only "Blizzard of 2015" w/o the hashtag.
22" 01730 BEDFORD MA - Love it!
Quoting 216. AGWcreationists:



And no sign of the snow bands pulling away.
in fact it looks as if heavier snow is backing into the North Shore/Merrimack Valley maybe 2-3 more inches there.
18z GFS is pretty much the perfect track for much of MD, this far out it means it probably won't happen. Low expectations here....for now.
Quoting 219. beell:

No mention of Winter Storm "Juno" in the Masters/Henson blog post. Only "Blizzard of 2015" w/o the hashtag.


We don't do that here....lol
I am not getting my hopes up right now, just waiting for Spring like I keep saying.
There use to be a way to look up the members -- all listed in alphabetical order -- cannot find it to save my life --- can someone point the way?

TIA
Quoting 225. zoomiami:

There use to be a way to look up the members -- all listed in alphabetical order -- cannot find it to save my life --- can someone point the way?

TIA

You can look up all the members that have a blog alphabetically here.
Just spent a little time on Tanner's blog. Do trolls post on all the 'official' WU weather blogs?

I 'don't get out much' on this site, and was a bit surprised/bummed to see it over there as well.

It gets old :/
In all seriousness I would really like to know what happened to the negative NAO that has been forecast for the past 1,000 years?
Quoting 210. wartsttocs:



The "original forecast"? I was not aware that was a thing.

Okay, the "original predictions". What they were forecasting for the last few days.. and even up until last night.
Evening, all. While MA and points north are "enjoying" the blizzard, here in Nassau we're having one of the coldest days in a while. Temperatures hit 72 a couple times today but by Sundown we were below 70 again. It's the first time in a while that I have needed a jacket during the day. Hope it lasts for a few days... :-)
Updated (CT/MA/RI):

Worcester County, MA - 36 in
Middlesex County, MA - 34 in
Windham County, CT - 33.5 in
Essex County, MA - 31.2 in
Norfolk County, MA - 30.5 in
Plymouth County, MA - 28 in
Dukes County, MA - 27 in
Suffolk County, MA - 27 in
Providence County, RI - 26.5 in
Bristol County, MA - 26 in
Barnstable County, MA - 24 in
Hartford County, CT - 22 in
Washington County, RI - 21 in
Tolland County, CT - 20 in
Kent County, RI - 18.5 in
Newport County, RI - 16 in
Hampden County, MA - 12.5 in
Nantucket County, MA - 12 in

(Source and additional listings)
And a special shout out to the Florida crew, who understand that snow is for trips, not stays ... lol
Quoting 228. washingtonian115:

In all seriousness I would really like to know what happened to the negative NAO that has been forecast for the past 1,000 years?

Updates (ME/NH):

ME:

Androscoggin County, ME - 27 in
York County - 26 in
Cumberland County - 25.2
Sagadahoc County - 20.3 in
Somerset County - 18 in
Knox County -16 in
Oxford County - 14.5 in
Franklin County - 14 in
Kennebec County - 14 in

NH:

Hillsborough County - 33.2 in
Rockingham County - 27.6
Strafford County - 19 in
Belknap County - 12.2 in
Merrimack County - 12 in
Sullivan County - 12 in

(Source and additional listings)
Quoting 234. TropicalAnalystwx13:



Looks like we're starting to enter negative territory.
08S DIAMONDRA
Quoting 236. washingtonian115:

Looks like we're starting to enter negative territory.
Today ( Jan 27th) according to that chart, you can see we are on the top and ready to go down to the negative NAO in three days if that's correct, if that is the case the next two storms should watched.
Quoting 212. washingtonian115:

206. wxgeek723
Knowing how this winter has been probably both rainstorms for here in D.C.But since I have something to do the cold air will find some way shape or form to be in the "right place" when all winter it wasn't...Don't worry meteorological spring is 33 days away and regular spring 52 days away.
I'm distinctly remembering someone with this handle wishing and asking and pleading for snow not very long ago. Did it get so old so quick? Be careful what you wish for -- it isn't always delivered according to your schedule.
The -NAO looks like it goes from Jan 30th to Feb 3rd.
Well, day 2 of my leaf clearing job is complete, however today I wasn't racing the impending rain that I was on Thursday, Today was an absolute Beautiful day, 60 degrees across Baldwin county and the Central Gulf coast, the only thing I really had to worry about was a stray breeze that might temporarily mess up one of my piles of raked up leaves. I hate to brag about how great our day was considering the blizzard in New England, but i just thought such a great day needed some recognition, when everyones eyes are glued to the Northeast.
too soon to say. euro is mostly or all rain with storm going west. may have brief -nao around then though which might help.- Ian Livingston
Quoting 239. CaneFreeCR:

I'm distinctly remembering someone with this handle wishing and asking and pleading for snow not very long ago. Did it get so old so quick? Be careful what you wish for -- it isn't always delivered according to your schedule.


It sure didn't work to my favor. No classes on Tuesdays to begin with.
There appears to be crucial issues with having several computer models upon which to depend so heavily on predicting the path and velocity of major winter storms. It's a classic setup for a future cry wolf scenario. Hopefully some weather genius is working on what shall become the one, the only, the always reliable model. We need this badly.
Quoting 243. wxgeek723:



It sure didn't work to my favor. No classes on Tuesdays to begin with.


I had one class today.

Apparently other state universities and high schools near me had delays...for 3" of snow. Sounds like the South. And I thought the Yanks knew how to deal with snow.
Quoting 245. ohzone:

There appears to be crucial issues with having several computer models upon which to depend so heavily on predicting the path and velocity of major winter storms. It's a classic setup for a future cry wolf scenario. Hopefully some weather genius is working on what shall become the one, the only, the always reliable model. We need this badly.


What you're asking for is more along the lines of a massive increase in computing power. Yes, we need to learn more about this planet's weather systems...but I'm not sure if a "always reliable" model or even one close to that is remotely possible.


The blizzard pounding the New England region of the United States will continue to impact more of Atlantic Canada through Wednesday, following this past weekend's storm.
Tuesday started with a band of windswept snow swinging through Nova Scotia. The snow will change to a wintry mix or even straight rain in the afternoon.
A similar situation will come to Newfoundland through Tuesday night. Here, an early burst of snow will move across the island before milder air above the surface leads to an icy mixture of sleet and freezing rain which will eventually change to rain.
Impacts will reach Labrador Tuesday night into Wednesday in the form of heavy, dry snow before tapering to snow showers Wednesday night with drier air to follow on Thursday. While the common denominator between the weekend storm and the early-week storm will be heavy snowfall, there will be a key difference. The weekend storm intensified as it moved towards Atlantic Canada, allowing intense winds typical of strengthening storms for the region.
Blizzardlike conditions occurred over the weekend across much of New Brunswick, eastern Quebec and Labrador, with portions of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland included as well.
The current storm, however, will have reached its strongest off the coast of New England, bringing a blizzard there.
As it pulls north, the storm will weaken, resulting in no widespread damaging wind threat for Newfoundland and Labrador. The strongest winds will instead be farther south across Atlantic Canada.
Quoting 214. Storms306:


And of course both storms would have the rain/snow line just above my county.lol Doesn't look like old man winter will be visiting me this year.lol


This is the double whammie I've been seeing on the GFS 168hr. Now this looks like a major flood for the Northeast in about 2 weeks.
Quoting 246. Astrometeor:



I had one class today.

Apparently other state universities and high schools near me had delays...for 3" of snow. Sounds like the South. And I thought the Yanks knew how to deal with snow.


Pennsylvania can handle 3 inches no problem. They were just anticipating much more. Some towns in southern NJ and Delaware that closed their schools woke to only a dusting of snow lol.
Quoting 239. CaneFreeCR:

I'm distinctly remembering someone with this handle wishing and asking and pleading for snow not very long ago. Did it get so old so quick? Be careful what you wish for -- it isn't always delivered according to your schedule.
I have excepted defeat so that when the next storm turns out to be rain I won't be disappointed.If you don't expect nuch you will not be disappointed in the end.I kinda have the attitude I do when looking at a dirty penny on the ground."Oh look a penny (shrugs)." But I do miss sitting on the porch and ready my book or newspaper for the afternoon,even with annoying bugs around.
Quoting 250. wxgeek723:



Pennsylvania can handle 3 inches no problem. They were just anticipating much more. Some towns in southern NJ and Delaware that closed their schools woke to only a dusting of snow lol.


