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Midwest's February Thaw to be Followed by a Return of the Polar Vortex

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:27 PM GMT on February 19, 2014

A major February thaw is underway across the Midwest U.S., where high temperatures are above freezing for a second consecutive day in cities like Chicago, Minneapolis, and Detroit. The welcome thaw is bringing significant melting of the heavy snowpack over the Midwest, raising flooding concerns. Much of Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, and Indiana are covered by snows of 10 - 30" that if melted, would be equivalent to 2 - 6" of rain. With temperatures in the 40s and low 50s coming on Thursday, accompanied by up to 1" of rain, flash flooding is expected in many regions of the Midwest. Soils are still frozen, which will limit the infiltration of the rain into the ground, providing faster run-off and greater flooding potential. Also of concern are ice jams on rivers, caused when the ice on top of rising rivers breaks up and jams together, creating blockages that back up river waters. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the Midwest under their "Slight Risk" area for severe weather on Thursday, with portions of Kentucky and Tennessee in their first "Moderate Risk" area of the year. Severe thunderstorms with strong winds, hail, and few tornadoes will make it seem like spring. However, it will be winter on Thursday over Northern Iowa and Southern Minnesota, where blizzard warnings are posted.


Figure 1. The equivalent amount of rain stored in the Midwest snowpack as of February 19, 2014, ranges from 2 - 6" over much of Iowa, Illiinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio. Image credit: NOAA/NOHRSC.

Return of the Polar Vortex Next Week
Fortunately (?) for the Midwest, this week's thaw will be short-lived, preventing the kind of major flooding that would result if all of the snowpack were to melt in a week. This morning's runs of the GFS and European models were better able to handle the evolving upper-air pattern over the Pacific Ocean, and it appears that their earlier runs seriously underestimated the strength of a ridge of high pressure forecast to build over the Western U.S. 6 - 10 days from now. This ridge will be accompanied by a return of the cold "Polar Vortex" over the Midwest and Northeast U.S., bringing bitter cold temperatures and strong winds. Temperatures 20°F below normal will likely invade the Upper Midwest on Sunday, and gradually spread southeastwards during the week. The peak cold is predicted to occur late next week, with temperatures 20 - 35° below normal covering much of the eastern 2/3 of the country. As a result of these new model runs, the natural gas market has been soaring ever since early this morning, and is now approaching a five-year high of $6. 


Figure 2. The 6 - 10 day forecast for February 24 - 28, made on February 19, 2014, calls for a high probability of below-average temperatures over the eastern 2/3 of the contiguous U.S., as the dreaded "Polar Vortex" drops southwards over the U.S. again. Image credit: NOAA/CPC.

Thanks go to WSI's Mike Ventrice for the info on the natural gas market. He posts to @WSI_Energy on Twitter.

Jeff Masters

Winter Weather Flood

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

wicked winter storm live stream from road around minnepolis tonight.
2/20/2014 Twin Cities Winter Storm LIVE stream
Indianapolis, IN (KIND) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 993. Astrometeor:


Which makes me even more confused because the SPC just issued a tornado watch for my county (Davidson). What do they see?



The GFS sounding over Central Tennessee explains everything, quite the stable layer sandwiched in there.

If this was the morning and temps were expected to warm substantially with higher dewpoints, then I would be more worried.

However we are headed into the night, its going to be hard t get anything severe going with that layer in there.

I'm not sure what they are seeing either...


Louisville, KY (KLVX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5) Radar Site Map

1006. pcola57
986mb Low cranking....
Thanks for the updates all..
Lightening arrester at the ready..
All grounds green and a go..
Gonna be popping waaay too early..
Check on loved ones..

Correction..
974mb..
Thanks Pat..
1007. Patrap

929
WFUS53 KIND 210110
TORIND
INC027-055-101-210145-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0004.140221T0110Z-140221T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
810 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
NORTHERN MARTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 845 PM EST

* AT 807 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTH OF BLOOMFIELD...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BLOOMFIELD...BURNS CITY...SWITZ CITY...CRANE...WORTHINGTON...
OWENSBURG AND SOLSBERRY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3884 8715 3886 8714 3886 8713 3887 8712
3889 8713 3889 8712 3890 8711 3891 8720
3914 8696 3916 8668 3886 8668 3871 8703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 233DEG 56KT 3888 8697

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN


1008. Patrap
Quoting 1004. Jedkins01:




The GFS sounding over Central Tennessee explains everything, quite the stable layer sandwiched in there.

If this was the morning and temps were expected to warm substantially with higher dewpoints, then I would be more worried.

However we are headed into the night, its going to be hard t get anything severe going with that layer in there.

I'm not sure what they are seeing either...






Actually sorry, that was the older one, here is the 21Z:



1011. sar2401
From Birmingham forecast discussion:

AGAIN...THE MAIN THREAT WILL REMAIN DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE LATER EVENING HOURS INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...THERE IS NO WAY TO RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES...INCLUDING PERHAPS A STRONGER ONE WITH THE UPDRAFT
POTENTIAL AND HIGHER INSTABILITY VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS
IS ESPECIALLY TRUE IF THE PRESQUALL CELLS STAY ORGANIZED AS THE
SURFACE WINDS BACK AND THE 0 - 1 KM SHEAR CONTINUES TO INCREASE
THROUGH THE EVENING AS PROGGED. LAPSE RATES...DRY AIR ALOFT...AND
NOT AN OVERLY SHEARED TYPICAL WINTER TIME EVENT ALL SEEM EXTREMELY
THREATENING.

MAKE SURE YOU TAKE ALL WARNINGS SERIOUSLY...INCLUDING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS. THIS EVENT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO OVER ACHIEVE
SO DONT LET YOUR GUARD DOWN OVERNIGHT AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. IT COULD SAVE YOUR LIFE!
1012. Patrap
 
689  
WFUS54 KLIX 210112  
TORLIX  
MSC147-210130-  
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0004.140221T0112Z-140221T0130Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
712 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...  
 
* UNTIL 730 PM CST  
 
* AT 709 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DEXTER...OR  
14 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRANKLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  
 
* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE  
INDICATED COUNTY.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A  
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS  
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN  
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO  
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  
 
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A  
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE  
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.  
 
PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE  
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND  
PHOTOS.  
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3117 9000 3114 9000 3114 8994 3108 8991  
3108 8984 3107 8983 3100 8991 3100 9012  
3103 9016 3118 9003  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 221DEG 24KT 3104 9001
Quoting 1006. pcola57:
986mb Low cranking....
Thanks for the updates all..
Lightening arrester at the ready..
All grounds green and a go..
Gonna be popping waaay too early..
Check on loved ones..


I should mention that the cell that is bypassing me currently is a massive lightning storm. Steady flashes (half of which are extremely bright) every second, yet the thunder is very faint.
1014. Patrap

451
WFUS54 KJAN 210112
TORJAN
MSC091-210215-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0003.140221T0112Z-140221T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
712 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 713 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR DEXTER...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
PICKWICK AROUND 730 PM CST.
COLUMBIA AROUND 745 PM CST.
IMPROVE AROUND 805 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.



A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR
MISSISSIPPI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
800 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3100 8983 3107 8984 3107 8992 3112 8995
3113 9000 3113 9001 3117 9002 3144 8976
3143 8965 3109 8965 3100 8966
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 224DEG 27KT 3106 8998



GRG
That is a decent hook in Southern Mississippi
1017. Patrap
Them radars have no city locale identifiers keeps, so zoomed n their fairly useless.
1018. sar2401
Quoting Astrometeor:


I should mention that the cell that is bypassing me currently is a massive lightning storm. Steady flashes (half of which are extremely bright) every second, yet the thunder is very faint.

Sounds like it must be elevated, Astro. Those are always weird, especially the flash bulb effect (for those of you old enough to remember flash bulbs).
1019. Patrap
TVS Noted,

1021. Patrap

781
WFUS54 KOHX 210115
TOROHX
TNC147-165-210145-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0001.140221T0115Z-140221T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
715 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN ROBERTSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTH CENTRAL SUMNER COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 745 PM CST

* AT 713 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SPRINGFIELD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CROSS PLAINS...PORTLAND...ORLINDA AND MITCHELLVILLE.

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 3665 8631 3640 8684 3653 8695 3666 8672
3666 8659 3664 8657 3666 8651 3666 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 235DEG 55KT 3650 8680



TB12
1022. sar2401
Quoting Doppler22:
That is a decent hook in Southern Mississippi

That blob in south Mississippi makes me nervous.
1023. Patrap
Possible Debris Ball following the TVS.

C2



Via: @BTSullivan91
1025. Patrap
That vector closes in to Columbia..
Quoting 1005. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Louisville, KY (KLVX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5) Radar Site Map



can u post this map for the la/ms area?
Quoting 1024. Doppler22:


Via: @BTSullivan91

That's probably the best organized cell of the day so far.
1028. Patrap
 
283  
WFUS53 KPAH 210120  
TORPAH  
KYC107-149-177-210145-  
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0012.140221T0120Z-140221T0145Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
720 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHERN HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...  
SOUTHEASTERN MCLEAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...  
NORTHWESTERN MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
 
* UNTIL 745 PM CST.  
 
* AT 716 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A  
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DAWSON SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT  
60 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
 
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO  
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS  
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS  
LIKELY.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
MADISONVILLE...GREENVILLE...CENTRAL CITY...EARLINGTON...  
NORTONVILLE...MORTONS GAP...GRAHAM...POWDERLY...LIVERMORE...ST.  
CHARLES...WHITE PLAINS...BREMEN...SACRAMENTO...SOUTH CARROLLTON AND  
ISLAND.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3735 8713 3733 8712 3733 8710 3719 8714  
3712 8759 3715 8768 3717 8771 3729 8772  
3751 8709 3747 8711 3745 8709 3737 8709  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 245DEG 53KT 3719 8765  
 
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED  
HAIL...<.75IN
Jackson, MS (KDGX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

thank you
1032. JRRP
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Here is the Mid-Febuary update of ENSO models. It looks like the sure bet is La Nina will not be present by the Summer.



Link

also looks like weak EL NIÑO for the hurricane season
1033. pcola57
Stepping away for now..
One thing of note..
The fog is unusually thick and moving due North of me at 14+mph..
Barely seeing the street lights ATM..
Odd seeing it move that fast..
1034. sar2401
You nailed it, Doppler

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
712 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 713 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR DEXTER...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
PICKWICK AROUND 730 PM CST.
COLUMBIA AROUND 745 PM CST.
IMPROVE AROUND 805 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.


