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Heavy Snows Hit Northeast, Mid-Atlantic: 13.5 Inches for Philadelphia

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:06 PM GMT on January 22, 2014

The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic are digging out today from the snow left by fast-moving and intense Winter Storm Janus. At 4 am EST, the deepening 985 mb low was several hundred miles offshore from the New Jersey coast. The snows from the storm had mostly ended, except over Eastern Massachusetts. The storm dumped 13.5" on Philadelphia, 11" at New York City's Central Park, and 5.3" at Baltimore. The 3.8" of snow that fell at Reagan National Airport in Washington DC on Tuesday broke a streak of 1073 days (five days short of three years) that the city had gone without seeing at least a two-inch snowstorm. This was the longest such period on record, with the previous record being 700 days, beginning on February 5, 1975. Tuesday would have been an interesting day to play the Super Bowl, as East Rutherford, NJ, site of the February 2 Super Bowl game, received 13" of snow. The top snowfall amounts by state, as compiled in the 4 am EST Wednesday NOAA Storm Summary:

New Jersey, 15.8": Manalapan
Pennsylvania, 14.8": Brookhaven
New York, 13.3": Lindenhurst
Maryland, 11": Northeast Heights
Connecticut, 10.5": Geeenwich
Delaware, 12": Pike Creek
West Virginia, Kline Gap: 9"
Massachusetts, 8.8",:Norwell
Virginia, 8.5": Dulles Airport
Illinois, Oak Park: 8.5"
Michigan, 6.3": Munising


Figure 1. MODIS visible satellite image of a heavy lake effect snow band over Lake Michigan on January 21, 2014. At the time, snowfall rates of 3" per hour were occurring at Gary, Indiana. Ice is visible on the east and west shores of the lake, and had been sculpted into an interesting wave-like pattern by currents on the east shore of the lake. Image credit: NASA.

Heavy lake effect snowstorm dumps nearly two feet of snow on Indiana
Powerful north-northwest winds blowing around the back side of Winter Storm Janus streamed over Lake Michigan on Tuesday, creating a classic lake effect snowstorm over Northwest Indiana. Snowfall rates as high as 3" per hour were observed in the late morning, and Gary, Indiana received 18" of snow between 7:30 am and 12:50 pm, and a storm total of 20". The highest snow amounts from the lake effect blizzard were in nearby Griffith, Indiana, with 22.3".

Cold air invades the Eastern U.S.
A frigid blast of Arctic air is pouring southeastwards across the eastern U.S. today, and will bring temperatures 15 - 25° below normal Wednesday and Thursday. The cold air brought several record lows for the date on Tuesday (-22°F at Gaylord, MI, and -13° at Flint, MI). At least one record low for the date has been set so far on Wednesday: a low temperature of -30°F in Massena, New York. However, this cold blast isn't intense enough to set many records, since it is competing with one of the greatest cold waves in North American history: the great January 21, 1985 cold wave, one the two most intense cold waves on record. Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a fascinating account of the records set in that historic event in his latest post, Anniversary of the Great Cold Wave of January 21, 1985. Chicago (-27°), Norfolk, VA (-3°), Jacksonville, FL (7°), and dozens of other major cities set their all-time cold records during the cold wave.


Figure 2. Departure of temperature from average at 2 meters (6.6') as diagnosed by the GFS model at 00 UTC January 22, 2014. A strongly negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) created a sharp kink in the jet stream (Figure 3), which allowed cold air to spill southwards out of the Arctic over the Eastern U.S. and Western Europe. Compensating warm air flowed northwards into the Arctic underneath ridges of high pressure over Alaska and Greenland. Data/image obtained using Climate Reanalyzer™ (http://cci-reanalyzer.org), Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, Maine.


Figure 3. Winds at a height where the pressure is 250 mb show the axis of the jet stream, seen here at 00 UTC January 22, 2014. A sharp trough of low pressure was present over the Eastern U.S., and unusually strong ridges of high pressure were over the Western U.S. and the North Atlantic. Data/image obtained using Climate Reanalyzer™ (http://cci-reanalyzer.org), Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, Maine.

NOVA show on Super Typhoon Haiyan: Wednesday at 9 pm
The PBS NOVA series is airing a show on Super Typhoon Haiyan called "Killer Typhoon", on Wednesday, January 22 at 9 pm ET on most PBS stations. I've had a chance to preview the episode, and thought it was well-done, with impressive storm surge footage and excellent graphics. Commentary is provided by hurricane experts Kerry Emanuel and Jeff Weber, storm surge expert Dr. Hal Needham, and the current head of the American Meteorological Society, Dr. J. Marshall Shepherd. Here's the web site for more info: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/earth/killer-typhoon.html. I wrote NOVA an article on Haiyan that is published here.

Jeff Masters
Snow Love
Snow Love
A snowy view from the city of Brotherly Love, Philadelphia, PA.
Good Day to flock together
Good Day to flock together
Received 8
3° F
3° F
While I relish our warm months, winter forms our character and brings out our best. ~ Tom Allen

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting 494. nigel20:

Hi Michael! The Jamaican Diaspora in the US is in excess of 1 million people, but many return during the winter months to escape the cold. We don't mind the cool weather, but we hate the cold. :) We also get close to a million visitors during the winter months, mostly from US and Canada.


Very true, I would love to vacation in Jamaica some day. Every photo I have seen depicts a tropical paradise. I like cool weather, but a part of me gets uncomfortable in outright cold weather, too. Though, I can easily handle it. I could easily see flying down for a visit mid-winter for some fun in the sun. As far as where I live, I do expect a cool down for a bit of the year, though.