Nashville, TN doesn't call school for snow until the day of school at 5 AM in the morning. The only time they cancel the night before school is if they need to close for something (ongoing flood, tornado damage, frozen pipe damage).


Generally, light snow is likely anticipated with the clipper storm late this week in the coastal mid-Atlantic. However, some strengthening is possible as the storm swings across New England.
Quoting 251. washingtonian115:

I have excepted defeat so that when the next storm turns out to be rain I won't be disappointed.If you don't expect nuch you will not be disappointed in the end.I kinda have the attitude I do when looking at a dirty penny on the ground."Oh look a penny (shrugs)." But I do miss sitting on the porch and ready my book or newspaper for the afternoon,even with annoying bugs around.


accepted* I hope you're not making exemptions for winter storms Washi. :P

I am disappointed so far...everywhere I go, no snow (or at least impressive snows).
Quoting 247. Astrometeor:



What you're asking for is more along the lines of a massive increase in computing power. Yes, we need to learn more about this planet's weather systems...but I'm not sure if a "always reliable" model or even one close to that is remotely possible.

I'm pretty sure we are going to have models 99% reliable, NOT 100%....just need to wait the develop of the quantum technology and quantum supercomputers.
Quoting 254. Astrometeor:



accepted* I hope you're not making exemptions for winter storms Washi. :P

I am disappointed so far...everywhere I go, no snow (or at least impressive snows).
Its my stupid phone trying to do favors and made me look ignorant.I'm not sure if its just me but my phone has problems on this site.I tried to go back and correct it and the modify button wouldn't work.I seriously need to so more pre-reading before I post.
Spring would not be the same without these. Mostly butterflies, nice to see them fluttering in the Spring.
Quoting 257. Climate175:

Spring would not be the same without these. Mostly butterflies, nice to see them fluttering in the Spring.

You're right. Spring would be much more enjoyable without wasps. Those things are evil (and I'm allergic).

Yeah, yeah, I know, wasp serve to limit the population of insects so that we can in return sustain ourselves. That doesn't change my opinion on them.
Eunice may become a hurricane in 24 hours..

Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
Hurricane Warning
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE EUNICE (08-20142015)
4:00 AM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Eunice (992 hPa) located at 13.5S 64.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 8 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==============
30 NM radius from the center, extending up to 40 NM in the northern semi-circle and the southwestern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
==================
90 NM radius from the center, extending up to 130 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 150 NM in the northwestern quadrant and up to 180 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 14.2S 65.4E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
24 HRS 14.8S 66.7E- 65 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS 17.0S 69.4E - 80 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
72 HRS 19.4S 72.9E - 90 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)

Additional Information
===================
As previously mentioned (refer to warning 27/1800z), system is rapidly strengthening within the last 6 hours and has therefore been named Eunice. It presents since Monday morning on 37 GHZ microwave imagery a well defined low level circulation (GCOM 0812z - F19 1359z - F18 1545z) and convective pattern shows also now on 85 GHZ imagery a curved band wrapping at about 7 tens (F15 2204z). Dvorak signature has also clearly improve within the same time.

Under the steering influence of the mid-level near-equatorial ridge, system is expected to track east southeastwards. On this forecast track, environmental conditions are expected to be more and more conductive for intensification.

In the upper levels, under the ridge, the vertical wind shear should keep weak until Sunday and a second poleward outflow channel towards the east is expected to build and to add to the already existing poleward one, that should sustain a very good upper level divergence.

In the low/mid levels, as Diamondra is moving away, the monsoon flow is expected to better feed the system and the subtropical ridge maintains a good poleward trades inflow until Thursday before a transient trough shifts in its south.

Considering this elements and taking profit of a favorable heat oceanic contents until Friday late, system should intensify gradually then is expected from Saturday to weaken slowly as it tracks south of 20.0S.

Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
Gale Warning
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE DIAMONDRA (07-20142015)
4:00 AM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Diamondra (990 hPa) located at 18.1S 77.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as quasi-stationary.

Gale Force Winds
==============
120 NM radius from the center, extending up to 155 NM in the eastern semi-circle and up to 170 NM in the northwestern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
================
190 NM radius from the center, extending up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant, up to 250 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 265 NM in the northwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/12 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 18.4S 78.2E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS 18.8S 79.0E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS 21.1S 81.4 E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
72 HRS 23.9S 84.2E - 35 knots (Depression Post-Tropicale)

Additional Information
===================
Experiencing two competing mid-levels steering flows, one generated by the near-equatorial ridge and the other by the subtropical ridge, Diamondra is quasi-stationary.

Current position is however difficult to precisely locate and is mainly based on 1942z (GCOM) and 1402z (TRMM) microwaves fixes. This estimated location is however consistent with the 2321z GPM swath that has been available too late to be used.

System keeps on experiencing northwesterly vertical wind shear. Diamondra is expected to track globally south-eastwards under the steering influence of the aforementioned near-equatorial ridge and a transient mid-level trough in its south. As Diamondra tracks southeastwards in the same direction than the wind shear, it is not expected to weaken rapidly and it is not excluded that a temporarily strengthening should occur within the next 24 hours.

From Saturday, Diamondra should begin its extra-tropicalization, winds are then expected to strengthen in the mid-latitudes general circulation.
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
9:00 AM FST January 28 2015
===========================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 08F (1003 hPa) located at 15.0S 174.0W is reported as slowly moving. Position poor based on goes infrared/visible imagery and peripheral surface reports. Sea surface temperatures around 30C.

Convection remains persistent with the associated convergence zone. Organization remains good in the past 24 hours. System lies just south of an upper level ridge in a moderate sheared environment.

Global models are initially moving the system north and then south southeast with further development.

The potential for this tropical disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours is MODERATE.
Quoting 258. TropicalAnalystwx13:


You're right. Spring would be much more enjoyable without wasps. Those things are evil (and I'm allergic).

Yeah, yeah, I know, wasp serve to limit the population of insects so that we can in return sustain ourselves. That doesn't change my opinion on them.


Wasps are much more common in summer and early fall. Only overwintering queens are still around in spring. There are no perennial wasp nesting species in the U.S. (Although I wonder if occasional ones just haven't been documented)
Quoting 255. stormchaser19:


I'm pretty sure we are going to have models 99% reliable, NOT 100%....just need to wait the develop of the quantum technology and quantum supercomputers.



We still have the problem of initialization
Quoting 261. georgevandenberghe:



Wasps are much more common in summer and early fall. Only overwintering queens are still around in spring. There are no perennial wasp nesting species in the U.S. (Although I wonder if occasional ones just haven't been documented)

Yep.
Tropical Cyclone... Diamondra? wtf is that... like a Kingdra X yet-discovered diamond Pokemon fusion?
Quoting 231. BahaHurican:

Evening, all. While MA and points north are "enjoying" the blizzard, here in Nassau we're having one of the coldest days in a while. Temperatures hit 72 a couple times today but by Sundown we were below 70 again. It's the first time in a while that I have needed a jacket during the day. Hope it lasts for a few days... :-)


Trade yer 72 for my 27!
Quoting 258. TropicalAnalystwx13:


You're right. Spring would be much more enjoyable without wasps. Those things are evil (and I'm allergic).

Yeah, yeah, I know, wasp serve to limit the population of insects so that we can in return sustain ourselves. That doesn't change my opinion on them.


When I was a little boy, I was outside with my aunt at the old house we used to live in (just recently went back into that house, btw; they had it up for sale so I wanted to go in). My grandfather had built a shed, and we would lean stuff against it. I had gotten a toy lawnmower the preceding Christmas, and there was a wasp nest concealed underneath the handle, all clandestine and ****. It was the following spring, and I picked it up to play with it... I'm sure you can extrapolate what happened from there. My aunt had to get the swelling down. I've been terrified of wasps, bees, and yellow jackets ever since. It's especially bad when my brother has a baseball game, because they're literally swarming.