1035. Patrap
1036. sar2401
Time to take the pooch for a walk before the situation deteriorates. Be back in about 45 minutes.
WOUS64 KWNS 210118
WOU7

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

TORNADO WATCH 17 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

LAC001-003-005-007-009-011-019-023-033-037-039-045 -047-051-053-
055-057-063-071-075-077-079-087-089-091-093-095-09 7-099-101-103-
105-109-113-115-117-121-125-210900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0017.140221T0125Z-140221T0900Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA ALLEN ASCENSION
ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD
CALCASIEU CAMERON EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE IBERIA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON
ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE
RAPIDES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. HELENA ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TERREBONNE
VERMILION VERNON WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA


MSC005-045-047-059-109-113-147-157-210900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0017.140221T0125Z-140221T0900Z/

MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMITE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON PEARL RIVER PIKE
WALTHALL WILKINSON


GMZ432-435-450-452-455-530-532-534-536-538-550-552 -555-557-
210900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0017.140221T0125Z-140221T0900Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

CALCASIEU LAKE

VERMILION BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

MISSISSIPPI SOUND

LAKE BORGNE

CHANDELEUR SOUND

BRETON SOUND

COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM

ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...



1038. Patrap
Quoting 1017. Patrap:
Them radars have no city locale identifiers keeps, so zoomed n their fairly useless.


Lake Charles, LA (KLCH) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

1040. Patrap

305
WFUS53 KLMK 210128
TORLMK
KYC213-227-210150-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0001.140221T0128Z-140221T0150Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
728 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL SIMPSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 750 PM CST

* AT 723 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLIN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...SPORADIC DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND VEHICLES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEMPHIS JUNCTION...THREE SPRINGS...CRESTMOOR...GREENWOOD...MOUNT
VICTOR...PLUM SPRINGS...RICH POND...MATLOCK...DRAKE...PLANO...
BOYCE...WARREN COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT...ALVATON...GREENHILL...
HARDCASTLE...BRISTOW...MOTLEY AND GOTTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A BUILDING.



LAT...LON 3687 8666 3688 8664 3688 8662 3690 8662
3704 8633 3690 8624 3689 8627 3687 8626
3685 8630 3678 8661
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 245DEG 40KT 3685 8654

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN
Any live streams of these storms? Checked a few locations out, not broadcasting on the net.
1042. geepy86
Quoting Skyepony:
Delta launch from Cape Canaveral, FL at 8:40pm EDT.

not working
1043. hydrus
Looks a bit potent..Seen much worse..
1044. Patrap


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 725 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
1045. beell
Quoting 1004. Jedkins01:



The GFS sounding over Central Tennessee explains everything, quite the stable layer sandwiched in there.

If this was the morning and temps were expected to warm substantially with higher dewpoints, then I would be more worried.

However we are headed into the night, its going to be hard t get anything severe going with that layer in there.

I'm not sure what they are seeing either...




Jed, is that a noon forecast sounding?


Louisville, KY (KLVX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 1041. GeoffreyWPB:
Any live streams of these storms? Checked a few locations out, not broadcasting on the net.

Link
1048. Patrap

067
WFUS53 KLMK 210131
TORLMK
KYC003-213-210200-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0002.140221T0131Z-140221T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
731 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ALLEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 728 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PORTLAND...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...SPORADIC DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND VEHICLES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCOTTSVILLE...PEDEN MILL...HICKORY FLAT...BORNES FORD...HIGHLAND...
EUBANKS FORD...GOLD CITY...NEW ROE...MCELROY FORD...CLARE...MOUNT
AERIAL...ALONZO...FLEET...POPE...ADOLPHUS...CHAPEL HILL...RED
HILL...BUTLERSVILLE...PETROLEUM AND WEST FORK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3665 8636 3665 8652 3663 8657 3665 8659
3664 8662 3673 8665 3683 8606 3681 8607
3680 8605 3678 8604 3677 8605 3675 8599
3669 8596 3663 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 242DEG 53KT 3662 8652

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN



SCHOETTMER
1049. geepy86
Quoting geepy86:

not working

got it
Quoting 1045. beell:


Jed, is that a noon forecast sounding?




We had a balloon go up (asked for by SPC) at 2 pm today.
Nashville, TN (KOHX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

The line has just rapidly gotten stronger across Tennessee...
Quoting 1041. GeoffreyWPB:
Any live streams of these storms? Checked a few locations out, not broadcasting on the net.


If anyone's chasing here in TN, they're insane. It's night, and this place is hilly. Not fun or safe for chasing.
1054. Patrap
NO_GO for the DELTA 4 at 8:40 EDT due to Solar Radiation RED Flag
The HOLD will continue during discussion.
1055. beell
Quoting 1009. Jedkins01:



Actually sorry, that was the older one, here is the 21Z:

http://www.twisterdata.com/data/tmp/scratch/model s/processing/GFS_3_2014022018_F03_36.0000N_87.0000 W.png



Ok, I see.

Here's the actual evening sounding for Nashville.

A cap for now perhaps.





Quoting 1045. beell:


Jed, is that a noon forecast sounding?




Yeah I didn't realize I was looking at the 18Z at first... lol

That's why I posted the latest one right after to correct that, which doesn't indicate the stable layer is present any more.
Jackson, MS (KDGX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 1053. Astrometeor:


If anyone's chasing here in TN, they're insane. It's night, and this place is hilly. Not fun or safe for chasing.


Asking about TV stations.
1059. Patrap
C2 TVS nearing Columbia, Miss

Huntsville/Hytop, AL (KHTX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 1047. Doppler22:

Link


No one live on air. Just radar images.
1062. Patrap
1063. Patrap
Quoting 1061. GeoffreyWPB:


No one live on air. Just radar images.

I'm watching them...?
Quoting 1058. GeoffreyWPB:


Asking about TV stations.


Oh, okay.

If the storms ever get here, Cantore is supposedly holed up somewhere here in Nashville. Maybe TWC will get updates from him.

I haven't checked any of the local channels, nothing near me right now to worry about.
1067. Patrap
DELTA 4 is GREEN on Solar Flux..new T-time is

8:59:00 EDT




Nashville's about to get slammed. No tornado, but wind gusts up to 80mph per the severe thunderstorm warning.
Quoting 1066. Astrometeor:


Oh, okay.

If the storms ever get here, Cantore is supposedly holed up somewhere here in Nashville. Maybe TWC will get updates from him.

I haven't checked any of the local channels, nothing near me right now to worry about.


You have an impressive looking line moving in now, I'm pretty sure they'll get there, and if you don't believe me, you'll probably here the wind roaring soon enough :)
1071. Patrap
This long Track TVS still showing as it passes thru and N of Columbia,Miss.



Quoting 1061. GeoffreyWPB:


No one live on air. Just radar images.

Nashville
1074. Thrawst
Debris ball near Columbia, MS??
1075. Patrap
TOR from the Columbia TVS Warned Cell.

from earlier this hour.




BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
712 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 713 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR DEXTER...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
PICKWICK AROUND 730 PM CST.
COLUMBIA AROUND 745 PM CST.
IMPROVE AROUND 805 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
Quoting 1070. Jedkins01:


You have an impressive looking line moving in now, I'm pretty sure they'll get there, and if you don't believe me, you'll probably here the wind roaring soon enough :)


Jed, the wind's been howling all day! ;)

@MA, the 80 mph guy is north of Nashville (I'm supposing he was the lightning cell that passed to my north), we're in for the 70 mph gusts. If that makes a difference.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 752 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR EVERGREEN...OR 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF TOMBIGBEE STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FULTON.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BAY SPRINGS LAKE.
Quoting 1041. GeoffreyWPB:
Any live streams of these storms? Checked a few locations out, not broadcasting on the net.


There is one here. lots of lighting.
1079. pcola57
Straight Line and droppers..
Keep your wits about ya Pat..
Mother Nature's making herself known..
Moving pretty fast now..
Don't want to loose your ****.. :)
Buffalo, NY (KBUF) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Today's selection of articles about science, climate change, energy and the environment.



!!! The drying of the West: Drought is forcing westerners to consider wasting less water



*** Whither the weather? Knee-deep in floodwater, Britain's politicians rekindle an argument about global warming

*** Jet set: Is polar warming to blame for America's and Britain's bad winter weather?


!!! In the beginning was the word: This year's meeting of the AAAS looked at winter weather, solar energy, smelly hyenas, the restoration of paintings and the importance of talking to babies

!!! Stacking the deck: A way to double the efficiency of solar cells is about to go mainstream

Gold Rush Ghost Town Bodes Ill for California Power Flow: Energy

Offshore Wind Industry Slowed by Birds, Bombs, Sharks

!!! Winter wettest on record - Met Office (UK)

Fear suppressing neurons found

!!! Arctic 'is set to reach 13C by 2100'

Planet-sized space weather explosions at Venus



Human and dog brains both have dedicated 'voice areas'

!!! Closing the 'free will' loophole: Using distant quasars to test Bell's theorem

Astronomers find solar storms behave like supernovae


Rocks around the clock: Asteroids pound tiny star


Aging men: More uplifts, fewer hassles until the age of 65-70

*** Claims that aging wind farms are a bad investment blown away by new research

*** What is El Nino Taimasa? Strong El Nino events leading to lower local sea levels

!!! Previous rapid thinning of Pine Island Glacier sheds light on future Antarctic ice loss

Fishing rope cut from endangered whale off Georgia

Minnesota editorial roundup


John Kerry's Phony Climate War Discuss.

*** Frosty, Freezing Winter for Easterners Was Not the Brrr Felt Round the World

*** Seeking a Break in a 252 Million-Year-Old Mass Killing

Trees On The Move As Temperature Zones Shift 3.8 Feet A Day

Freedom Industries heads to court amid questions on 'insider' payments: West Virginia company responsible for last month's chemical spill to appear in bankruptcy court Friday

Lemurs in Peril: 'Extinctions Could Begin Very Soon' if Nothing Done




New Website Tracks Deforestation in Near Real-Time

The website
1082. Patrap

226
WFUS54 KMEG 210152
TORMEG
MSC057-141-210215-
/O.NEW.KMEG.TO.W.0008.140221T0152Z-140221T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
752 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ITAWAMBA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CST

* AT 752 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR EVERGREEN...OR 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF TOMBIGBEE STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FULTON.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BAY SPRINGS LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STORM SHELTER. IF NO
STORM SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

.TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.