Quoting 491. HurrMichaelOrl:


Oh, I guess I should read the blog more often before making any assumptions. Sorry about that! lol
I'm just glad they don't have a problem with differing beliefs, and that we can poke fun at each other about it.

dats why dey my frienzs though :)
Quoting 495. BaltimoreBrian:
I think the 5000 meter 500 mb line should dive down to Jamaica. Turn the Blue Mountains while and nigel20 blue!

I wish. :)
Quoting 489. BaltimoreBrian:


1994 was also the penultimate year with no major hurricanes in the Atlantic. Repeat? ;)

Wait... if 1994 had no major hurricanes and 2013 had no majors... then this year would theoretically be like 1985. That was when PA had its F5 tornado.... hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Quoting 501. HurrMichaelOrl:


Very true, I would love to vacation in Jamaica some day. Every photo I have seen depicts a tropical paradise.
Those photos are wrong. True tropical paradises are when we can safely add the word "storm" after the term "tropical". :)
Quoting 502. KoritheMan:

I'm just glad they don't have a problem with differing beliefs, and that we can poke fun at each other about it.

dats why dey my frienzs though :)


Aww...wait. What happened to the cold Kori that I used to know? I don't remember a warm and fuzzy Kori. Who are you, imposter?

P.S. Isaac has English exam tomorrow, don't type incorrectly lest you might set a bad example.

Quoting 498. Doppler22:

No, he was comparing it to this past year
oh yeah

Quoting 506. Astrometeor:


Aww...wait. What happened to the cold Kori that I used to know? I don't remember a warm and fuzzy Kori. Who are you, imposter?

P.S. Isaac has English exam tomorrow, don't type incorrectly lest you might set a bad example.
I set bad examples for everyone. What can I say?

*puts on shades*
Quoting 502. KoritheMan:

I'm just glad they don't have a problem with differing beliefs, and that we can poke fun at each other about it.

dats why dey my frienzs though :)


Indeed ;)
Quoting 506. Astrometeor:


Aww...wait. What happened to the cold Kori that I used to know? I don't remember a warm and fuzzy Kori. Who are you, imposter?

P.S. Isaac has English exam tomorrow, don't type incorrectly lest you might set a bad example.

It's today. Thursday, January 23rd is when I take my English and Chemistry midterms.

EDIT: It's today Cody, not tomorrow or yesterday!
Quoting 508. KoritheMan:

I set bad examples for everyone. What can I say?

*puts on shades*

Quoting 502. KoritheMan:

I'm just glad they don't have a problem with differing beliefs, and that we can poke fun at each other about it.

dats why dey my frienzs though :)


Kori and I have the same theological outlook.
Quoting 496. Astrometeor:
Yo, Brian:

Report: Lake Ice Grows Safer To Venture Out On With Each Beer Consumed


You have no idea how true that statement is...

Quoting 512. BaltimoreBrian:


Kori and I have the same theological outlook.
Theological outlook? Is that the same thing as the SPC's convective outlooks?

How would one go about writing that anyway?
Quoting 497. KoritheMan:

Silence, heretic!


It could be like the Maunder Minimum. 80 years of no sunspots. 80 years of no majors! The 80 year Kori Crunch! It will be what Kori's known for! :)
Quoting 514. KoritheMan:

Theological outlook? Is that the same thing as the SPC's convective outlooks?

How would one go about writing that anyway?


I have no skills in expressing myself. I'll leave the writing to you Kori ;)
Quoting 501. HurrMichaelOrl:


Very true, I would love to vacation in Jamaica some day. Every photo I have seen depicts a tropical paradise. I like cool weather, but a part of me gets uncomfortable in outright cold weather, too. Though, I can easily handle it. I could easily see flying down for a visit mid-winter for some fun in the sun. As far as where I live, I do expect a cool down for a bit of the year, though.

I would definitely encourage you to take a visit. Ian Fleming wrote most of his James Bond novels here in Jamaica. He bought a property in the north east and it was called "Golden eye". The property is very close to Ocho Rios.

The interior of the island can get relatively cool. Most of the interior is in excess of 500m. The Blue Mountain peak exceeds 2200m
The coldest temperature ever recorded in Jamaica is 0.7C or 33.26F at Blue Mountain Peak. 7,402 feet.

The warmest it has ever been on Blue Mountain Peak is 23.3C or 73.94F.
Quoting 518. BaltimoreBrian:
The coldest temperature ever recorded in Jamaica is 0.7C or 33.26F at Blue Mountain Peak. 7,402 feet.

The warmest it has ever been on Blue Mountain Peak is 23.3C or 73.94F.

Thanks for providing these stats, Brain!

Southern Cuba can be seen on a clear day from the Blue mountain peak, Not many clear days though. Rainfall totals can reach in excess of 6000mm. The entire Blue Mountain region is quite wet. Coastal towns on the windward side can get up to 3500mm annually.

We recently had flooding (localized) earlier this week. Preliminary estimates suggest that damages exceed US$ 2 million.

Sections of St Mary, Portland hit by flood

Tuesday, January 21, 2014




THE National Works Agency (NWA) was yesterday trying to clear roads in the parishes of St Mary and Portland, which were block by landslides, following heavy rains over the weekend that caused flooding in several areas.

Stephen Shaw, the agency's manager for communication and customer services, said the flood waters washed down silt, scoured surfaces and collapsed retaining walls.

In Portland, the main road between Hope Bay and the Rio Grande Bridge was inundated in the vicinity of the Sommerset Falls. Operators of vehicles were advised to be extremely careful in using that corridor as vehicles could stall in the body of water.

Silt also affected the roadway from Boundbrook to St Margaret's Bay, in the vicinity of Snow Hall, while the corridor from Schoolhouse Corner to Chepstowe was severely scoured.
...
I created a "Kori Crunch" bar on a create your own candy wrapper site. In a starburst on the upper right it says "Extra nuts!"