I actually have a deathly fear of insects in general. I also don't like frogs or rats.
Quoting 265. KoritheMan:

Tropical Cyclone... Diamondra? wtf is that... like a king Kingdra X yet-discovered diamond Pokemon fusion?

LMAO !!!
Quoting 257. Climate175:

Spring would not be the same without these. Mostly butterflies, nice to see them fluttering in the Spring.


Nothing says spring like the sound of spring peepers.
Quoting 265. KoritheMan:

Tropical Cyclone... Diamondra? wtf is that... like a king Kingdra X yet-discovered diamond Pokemon fusion?


apparently there is something called Toraka Saphir and Toraka Diamondra in Madagascar.. =P

Sapphire and Diamond.. hmm..
Surprised this hasn't been posted yet.

@NWSBoston · 1h
Worcester broke its all-time record snowfall with 33.5" as of 7 PM, beating 33.0" set back on April 1, 1997. Records kept there since 1905.
Quoting 245. ohzone:

There appears to be crucial issues with having several computer models upon which to depend so heavily on predicting the path and velocity of major winter storms. It's a classic setup for a future cry wolf scenario. Hopefully some weather genius is working on what shall become the one, the only, the always reliable model. We need this badly.

I have my doubts whether that will ever be possible. Weather models will improve as we learn more but there are lots of small scale chaotic events in weather that are probably impossible to model. You can always pick out a model that did a better job of forecasting some weather event but it usually won't be the same one every time.
Quoting 271. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Surprised this hasn't been posted yet.

@NWSBoston · 1h
Worcester broke its all-time record snowfall with 33.5" as of 7 PM, beating 33.0" set back on April 1, 1997. Records kept there since 1905.



I heard about it but haven't got the chance to get on the blog all day. :/
Quoting 267. KoritheMan:



When I was a little boy, I was outside with my aunt at the old house we used to live in (just recently went back into that house, btw; they had it up for sale so I wanted to go in). My grandfather had built a shed, and we would lean stuff against it. I had gotten a toy lawnmower the preceding Christmas, and there was a wasp nest concealed underneath the handle, all clandestine and ****. It was the following spring, and I picked it up to play with it... I'm sure you can extrapolate what happened from there. My aunt had to get the swelling down. I've been terrified of wasps, bees, and yellow jackets ever since. It's especially bad when my brother has a baseball game, because they're literally swarming.

I actually have a deathly fear of insects in general. I also don't like frogs or rats.


Famous children book author Laura Wilder records an instance of her cousin at a family reunion in Wisconsin doing the old Cry Wolf trick....and then Karma hit. He went to jump up and down on an old tree stump, screaming for help. No one payed attention. Only when he ran as fast as he could through the camp, did the adults notice the entire hive of yellow jackets furiously trying to sting him.

He learned a lesson that day....
Quoting 261. georgevandenberghe:



Wasps are much more common in summer and early fall. Only overwintering queens are still around in spring. There are no perennial wasp nesting species in the U.S. (Although I wonder if occasional ones just haven't been documented)



For the most part no, but yellow jackets sometimes do in Florida, there is a lot of documented proof of yellow jacket nests surviving multiple seasons only to grow larger with each year. Because of the already longer warm season, and the fact the yellow jacket species tends to be even more aggressive here, yellow jackets can build incredible huge nests in Florida.

There is a patch of woods behind my parents house that once had a yellow jacket nest that grew for 6 years, eventually a couple of the neighbors pets ended up wondering too close to the nest and died from several thousands stings, so some exterminators came out and removed it seeing as it was unsafe to human presence at that size.

Link
Quoting 258. TropicalAnalystwx13:


You're right. Spring would be much more enjoyable without wasps. Those things are evil (and I'm allergic).

Yeah, yeah, I know, wasp serve to limit the population of insects so that we can in return sustain ourselves. That doesn't change my opinion on them.
Many species of wasps prey on spiders. Wasps may sometimes sting, but I am on their side. At least wasps don't crawl on your skin and bite you in the dead of the night.
Quoting 269. TimTheWxMan:



Nothing says spring like the sound of spring peepers.


In New England spring peepers indicate "Three more freeze ups to come" But yeah it's my favorite song in Nature when they start trilling in late Feb/Early March in DC.
Quoting 276. guygee:

Many species of wasps prey on spiders. Wasps may sometimes sting, but I am on their side. At least wasps don't crawl on your skin and bite you in the dead of the night.


Wasps are also big predators of cabbageworms which devastate my broccoli and brussels sprouts in mid Fall after the wasps become less active.
Quoting georgevandenberghe:


We still have the problem of initialization
Which doesn't get talked about much, but is really the base of all weather models. In general, models get initialized, and then reinitialized, at each time period's 00 hour. That's when a comparison is made from the last predictions of the model compared to where everything is at on the surface maps and upper air charts. This is when models get nudged to make their output at the 00 hour agree with the actual conditions. A lot of those conditions, especially for large continental models like the NAM, need accurate readings from upper air observations. More and bigger computers won't solve that issue. For example, from Mississippi to Georgia and down through north Florida, there are only five official balloon launch sites. Until we have hundreds of weather balloon drones flying around on their own, this small amount of data, gathered twice a day at 00z and 1200z, has to represent an awful lot of square miles. Kentucky, West Virginia, and Indiana have no balloon launch sites. The entire state of California has two launch sites. If we could double the number of balloon launch sites, that would have an immediate effect on improving models with no change to models themselves except for the programming to add the data from the new launch sites.

Weather balloons, in this day and age, are pretty low tech, and the cost of launching one isn't that expensive. What is expensive is maintaining the launch sites and having the staff needed for these twice a day launches. This is the kind of continuing expense that the NWS isn't willing to take on without a stable funding program. I realize big new computers are a lot sexier than a lowly weather balloon, but no "improved" model is going to get any better without a better data stream. I wish we'd think about this more often if we really want to improve the quality of forecasting.
Quoting 269. TimTheWxMan:



Nothing says spring like the sound of spring peepers.
Where I grew up there were tens of thousands of spring peepers, a humongous chorus every spring. The adults all complained but the song of the peepers blended into my dreams. This year I had a lot of tree frog eggs in my rain barrels, no spring peepers but I'll take a few extra cuban croakers anyday. I fed them all and most are making it through the tadpole stage now. Maybe they will help wipeout the whiteflies while also helping put me to sleep.
hmmmmmm





GFS 00z back north with early next week's storm. Again no expectations whatsoever.
In other news today, grocery stores throughout the Northeast reported much above normal traffic...it was just a little different than they expected.

Quoting 283. sar2401:

In other news today, grocery stores throughout the Northeast reported much above normal traffic...it was just a little different than they expected.




Thats why busted forecasts matter.

People who probably are pushing their budget only to find out it was a waste really get the short end of the stick.

Quoting 281. VAbeachhurricanes:

hmmmmmm






Now wake up tomorrow morning and the 6z gfs will have the storm back south as a "white-hurricane" traveling up the east coast.
Strongly considering dishing out an extensive blog entry covering how painfully obvious it is that the Northeast is seeing more extreme precipitation events.
Quoting 284. VAbeachhurricanes:



Thats why busted forecasts matter.

People who probably are pushing their budget only to find out it was a waste really get the short end of the stick.


Won't they eat the food anyways?
Quoting 288. wxgeek723:

Strongly considering dishing out an extensive blog entry covering how painfully obvious it is that the Northeast is seeing more extreme precipitation events.


Be careful with that kind of thing. Firstly, don't go in with any preconceived notions.

Not that I doubt your claim, but that kind of thing always needs a ton of research.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Be careful with that kind of thing. Firstly, don't go in with any preconceived notions.

Not that I doubt your claim, but that kind of thing always needs a ton of research.