LAT...LON 3437 8816 3416 8819 3411 8854 3428 8854
3452 8815 3438 8815
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 243DEG 56KT 3421 8851
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GROVE HILL...
NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 830 PM CST

* AT 752 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 23 MILES WEST OF
GROVE HILL...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHATOM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GROVE HILL BY 825 PM CST...
FULTON BY 830 PM CST...
1084. Patrap

983
WFUS53 KLMK 210153
TORLMK
INC025-123-210215-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0003.140221T0153Z-140221T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
853 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
NORTH CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 915 PM EST/815 PM CST/

* AT 748 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF SANTA CLAUS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...SPORADIC DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND VEHICLES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENGLISH...SAINT CROIX...DOOLITTLE MILLS...WEST FORK...MIFFLIN...
SULPHUR...GRANTSBURG...RIDDLE...SWITZER CROSSROADS...TEMPLE...CURBY
AND PILOT KNOB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3824 8673 3825 8670 3825 8668 3826 8668
3840 8640 3828 8627 3815 8671
TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 242DEG 54KT 3823 8663

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
1085. Patrap
303  
WFUS54 KMOB 210155  
TORMOB  
ALC025-129-210230-  
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0002.140221T0155Z-140221T0230Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
755 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...  
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GROVE HILL...  
NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...  
 
* UNTIL 830 PM CST  
 
* AT 752 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 23 MILES WEST OF  
GROVE HILL...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHATOM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT  
40 MPH.  
 
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GROVE HILL BY 825 PM CST...  
FULTON BY 830 PM CST...  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS  
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY  
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU  
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE  
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO  
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.  
 
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A  
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS  
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN  
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO  
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  
 
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A  
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE  
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.  
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3171 8767 3152 8812 3163 8824 3170 8815  
3170 8809 3174 8810 3195 8783  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 233DEG 35KT 3162 8813  
 
 
 
JP  
1086. Patrap
 
968  
WFUS54 KOHX 210156  
TOROHX  
TNC037-119-149-187-210230-  
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0002.140221T0156Z-140221T0230Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
756 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
NORTHEASTERN MAURY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
WESTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
 
* UNTIL 830 PM CST  
 
* AT 750 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS  
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF SPRING HILL...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF  
COLUMBIA...AND MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
FRANKLIN...SPRING HILL...BRENTWOOD...NOLENSVILLE...LA VERGNE...  
SMYRNA...THOMPSONS STATION...EAGLEVILLE...TRIUNE...ROCKVALE AND  
CHRISTIANA.  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.  
 
LAT...LON 3569 8639 3569 8654 3570 8663 3569 8665  
3571 8668 3570 8674 3571 8676 3570 8681  
3568 8681 3567 8707 3585 8709 3596 8695  
3609 8651  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 260DEG 50KT 3575 8696  
 
 
 
21
Those chasers are getting hailed on in Nashville, TN.
New Orleans, LA (KLIX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 1078. Skyepony:


There is one here. lots of lighting.


I can't believe with all these watches and warnings, not one TV station is streaming live with on-air talent.
Nashville, TN (KOHX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 900 PM CST

* AT 758 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR COLUMBIA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
IMPROVE AROUND 805 PM CST.
MELBA AROUND 825 PM CST.
SUMRALL AROUND 830 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
Nashville, TN (KOHX) - Echo Tops

1093. Patrap

1094. Patrap
Found one from Nashville...

Link
No wind or hail here. Moderate lightning, but nothing out of the usual for a night storm. Some good ole heavy rainfall though. Will measure when it's safe (not lightning all over).
1097. Patrap
WDAM.com Columbia, Laurel,..

Tornado warning issued for Marion County
Thunder rumbles through
the night. Lightning flashes oh
so bright! Nathan grins.
Launch was beautiful.. Clear sky & 72.5ºF.
The wind is howling
to a roar. Tornadoes crash-
ing right through your door!
1101. Patrap
 
516  
WFUS54 KOHX 210209  
TOROHX  
TNC037-165-189-210245-  
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0003.140221T0209Z-140221T0245Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
809 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHEASTERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
SOUTHERN SUMNER COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
NORTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
 
* UNTIL 845 PM CST  
 
* AT 804 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE  
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS  
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HENDERSONVILLE...OR 11 MILES  
SOUTHWEST OF GALLATIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
GALLATIN...COTTONTOWN...BLEDSOE CREEK STATE PARK...CASTALIAN  
SPRINGS AND DICKERSON CHAPEL RECREATION AREA.  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
LAT...LON 3654 8640 3641 8627 3636 8627 3636 8628  
3634 8626 3630 8627 3630 8625 3633 8625  
3635 8623 3631 8617 3614 8661 3637 8677  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 242DEG 43KT 3633 8656  
 
 
 
07
1102. JRRP
Winds twist and trees snap
Thunder rumbles and lightning
cracks! Oh what a storm!
SWFL getting heavy chaff tonight..

Quoting 1101. Patrap:
 
516  
WFUS54 KOHX 210209  
TOROHX  
TNC037-165-189-210245-  
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0003.140221T0209Z-140221T0245Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
809 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHEASTERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... AT 804 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE  
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS  
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HENDERSONVILLE
...OR 11 MILES  
SOUTHWEST OF GALLATIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
GALLATIN...COTTONTOWN...BLEDSOE CREEK STATE PARK...CASTALIAN
07


If the storm is near/in Hendersonville, why include Davidson county? That's conflicting. Hendersonville is to my east. Due east.

Anyways, storm's done.

But, thanks to the NWS, sirens just went off again.
Chasers peer through the
gloom. Will a tornado pounce
on them too soon? Yikes!
1110. Patrap
8:17pm CT Storm report relayed to @NWSNashville: trained spotter measured 95 mph winds at SR 386 and Greenlea Dr. in Hendersonville, #TNwx
Quoting 920. wxgeek723:


Well at least it isn't as bad as a new TWO when there's an invest.

Eh, the TWO only gets posted 4 times a day...and for two of those, the 2am and 8am one, people are either sleeping or busy, so it's only posted 1 or 2 times.

It just gets pretty annoying trying to read other people's comments when post after post after post is a severe thunderstorm or tornado warning, specifically when it's a big outbreak day.
The storm is over.
Light rain falls. Nathan goes out-
side to see it all.
1114. Patrap
Be prepared to the N and East tonight.

DO NOT GO TO SLEEP WITHOUT A NOAA WEATHER ALERT RADIO

TUNE A TV TO YOUR LOCAL STATION IF YOU CANNOT DO THE ABOVE

KEEP THE VOLUME LOUD ENOUGH TO AWAKE YOU WITH THE EBS ALERT TONE



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0131
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0819 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN HALF OF IND...WRN/CENTRAL KY...WRN OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 14...

VALID 210219Z - 210345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 14 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 14 AND IN COUNTIES N/NE
OF THE NRN WW BOUNDARY. A NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED ACROSS NRN IND AND
WRN OH.

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS S/SE FROM A DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER
SRN WI ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF IND/KY AT 02Z...WHILE AN EAST-WEST
WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD ACROSS NRN IND AND OH. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY EWD...SUPPORTED BY 7 TO 8 MB/2 HR PRESSURE
RISES BEHIND THE FRONT. DESPITE MODEST BUOYANCY...STG/SVR TSTMS IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE NEWD AT 45-50 KTS AND PERSIST FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS ACROSS WW 14...AIDED BY STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH A NEWD-LIFTING SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION. WITHIN THE STRONGLY-SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT...MULTIPLE LINES OF SVR TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A
WIDESPREAD THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...SOME SIGNIFICANT...WITH
EMBEDDED QLCS/MESOVORTEX LOW-LEVEL ROTATIONAL SIGNATURES CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES. TSTMS ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF WW 14 AND JUST TO
THE NORTH...IN THE VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT...WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS INTO WRN OH TO THE EAST OF WW 14. A
NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY ACROSS NRN IND AND WRN OH.

..BUNTING/CORFIDI.. 02/21/2014


ATTN...WFO...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...P AH...

LAT...LON 39818349 38058469 36678496 36698622 36768681 37288703
38098681 38538678 38698663 39068665 39478648 39998618
40478621 41388560 41698515 41698445 41478299 40618316
39818349
Patrap posts every
warning top bottom and mid-
dle. Can't read them all!
Quoting 1111. Doppler22:
8:17pm CT Storm report relayed to @NWSNashville: trained spotter measured 95 mph winds at SR 386 and Greenlea Dr. in Hendersonville, #TNwx


SR 386 and Greenlea Dr. intersect just on the outskirts of Gallatin, TN.

#nitpick

Kinda surprised at the spotter's reading. It wasn't that strong here in Goodlettsville (and I sit at the top of a hill), it was more like heavy rain and some boomers. Not much wind.

Speaking of things that go boom, another lightning flash just now.
1118. Patrap
In such a High info roll of Warnings, I default to Tornado only.

College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes.

Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.



SVR T-STORM WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 825 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING NASHVILLE TN - KOHX 823 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 821 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 917 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING BIRMINGHAM AL - KBMX 816 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING HUNTSVILLE AL - KHUN 814 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING NORTHERN INDIANA - KIWX 913 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING MEMPHIS TN - KMEG 810 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING NASHVILLE TN - KOHX 809 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING JACKSON MS - KJAN 808 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING INDIANAPOLIS IN - KIND 907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING NASHVILLE TN - KOHX 807 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING HUNTSVILLE AL - KHUN 806 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING JACKSON MS - KJAN 758 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 757 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING NASHVILLE TN - KOHX 756 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING MOBILE AL - KMOB 755 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
SVR T-STORM WARNING JACKSON MS - KJAN 754 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING LOUISVILLE KY - KLMK 853 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
TORNADO WARNING MEMPHIS TN - KMEG 752 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014


1120. hydrus
Quite a few damage reports coming now in Mid TN. Most of them tree and powerlines down, some roof damage...
1121. Patrap
TW to 3am Local here.


Haiku master rests.
My work is done. Tomorrow
may be just as fun!
Quoting 1102. JRRP:


Huge bust in sight ... :/ lol but the models may very well be wrong
1124. Patrap
Quoting 1120. hydrus:
Quite a few damage reports coming now in Mid TN. Most of them tree and powerlines down, some roof damage...


Sounds straight line mostly, as that squall line is potent enough for those results.