Quoting 520. BaltimoreBrian:
I created a "Kori Crunch" bar on a create your own candy wrapper site. In a starburst on the upper right it says "Extra nuts!"
wat
Fair

28°F

-2°C

Humidity75%
Wind SpeedCalm
Barometer30.22 in (1023.2 mb)
Dewpoint21°F (-6°C)
Visibility10.00 mi

Last Update on 23 Jan 12:53 am EST

Current conditions at

Tallahassee Regional Airport (KTLH)

Lat: 30.4°N Lon: 84.35°W Elev: 69ft.

More Local Wx | 3 Day History | Mobile Weather




Already has been below freezing for several hours, I was out on campus earlier, it is quite cold.


The next couple of nights we are expecting even colder temps with lower 20's for lows.


The forecast low is 27 tonight, although it seems to me 24 to 25 is probably more likely by morning with thick frost.
It was -22F at my house around 6:30am Wednesday. The high was -4F. Tonight so far we're down to -18.7F. I am so grateful we haven't had wind with this!

Looks like we're safe for another year from any Black Widow Spiders and other such critters migrating northward. ;-)
Quoting 523. listenerVT:
It was -22F at my house around 6:30am Wednesday. The high was -4F. Tonight so far we're down to -18.7F. I am so grateful we haven't had wind with this!

Looks like we're safe for another year from any Black Widow Spiders and other such critters migrating northward. ;-)



Keep it yourself, that's too cold for me, yikes.
Quoting 524. Jedkins01:



Keep it yourself, that's too cold for me, yikes.


:-)

In typical New England style, I can add: "Could be worse." I remember Christmas 1980. We left Virginia where it was 72F and drove up to Maine where it was -40F. A 112 degree drop in temps is a lot to ask of a body! At least I've already acclimated to the cold this year.

The cold spot up here last night was on the NY side of Lake Champlain where temp fell to -36F.
Quoting 441. HurrMichaelOrl:
Evening all. Yet another night with freeze warnings into deep South FL, and we will remain several degrees above freezing here in the Orlando area. The city has literally changed the climate in the area from one that easily averaged several solid freezes per year. Now, I don't estimate that urban Orlando even averages one night per year below freezing. The lowest it has been in the last decade (in the urban area) has been 29F. Most years, we bottom out at 32-34F in the city and there has been an increasing trend toward landscaping accordingly.

We are having an unusually chilly January. It's wonderful. All of the temperate vegetation around is actually staying dormant. Usually by this time in January, 1/3 of the deciduous trees are starting to leaf out. Haven't seen a one so far this year.

After trying to jog at 10pm this past August with a temperature of 88F and humid, I will take all the cool i can get. It's about 40-41F here right now.



I've noticed that and I don't even live in Orlando. Its not just for Orlando though, the Tampa Bay area is the same way. Its already close to the coast, but with the explosion in urban growth, its going to take much more brutal cold air masses to reach the same record lows of the past.


In fact, I was noticing that in Pinellas County back home where I grew up, record lows in the upper 20's occurred with highs in the low 50's back in the 1970's and prior.

Now, it takes high temps probably as cold as the lower 40's with full sun to produce that kind of cold. In fact, I've noticed the NWS in Ruskin just pretty much always leaves out Pinellas because of this now.

The only time Pinellas had a freeze in recent years was the winter of 2011. But we had highs in the upper 30's to mid 40's for several days, an incredibly rare cold airmass, to produce that level of cold in Pinellas.

Whats interesting is the the record Low in Clearwater is 19 set back over 30 years ago, the high was in the mid 30's, and I can all but guarantee you that same cold airmass wouldn't get the low any lower than 24 to 26 in Clearwater today with the urban boom.

The Tampa Bay area population and urbanization has exploded over the past 20 to 30 years.
Quoting 525. listenerVT:


:-)

In typical New England style, I can add: "Could be worse." I remember Christmas 1980. We left Virginia where it was 72F and drove up to Maine where it was -40F. A 112 degree drop in temps is a lot to ask of a body! At least I've already acclimated to the cold this year.

The cold spot up here last night was on the NY side of Lake Champlain where temp fell to -36F.


Christmas 1980 was very cold in the northeast. Set record lows of 0 in Baltimore, 1 in Philadelphia, -1 in Central Park and in Boston it was -7, not a record for the date but the coldest reading in Boston since 1957.
BRRRRR cold here at 1 am..

Clear
Temp : 0
Windchill: -15 %uFFFFF
Humidity: 60%
Dew Point: -11 %uFFFFF
Wind: 9 mph from the NW
Pressure: 30.40 in (Falling)

Fiji Meteorological Services
Gale Warning
18:00 PM FST January 23 2014
===================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 09F (1006 hPa) located at 22.4S 171.8W is reported as moving west southwest at 14 knots.

Expect clockwise winds up to 35 knots within 60-120 NM away from the center in the southeastern semi-circle
402. Patrap 3:21 AM GMT on January 23, 2014 +7
Quoting 399. jpsb:

Actually it is a very good source, you just don't like it. Personally I don't like the adjusted (cooked) data your sources use to "hide the decline".


And a belated happy birthday to you Patrap, hope you have many many more. Simper Fi.


That graph, to put it kindly, represents nothing J.

And feel free to offer it up to anyone with any grasp of graphing..esp from watts ville.

Like it?

Your seem to think emotion plays a role, it dosen't.

Thanx for the b-day wishes.

Semper Fi'



I AM SO CONFUSED WHAT DOES ESP MEAN??? AND HOW DO YOU COOK DATA???
Good morning.

For all intents and purposes, this is my counter to Dr. Maue's popular temperature maps. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

Click for full size:







Beautiful maps, Levi.
Quoting 530. WaterWitch11:
I AM SO CONFUSED WHAT DOES ESP MEAN??? AND HOW DO YOU COOK DATA???