Thanks Kori. I have plenty of evidence from the past decade or so that I will look into in the next few weeks.
Quoting 287. BaltimoreBrian:

A Victorian Argument That Snow Is Holy, Illustrated by a Beautiful Catalog of Flakes

I saw "Beautiful Catalog of Flakes" and wondered if they were describing the authors/artists.
Quoting 267. KoritheMan:



When I was a little boy, I was outside with my aunt at the old house we used to live in (just recently went back into that house, btw; they had it up for sale so I wanted to go in). My grandfather had built a shed, and we would lean stuff against it. I had gotten a toy lawnmower the preceding Christmas, and there was a wasp nest concealed underneath the handle, all clandestine and ****. It was the following spring, and I picked it up to play with it... I'm sure you can extrapolate what happened from there. My aunt had to get the swelling down. I've been terrified of wasps, bees, and yellow jackets ever since. It's especially bad when my brother has a baseball game, because they're literally swarming.

I actually have a deathly fear of insects in general. I also don't like frogs or rats.

After having a traumatic stinging experience when I was little, I'm still very afraid of bees/wasps/stinging bugs and ridiculously flail around when one buzzes near me. In fact, I accidentally bumped the car in front of me one time when a wasp started getting into the open window of my car.
Quoting 293. opal92nwf:


After having a traumatic stinging experience when I was little, I'm still very afraid of bees/wasps/stinging bugs and ridiculously flail around when one buzzes near me. In fact, I accidentally bumped the car in front of me one time when a wasp started getting into the open window of my car.


Did you have to explain that one to the unfortunate victim?
Quoting wxgeek723:
Strongly considering dishing out an extensive blog entry covering how painfully obvious it is that the Northeast is seeing more extreme precipitation events.


Do it Trent.

How many of Central Park's 9 wettest years happened in the last 40 years?


How many of Central Park's 8 biggest snowstorms have occurred since the year 2000?

How many of Boston's biggest snow storms have happened in the past 20 years? The past 40 years?
Quoting riverat544:
I saw "Beautiful Catalog of Flakes" and wondered if they were describing the authors/artists.

At least you weren't thinking of The Breakfast Club ;)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Surprised this hasn't been posted yet.

@NWSBoston · 1h
Worcester broke its all-time record snowfall with 33.5" as of 7 PM, beating 33.0" set back on April 1, 1997. Records kept there since 1905.


Nashua New Hampshire got 33.2" of snow the last I looked but I couldn't find if that is a new record.
Quoting 274. Astrometeor:



Famous children book author Laura Wilder records an instance of her cousin at a family reunion in Wisconsin doing the old Cry Wolf trick....and then Karma hit. He went to jump up and down on an old tree stump, screaming for help. No one payed attention. Only when he ran as fast as he could through the camp, did the adults notice the entire hive of yellow jackets furiously trying to sting him.

He learned a lesson that day....

I was in a 4-H entomology club and were out in the woods north of town catching insects when some of the members found a wasp nest in a rotten tree trunk. They poked it some with predictable results. I had heard that if you stayed still bees and wasps wouldn't see you as a threat and go right past you. So the rest of the guys took off running and most of them got stung but I stood still and didn't.

Disclaimer: It worked for me that day but I don't imagine it always works. I certainly wouldn't try it with a swarm of Africanized honeybees if there was any possibility nearby of getting away from them.
Quoting 298. riverat544:


I was in a 4-H etymology club and were out in the woods north of town catching insects when some of the members found a wasp nest in a rotten tree trunk. They poked it some with predictable results. I had heard that if you stayed still bees and wasps wouldn't see you as a threat and go right past you. So the rest of the guys took off running and most of them got stung but I stood still and didn't.

Disclaimer: It worked for me that day but I don't imagine it always works. I certainly wouldn't try it with a swarm of Africanized honeybees if there was any possibility nearby of getting away from them.


I was returning from picking up my sis from graduation at Caltech two years ago with my family. We stayed at Joshua Tree National Park. The rangers said, "So, there are some bees here in the Park. They won't hurt you if you put out some water for them, they're just thirsty."

*Sees 5 bees in camp* *Puts water out on the direct opposite side*

*Bees fly away*

*Bees come back with entire swarm*

They were Africanized too...they liked to fly right in front of your face.

The rangers got a strongly worded letter from my mother about that...jerks.
Quoting 301. BaltimoreBrian:

For Trent:



Water in the atmosphere




I know that map all too well but those links were great. Do you think you can send a few more my way? Lol
Quoting wxgeek723:
USS Providence damaged after being toppled during blizzard
That boat has been sitting in dry dock for the past five or six years as they tried to raise money to launch her. I guess having insurance and having it get knocked over by the wind will solve that problem.
Quoting Astrometeor:


Won't they eat the food anyways?
Yeah, they will, but for really poor people, it's a cash flow problem. If they spent an extra $20 this week for food they normally would have bought two or three weeks from now, that's $20 that won't be available to put gas in the tank or help pay the heat bill. For most of us, this kind of thing isn't a big deal but, for some people it is.
Quoting 305. sar2401:

Yeah, they will, but for really poor people, it's a cash flow problem. If they spent an extra $20 this week for food they normally would have bought two or three weeks from now, that's $20 that won't be available to put gas in the tank or help pay the heat bill. For most of us, this kind of thing isn't a big deal but, for some people it is.


But that shouldn't happen? The whole point of those food rushes is to get food for the days that you might not be able to. Emergency personnel aren't asking you to spend more money than usual, just for those couple days.
Just my food for thought. They should start treating the winter storms like hurricane forecasts, issuing watches and warnings as needed. I hope that come hurricane season, with less than 24hrs to landfall,
they are not 50 or more miles off where landfall will occur. Forecasting should have been better for the people living in NYC! JMO
Quoting 307. swflurker:

Just my food for thought. They should start treating the winter storms like hurricane forecasts, issuing watches and warnings as needed. I hope that come hurricane season, with less than 24hrs to landfall,
they are not 50 or more miles off where landfall will occur. Forecasting should have been better for the people living in NYC! JMO


??? What do you mean by that? We already have watches and warnings. Winter weather advisory, winter storm watch, winter storm warning, blizzard warning. Items you might also see, Blowing Snow Advisory, High Wind Watch (and High Wind Warning), Coastal Flood Advisory, among others.
Quoting 287. BaltimoreBrian:

A Victorian Argument That Snow Is Holy, Illustrated by a Beautiful Catalog of Flakes


Snowflakes always crystallized “in three, or some multiple of three thats really cool...or cold :)
Nearby Weather Stations cold morning at 2am on jan 28 2015
Beacon Hill/Lake Saltonstall - Branford, Branford
14.2 °F
Rock Hill
14.8 °F
New Haven - Criscuolo Park
14.9 °F
Foxon
13.6 °F
East Haven Town Beach
15.6 °F
east haven morgan point
16.9 °F

cold weather is back



maybe a ice storm here!!
Eunice could be a CAT 4 on the U.S. scale.

Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
Hurricane Warning
FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE EUNICE (08-20142015)
10:00 AM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Eunice (985 hPa) located at 13.8S 64.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 7 knots.

Storm Force Winds
=============
25 NM radius from the center, extending up to 30 NM in the southwestern and northeastern quadrants, and up to 35 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
==============
35 NM radius from the center, extending up to 40 NM in the northwestern quadrant, up to 50 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 80 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
==================
110 NM radius from the center, extending up to 135 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 14.5S 65.5E - 70 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
24 HRS 15.4S 66.4E- 80 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS 17.7S 68.6E - 100 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)
72 HRS 19.6S 72.2E - 90 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)

Additional Information
===================
Eunice has continued to show some evident signs of intensification and a ragged eye is now apparent on the very last images. The current position is based on GEOSTAT imagery with a rather well defined center. The complete ASCAT pass of this morning was also used to calibrate the winds radii. The current intensity assessment is on the upper side of the available Dvorak estimates (50-57 kts 10 min winds) in good agreement with the SATCON of 0256z at 53 kt (10 min winds).

Under the steering influence of the mid-level near-equatorial ridge, system is expected to track east southeastwards. On this forecast track, environmental conditions are expected to be more and more conductive for intensification.