Nado threat is bad nuff and the darkness makes it worse too.
1126. Patrap

576
WFUS54 KJAN 210232
TORJAN
MSC031-067-210330-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0005.140221T0232Z-140221T0330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
832 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 930 PM CST

* AT 832 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR SUMRALL...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SEMINARY AND SANFORD AROUND 840 PM CST.
ELLISVILLE AROUND 905 PM CST.
SOSO AROUND 915 PM CST.
LAUREL AROUND 920 PM CST.
SANDERSVILLE AROUND 930 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.



A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3158 8961 3180 8939 3182 8902 3182 8894
3155 8895 3144 8941
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 229DEG 28KT 3150 8952



GRG
1127. sar2401
Quoting Astrometeor:


SR 386 and Greenlea Dr. intersect just on the outskirts of Gallatin, TN.

#nitpick

Kinda surprised at the spotter's reading. It wasn't that strong here in Goodlettsville (and I sit at the top of a hill), it was more like heavy rain and some boomers. Not much wind.

Speaking of things that go boom, another lightning flash just now.

If that's really measured rather than estimated he has a way better anemometer mounting than I do. I don't think mine would survive 95 mph.
1128. Gearsts
Quoting 1123. CaribBoy:


Huge bust in sight ... :/ lol but the models may very well be wrong
Can't be worst than last year.Even 1997 was better than 2013.


1129. Patrap
0.4 inches of rain recorded from the storm with my CoCoRaHS gauge.

Edit: OMG! That was a really close bolt! Within a half mile, too. It must've hit something, bolt and then a sharp crack followed almost immediately by loud thunder.

And just barely 45 seconds after I checked my gauge.

*wipes brow* WHEW....
1131. Patrap
Huge bust in sight ... :/ lol but the models may very well be wrong

One day you'll get yer Cat 4-5.

Maybe this year.

Maybe in 40.

Best be prepared though as the Phun fades as soon as the Winds and water stop.

Then the real story begins.
Quoting 1127. sar2401:

If that's really measured rather than estimated he has a way better anemometer mounting than I do. I don't think mine would survive 95 mph.


He (or she) might not have used a mounting. Mine definitely can't read that high.

'Bout that bolt. Surely there's a lesson in there. Don't go outside even though the storm is passed, because those wicked bolts can get you from behind.
1133. hydrus
Quoting 1124. Patrap:


Sounds straight line mostly, as that squall line is potent enough for those results.

Nado threat is bad nuff and the darkness makes it worse too.
There may be some breif spin ups, but like you said, straight line winds are the real threat right now. We are up a ways, and I hope this tones down a bit before getting here. local Met sez that they wont.
1134. Patrap
Quoting 1133. hydrus:
There may be some breif spin ups, but like you said, straight line winds are the real threat right now. We are up a ways, and I hope this tones down a bit before getting here. local Met sez that they wont.


I understand as our threat down here is from around midnight to 2am CDT.





Quoting 1130. Astrometeor:
0.4 inches of rain recorded from the storm with my CoCoRaHS gauge.

Edit: OMG! That was a really close bolt! Within a half mile, too. It must've hit something, bolt and then a sharp crack followed almost immediately by loud thunder.

And just barely 45 seconds after I checked my gauge.

*wipes brow* WHEW....


I feel like I go through at least one experience a week like that in Tampa Bay in the summer, sometimes more, lol.

Odd you didn't get much wind, sounds like some fun lightning though at least.

Then again, that's the nature of thunderstorm wind, its spotty and scattered about. The only exception to that are full on derechos(not overhyped media stuff, but real ones), they are more like hurricane rain bands, widespread and consistent damaging winds throughout the line.
1136. sar2401
Quoting Astrometeor:


He (or she) might not have used a mounting. Mine definitely can't read that high.

'Bout that bolt. Surely there's a lesson in there. Don't go outside even though the storm is passed, because those wicked bolts can get you from behind.

My console will show up to 110 but my anemometer will be over in the next county. :-)

I hate those nearby strikes. I have a cell phone tower not more than 300 yards from me that gets hit regularly and scares the snot out of me when it happens. The only good thing is that it's about 300 feet tall so at least the strike will get the tower before it gets my antennas.
1137. Patrap
 
576  
WFUS54 KJAN 210252  
TORJAN  
MSC087-210315-  
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0006.140221T0252Z-140221T0315Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
852 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...  
 
* UNTIL 915 PM CST  
 
* AT 853 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR WAVERLY...AND MOVING  
EAST AT 45 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
STEENS AROUND 900 PM CST.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN  
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID  
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE  
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.  
 
 
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
MISSISSIPPI.  
 
LAT...LON 3349 8827 3344 8850 3352 8849 3352 8848  
3353 8848 3362 8847 3368 8826 3362 8825  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 251DEG 41KT 3353 8842
1138. Patrap
Anonymous has attacked the Ukrainian police website and taken it offline. http://police.gov.ua
1139. Patrap
1140. hydrus
Quoting 1138. Patrap:
Anonymous has attacked the Ukrainian police website and taken it offline. http://police.gov.ua
Probably a 12 year old with an I-Pod.
1141. Patrap
Quoting 1140. hydrus:
Probably a 12 year old with an I-Pod.


Prolly a wunderblogger'
Quoting 1120. hydrus:
Quite a few damage reports coming now in Mid TN. Most of them tree and powerlines down, some roof damage...
Hope you and your family are staying safe my friend. Me I would probably be outside in all those jumping up and down in excitement. :D
1143. Patrap
Some rotation and a few TVS Pop up as well.



Broad area of rotation is making it's way into Ohio and it's going to pass close to my location. Not tornado warned but something to watch very closely.
Quoting 1141. Patrap:
Prolly a wunderblogger'
Well I heard that the
Ukrainian police site
is all in haiku.

Now who could have done
such an evil thing? Whistles
innocently....ha!
1146. hydrus
Quoting 1142. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Hope you and your family are staying safe my friend. Me I would probably be outside in all those jumping up and down in excitement. :D
We are playin it safe.
Quoting 1132. Astrometeor:


He (or she) might not have used a mounting. Mine definitely can't read that high.

'Bout that bolt. Surely there's a lesson in there. Don't go outside even though the storm is passed, because those wicked bolts can get you from behind.
Nathan fried into
a sizzle. What a pity
in all the drizzle!
Huge wind shift headed towards Hattiesburg, MS just SW of the current warning which seems to have fizzled on velocity radar.
1149. Patrap
 
542  
WFUS51 KILN 210311  
TORILN  
INC029-047-137-210345-  
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0001.140221T0311Z-140221T0345Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
1011 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHWESTERN DEARBORN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...  
SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...  
NORTHERN RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA...  
 
* UNTIL 1045 PM EST.  
 
* AT 1007 PM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF  
PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED NEAR OTTER VILLAGE...MOVING NORTHEAST  
AT 60 MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF  
PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BATESVILLE...  
OLDENBURG...  
 
IN ADDITION...BALLSTOWN...HUNTERSVILLE...SUNMAN...WEI SBURG...  
PENNTOWN...NEW ALSACE...LAWRENCEVILLE AND SAINT PETER ARE NEAR THE  
PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM.  
 
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...  
I-74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 145 AND 164...  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND  
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3922 8539 3927 8530 3934 8530 3935 8529  
3939 8510 3939 8494 3925 8495 3911 8523  
3910 8539  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 231DEG 54KT 3918 8529  
 
 
 
HATZOS  
 
1150. Patrap
783  
WFUS54 KHUN 210311  
TORHUN  
ALC083-210345-  
/O.NEW.KHUN.TO.W.0001.140221T0311Z-140221T0345Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
911 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHEASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...  
 
* UNTIL 945 PM CST  
 
* AT 911 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 8  
MILES NORTHWEST OF ATHENS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
ARDMORE AND ELKMONT.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3479 8679 3481 8714 3499 8708 3499 8678  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0309Z 269DEG 48KT 3486 8709  
 
 
 
TT  
1151. Patrap

096  
WUUS54 KJAN 210312  
SVRJAN  
MSC035-067-073-210415-  
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0024.140221T0312Z-140221T0415Z/  
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
912 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  
NORTHERN FORREST COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...  
SOUTHERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...  
NORTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...  
 
* UNTIL 1015 PM CST  
 
* AT 912 PM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A  
LINE EXTENDING FROM SANFORD TO WEST HATTIESBURG TO 7 MILES  
NORTHWEST OF PURVIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.  
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...  
EASTABUCHIE AND HATTIESBURG AROUND 920 PM CST.  
PETAL AROUND 925 PM CST.  
MACEDONIA AND SUNRISE AROUND 930 PM CST.  
OVETT AROUND 940 PM CST.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  
 
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY  
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE  
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.  
 
 
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
MISSISSIPPI.  
 
LAT...LON 3112 8960 3132 8949 3143 8951 3143 8940  
3144 8940 3156 8894 3144 8894 3143 8895  
3143 8914 3124 8914  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0312Z 249DEG 38KT 3146 8938 3136 8937  
3124 8944  
 
 
 
BYB  
Quoting 1148. sonofagunn:
Huge wind shift headed towards Hattiesburg, MS just SW of the current warning which seems to have fizzled on velocity radar.
Hattiesburg howler
on the way. Run down to your
basement, keep still, pray!
Quoting 1144. Ameister12:
Broad area of rotation is making it's way into Ohio and it's going to pass close to my location. Not tornado warned but something to watch very closely.

Just went tornado warned. It's going to be a close call, but being that it is embedded in the line, I don't expect it to last too much longer.

However, it is concerning that the line is still producing possible spin ups.
1154. Patrap
Public Information StatementStatement as of 8:26 PM CST on February 20, 2014
... Nashville NOAA Weather Radio is live... 

The Nashville NOAA Weather Radio transmitter... broadcasting on a
frequency of 162.550 mhz... will be going live until further notice.

We are working with technicians to get it fixed back for normal
operations as soon as possible. In the meantime... please
also tune to local media and commercial radio for the latest
severe weather information. Backup NOAA Weather Radio
transmitters are:

Lafayette... broadcasting on a frequency of 162.525 mhz... or channel
6 on most NOAA weather radios... and Centerville... broadcasting on a
frequency of 162.450 mhz... or channel 3 on most NOAA weather radios.

Keep in mind that not all backup transmitters will tone for your
specific County... so please stay weather aware during the outage.

Thank you for your patience. We apologize for any inconvenience this
outage may cause.
1155. Patrap
 
198  
WFUS54 KJAN 210326  
TORJAN  
MSC067-210415-  
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0007.140221T0326Z-140221T0415Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
926 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...  
 