One good way is to select the data set that is badly out of step with all other global temperature data sets, RSS in this case. It is worth noting that the other satellite data set, UAH, shows a virtually identical warming trend for the latest 30 year period.

Quoting 526. Jedkins01:



I've noticed that and I don't even live in Orlando. Its not just for Orlando though, the Tampa Bay area is the same way. Its already close to the coast, but with the explosion in urban growth, its going to take much more brutal cold air masses to reach the same record lows of the past.


In fact, I was noticing that in Pinellas County back home where I grew up, record lows in the upper 20's occurred with highs in the low 50's back in the 1970's and prior.

Now, it takes high temps probably as cold as the lower 40's with full sun to produce that kind of cold. In fact, I've noticed the NWS in Ruskin just pretty much always leaves out Pinellas because of this now.

The only time Pinellas had a freeze in recent years was the winter of 2011. But we had highs in the upper 30's to mid 40's for several days, an incredibly rare cold airmass, to produce that level of cold in Pinellas.

Whats interesting is the the record Low in Clearwater is 19 set back over 30 years ago, the high was in the mid 30's, and I can all but guarantee you that same cold airmass wouldn't get the low any lower than 24 to 26 in Clearwater today with the urban boom.

The Tampa Bay area population and urbanization has exploded over the past 20 to 30 years.
What you are saying is true, as is the earlier post regarding the Orlando area. The Urban Heat Island effect has been studied a lot recently in meteorology and surely does affect temperature readings recorded on instruments in urbanized areas. As these areas grow, with more and more buildings, roads, cars, etc, the air temps go up, especially those that are close to ground level.

On the other hand, there are also specific issues with the official temperature record locations in both Pinellas and Hillsborough counties. For Tampa and Hillsborough, the official record that goes into the books is taken from the NWS weather station at Tampa International Airport. That airport is very near the water, with Tampa Bay located both west and south of that location. As a result, the readings there are not really representative of the average low temperature for cold outbreak events in Tampa and Hillsborough county. In addition, I cannot swear to it but I seem to recall hearing that the weather station at TIA has remained in the same precise spot but that nearby construction of highways has taken place there in the past few years, causing further possible disturbance to the localized temperature readings. In Pinellas county, the official record is taken at St. Pete Clearwater Int'l airport and that too is directly on Tampa Bay, whereas the bulk of Pinellas is more landlocked and much further away from the warmer waters of the bay or the Gulf. Of course this was true many years ago as well but again, with so much construction in recent years very near that airport, who knows what affect that could have on the official readings that are taken during cold weather outbreaks.
Quoting 531. Levi32:
Good morning.

For all intents and purposes, this is my counter to Dr. Maue's popular temperature maps. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

Click for full size:







Very nicely done. The chosen colors are of a high-enough contrast to make distinctions easy, and the gridded numbers convey a lot of information without unnecessary clutter. All in all, great work.
Good Morning!...............
Freeze Warning

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
434 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...HARD FREEZE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NATURE COAST THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST COASTAL WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LOCATIONS THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH FOR THE NATURE COAST TONIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT OR CALM WINDS....ALLOWING EXCELLENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS...WITH WIDESPREAD FROST AND
FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

FLZ052-056-057-061-149-249-251-255-260-262-231400 -
/O.CON.KTBW.FZ.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140123T1400Z/
POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL PASCO-INLAND PASCO-
INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-INLAND SARASOTA-
INLAND CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA...
SEBRING...AVON PARK...ARCADIA...PORT RICHEY...HUDSON...
DADE CITY...ZEPHYRHILLS...BRANDON...PLANT CITY...
SUN CITY CENTER...PARRISH...LAKEWOOD RANCH...MYAKKA CITY...
NORTH PORT...BABCOCK RANCH
434 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* TIMING...THROUGH 9 AM THIS MORNING A FREEZE IS EXPECTED.

* TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S IN MANY
LOCATIONS EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY DAMAGE VEGETATION.
RESIDENTS SHOULD COVER OR BRING INDOOR BOTH PLANTS AND PETS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR 2 OR MORE HOURS OF TEMPERATURES
BETWEEN 27 AND 32 OVER A WIDESPREAD AREA.

RESIDENTS SHOULD COVER OR MOVE INDOORS ANY COLD SENSITIVE
PLANTS...AND BRING PETS INDOORS THIS EVENING.

&&

$$
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's 42 degrees, wind chill of 38 with a high expected of 44. We're under a winter weather advisory from six pm tonight until noon tomorrow, a very rare event for my part of Louisiana. The strangest part is the risk goes from the coast up, not from the north down. The advisory says the chance of 1/2 inch to an inch of freezing rain sleet or snow. (Of course, it wouldn't be an inch of freezing rain, but a quarter inch would bring down the power lines here. They aren't the same ones they use up north where this kind of thing happens.) We did get gas in yesterday incase we have to use the generator. My daughter-in-law is getting propane for grilling today. If it doesn't happen then we'll still be able to use the gas and propane. My dream? A day off tomorrow and no loss of electric. *G*

Belated Happy Birthday, Pat.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Fruity Baked Oatmeal, Spicy Scrambled Egg Sandwiches, apple cinnamon waffles, Corned Beef Hash with Fried Eggs, Glazed Cinnamon Rolls with Pecan Swirls, sweet and spicy bacon, Apple-Pecan Baked Oatmeal, Cajun Breakfast Casserole, cheesy grits and shrimp, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Special treat of flavored cappuccinos, cinnamon, Irish cream, white chocolate caramel or French vanilla . Enjoy!
Quoting 428. jpsb:


1) No one claims that the Earth has not recently warmed slightly

2) The Sun is currently cooling the Earth not warming it.

3) Take your choice, most of North American under a mile high ice sheet or Palm tree in DC. Take your time thinking about it.