In the upper levels, under the ridge, the vertical wind shear should keep weak until Sunday and a second poleward outflow channel towards the east is expected to build and to add to the already existing poleward one, that should sustain a very good upper level divergence.

Considering this elements and taking profit of a favorable heat oceanic contents until Friday late, system should continue on its rapid intensification tendency within the next 24 hours.

Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
Gale Warning
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE DIAMONDRA (07-20142015)
10:00 AM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Diamondra (988 hPa) located at 18.6S 79.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east southeast at 8 knots..

Gale Force Winds
==============
60 NM radius from the center, extending up to 140 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 155 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
================
95 NM radius from the center, extending up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant, up to 250 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 265 NM in the southwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 19.2S 80.0E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS 20.0S 80.9E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS 22.2S 83.1E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS 24.9S 86.2E - 35 knots (Depression Post-Tropicale)

Additional Information
===================
Microwave fix of this morning were useful to relocate farther east the center than previously estimated. Diamondra has resumed last night on a east southeastwards track under the steering influence of the near-equatorial ridge. The current position is based on GEOSTAT imagery with a partial exposed center that has just appeared recently north of the deep convection. The current intensity is slightly higher than the current Dvorak estimates (ranging from 30-40 kt 10 min winds) and is based on believable 40-45 kts winds read on the ASCAT-B pass of this morning.

Diamondra is expected to track globally southeastwards under the steering influence of the aforementioned near-equatorial ridge and a transient mid-level trough in its south. As Diamondra tracks southeastwards in the same direction than the wind shear, it is not expected to weaken rapidly and it is not excluded that a temporarily strengthening should occur within the next 24 hours.

From Saturday, Diamondra should begin its extra-tropicalization, winds are then expected to strengthen in the mid-latitudes general circulation.
313. VR46L
I know these are very rare (S.Atlantic Tropical Cyclones),but nice area of convection will be leaving tropical Africa South of the equator....

Good morning everyone. Europe is about to get a strong reminder for the next ten days that it's still winter, and this reminder has been dubbed as "Mischka" by the Meteorological Institute in Berlin. Especially upper level atmosphere will soon be flooded with cold temperatures and we'll see a sharp drop of pressure. All this accompagnied by more or less snow (a lot has already been delivered in parts of the northern Alps the last days) - at times even at low level regions in the valleys and plains.


Current airmasses with "Mischka" marching in from the northwest; in the central Mediterranean you can still observe cut-off low "Iustus" swirling as it already has done for many days.




Forecast of pressure drop for my place Mainz near Frankfurt from today until Saturday (source: Meteociel).


Current infrared loop.

From Estofex:
"Towards northwest, another low pressure system will deepen over the Norwegian Sea. Its frontal system will quickly pass the Atlantic towards Central Europe with an arctic maritime airmass characterised by steep lapse rates following its course. Especially over the sea, marginal instability will result in banded showers and perhaps a few weakly electrified thunderstorms."

Have a good day, WU-folks!
Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
214 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

ANZ535-DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-016-503>508- VAZ028-030-031-
052>054-501-505-506-WVZ050>053-281300-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-
CHARLES-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-
NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-
SOUTHEAST HARFORD-FREDERICK VA-WARREN-CLARKE-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK...
WESTMINSTER...PARKTON...REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVIL LE...BALTIMORE...
DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...GER MANTOWN...
DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA...ELLICO TT CITY...
JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...WINCHESTER...FRONT ROYAL...MANASSAS...
MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...WARRENTON...
PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN...MARTINSBURG.. .CHARLES TOWN
214 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015


...PATCHY ICE ON UNTREATED ROADS TONIGHT...

COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS TO NEAR 20 DEGREES EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CAUSE LINGERING SNOW MELT TO REFREEZE...LEADING TO
SLIPPERY SPOTS MOSTLY ON SECONDARY ROADS...BRIDGES...OVERPASSES
AND SIDEWALKS.

PLEASE USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING. REDUCE SPEED AND STAY ALERT
FOR PATCHES OF ICE AND SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS.

$$
318. MahFL
Quoting 307. swflurker:

... Forecasting should have been better for the people living in NYC!...


The public needs to understand weather forecasting is not 100 % accurate, especially when forecasting snow depths. NYC still got 8 inches.
more snow for the northeast on friday
Quoting MahFL:


The public needs to understand weather forecasting is not 100 % accurate, especially when forecasting snow depths. NYC still got 8 inches.


Al Roker this morning said that the forecast was actually correct for New York City.

He said that the forecast was for 9-18" and NYC actally got 10."

First - I never saw any where where the NWS forecast was 9" for New York City.

Second - For days, Al Roker and others continually made comment about how this historic blizzard would be record breaking for New York City.

Yes, it was record breaking for areas of New England to the east. But for New York City and New Jersey it was a bust forecast (NYC did not see a historic blizzard -as forecast for days). To pretend like they actually got the forecast right is silly. They should just explain what happened and live with it.



Quoting 299. Astrometeor:



I was returning from picking up my sis from graduation at Caltech two years ago with my family. We stayed at Joshua Tree National Park. The rangers said, "So, there are some bees here in the Park. They won't hurt you if you put out some water for them, they're just thirsty."

*Sees 5 bees in camp* *Puts water out on the direct opposite side*

*Bees fly away*

*Bees come back with entire swarm*

They were Africanized too...they liked to fly right in front of your face.

The rangers got a strongly worded letter from my mother about that...jerks.


Africanized bees are not hostile when foraging. They are dangerous because they have a much much stronger alarm response than the European strains and will alert en masse when one is injured several hundred meters from a hive. For other strains this radius is tens of meters. Fortunately they do not do well in humid areas even in the South. In the 80s it was thought they might spread as far north as DC metro but the combination of chill and wet in a humid cool season kills them

This species has an interesting way of notifying others about food and water. If it is within 100 meters of the hive they run around in circles on the comb. If it is further they run in an alternating pair of circles cutting through in a straight line halfway and wagging their abdomens. The angle of this line with the vertical corresponds to the
angle between the direction of the sun and the direction to the goodies. If any part of the sky is clear they
can determine sun position from the polarization of the light from the clear sky. Bees will fly several kilometers to a good food source, more in desert areas.
Quoting 320. Sfloridacat5:



Al Roker this morning said that the forecast was actually correct for New York City.

He said that the forecast was for 9-18" and NYC actally got 10."

First - I never saw any where where the NWS forecast was 9" for New York City.

Second - For days, Al Roker and others continually made comment about how this historic blizzard would be record breaking for New York City.

Yes, it was record breaking for areas of New England to the east. But for New York City and New Jersey it was a bust forecast (NYC did not see a historic blizzard -as forecast for days). To pretend like they actually got the forecast right is silly. They should just explain what happened and live with it.






Blizzard was confined to areas in close proximity to the coast. This might have been Historic for a few locations but overall it was a busted forecast by the models. To make comparisons of the 1993 to Superstorm to the 2015 Blizzard makes no sense as the 1993 Superstorm effected everyone in the east from FL to Maine with many areas of the South getting incredible snowfall totals. The 1993 Superstorm was a beast and i doubt we will ever see anything like that in our lifetimes. I remember the outbreak in tornadoes here in FL then the cold front passed and winds constantly gusted to 50 mph after the squall line passed with near hurricane force gusts on the west coast of FL.
its funny...in summer we hear the forecast for a hurricane coming here...and Floridians all know..these storms can change direction and do change direction a lot..well hello..winter storms do that also in the atlantic..and this blizzard storm didn't come westward so much as it was supposed to...it did..what weather loves to do..fool the forecasters..forecasting isn't foolproof..we see this all the time.
Winter in FL is just about over. Average last freeze in Orlando is February 14th and it appears another Winter Season will go in the books with no freeze anywhere in the Orlando area.