* UNTIL 1015 PM CST  
 
* AT 926 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED NEAR RAWLS SPRINGS...AND  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
 
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
MOSELLE AROUND 935 PM CST.  
ELLISVILLE AROUND 945 PM CST.  
TUCKERS CROSSING AROUND 955 PM CST.  
MILL CREEK AROUND 1010 PM CST.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN  
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID  
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE  
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.  
 
 
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
MISSISSIPPI.  
 
LAT...LON 3153 8940 3174 8915 3182 8906 3182 8894  
3152 8893 3143 8921 3143 8940  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 241DEG 31KT 3145 8933
1156. Patrap


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0132
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0929 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY...ERN TN...PARTS OF NRN GA...FAR SWRN VA/NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 210329Z - 210430Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A NEW WW WILL BE COORDINATED WITH AFFECTED WFO/S FROM ERN
KY...ERN TN INTO PARTS OF NRN GA...AND FAR SWRN VA/NC.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY THROUGH 0315Z SHOWED A
WELL-DEFINED FAST MOVING /ENE AT 50 KT/ QLCS EXTENDING FROM SOUTH
CENTRAL KY THROUGH MIDDLE TN /E OF BNA/ TO NWRN AL AND INTO ERN MS.
DESPITE A MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH ERN EXTENT...THE
STRENGTH OF THE PARENT MS VALLEY MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEING
FURTHER INTENSIFIED AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE BASE OF
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
INTO ERN KY...ERN TN...NRN GA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NC/VA. THE
STRENGTHENING OF THE SYSTEM IS ALSO EVIDENT IN THE STRONG SURFACE
PRESSURE RISES EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY TO E
TX...ENHANCING THE EWD MOVEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT TOWARD THE QLCS.
IN ADDITION TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LOW LEVEL AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL FURTHER SUPPORT EMBEDDED MESOVORTICES IN THE
QLCS FOR A TORNADO THREAT TO PERSIST. AREA VADS SHOW LOW LEVEL
HODOGRAPH CURVATURE AND SFC-1 KM SHEAR OF 35+ KT SUPPORTIVE OF THE
TORNADO THREAT.

..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 02/21/2014


ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...B MX...HUN...

LAT...LON 37518440 37808378 37578290 36998297 35678322 34538395
34098483 34108553 35138580 36818469 37518440
1157. Patrap
1158. Dakster
What caused the NOAA Radio outage?
1159. Patrap
I see Dakster, how
are you? Do you think you'll be
getting more storms too?

On the weekend or
will the front fall apart and
never reach Miami?
1161. sar2401
Quoting Ameister12:

Just went tornado warned. It's going to be a close call, but being that it is embedded in the line, I don't expect it to last too much longer.

However, it is concerning that the line is still producing possible spin ups.

How are things now? Hope you and the family are OK.
1162. sar2401
Quoting Dakster:
What caused the NOAA Radio outage?

Don't know. All the Alabama, Florida, and Georgia stations I normally pick up on my ham radio seem fine.
1164. sar2401
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
I see Dakster, how
are you? Do you think you'll be
getting storms also?

On the weekend or
will the front fall apart and
never reach Miami?

Brian, you're on a roll tonight. :-0
Quoting 1164. sar2401:Brian, you're on a roll tonight. :-0
Blogging in haiku.
Makes one think before one writes.
A wise endeavor?
1166. Patrap
 
684  
WFUS54 KLIX 210346  
TORLIX  
MSC147-210400-  
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0005.140221T0346Z-140221T0400Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
946 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...  
 
* UNTIL 1000 PM CST  
 
* AT 942 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SALEM...OR  
18 MILES EAST OF MCCOMB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
 
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
RURAL WALTHALL COUNTY AT 1000 PM CST  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A  
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS  
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN  
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO  
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  
 
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A  
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE  
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.  
 
PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE  
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND  
PHOTOS.  
 
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST FRIDAY MORNING FOR  
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3133 9007 3134 9004 3124 9004 3123 9005  
3119 9019 3133 9026 3135 9026 3136 9011  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 246DEG 30KT 3131 9013  
1167. Patrap
 
579  
WFUS51 KILN 210346  
TORILN  
OHC109-113-135-210415-  
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0002.140221T0346Z-140221T0415Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
1046 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
NORTHEASTERN PREBLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
 
* UNTIL 1115 PM EST.  
 
* AT 1045 PM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF  
PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED NEAR PYRMONT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45  
MPH.  
 
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN  
PREBLE...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI COUNTIES...  
INCLUDING BROOKVILLE...PHILLIPSBURG...CLAYTON...GARLAND...  
ENGLEWOOD...NORTHVIEW AND UNION.  
 
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...  
I-70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 15 AND 31...  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND  
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3997 8424 3984 8422 3979 8452 3988 8455  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 241DEG 40KT 3984 8450  
 
 
 
AR
1168. Patrap

806
WFUS54 KOHX 210347
TOROHX
TNC027-133-137-210400-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0005.140221T0347Z-140221T0400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
947 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTH CENTRAL OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WESTERN PICKETT COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CST

* AT 942 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF BYRDSTOWN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BYRDSTOWN.

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

LAT...LON 3662 8498 3655 8504 3655 8505 3654 8504
3650 8509 3647 8536 3661 8540 3663 8498
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 242DEG 51KT 3660 8521



07
1169. Patrap
Quoting 1161. sar2401:

How are things now? Hope you and the family are OK.

The line is still to my west right now (I live in SW Ohio) and the storm that had a tornado warning has pretty much fallen apart, but just incase things do get pretty bad, me and my family are prepared. (:
0855 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 NW MURFREESBORO 35.96N 86.52W
02/20/2014 RUTHERFORD TN TRAINED SPOTTER

A TIN ROOF BARN WAS DESTROYED WITH ALSO SOME 5 FOOT
DIAMETER TREES DOWNED NEAR ALLMAVILLE ROAD AND ONE MILE
LANE.
1173. sar2401
Quoting Ameister12:

The line is still to my west right now (I live in SW Ohio) and the storm that had a tornado warning has pretty much fallen apart, but just incase things do get pretty bad, me and my family are prepared. (:

Glad to hear it. Falling apart is a good thing in this case. Still waiting for things to heat up down here in SE AL.
Quoting 1135. Jedkins01:


I feel like I go through at least one experience a week like that in Tampa Bay in the summer, sometimes more, lol.

Odd you didn't get much wind, sounds like some fun lightning though at least.

Then again, that's the nature of thunderstorm wind, its spotty and scattered about. The only exception to that are full on derechos(not overhyped media stuff, but real ones), they are more like hurricane rain bands, widespread and consistent damaging winds throughout the line.

July 19th 2006

This one was incredible, with winds up to 100mph recorded in St. Louis. I experienced the outskirts of it across the river in Illinois. Having recently become fascinated with t'storms, I remember there was a typical 30% chance of t'storms, and I wasn't expecting anything big.

Although going outside a couple or few hours before the event, I remember it being the most sultry hot and humid you could imagine. Later while I was doing work at the house, I suddenly realized it had that "look" outside.

Sure enough, on TV, both a severe tstorm and tornado warning was scrolled across the bottom of the screen. I literally dropped the remote when I saw the warning mention "winds in excess of 80mph." And even though my location was on the outskirts of the core of the storm (which hit St. Louis), I still witnessed some of the most intense winds I've ever seen.

This sticks out as one of the biggest weather moments in my life.
1175. Dakster
Quoting 1165. BaltimoreBrian:
Blogging in haiku.
Makes one think before one writes.
A wise endeavor?


You are a braver man than I am, BaltimoreBrian.
1176. Patrap


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0956 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN MS...WRN AL...CENTRAL/ERN
LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 15...17...

VALID 210356Z - 210600Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 15...17...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WW 15 AND 17 WITH DAMAGING WINDS
LIKELY...ALONG WITH EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH
BOWING SEGMENTS.

DISCUSSION...STG/SVR TSTMS CONTINUE ACROSS WW 15 AND WW 17 AT 0345Z
IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NWRN MS SWD ACROSS WRN LA.
THE ENVIRONMENT IN ADVANCE OF THE TSTMS CONTINUES TO BE STRONGLY
SHEARED AND WITH MODERATE BUOYANCY /MUCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG/.
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SVR TSTMS IN
LINES AND SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT SVR THREAT...HOWEVER
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY WITH LOW-LEVEL QLCS
CIRCULATIONS WITHIN SQUALL LINES OWING TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AS
SAMPLED BY KLIX AND KBHM VWP DATA.

STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN THE SVR THREAT
SHIFTING EWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT.

..BUNTING/CORFIDI.. 02/21/2014


ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 29189222 29319297 29419349 29869343 30399298 31369196
31999125 32409061 33398924 33468876 33528751 33268704
32278716 31918731 29359016 29359016 29189222
1177. Patrap
 
166  
WFUS53 KLMK 210402  
TORLMK  
KYC079-151-210425-  
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0005.140221T0402Z-140221T0425Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
1102 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHERN GARRARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
 
* UNTIL 1125 PM EST  
 
* AT 1058 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A  
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LANCASTER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50  
MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
 
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO  
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS  
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS  
LIKELY.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
RICHMOND...BUCKEYE...NINA...COTTONBURG...KIRKSVILL E...EDENTON...  
ROUND HILL...RUTHTON...CROW VALLEY...NEWBY...BALDWIN...CALEAST...  
MILLION...STRINGTOWN...ARLINGTON...HILLCREST...BLU E GRASS...REEDS  
CROSSING...REDHOUSE AND UNION CITY.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR  
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3761 8457 3771 8463 3773 8458 3773 8457  
3775 8456 3790 8427 3790 8426 3788 8427  
3789 8423 3787 8422 3787 8420 3777 8411  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 239DEG 45KT 3768 8451  
 
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED  
HAIL...0.00IN  
Quoting 1158. Dakster:
What caused the NOAA Radio outage?

A 12 year old with an I-phone
1179. Patrap

406  
WFUS54 KOHX 210403  
TOROHX  
TNC003-031-210430-  
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0006.140221T0403Z-140221T0430Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
1003 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
COFFEE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
 
* UNTIL 1030 PM CST  
 
* AT 957 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE  
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS  
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LYNCHBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST  
AT 55 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
MANCHESTER...TULLAHOMA...RAUS...WARTRACE...NORMAND Y AND  
SUMMITVILLE.  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
LAT...LON 3532 8642 3536 8653 3568 8617 3565 8609  
3566 8599 3561 8595 3559 8596 3553 8588  
3548 8589 3533 8619 3534 8626 3541 8627  
3534 8637 3534 8640  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 235DEG 48KT 3536 8634  
 
 
 
SHAMBURGER  
 
1180. Patrap

Quoting 1178. opal92nwf:

A 12 year old with an I-phone

Prolly a wunderblogger

1181. Dakster
Quoting 1178. opal92nwf:

A 12 year old with an I-phone


Can you explain just a tad more or is that supposed to sarcasm/humor?
1182. Patrap
 
017  
WFUS51 KILN 210404  
TORILN  
OHC109-210430-  
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0003.140221T0404Z-140221T0430Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
1104 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
EASTERN MIAMI COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
 
* UNTIL 1130 PM EST.  
 