Well, looks like extraterrestrial life's messaging us. Where the suns don't warm but cool. Where graphs are pinned to the wall bottom-up.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12:00PM CST FRIDAY, JANUARY 24
Issue Time: 4:05AM CST, Thursday Jan 23, 2014
Valid Until: 4:00PM CST, Thursday Jan 23, 2014
Back to summary

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST FRIDAY
UNTIL 4:00PM CST
Wswlch

Urgent - Winter Weather Message
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
405 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2014

... Wintry Mix Becoming More Likely Across Southeast Texas... Central
And Southern Louisiana Late Tonight Into Friday Morning...

.An Arctic Cold Front Will Move Rapidly South Across The Area
Today... Bring Increased Chances Of Rain And Much Colder Temperatures.
As Temperatures Fall Below Freezing After Sunset This Evening... The
Light Rain Is Expected To Mix With Light Sleet... Light Freezing
Rain... Or Light Snow... And Change Over To Predominatly Sleet And Snow
After Midnight... Ending Late Friday Morning.

Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangel ine-St. Landry-
Tyler-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-
Including The Cities Of... Leesville... New Llano... Alexandria...
Pineville... Marksville... Bunkie... Cottonport... Simmesport...
Mansura... De Ridder... Oakdale... Kinder... Ville Platte... Mamou...
Opelousas... Eunice... Woodville... Colmesneil... Jasper...
Kirbyville... Newton
405 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2014

... Winter Weather Advisory In Effect From 6 PM This Evening To
Noon CST Friday...

The National Weather Service In Lake Charles Has Issued A Winter
Weather Advisory For A Mix Of Light Sleet... Light Freezing
Rain... And Light Snow... Which Is In Effect From 6 PM This Evening
To Noon CST Friday.

* Timing... 6 PM Thursday Through Noon Friday.

* Accumulations: Total Accumulation Of Freezing Rain... Sleet... And
Snow Between 1/2 And One Inch Is Expected... Mainly On Grass
Areas. Due To The Prolonged Freezing Temperatures Expected... Some
Accumulation On Elevated Roadways Such As Bridges And Overpasses
Can Be Expected Friday Morning.

* Impacts: Any Ice Accumulation Will Freeze Onto Bridges And
Overpasses Overnight Into Friday Morning... Creating Hazardous
Driving Conditions.

Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory Means That Periods Of Snow... Sleet... Or
Freezing Rain Will Cause Travel Difficulties. Be Prepared For
Slippery Roads And Limited Visibilities... And Use Caution While
Driving.

38 degrees at our house just East of I75 in Fort Myers.
Wide spread thick frost in the area. Low to mid 30s in the usual colder locations outside town.
Hail/sleet showers here in Scotland, possibly snow in the heavier bursts. After eight weeks with nothing at all I'm taking it. The mountain ski season in contrast is having another excellent year, with plentiful high ground snow coming over the next ten days. Possibly significant snow to low levels in the northern half of the UK next week but the models have a habit of kicking it out to 8-10 days time.
At the moment:

huh?
huh?
Quoting 543. Neapolitan:
At the moment:

huh?

huh?


Remember five weeks ago when Florida just wouldn't get cold??

545. yoboi
Quoting 543. Neapolitan:
At the moment:

huh?

huh?



yep chilly weather.....
Quoting listenerVT:


:-)

In typical New England style, I can add: "Could be worse." I remember Christmas 1980. We left Virginia where it was 72F and drove up to Maine where it was -40F. A 112 degree drop in temps is a lot to ask of a body! At least I've already acclimated to the cold this year.

The cold spot up here last night was on the NY side of Lake Champlain where temp fell to -36F.


Still ain't cold enough to kill the ticks!

(I'm over on the Connecticut River side of the state, I think we only got to -12 this morning. Not even nostril-freezing weather here!)
This may become interesting for us in southern Louisiana?

National Weather Service New Orleans la
555 am CST Thursday Jan 23 2014

Short term...
sorry for the delay this morning as a complicated and complex
forecast situation will take place over the forecast area over
the next 36 hours. Latest surface analysis shows a cold front
draped over central Louisiana. Temperatures will have a chance to
rise some before the cold front pushes through the forecast area
throughout the day and the cold air advection will kick in. The upper
level feature driving this front is still forecast to lag behind
a bit with the trough axis not passing through until late tonight.
Clouds and moisture in the atmosphere will still be around with
cold air in place. Taking a look at some soundings and time
series plots the atmosphere could support a wintry mix of
precipitation across the forecast area tonight. There will be some
moisture around and as previous forecasts alluded to the
atmospheric column does saturate from the top down.

Based on model soundings the moisture does slightly reach into the
snow growth region along with some weak uplift...however most of
the stronger uplift resides below the snow growth region in the
column...have continued to carry the winter precipitation in the
forecast for tonight as a small window of opportunity exists for a
very light accumulation of snow and sleet mainly along the western
fringe of the forecast area. Even though the chances are low and
the guidance overall is not that impressive...have issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for the western fringes of the forecast area.
Impacts if any should be very minimal. Other areas of the County Warning Area may
see a few rouge flakes and sleet pellets overnight as well but no
impacts on travel or accumulations are expected anywhere else in
the forecast area. The bigger story for the rest of the forecast
area will be the hard freeze warning for the Northshore and freeze
warning for the southshore tonight and the wind caused by the cold
air advection. In fact a Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for the
southwest Mississippi counties as wind chills tonight could reach
as low as 10 degrees across southwest Mississippi.

Another shot at of wintry precipitation will show up again on Friday
afternoon/evening into Saturday models still indicate a plume of
moisture will moving eastward across the northern Gulf associated
with a developing weak surface trough or low over the western
Gulf. Right now model trends keep most of the precipitation off the coast
but some guidance suggests that some of the quantitative precipitation forecast could sneak into
the area. Have introduced another slight chance of wintry precipitation
in the forecast for Friday night. 13/mh

Quoting 523. listenerVT:
It was -22F at my house around 6:30am Wednesday. The high was -4F. Tonight so far we're down to -18.7F. I am so grateful we haven't had wind with this!