More cold rain...great, just great.
Looking wet across the south on the Euro and GFS as we enter February.



more snow on thursday night into friday for northeast
Quoting 327. 1Zach1:

More cold rain...great, just great.
Just accept defeat.You won't be disappointed in the end.
Quoting 279. sar2401:

Which doesn't get talked about much, but is really the base of all weather models. In general, models get initialized, and then reinitialized, at each time period's 00 hour. That's when a comparison is made from the last predictions of the model compared to where everything is at on the surface maps and upper air charts. This is when models get nudged to make their output at the 00 hour agree with the actual conditions. A lot of those conditions, especially for large continental models like the NAM, need accurate readings from upper air observations. More and bigger computers won't solve that issue. For example, from Mississippi to Georgia and down through north Florida, there are only five official balloon launch sites. Until we have hundreds of weather balloon drones flying around on their own, this small amount of data, gathered twice a day at 00z and 1200z, has to represent an awful lot of square miles. Kentucky, West Virginia, and Indiana have no balloon launch sites. The entire state of California has two launch sites. If we could double the number of balloon launch sites, that would have an immediate effect on improving models with no change to models themselves except for the programming to add the data from the new launch sites.

Weather balloons, in this day and age, are pretty low tech, and the cost of launching one isn't that expensive. What is expensive is maintaining the launch sites and having the staff needed for these twice a day launches. This is the kind of continuing expense that the NWS isn't willing to take on without a stable funding program. I realize big new computers are a lot sexier than a lowly weather balloon, but no "improved" model is going to get any better without a better data stream. I wish we'd think about this more often if we really want to improve the quality of forecasting.

I couldn't agree more. Data is the mother's milk of numerical models, and we're starving ours. No wonder they're so sickly
Quoting 330. washingtonian115:

Just accept defeat.You won't be disappointed in the end.


I've accepted that a real nice cold snap isn't going to happen this Winter in C & S FL. Is it cool like 40's at night and 60's during the day yes but not the cold we would typically see during January with lows in the 20's & 30's with temps in the low to mid 50's. To think I thought last Winter was mild here in Orlando well this one has taken the lead. Overall this might be the mildest Winter we've ever had here in Orlando.
Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Blizzard was confined to areas in close proximity to the coast. This might have been Historic for a few locations but overall it was a busted forecast by the models.
You do understand that Nor'easters do, by their very nature, mostly affect "areas in close proximity to the coast", right? And that those "few locations" for which Juno was historic include places like Boston, Providence, and Portland? That is, for many millions of people, the forecast was decidedly NOT a bust.

I think there are two things going on here:

1) Because NYC didn't get the SuperMonsterMegaBlizzard some hyped--instead receiving something less than a foot of snow--some people dismiss Juno's effects. IOW, if it didn't happen in The City, it didn't happen at all.

2) Some people--especially denizens of various weather forums--publicly and repeatedly built this storm up as The Mother Of All Disasters, and continued to do so even as it became apparent its worst effects would be kept east of NYC. The embarrassment they felt starting yesterday is now pushing them to lash out in anger: at TWC, at the NWS, and TV mets, and so on.

(I remember the beating TWC took here on Monday evening when they contradicted the NWS by stating that NYC and Philadelphia were going to get a glancing blow instead of a direct hit. Many of those doing the beating then are today complaining the loudest. Why do you suppose that is?)
Are people still acting like NYC is the center of the Universe?
Quoting 330. washingtonian115:

Just accept defeat.You won't be disappointed in the end.

Never give up, never surrender!
Quoting 334. Neapolitan:

You do understand that Nor'easters do, by their very nature, mostly affect "areas in close proximity to the coast", right? And that those "few locations" for which Juno was historic include places like Boston, Providence, and Portland? That is, for many millions of people, the forecast was decidedly NOT a bust.

I think there are two things going on here:

1) Because NYC didn't get the SuperMonsterMegaBlizzard some hyped--instead receiving something less than a foot of snow--some people dismiss Juno's effects. IOW, if it didn't happen in The City, it didn't happen at all.

2) Some people--especially denizens of various weather forums--publicly and repeatedly built this storm up as The Mother Of All Disasters, and continued to do so even as it became apparent its worst effects would be kept east of NYC. The embarrassment they felt starting yesterday is now pushing them to lash out in anger: at TWC, at the NWS, and TV mets, and so on.

(I remember the beating TWC took here on Monday evening when they contradicted the NWS by stating that NYC and Philadelphia were going to get a glancing blow instead of a direct hit. Many of those doing the beating then are today complaining the loudest. Why do you suppose that is?)


Well for I hardly mentioned this storm at all if that is what you are referring to as i figured all along it would be further east. If you go back and look at the post I really made no mention of this system except for maybe a post or 2 that's it. My point is this was more localized than some of the other Blizzards of years past IE 2013, 2002/2003 winter, 1996 rings a bell and the list goes on. That is my point so no need to get your panties in a wad.

Friends up in the Boston area just west of the metro said this was your typical Nor Easter.
Quoting 332. StormTrackerScott:



I've accepted that a real nice cold snap isn't going to happen this Winter in C & S FL. Is it cool like 40's at night and 60's during the day yes but not the cold we would typically see during January with lows in the 20's & 30's with temps in the low to mid 50's. To think I thought last Winter was mild here in Orlando well this one has taken the lead. Overall this might be the mildest Winter we've ever had here in Orlando.


Look to the March 2 or 3 freeze in 1980 after a mild winter. 32F in Miami. I don't remember what Orlando reached.

when the boss of new york gets in front of his people and says this is the one. the forecast was a bust
Anyhow I had a coworker tell me that it was a good idea to shut down the city, mainly to avoid people having to be on the roads, especially if they had to travel home to long island, they would have likely been stranded and stuck in the cars. C'mon people rationalize here for a second, would you rather be at work and get out of work trying to beat the rush to get home and then get stuck in traffic and caught in the storm? or be home where you are safe? I would rather be safe than be sorry. That is how I look at it.
Quoting 340. islander101010:

when the boss of new york gets in front of his people and says this is the one. the forecast was a bust
So would you rather him/her get up and say. I have bad news we lost 2 employees during the storm.
Quoting 333. washingtonian115:




That's beautiful.
Quoting StormTrackerScott:


My point is this was more localized than some of the other Blizzards of years past IE 2013, 2002/2003 winter, 1996 rings a bell and the list goes on. That is my point so no need to get your panties in a wad.

Friends up in the Boston area just west of the metro said this was your typical Nor Easter.
No need to get upset and start hurling grade-school insults; we're both adults here.

Your "friends" west of Boston may tell you this week's event was just a "typical" nor'easter. But this was the sixth largest snowfall event in Boston's history dating back to 1890. It dropped 3 feet of snow on some locations. Blizzard conditions affected millions for hours. There were tropical storm-force winds over a large area, and some areas experienced hurricane-force gusts. Waves and surge action destroyed a number of homes, and in places permanently re-arranged the coastline.

There's nothing "typical" about that. If your friends think so, they need to consult a dictionary to refresh their definition of that word... :)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
Hurricane Warning
CYCLONE TROPICAL EUNICE (08-20142015)
16:00 PM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Eunice (970 hPa) located at 14.2S 64.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 6 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
=================
15 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
=============
30 NM radius from the center, extending up to 40 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
==============
35 NM radius from the center, extending up to 40 NM in the northwestern quadrant, up to 50 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 80 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
==================
110 NM radius from the center, extending up to 135 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/6 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 14.9S 65.7E - 85 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
24 HRS 15.8S 66.8E- 95 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)
48 HRS 18.0S 68.7E- 90 knots (Cyclone Tropical Intense)
72 HRS 19.0S 72.0E - 85 knots (Cyclone Tropical)

Additional Information
===================
Eunice has continued to rapidly intensify and now an eye is clearly visible on the last satellite pictures since 0700z. The mean of Dvorak analysis on 6 hours is 5.0- but the Dvorak constraint require a DT at 4.5+. Although 1046z microwave picture on 85 GHZ shows an irregular eye.