* AT 1102 PM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF  
PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED NEAR TIPP CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50  
MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
TIPP CITY...  
TROY...  
 
IN ADDITION...GRAYSON...CASSTOWN AND HAVEN VIEW ARE NEAR THE PATH OF  
THIS DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM.  
 
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...  
I-75 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 67 AND 76...  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND  
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 4007 8403 3999 8404 3992 8424 4001 8432  
4019 8404 4018 8403  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 235DEG 43KT 3998 8424  
 
 
 
AR  
1183. Patrap
 
618  
WFUS53 KLMK 210404  
TORLMK  
KYC017-049-067-181-210430-  
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0006.140221T0404Z-140221T0430Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
1104 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
NORTHERN CLARK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
SOUTHERN NICHOLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...  
 
* UNTIL 1130 PM EST  
 
* AT 1103 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A  
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CADENTOWN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55  
MPH.  
 
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
 
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
 
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO  
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS  
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS  
LIKELY.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
WINCHESTER...CARLISLE...WALNUT HILL...HOOTENTOWN...LISLETOWN...  
CHILESBURG...COLUMBUS...PROVIDENCE...BECKNERVILLE. ..PINE GROVE...  
TEBBS...FOREST GROVE...FENWICK...COLBY...OLD PINE GROVE...  
YORKTOWN...AVON...LYNDALE...WYANDOTTE AND JUDIANNE ESTATES.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR  
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3818 8398 3812 8407 3805 8403 3791 8427  
3790 8433 3788 8435 3790 8438 3785 8437  
3785 8438 3785 8439 3798 8452 3834 8401  
3825 8391  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 230DEG 50KT 3797 8436  
 
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED  
HAIL...0.00IN  
 
 
 
EER
What will we see here in NW Georgia at Calhoun? Just straight line winds,or will it weaken? I see they extended the Tornado watch East and till 5am,but why? The discussions were the line would weaken as it entered into Georgia. What has changed??????
1185. Patrap
Last three hours its gone from 48 to 65 degrees, pretty nice warm front.
1187. geepy86
Quoting Dakster:


Can you explain just a tad more or is that supposed to sarcasm/humor?

not much humor if you lived there, js
Quoting 1175. Dakster:You are a braver man than I am, BaltimoreBrian.
I seriously doubt that Detective Dakster!
1189. Patrap
 
723  
WFUS54 KHUN 210411  
TORHUN  
TNC051-210500-  
/O.NEW.KHUN.TO.W.0003.140221T0411Z-140221T0500Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
1011 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...  
 
* UNTIL 1100 PM CST  
 
* AT 1010 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED  
NEAR WINCHESTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
WINCHESTER...SEWANEE...DECHERD AND COWAN.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 3527 8590 3522 8586 3520 8586 3509 8632  
3513 8631 3515 8633 3515 8632 3517 8632  
3517 8630 3519 8631 3530 8593  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0407Z 254DEG 48KT 3516 8620  
 
 
 
TT
All sorts of damage this afternoon in IL..

0358 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W KINCAID 39.59N 89.45W
02/20/2014 CHRISTIAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

15 POWER POLES SNAPPED JUST EAST OF POWER PLANT

0400 PM TORNADO 3 E MECHANICSBURG 39.81N 89.34W
02/20/2014 SANGAMON IL EMERGENCY MNGR

2 OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED AND 5 DAMAGED. MINOR DAMAGE TO
HOUSE. NO INJURIES. CAMPER BLOWN OVER. SEVERAL POWER
POLES SNAPPED. CORRECTED LOCATION AND DAMAGE.
I was able to successfully capture thundersnow on video this morning. I didn't get the lightning, but I did definitely get the thunder. The volume needs to be turned up so you can hear it. I also captured the rare thundersnow icon on the Local on the 8s. Once again, the volume needs to be turned up if you want to hear the sound.



Re: post #1174

There was also a second derecho that hit St. Louis a couple days later in July 2006.

The second one was not as bad in St. Louis, but across the river in Illinois, we got it bad. Still the worst windstorm I've ever experienced. Our neighbors down the street had a tree branch impaled in their roof. But as I observed the whole storm out the window, it seemed to be only straight line winds.
Quoting 1181. Dakster:


Can you explain just a tad more or is that supposed to sarcasm/humor?

It was meant for comedic effect, although I'm not even sure of the entire connotation of the original comment lol..
Isaac so awesome
you caught that. Great job! Very
nice neighborhood too :)
1195. Patrap
 
383  
WFUS51 KILN 210418  
TORILN  
OHC021-109-210445-  
/O.NEW.KILN.TO.W.0004.140221T0418Z-140221T0445Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
1118 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
NORTHWESTERN CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
NORTHEASTERN MIAMI COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...  
 
* UNTIL 1145 PM EST.  
 
* AT 1116 PM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF  
PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED NEAR CHRISTIANSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST  
AT 45 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
ST. PARIS...  
 
IN ADDITION...KISER LAKE STATE PARK...CARYSVILLE...MILLERSTOWN...  
ROSEWOOD...WESTVILLE...SPRINGHILLS AND LIPPINCOTT ARE NEAR THE PATH  
OF THIS DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND  
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.  
 
 
 
LAT...LON 4026 8384 4015 8368 4003 8407 4013 8414  
4019 8404 4018 8403 4020 8402 4027 8389  
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 231DEG 41KT 4009 8404
Quoting 1194. BaltimoreBrian:
Isaac so awesome
you caught that. Great job! Very
nice neighborhood too :)

I was thinking that once I started recording the snow that there wouldn't be anymore thundersnow, but I was wrong! The last time I got thundersnow was actually three years ago to the day.

Yes, it's a nice, quiet neighborhood! :)
Isaac 1.2" of snow today at Detroit. Getting closer :)
1198. sar2401
Quoting lostinohio:
What will we see here in NW Georgia at Calhoun? Just straight line winds,or will it weaken? I see they extended the Tornado watch East and till 5am,but why? The discussions were the line would weaken as it entered into Georgia. What has changed??????

The CAPE and shear have increased from the original forecast. It was also thought the the warm cap would remain in place and weaken the line but the air is mixing down to the surface and eroding the cap. As usual with such events, things don't always go along with the forecast. The line will weaken slightly after 0100 EST but it will still be capable of causing damaging straight line winds with the possibility of isolated but strong tornadoes.
Quoting 1197. BaltimoreBrian:
Isaac 1.2" of snow today at Detroit. Getting closer :)

Only 0.4" away from 2nd. You know I'm still hoping for 100"! Knowing how this winter has been and how there's another major arctic outbreak coming, I'll probably see at least one more moderate snowfall before the season ends. It's going to be close for first place.

EDIT: Doesn't look like I've lost too much of my snow pack. The additional snow this morning and cooler temps/less rainfall than first expected has helped keep the snow pack mostly intact. There has still been some flooding, but nothing compared to what could've happened if we lost a lot of the snow.
21.5" to get to your hundred Isaac :) I hope you get there! Wouldn't a repeat of the April 1886 storm be great?

1201. hydrus
Actually have real people talking on our areas 12 NOAA weather transmitters. They are live...Almost like the old days.
1202. Patrap
Signing off for incoming and Colbert.

STay ALert,

I'm getting hammered by the storm right now. I'm not sure why the warnings were cancelled because the winds outside are easily over 60mph, but I'm kind of surprised at the lack of lightning/thunder. Still, it's a really exciting storm.
Despite the heavy showers north of here, quiet in the FL Panhandle for now.

Watching olympics. Thank goodness for DVR recording; get to skip the blasted ads.

Quoting 1203. Ameister12:
I'm getting hammered by the storm right now. I'm not sure why the warnings were cancelled because the winds outside are easily over 60mph, but I'm kind of surprised at the lack of lightning/thunder. Still, it's a really exciting storm.

Great, I'll take a good storm any day. Where is your location?
1206. sar2401
Quoting opal92nwf:
Despite the heavy showers north of here, quiet in the FL Panhandle for now.

Still watching olympics. Thank goodness for DVR recording; get to skip the blasted ads.


I've been watching those develop and head NE toward me. So far, they are just showers but I think they may turn into something more serious in the next 2 hours.
Slowly starting the wind down here, so I'm off to bed. G'night!

Here's today's storm reports:

Quoting 1206. sar2401:

I've been watching those develop and head NE toward me. So far, they are just showers but I think they may turn into something more serious in the next 2 hours.

Will definitely have to watch it, although I can't imagine them turning into supercells.

Or maybe they will?
1209. sar2401
Quoting hydrus:
Actually have real people talking on our areas 12 NOAA weather transmitters. They are live...Almost like the old days.

Strange. Must have been some kind of local network failure since all the ones I can pick up down here in AL have the usual computer voices making their usual computer stumbles when we get severe weather. :=)
Quoting 1205. opal92nwf:

Great, I'll take a good storm any day. Where is your location?

Landen, OH; it's a couple miles NE of Cincinnati.
1211. sar2401
Quoting opal92nwf:

Will definitely have to watch it, although I can't imagine them turning into supercells.
\No, I don't think that's going to happen but they will add fuel to the line once it gets here.
1212. ncstorm
UNC vs Duke..good game..

Quoting 1213. TropicalAnalystwx13:
It's a good article.

Scientists: Don't make "extreme cold" centerpiece of global warming argument


It is a good article. That just might go on tomorrow's list. Thanks Cody.

That Cali rainfall!!!
Every single time a thunderstorm rolls through with tropical storm (or in rare cases, hurricane force) force wind gusts, I'm like a little kid. I just went outside and oh god. I'm all giddy and stuff.

<3
1217. sar2401
So far, so good. The main line hasn't reached SE AL yet but the line in general appears to be weakening some. Some of the storms headed this way from MS are pretty impressive, with 40,000 foot tops, but surprisingly low VIL numbers, only in the 15-20 range.
If this were any other year, I'd say the depiction of 850mb temps 20 degrees below-average was crazy and highly unlikely to pan out. But we are in the midst of an endless winter after all...