Looks like we're safe for another year from any Black Widow Spiders and other such critters migrating northward. ;-)


Black Widows are found in VT. They are not as common as further south. I saw more in Tallahassee than other places I've lived but I got a shock last August when I picked up one of my watermelons in my Maryland garden and there was a black widow under it.
Quoting 544. georgevandenberghe:


Remember five weeks ago when Florida just wouldn't get cold??

Yes. Yes, I do. Fondly. I moved here to stay warm, not to enter a contest with Alaska to see who can be most frigid...
Quoting 478. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Around 0F. The 5400m line is freezing for comparison.


It depends. If lapse rates are high and the airmass is well mixed to 500mb, it can be above freezing with a 5040 meter 1000-500mb thickness and over 70F under a 5400 meter thickness. The thickness is determined by the mean temperature of the layer. Conversely arctic air, ESPECIALLY in the south can produce bitter cold temperatures under high thicknesses. The 1000-500mb thickness did not get below 5340 meters in Tallahassee during the coldest temperatures of the 20'th century Jan 21, 1985 and TLH often gets much colder thicknesses.

One reason 5400 meters is often near the rain snow line is because soundings in overrunning situations that produce snow (or steady dripping rain) are often very stable, relatively cold close to the ground and relatively warm aloft. In places where snow is more convective (west coast, United Kingdom) the critical thickness is MUCH lower. I don't know the UK values but in Seattle it's near 5200 meters.
34 degrees here! :)
Quoting 541. Sfloridacat5:
38 degrees at our house just East of I75 in Fort Myers.
Wide spread thick frost in the area. Low to mid 30s in the usual colder locations outside town.
Quoting 551. SFLWeatherman:
34 degrees here! :)
Hello All, Zephyrhills Fl. At my house 29 this morning with lots of frost.
Hello good morning all. Something seems to be wrong with NEXRAD. Unless it really is snowing, but up in the upper levels or it's either false echo returns. Could it also be showing the frost on the ground?

Did anybody see the Feb.5 snow event???
brr its cold e cen florida
Good Morning.  The entire US, with the exception of the California-Pacific Coast, Southern Texas, and the Southern tip of Florida (40's-50's), is in the grips of Winter with below-teens to 30's across Conus this morning.

30 in Tallahassee this morning; cold for Florida but nothing compared to the Upper Mid-West and NE so I have nothing to complain about.
All we need now in North Florida is some snow over the next few weeks  to make this winter "complete"..
Good Morning... I sure hope the 00Z 156HR forecast pans out for N/N Central Florida. :)
Quoting 553. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Hello good morning all. Something seems to be wrong with NEXRAD. Unless it really is snowing, but up in the upper levels or it's either false echo returns. Could it also be showing the frost on the ground?

frost on the roof's and grass here by me..and cold
heat wave here..up to 40 lol........
Quoting 558. WxLogic:
Good Morning... I sure hope the 00Z 156HR forecast pans out for N/N Central Florida. :)


Can you please show it. Thanks in advance
Quoting 561. robintampabay:


Can you please show it. Thanks in advance


0 degrees here!
GFS says a good snowstorm Sat night and Sunday.....
GFS Saturday..................
566. MahFL
The snow was fluffy though, so did not cause too many problems.
gee for those who forgot what winter can do..geez...
568. MahFL
Quoting 539. cRRKampen:

Well, looks like extraterrestrial life's messaging us. Where the suns don't warm but cool. Where graphs are pinned to the wall bottom-up.


Can't wait to see the complainers when their house is under 1 mile of ice...lol.
Quoting 568. MahFL:


Can't wait to see the complainers when their house is under 1 mile of ice...lol.
LOL its happened before..several times thru the ages
SUBZERO WIND CHILLS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS FAR EAST AS THE WESTERN
SUBURBS OF BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON FRIDAY MORNING.

A WIND CHILL WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
APPALACHAINS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. IN THIS AREA...SUBZERO WIND
CHILLS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE APPALACHIANS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HTS
7-day for the Tampa Bay area.................
BEWARE: No End in Sight for Dangerous Cold
Quoting 572. hurricanes2018:
BEWARE: No End in Sight for Dangerous Cold
yes its been quite awhile since just about the whole country has been This cold huh...gee
cold down the spine of FL.

Safety message from nws...............PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD AND WIND COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE
AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A
HAT AND GLOVES.

THE PROLONGED COLD CAN ALSO LEAD TO ADDITIONAL HEALTH HAZARDS SUCH
AS EXPOSURE TO FUMES FROM POORLY VENTILATED EMERGENCY
GENERATORS...AND PROPERTY DAMAGE SUCH AS FROZEN AND BURSTING
WATER PIPES INCLUDING THOSE OF FIRE SPRINKLER SYSTEMS...AND FIRES
FROM IMPROPERLY USED HEATERS. BE WEATHER READY AND VISIT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV FOR WINTER
WEATHER SAFETY TIPS.

$$

In other news, Justin Bieber has been arrested. Now, does anyone really care? lol :)
BEWARE: No End in Sight for Dangerous Cold DOOM!!!!!!!
maybe tonight will be colder here..........
...HARD FREEZE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NATURE COAST THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST COASTAL WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LOCATIONS THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH FOR THE NATURE COAST TONIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT OR CALM WINDS....ALLOWING EXCELLENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS...WITH WIDESPREAD FROST AND
FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

It is in the 30's here. It is to bad it's -31F at least the wind is next to nothing. It won't get above zero again today.
my new frostyman lol :) 1/23/14 From Loxahatchee, Florida




Harrisburg, PA
NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!
5-day snow forecast....................
Quoting 580. SFLWeatherman:
my new frostyman lol :) 1/23/14 From Loxahatchee, Florida



Sure is amazing how frost form sometimes. nice pics
Quoting 581. Doppler22:


Harrisburg, PA

Hey thought you lived in southern york county. how much snow there?
TEMP -35F!!!
So awesome!
Quoting 586. hurricanes2018:
TEMP -35F!!!