Under the steering influence of the mid-level near-equatorial ridge, the system is expected to track east-south-eastward or southeastward until Saturday morning. Within the next 24 hours, environmental conditions are expected to be very favorable and Eunice should rapidly intensify up to the intense tropical cyclone stage. In the upper levels, under the ridge, the vertical wind shear should keep weak until Sunday and a second poleward outflow channel towards the east is expected to build and to add to the already existing poleward one, that should sustain a very good upper level divergence.

From Saturday, the aforementioned ridge is expected to shift westward and so Eunice should curve east southeastward. Sunday, environmental conditions begin to deteriorate slowly with the strengthening westerly wind-shear and cooler sea surface temperatures. The system should begin to slowly weakening.

Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
Gale Warning
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE DIAMONDRA (07-20142015)
16:00 PM RET January 28 2015
========================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Diamondra (988 hPa) located at 19.6S 79.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast at 7 knots..

Gale Force Winds
==============
60 NM radius from the center, extending up to 140 NM in the southwestern quadrant and up to 155 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
================
95 NM radius from the center, extending up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant, up to 250 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 265 NM in the southwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/6 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
================
12 HRS 20.2S 79.8E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS 20.9S 80.8E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS 23.0S 83.1E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS 25.6S 86.0E - 35 knots (Depression Post-Tropicale)

Additional Information
===================
The general pattern has fex evolved for the last 6 hours. 0600z CIMSS data still suggests a westerly vertical wind-shear at about 15 kts. The position of the center has been extrapolated thanks to 1106z microwave F16 picture.

Until Saturday, Diamondra is expected to track generally south eastwards under the steering influence of the aforementioned near-equatorial ridge and a transient mid-level trough in its south. It should slowly weaken with the influence of the west southwesterly vertical wind-shear and of the decreasing ocean heat potential.

From Saturday, Diamondra should begin its extra-tropicalization on a southward track. The winds are then expected to strengthen in the mid-latitudes general circulation.
Quoting 337. StormTrackerScott:



Well for I hardly mentioned this storm at all if that is what you are referring to as i figured all along it would be further east. If you go back and look at the post I really made no mention of this system except for maybe a post or 2 that's it. My point is this was more localized than some of the other Blizzards of years past IE 2013, 2002/2003 winter, 1996 rings a bell and the list goes on. That is my point so no need to get your panties in a wad.

Friends up in the Boston area just west of the metro said this was your typical Nor Easter.

From the Merrimack Valley back through the Worcester Hills into Northeastern Connecticut got 32-38 inches of snow. The Coast from Portland to Nantucket got the highest storm surge since 1991, or 1978 depending on the place.
Not the mention Canada is in fact populated with people and Nova Scotia and Labador got hit like much of eastern New England
given that worcester set a new single-storm snow record of almost 34 inches, i don't see how that could be called 'typical'.

Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Friends up in the Boston area just west of the metro said this was your typical Nor Easter.
A little post-storm information from the Taunton, MA NWS. This link is mostly to show where blizzard criteria was met and for how long. Boston met the criteria for 9 hours! I don't ever recall that length of blizzard conditions happening there.

Link

And here are some storm totals (though be careful because some of them are not complete, as evidenced by the report times). It was a general 24-36" when all was said and done. Largest single storm snow accumulation on record for Worcester, MA.

Link

Finally, some storm reports mostly in regards to wind and coastal flooding.

So yes, I would say this storm was historic in the areas that were impacted worst. Not unprecedented, not a "superstorm", but a big one for sure.
These are my thoughts:

In an overall sense, this blizzard was well-forecast (once it was actually picked up, which wasn't until 2 days before the event). The areas that were forecast to see 2-3ft across eastern Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Rhode Island did indeed receive 2-3ft. Claims of this being a historic storm did verify--Worcester, Massachusetts saw its greatest snowstorm in recorded history. However, parts of the forecast did not come to fruition, specifically across the New York City metro area and points west. It just so happens that this forecast bust occurred over the 8th largest city in the world. Is meteorology an inexact science? Yes. But it would be wrong just to push this "bust" (for lack of a better word; I wouldn't call this a bust in the true sense of the word given that portions of NYC received 11") under the rug like it did not happen. The National Weather Service office in New York City outright forecast a history-making event, with 24-36"; and when you go with solutions that extreme, you risk falling short. I do not blame the weather service for their forecast, however; the center of the blizzard ended up tracking slightly east of what was initially thought, leading to lesser snow amounts across Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and the NYC area. At the same time, there will be severe consequences from this "bust." The next time claims of a potentially historic storm for the Northeast start flying around, people will be skeptical and more likely to ignore the warnings. And so I agree with NWS DIrector Louis Uccellini who said yesterday that his agency has to do a better job of conveying uncertainty to the public.
i think that the debate if this storm was historical is laughable. boston with 24.6 inches..... had its greatest snowfall amount from one storm in 123 years........'nough said!
Not the mention Canada is in fact populated with people and Nova Scotia and Labador got hit like much of eastern New England


come on met.....LOL.....don't forget.....on this blog...there's no populated areas outside the united states...and of course...the capital of the US...is florida
It just so happens that this forecast bust occurred over the 8th largest city in the world. Is meteorology an inexact science? Yes. But it would be wrong just to push this "bust" (for lack of a better word; I wouldn't call this a bust in the true sense of the word given that portions of NYC received 11") under the rug like it did not happen

i believe i read yesterday that the official error of track was off by +/- 50 miles.......we would be thrilled if at 2 days out...the NHC could track tropical systems as accurately
Manchester, NH
9:42 AM EST on January 28, 2015 (GMT -0500) Millyard |
Elev 164 ft 43.00 °N, 71.47 °W | Updated 1 min ago

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
15.6 °F
Quoting 349. MAweatherboy1:

A little post-storm information from the Taunton, MA NWS. This link is mostly to show where blizzard criteria was met and for how long. Boston met the criteria for 9 hours! I don't ever recall that length of blizzard conditions happening there.

Link

And here are some storm totals (though be careful because some of them are not complete, as evidenced by the report times). It was a general 24-36" when all was said and done. Largest single storm snow accumulation on record for Worcester, MA.

Link

Finally, some storm reports mostly in regards to wind and coastal flooding.

So yes, I would say this storm was historic in the areas that were impacted worst. Not unprecedented, not a "superstorm", but a big one for sure.
14 hour blizzard for Marshfield, that's insane.
Quoting 352. ricderr:

Not the mention Canada is in fact populated with people and Nova Scotia and Labador got hit like much of eastern New England


come on met.....LOL.....don't forget.....on this blog...there's no populated areas outside the united states...and of course...the capital of the US...is florida


And the capital city of the capital state is of course, Longwood. Ta da da boom!
Just making the comment that most amateur weather enthusiasts, including most on this Blog with the exception of a few Pro Mets that comment from time to time, are weather "watchers" and not forecasters. It's fun to sit on a computer and watch radar and satt loops (and accessing all of the models and other sites available online) and make guesses as to what might happen but the real pros, and those who people should actually rely on to make informed decisions, is the NWS. With that being said, Mother Nature can often "shift" position on us from time to time and fool everyone including pros and amateurs alike. It is what it is; that is the nature of the business. The best we can do as humans at this time is to rely on the models to get us in the ballpark of where the weather threats will emerge and localized impacts will vary within the "cone".
Quoting 348. hurricanes2018:





Get your own valid XHTML YouTube embed code
good video
Quoting 332. StormTrackerScott:



I've accepted that a real nice cold snap isn't going to happen this Winter in C & S FL. Is it cool like 40's at night and 60's during the day yes but not the cold we would typically see during January with lows in the 20's & 30's with temps in the low to mid 50's. To think I thought last Winter was mild here in Orlando well this one has taken the lead. Overall this might be the mildest Winter we've ever had here in Orlando.

Well, I really wouldn't call it yet. Anything can happen in February. In fact, I've heard people say that February seems like the coldest winter month in Florida or that we get our worst cold snap then. This was the case in 2010. (although I know this winter is a lot different from that winter already)

My family used to visit Disney World every February for awhile, and it was considerably chilly for many of those visits with us wearing jackets even during the daytime.