So what does that translate to? Oh, ya know, just negative 20-30F on the 18z operational run:

1219. sar2401
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
It's a good article.

Scientists: Don’t make “extreme cold” centerpiece of global warming argument

I'm glad to see other scientists take on Francis' hypothesis. She was very clear this summer that polar ice loss alone would lead to more extreme weather due to blocking and jet stream distortions. Given the historical record, she has started waffling all over the place on what she really said. Anyone reading what she said and watching her YouTube videos knows exactly what she meant. No one should hang their hat on any one event or series of events as being caused by global warming. We simply don't have the data to support such assertions and it just gives ammunition to those who would use these types of statements to divert the question from the larger trends.
1220. sar2401
Just in case any of you were waiting with baited breath, NWS Birmingham has extended the wind advisory until 0600. Since I'm still getting 17 mph sustained and 23 mph gusts, that seems like a reasonable call. :-)
1221. sar2401
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If this were any other year, I'd say the depiction of 850mb temps 20 degrees below-average was crazy and highly unlikely to pan out. But we are in the midst of an endless winter after all...



So what does that translate to? Oh, ya know, just negative 20-30F on the 18z operational run:


As long as we don't have any more snow and ice and the temperature stays above freezing, I'm good with this model. :-)

There has been a marked increase in lightning as the line continues to creep in this direction. Some of the baby storms that have been coming up from the Panhandle are now starting to grow up ahead of the line.
1222. Levi32
Quoting 1218. TropicalAnalystwx13:
If this were any other year, I'd say the depiction of 850mb temps 20 degrees below-average was crazy and highly unlikely to pan out. But we are in the midst of an endless winter after all...



So what does that translate to? Oh, ya know, just negative 20-30F on the 18z operational run:



Even colder on the 0z. -30F shows up in Minnesota.

Quoting 1222. Levi32:


Even colder on the 0z. -30F shows up in Minnesota.


Dear Levi, et. al in Alaska,

Please take your frigid weather back. We don't want it any longer.

Signed,

Cody (on behalf of the eastern half of the United States) :)
Quoting 1216. KoritheMan:



Same here, when there's a thunderstorm, I will do some or even all of the following: observe it intensely outside until it comes, and then I'm running from window to window, videotaping, taking pictures, checking every radar update, forecast, and blog while my family is only thinking about how obsessed I am.

The truth is, I partially live for these kind of events!
1225. sar2401
The tornado watch areas in Alabama have been changed to a Severe Thunderstorm Watch, and that watch has been extended to all the rest of central and south central AL, the Florida Panhandle west of Tallahassee, and western GA. It now appears the south end of the line is beginning to strengthen as the pre-squall line storms are starting merge with the main line. This might get interesting. Time to go stuff the pooch full of doggie valiums.

Quoting 1224. opal92nwf:

The truth is, I partially live for these kind of events!
Only partially? :)
1227. sar2401
I'm probably the only one awake. Just got the internet back after being down since 1:30 CST. Apparently a lightning strike from one of the baby storms hit the downlink station but I guess it was just a circuit breaker. Main line is just approaching with frequent lightning and the wind increasing after going to calm. Several significant weather advisories in the Montgomery area but no severe storm warnings. It looks like we'll have some pretty heavy storms but the line is definitely weakening as it moves SE.
1228. sar2401
Uh oh, take that back

Statement as of 3:01 AM CST on February 21, 2014


The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
north central Escambia County in northwest Florida...
northwestern Santa Rosa County in northwest Florida...

* until 345 am CST

* at 257 am CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 16 miles west of
Pine Level... or 10 miles northwest of Molino... moving east at 45
mph.

* Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Jay
and Whitfield

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 am CST Friday
morning for southwestern Alabama and northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.


Also a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Tallapoosa County AL
1229. LargoFl
Quoting 1228. sar2401:
Uh oh, take that back

Statement as of 3:01 AM CST on February 21, 2014


The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
north central Escambia County in northwest Florida...
northwestern Santa Rosa County in northwest Florida...

* until 345 am CST

* at 257 am CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 16 miles west of
Pine Level... or 10 miles northwest of Molino... moving east at 45
mph.

* Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Jay
and Whitfield

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 am CST Friday
morning for southwestern Alabama and northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.


Also a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Tallapoosa County AL
good Morning SAR..stay safe over there,bad weather should be moving eastward later today..
1230. LargoFl
Good morning..today its the east coast states turn for the bad weather....
1231. LargoFl
well nws puts my chances at 40% for storms..we'll see later on................................................ ...THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FOG IMPACT...
AREAS OF FOG...OCCASIONALLY DENSE...WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SHORTLY
AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW
BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND MAINTAIN A SAFE FOLLOWING DISTANCE BETWEEN
VEHICLES DURING ANY EARLY MORNING COMMUTES. FOG IS AGAIN EXPECTED
FROM LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BUT WILL
BE PATCHY IN NATURE.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
BEGINNING LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
LOCATIONS FROM HERNANDO COUNTY NORTH CAN EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. PASCO COUNTY TO POLK COUNTY SOUTHWARD
WILL HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE
PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING STRONG WINDS...WITH
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE FROM ISOLATED STORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL END BY EVENING...WITH THE LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING...BUT A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS FLORIDA...BUT MEANDER NORTH AND
SOUTH OVER THE STATE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS FRONT WILL
PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME LATE NIGHT FOG AND ALSO A SLIGHT
CHANCE TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$
1232. sar2401
Quoting LargoFl:
good Morning SAR..stay safe over there,bad weather should be moving eastward later today..

Good morning, Largo. Most of the severe storms seem to be occurring on the Panhandle,where there weren't supposed to be any. I really thought this would turn out to be stronger south than the NWS was forecasting. Main line should be through here in the next half hour. A ton of lighting, heavy rain, winds up to 25 mph from the cells out in front of the squall line. Currently have a rainfall rate of one inch per hour.
While the US has been in an icebox, it's been one of the warmest winters in a very, very long time here in Berlin. Quite nice since I bike to work.
I'm getting it now. Luckily it woke me up so I could see it. No severe t'storm warning when it first hit, but they just issued one for the next county over. Some strong winds at first, maybe enough for a strong t'storm warning, but I didn't see all of it from the beginning. Just lightning and torrential rain now.

BTW, normal radar is out, so having to use the next one over.
1235. sar2401
This squall line really slowed down before it got to me. Passing through right now. Occasional lightning with heavy rain (up to 2.50" per hour) and .67" since midnight. Strong gusty winds, 18 mph sustained, 28 mph gusts. The severe threat seems to be pretty much done so it's off to bed for me. Se y'all later. Largo, the day shift is yours. :-)
Most of the lightning seems to be to the north for a stronger portion of the band where they issued this lone severe tstorm warning.


... A Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect until 515 am CST
for northwestern Washington... Walton and Holmes counties...

At 442 am CST... a line of severe thunderstorms was reported. The
leading edge of these storms were located near the de funiak Spring
Airport... moving east around 40 mph.

Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to Center
Ridge... Pleasant Hill... Darlington... Eucheeanna... Argyle... Union...
Leonia... Shady Grove... Douglass crossroad... Arrant Settlement... Knox
Hill... Red Bay... Prosperity... Hudson... Ponce de Leon... Hickory
Hill... Barker Store... Bethlehem... Westville... Pittman... New Hope...
Miller Crossroads... Izagora... Hinsons Crossroads... Gritney...
Cerrogordo... Caryville... Baker Settlement and Ards Crossroads

Lat... Lon 3066 8640 3096 8639 3097 8567 3050 8592
3048 8640 3053 8641 3055 8640
time... Mot... loc 1046z 269deg 22kt 3075 8611
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's 41 degrees, twenty-seven degrees colder than yesterday morning at this time, with a high of 68 expected today.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: creamed chipped beef over biscuits, Cajun Breakfast Casserole, Apple-Pecan Baked Oatmeal, Green Chili Breakfast Burrito Casserole, Nutty Buckwheat Buttermilk Pancakes, fluffy biscuits with sausage gravy, Cinnamon Pecan Rolls, Pumpkin Pie Coffee Cake with Pecan Crumble, Spinach & Dubliner Cheese Egg Cups, cinnamon oatmeal with bruleed Bananas, Red-Pepper omelet, Sausage Strata, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Peppermint White Hot Chocolate, regular and decaf coffee with flavored creamers to the side. Enjoy!
Sea Ice looking way better around the North Pole this week. Cracked up yes..but atleast it's thick enough to be white.

Nearly 5000 lost power in TN.


Extreme Weather in IL, USA on Friday, 21 February, 2014 at 03:48 (03:48 AM) UTC.

Back
Updated: Friday, 21 February, 2014 at 03:52 UTC
Description
Severe storms including tornadoes struck Illinois late Thursday afternoon, knocking out power, damaging buildings and spawning floods, the National Weather Service reported. Large sections of the Midwest and South were under tornado watches Thursday evening as powerful and fast-moving storms pushed through the region, with flooding and building damage in Illinois. The Weather Service had preliminary reports of as many as eight tornadoes in central Illinois late Thursday afternoon. In the town of Mechanicsburg, seven outbuildings were reported destroyed and one house had minor damage. WICS TV, a CNN affiliate, reported that one camper was knocked over and the woman resident slightly injured. About 24,000 people in Illinois lost power Thursday afternoon and night, reported utility Ameren Illinois. Effingham and Champaign counties in Illinois reported flooding but no injuries or water rescues. "We have some power lines down and a little water in the road in some places," said Pam Jacobs, the director of the Effingham County Emergency Management Agency. She said they had no reports of injuries or stranded vehicles. John Dwyer, the emergency management coordinator for Champaign County, reported some road flooding and standing water in farm fields. A portion of State Route 150 between Mohamet and the county line was shut down. He said the flooding was caused by the three inches of rain Thursday coupled with the snow melt. The National Weather service said radar indicated rainfall of three to four inches per hour. A flash-flood warning was issued until 11:30 pm CST Thursday for the area. The Illinois State Police reported that fog caused a serious wreck on Interstate 57 in northeast Illinois, involving at least 27 tractor trailers and passenger cars. Authorities said they received reports of multiple injuries, but nothing life-threatening.
Event into space in Sri Lanka on Friday, 21 February, 2014 at 04:06 (04:06 AM) UTC.
Description
Scientists at several universities in Sri Lanka have been examining unknown stones that fell on a house in Ragala, Walapane - in a mountainous part of Sri Lanka - early in the morning yesterday (February 19, 2014). At least one scientist, Professor Athula Senarathna of the University of Peradeniya in Sri Lanka, said today that the stone was a meteorite, or rock from space. The owner of the house upon which the strange stone fell in Ragala is H.B. Ranjanee. According to Hiru News, a local news outlet, the Crime Division of the Ragala police conducted an investigation into the fall of the unknown stone. Police Media Spokesman SSP Ajith Rohana told Hiru News that particles of the stone scattered within an area of 26 square feet. The following video is not in English, but it gives you a clear idea of the possible meteorite fall in Ragala.