Just wait until you see next Monday and Tuesday's map, Hurricanes2018. It'll be like "Holy Smokes!!!"

Good post.
Quoting 582. hurricanes2018:
NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!


Morning Everyone.

Forecast to be -4 in NYC next Tuesday night. That'll be the coldest I can remember seeing in Manhattan if it comes true. No all time record by any means, but pretty cold for the Big Apple. Also of note, it's not forecast to get above freezing for the next ten days there. Going to be a cold Super Bowl I think and not just for my thin FL blood's standards.
Morning from Carroll county, MD. 6 inches of snow on the ground here, with more supposed to fall on Saturday.
Good afternoon everyone!
Still ill with the flu, but I'm starting to feel better :)
The weather here has been pretty wierd, started off dry, then it started to rain and in the last hour we've even had some hail! Crazy!

UK rain radar
Quoting 556. weathermanwannabe:
Good Morning.  The entire US, with the exception of the California-Pacific Coast, Southern Texas, and the Southern tip of Florida (40's-50's), is in the grips of Winter with below-teens to 30's across Conus this morning.

30 in Tallahassee this morning; cold for Florida but nothing compared to the Upper Mid-West and NE so I have nothing to complain about.


Denver rebounds back into the 50s tomorrow (close to 60 Saturday).

"In the grips of Winter," is a bit of a stretch. We had one bad cold snap. Other than that, it's been pretty warm. But I feel for the upper Midwest. There's a reason I left Chicago.
One other thing...

Fairbanks, AK is 25-30 F above normal right now @ 30 F. Forecast to be 34 F with rain today according to WU.

Just for perspective.
Quoting 569. LargoFl:
LOL its happened before..several times thru the ages

Always magically.
This is turning out to be like or worse than 2010:
10 day forecast Niceville
Temps warmed from 36 at midnight to 40 at daybreak in Longwood so yet again no freeze and temps stayed about 5 degrees warmer than forecast.
Guys texas really gonna get some snow that far south?
Quoting 531. Levi32:
Good morning.

For all intents and purposes, this is my counter to Dr. Maue's popular temperature maps. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

Click for full size:









Looks great, one note maybe bold font for your temperatures and it will make viewing easier on the eyes. Very impressive.
Quoting 557. weathermanwannabe:
All we need now in North Florida is some snow over the next few weeks  to make this winter "complete"..

Yes please! We've had everything but...

Quoting 599. opal92nwf:

Yes please! We've had everything but...
I would be satisfied just to get a few flurries to take some pics;
Quoting 596. StormTrackerScott:
Temps warmed from 36 at midnight to 40 at daybreak in Longwood so yet again no freeze and temps stayed about 5 degrees warmer than forecast.

Look out for Friday night/Sat morning:
10 day
yep 2 inches of snow for some parts of texas....
PDO looks positive for the first in a very long time.

wow colder next week..gee
All values are now at warm neutral levels.




old man winter isnt playing around this year huh..COLD..
Quoting 608. LargoFl:
old man winter isnt playing around this year huh..COLD..


Largo they keep saying freezes but yet we still haven't had one infact not even close. Last night was a big bust temp wise as even in the Hard Freeze areas temps didn't even hit freezing there. Our low in Orlando was around midnight then temps warmed.

Quoting 609. StormTrackerScott:


Largo they keep saying freezes but yet we still haven't had one infact not even close. Last night was a big bust temp wise as even in the Hard Freeze areas temps didn't even hit freezing there. Our low in Orlando was around midnight then temps warmed.
yes tonight is supposed to be a bit colder..i had frost on my roof and grass this morning..i really dont want a freeze here by me,too many plants etc to loose..but next week its supposed to get even colder..we'll see
Quoting 609. StormTrackerScott:


Largo they keep saying freezes but yet we still haven't had one infact not even close. Last night was a big bust temp wise as even in the Hard Freeze areas temps didn't even hit freezing there. Our low in Orlando was around midnight then temps warmed.
remember too..in the big cities it stays a tad warmer than the outlying area's
Quoting 611. LargoFl:
remember too..in the big cities it stays a tad warmer than the outlying area's


True but even the out lying areas didn't even hit freezing as well. Very strange as temps stayed much warmer than forecast pretty much areawide.
Quoting 612. StormTrackerScott:


True but even the out lying areas didn't even hit freezing as well. Very strange as temps stayed much warmer than forecast pretty much areawide.
yeah seems the freeze is staying north of us and also right down the middle of the state down to lake O...
Hazardous Weather Outlook

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
915 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-240000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
915 AM EST THU JAN 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
LATE TONIGHT...WITH ANOTHER SURGE OF CHILLY NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY
WINDS IN ITS WAKE. THIS WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH THE FREEZING
MARK EXCEPT FOR IN A FEW RURAL SHELTERED LOCATIONS...MAINLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 4. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE
30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES ARE FORECAST FOR ALL BUT EASTERN MARTIN AND
COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES.