And for the Panhandle, usually we have to worry about a freeze all the way through March. Usually, this is a problem for my citrus, because in-between freezes it will be considerably warm, so in the time period right before the last freeze in March, my citrus will start to sprout and bud flowers only to be killed or nearly killed with that last freeze.
The comedian Louis CK cancelled the last of four shows at Madison Square Garden yesterday evening based on the warnings in place on Monday. He wrote a long letter to his fans covering a range of subjects before he commented on the storm:

"ps. I guess I didn't have to cancel the show at MSG tonight. I don't blame the mayor. That storm was a monster. We got lucky. When you consider the action taken by the government of entire north east, they got it right. To expect accuracy from each individual mayor is just too much. For us in New York and us in my house and us at MSG it was overblown. But if you expand that 'us' to everyone in the path is the storm, they were spot on. My family in Boston is part of us for me. So that's how I look at it."

I couldn't agree more...
Quoting opal92nwf:

Well, I really wouldn't call it yet. Anything can happen in February. In fact, I've heard people say that February seems like the coldest winter month in Florida or that we get our worst cold snap then. This was the case in 2010. (although I know this winter is a lot different from that winter already)
It's true that anything can happen in February. But while February might *seem* like the coldest month in Florida, stats say otherwise:

Its a shame that half the population doesn't know that weather isn't a exact science...I remember some days where it was forecast to be 90 degrees but the marine layer won so we were stuck in the 70's.But I couldn't get mad at the met because I know the marine layer is hard to predict and just 30 miles can make all the difference.
Quoting 355. Methurricanes:

14 hour blizzard for Marshfield, that's insane.

And they got 2+ feet of snow, on top of coastal flooding. A portion of the seawall failed there - some of the photos of damaged/condemned homes posted yesterday were from Marshfield.
Quoting 361. Neapolitan:

It's true that anything can happen in February. But while February might *seem* like the coldest month in Florida, stats say otherwise:



Yep haha, I knew some stickler might pull out the stats: that's why I said "seem." Although I do know for sure that sometimes we do have our coldest snap in February, and probably some Februaries sometime have turned out to be colder. In fact, the first few years after moving back to the FL Panhandle, without fail we would have our worst freeze in early February. It seemed to change after 2010 though.
Off topic: Google Fiber said this week that they are extending to 4 more cities across the U.S.

It'd be nice if Wilmington, NC was one of them.

Anyone else getting all italics for a good portion of the comments? I see them for post #358 and older.
Quoting 341. GTstormChaserCaleb:

Anyhow I had a coworker tell me that it was a good idea to shut down the city, mainly to avoid people having to be on the roads, especially if they had to travel home to long island, they would have likely been stranded and stuck in the cars. C'mon people rationalize here for a second, would you rather be at work and get out of work trying to beat the rush to get home and then get stuck in traffic and caught in the storm? or be home where you are safe? I would rather be safe than be sorry. That is how I look at it.
yeah your right..i grew up in nyc..and I think they did the right thing shutting it down..all in the name of safety..so it didn't hit them too bad....most up there are saying thank goodness..we didn't want that here.
Quoting 366. LAbonbon:

Anyone else getting all italics for a good portion of the comments? I see them for post #358 and older.


same
Quoting 347. schwankmoe:

given that worcester set a new single-storm snow record of almost 34 inches, i don't see how that could be called 'typical'.




This was updated to 34.5 inches / 87.6 cm.
In relation to the Blizzard that missed NYCity had the storm energized earlier from upper low Ga coast into storm that was off NC coast monday am or moved 50 miles west of the final track , NYCity would have had 20" suffolk county long island 40" believe it they got lucky very ! It was never a true Nor-Easter spanning from Va to Ma it was a coastal bomb and was simple to see at 5pm monday it was not going to hit NYC from what I seen on NOAA sites radar velocity barometer simple calculations , the problem is NYCity doesn't have their own specific forecasters with knowledge history of prior storms to put their stamp on a forecast , they rely on NWS why I don't know . When snow bands are not reaching the length south to north of garden state pkw in NJ its obvious the storm was not following the warnings advised before monday night into NYCity . What shocks me at 10pm monday NY meteorologist still did not see all of this happening stuck with NWS forecast NYC would get up to 18".
Winter Storm Juno Clobbers New England With Heavy Snow, High Winds, Coastal Flooding


Winter Storm Juno pounded locations from Long Island to New England with heavy snow, high winds and coastal flooding late Monday into Tuesday.

The storm is now winding down. The National Weather Service has dropped all winter storm and blizzard warnings for Juno.

Several locations in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Long Island and Rhode Island have picked up over 2 feet of snow.

Snow amounts in New York have ranged from 9.8 inches at Central Park in New York City to 30 inches on Long Island.

In Massachusetts, up to 36 inches of snow has been measured in Lunenburg, while Boston has seen 24.4 inches. Juno was a record snowstorm for Worcester, Massachusetts (34.5 inches). Incredibly, 31.9 inches fell in Worcester on Jan. 27, alone!

Thundersnow was reported in coastal portions of Rhode Island and Massachusetts late Monday night and early Tuesday.
Quoting 365. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Off topic: Google Fiber said this week that they are extending to 4 more cities across the U.S.

It'd be nice if Wilmington, NC was one of them.




Huh, maybe I shouldn't be complaining about internet speed here...

Seriously, that's slow. Looks like you fall between 188th & 189th on Ookla's Global Index, between Guyana and Guinea.

The really sad thing is, based on the graphic you posted, 17% of the US is slower than your internet speed.

How does WU work with that speed? Or other image-intensive sites?


Homes along the shore of Brant Rock on the ocean are destroyed by the force of the ocean during the blizzard.

Boston


in boston
Quoting 373. LAbonbon:



Huh, maybe I shouldn't be complaining about internet speed here...

Seriously, that's slow. Looks like you fall between 188th & 189th on Ookla's Global Index, between Guyana and Guinea.

The really sad thing is, based on the graphic you posted, 17% of the US is slower than your internet speed.

How does WU work with that speed? Or other image-intensive sites?

Since our router is on the other side of the house, I have to constantly fight with my connection. I have a laptop, so if I move it one or two inches to the left, it might struggle to connect, while if I move it one or two inches up, it has 4 or 5 bars. The position I currently have it in raises my grade to a D. :)

1 Gbit/s upload and download with Google Fiber...I can only dream.
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting 375. hurricanes2018:



in boston


People have mentioned snowfall in Boston and the 'official' record. But I'm amazed by the reported 31" in South Boston. Have no clue what the record there is, but that's a LOT of snow for there.
Lots of interesting takes on those who "busted" and those who got punched in the face. I got 28", it snowed very hard from 0200 Tuesday morning until 2000 Tuesday night. Plenty of drifting, colossal snow banks, etc. Lots of people on edge up here in Maine as we are supposed to get another 4 to 6 inches on Friday (which could easily turn into 6 to 10 if the storm winds up just an hour earlier). Then signs point to potentially another 1 to 2 feet on Monday. I could pick up five feet of snow between yesterdays storm and the two upcoming storms. It could also all fall apart and be nothing (which is what we all really want), but a good bet is that our current "way to much friggin snow" situation is just going to get worse.
380. vis0

Quoting 351. ricderr:

i think that the debate if this storm was historical is laughable. boston with 24.6 inches..... had its greatest snowfall amount from one storm in 123 years........'nough said!
did someone already say Hysterical? (Histerical?)?
Quoting 379. tlawson48:

Lots of interesting takes on those who "busted" and those who got punched in the face. I got 28", it snowed very hard from 0200 Tuesday morning until 2000 Tuesday night. Plenty of drifting, colossal snow banks, etc. Lots of people on edge up here in Maine as we are supposed to get another 4 to 6 inches on Friday (which could easily turn into 6 to 10 if the storm winds up just an hour earlier). Then signs point to potentially another 1 to 2 feet on Monday. I could pick up five feet of snow between yesterdays storm and the two upcoming storms. It could also all fall apart and be nothing (which is what we all really want), but a good bet is that our current "way to much friggin snow" situation is just going to get worse.
stay warm and safe up there.