(I selected one of three available on youtube..)

Good morning from Central OK,

Well, the wind is gone (for now) but the cooler temps remain. Light jackets, or a good sweater in order, at least in the am hours.

GS cookie sale is going good, the warmer temperatures led to greater sales (because I wasn't freezing my tukas off going house-to-house with the little one).

Otherwise, all is good in our corner of the world. Ok. I admit, all is not good, but it ain't all bad either.

Hope all is good with you. Cheers.

Quoting 1223. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Dear Levi, et. al in Alaska,

Please take your frigid weather back. We don't want it any longer.

Signed,

Cody (on behalf of the eastern half of the United States) :)


Yea, since Levi came down to OK, it has been cooler.

We appreciated it in the summer, but enough is enough. Close that freezer door, Levi . . .

;D
Good morning.

A pair of rainbows in San Juan this morning.

1244. LargoFl
Quoting 1235. sar2401:
This squall line really slowed down before it got to me. Passing through right now. Occasional lightning with heavy rain (up to 2.50" per hour) and .67" since midnight. Strong gusty winds, 18 mph sustained, 28 mph gusts. The severe threat seems to be pretty much done so it's off to bed for me. Se y'all later. Largo, the day shift is yours. :-)
glad your ok sar..get some sleep,i know it was a real bad night for you..good thing you got your power back.
1245. LargoFl
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
640 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC003-023-029-039-041-047-065-067-073-079-121-12 3-125-129-
211900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0022.140221T1140Z-140221T1900Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAKER COLUMBIA DIXIE
GADSDEN GILCHRIST HAMILTON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
MADISON SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION WAKULLA
$$
1246. LargoFl
gee this is one powerul storm coming to the east coast today...........
1247. LargoFl
might be some super cells thru florida later today...
1248. LargoFl
maybe daytime heating here when those storms arrive huh...
1249. LargoFl
1250. LargoFl
Quoting 1165. BaltimoreBrian:
Blogging in haiku.
Makes one think before one writes.
A wise endeavor?


Prose stimulates the mind.
Poetry stimulates it at its resonant frequencies.

Good Morning. I just drove through the frontal passage in North Florida, from Tallahassee to a town 20 miles west of Tally, and not a lot of lightening or much wind, but buckets of torrential rain. A few folks were pulled over on I-10 and Hwy 90 with their flashers on.

I just busted out the polarized shades and keep driving through it. Looking like a basic rain event and not looking to be a severe weather event for us in Florida.

The old adage used to be April showers bring May flowers but it seem that those time lines have moved up by several weeks recently..............
Quoting 1238. Skyepony:
Sea Ice looking way better around the North Pole this week. Cracked up yes..but atleast it's thick enough to be white.

Better, yes, as the peak of the season is still a few weeks away. However, a false color map of concentration tells a pretty sordid story. Of particular note, the ice edge in the North Sea is very close to the North Pole as it is--and that large patch of 60%-70% ice is actually touching the Pole:

ice

Yes, extent has been growing a bit, but this time of year, that's not going to be thick stuff resistant to summertime insolation and heat.
Looks like a severe thunderstorm watch maybe issued for C & N FL soon.


Rainfall warning for
City of Toronto ended






Statements
City of Toronto
Friday 21 February 2014
Special weather statement for
City of Toronto issued

Strong and gusty southwesterly winds later today and tonight.

An intense winter storm centre over Lake Superior will blast a sharp Arctic cold front east across the regions today as the storm centre moves towards Eastern Hudson Bay.

Strong and gusty southwesterly winds will herald the arrival of the front and will likely continue well into tonight as colder Arctic air returns.

Winds will gust to 80 km/h across most of Southern Ontario including regions east of Georgian Bay and Eastern Ontario near the north shore of Lake Ontario and over the St. Lawrence Valley. Wind gusts of 60 to 70 km/h are quite possible across the Ottawa Valley later this afternoon as well.

These winds are strong enough to result in difficult driving conditions especially for motorists on highways subject to strong and gusty cross winds.

Even stronger winds are forecast in some regions in the wake of the cold front near the shorelines of Lake Huron, Georgian Bay, Eastern Lake Erie and in the Picton - Sandbanks region near Lake Ontario. Wind warnings are in effect as a result.

Winds will ease somewhat on Saturday, but it will be quite windy and noticeably colder, as winter remains firmly in charge for the time being.

Meteorologists continue to monitor the development of these weather systems and will update messages accordingly.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.

1256. Torito
Quoting 1254. StormTrackerScott:
Looks like a severe thunderstorm watch maybe issued for C & N FL soon.





Very nasty storms coming into FL, Scott.....

I wouldnt be suprised to see a tornado if it stays the way it is.....

1257. LargoFl
wow tons of moisture headed up to that line of storms..bet some real heavy rains later on...
1258. LargoFl
winds picking up here on the gulf coast,no rain yet..
I can see the potential issuance of a severe t-storm watch for Florida but the jet stream is not positioned (near or over Florida) to support any significant tornado activity; also, this front is rather "warm" so you don't have as much instability to support a severe weather issue for Florida today.


1260. LargoFl
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN FLORIDA

DIXIE GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEON MADISON
TAYLOR WAKULLA

IN GEORGIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 16 COUNTIES

IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA

BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS
COLQUITT COOK IRWIN
LANIER LOWNDES THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WORTH

IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA

DOUGHERTY GRADY LEE
MITCHELL

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ADEL...ALBANY...ASHBURN...CAIRO...
CAMILLA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CROSS CITY...FITZGERALD...GREENVILLE...
LAKELAND...LEESBURG...MADISON...MAYO...MIDWAY...M ONTICELLO...
MOULTRIE...NASHVILLE...OCILLA...PELHAM...PERRY... QUINCY...
QUITMAN...SMITHVILLE...SOPCHOPPY...SPARKS...SPRIN G HILL...
ST. MARKS...SYLVESTER...TALLAHASSEE...THOMASVILLE...
TIFTON AND VALDOSTA.

$$
1261. StormWx
Yes Schotty, thats a mean looking line. But as usual im sure it will weaken as it enters North Florida as it always does. Seems like right before it reaches the east coast its much weaker than when its crossing lake city.
1262. Torito
Statement as of 9:12 AM EST on February 21, 2014


... A Tornado Warning is in effect until 920 am EST for
southeastern Jefferson and north central Emanuel counties...

At 903 am EST... the public reported a tornado. This tornado was
located near Blundale..moving east at 50 mph.

Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to
Summertown... Colemans Lake and Three Points

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

If you see wind damage... hail or flooding... wait until the storm has
passed... and then call the National Weather Service toll free at 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. You can also tweet your report using hashtag gawx.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EST Friday
afternoon for southeastern Georgia.




Storm ID# A4
It basically busted up here in N GA
trying to access noaa today storm reports and getting this: Oops! This link appears to be broken.

can someone post yesterdays?
1265. ncstorm
12z NAM

look how the line of storms hold together in Florida, Coastal GA and Southern coastal SC..

1266. Torito
Tornado in GA likely did in fact exist a few minutes ago.




Fri, 21 Feb 2014 09:26 ET GA 3 ENE Holly Hills
Lat: 32.6, Lon: -82.9 Observer: Emergency Mngr

POSSIBLE TORNADO TREES DOWN AND HOUSES DAMAGED NORTH OF DUBLIN.
1267. Torito
Quoting 1264. WaterWitch11:
trying to access noaa today storm reports and getting this: Oops! This link appears to be broken.

can someone post yesterdays?


Try this link... It isnt the noaa site but it's basicly is the same thing..

Link
Extreme Weather in AL, USA on Friday, 21 February, 2014 at 13:52 (01:52 PM) UTC.
Description
Severe weather hit parts of the state hard overnight. Several areas are reporting storm damage, downed trees and power outages. The Beloved Community Church in the Avondale area lost its roof to the storm. Debris from the damage is lying in the road on 2nd Avenue South. No injuries have been reported in connection to the church damage. Further down the road on 2nd Avenue, a large tree is down near Crestwood Boulevard. In Fort Payne, the Jet Polymer plant was damaged. The winds knocked over trucks and even trapped two workers. We are told they are now safely out of the building. Some are saying a tornado may have touched down there. Strong winds also caused damage in parts of Lauderdale County and sent a child to the hospital. The winds blew the roof off a home and also broke out some windows. A family was inside at the time and an 8-year-old boy was hurt and taken to the hospital. He is expected to be okay. As for power outages, Alabama Power reported at 7 a.m. via Twitter that 15,000 customers remain without power in the Birmingham metro. That's down from 32,000 around 4 a.m.


Brow raising biological hazard in a refuge camp in Sudan...
1269. aquak9
my radar looks worse than Bob Costa's eyeball...
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
1271. hydrus
Quoting 1218. TropicalAnalystwx13:
If this were any other year, I'd say the depiction of 850mb temps 20 degrees below-average was crazy and highly unlikely to pan out. But we are in the midst of an endless winter after all...



So what does that translate to? Oh, ya know, just negative 20-30F on the 18z operational run:

The polar vortex cometh..
Quoting 1253. Neapolitan:
Better, yes, as the peak of the season is still a few weeks away. However, a false color map of concentration tells a pretty sordid story. Of particular note, the ice edge in the North Sea is very close to the North Pole as it is--and that large patch of 60%-70% ice is actually touching the Pole:

ice

Yes, extent has been growing a bit, but this time of year, that's not going to be thick stuff resistant to summertime insolation and heat.

I agree it's not a healthy ice cover..it's just alot less scarey looking than last week when the ice concentrations, eyeballing from satellite looked really bad in that area around the North Pole. One day about all decent ice had up & blown out of the area. I've never seen the ice move around so much in February. Being weeks yet from peak & that low that had wrecked so much of it couldn't keep up forever had me saying it couldn't be peak.. & it looks like it wasn't.