THE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH
TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER
30S BY SUNRISE...WITH SOME MIDDLE 20S OVER NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. IF YOU WILL BE OUTSIDE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...YOU WILL
NEED TO DRESS APPROPRIATELY FOR THE COLD...WEARING GLOVES...A HAT
AND A SCARF. ALSO...IF USING SPACE HEATERS...KEEP THEM IN OPEN AREAS
AWAY FROM CURTAINS AND OTHER FLAMMABLE MATERIALS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
AN INCREASING LONG PERIOD SWELL WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY. SWIMMERS WHO CHOOSE TO
ENTER THE VERY CHILLY SURF SHOULD SWIM IN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND PRODUCE
SEVERAL HOURS OF VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS THE REGION
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PROMOTE A MODERATE TO HIGH FIRE
WEATHER DANGER ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
IMPACTS FROM THE NORTHERLY WIND SURGE WILL PRIMARILY BE FELT ON
FRIDAY...HOWEVER GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WITH BUILDING SEAS
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL
A FEW HOURS PRIOR TO SUNRISE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WITH NEAR
FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN LAKE AND INTERIOR
VOLUSIA COUNTIES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION ELEVATED
NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AROUND
DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO LEAD TO
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING LASTING INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

WEITLICH/CRISTALDI
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY VANISH
AFTER SUNRISE.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS AND FREEZING
TEMPERATURES TO PORTIONS OF OUR AREA TONIGHT. THE MOST LIKELY
LOCATIONS TO SEE 2 OR MORE HOURS OF TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW
FREEZING ARE FROM HERNANDO COUNTY NORTHWARD.

GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING LOW WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES TO
THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS CREATING
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ON THE GULF AND IN TAMPA BAY
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
ANOTHER ROUND OF TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING IS POSSIBLE FOR THE
NATURE COAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
Quoting 595. opal92nwf:
This is turning out to be like or worse than 2010:
10 day forecast Niceville


Niceville? LOL. I wounder if there a town called badville
OFF TOPIC BUT WE ALL MUST PAY ATTENTION TO THREATS HUH.............................................

10 Suggestions for Your 2014 Online Security Resolutions



Posted on:January 6, 2014



Posted in:Security



Posted by:Richard Medugno (Consumer Security Advocate)




0


Below are some 2014 online security resolutions that I recommend you consider for you own list. They are based on recent SimplySecurity blogs by Trend Micro employees that have been posted over the past few months.

#1– Get or maintain superior security software for your computers and mobile devices that updates regularly and offers more than just antivirus protection, even if one of your know-it-all-relatives says you don’t need it.

#2 – If you used your debit card at a Target store last month, change the PIN number immediately. If you used a credit card, then be sure to monitor your monthly bills and dispute any fraudulent charges that appear.

#3 – Continuously check and adjust, if necessary, your privacy settings on Facebook and limit the number of friends that can see your posts. Also, understand that everything you do on Facebook is not “private.”

#4 – Change the passwords on all your web accounts and make sure each new one is at least 10 characters long with mixture of letters (upper and lower case), numbers, and special characters.

#5 – Start being or continue to be cyber savvy by practicing PIE (Protection, Intuition, and Education).

#6 – Don’t fall for phishing email scams. Be skeptical and assume every message that appears in your inbox could be an attempt to steal your identity.

#7 – Think before you press “Send” or “Post”…Sharing too much can really haunt a person, sometimes years later. It’s good to pause and think about what you are about to share and how it could come back to bite you.

#8 – When shopping online never use a payment method that doesn’t offer fraud protection. Wire transfers and money orders are not recommended for online purchases because you have no way of getting your money back once you’ve sent it.

#9 – Lock your mobile phone with a PIN or security code and set a screen lock time limit so that your device locks itself after a period of inactivity.

#10 – If you have children at home, don’t be afraid to limit their Internet access and monitor their online activity. Be sure to employ the parental controls that should be a feature within your security software like they are with Trend Micro Titanium™ Security.

Have a safe and sensational 2014!
HAD YOU FLU SHOT YET??.................WINTER PARK --
Health officials are officially calling the rise of flu cases an "epidemic" as a strand of H1N1 -- the same type of strain as the so-called "swine flu" that spread nationwide in 2009 -- continues to affect two crucial groups: pregnant women and people under 40 years old.


One day after Brevard County health officials said a woman died from the flu virus just weeks after giving birth to a newborn baby, health centers around Central Florida are reporting more influenza cases, and the latest ones are more severe.


Alex Bryan was the second Brevard County woman to die from the flu in 2014. Doctors said she contracted H1N1 and did not get a flu shot.

Weeks earlier, a woman in her 30s also died from the flu in the same Melbourne hospital.

"Our primary concern is pregnant women, because it seems pregnant woman are seeing more complications, and have a higher risk of ending up in intensive care than non-pregnant women" said Dr. Tim Hendrix, with Florida Hospital Centra Care in Winter Park. "Plus, younger adults seem to be more effected by this virus."

Hendrix said the number of cases in Florida has gone from about 100 cases a week in December to 477 cases this week.


"This is the same virus we saw back in 2009–10," Hendrix said. "The pandemic flu, the 'swine flu,' H1N1."


"Older adults are believed to have some immunity to this strain, whereas younger adults don't have any," said Dain Weister, with the Florida Department of Health in Orange County.


Weister said Orange County does not keep track of flu death rates, but Central Florida is seeing more flu cases, and more severe complications, including bacterial infections, which is what killed Bryan.


"What we are urging, and what we are continuing to urge, is to make sure you get the vaccine," said Weister. "You can still get the vaccine, and it will last you this flu season."

Centra Cares around Central Florida have reported about a 90-minute wait time to see a doctor. At the Centra Care on Lee Road in Winter Park, the wait time was about 2 hours.
The average temperature for the Lower 48 states midmorning Wednesday was a chilly 22 degrees. The average temperature for the entire state of Alaska at the same time was 24 degrees, according to calculations by Weather Bell Analytics meteorologist Ryan Maue.

Parts of Alaska were 30 degrees warmer than normal, southeastern Alaska hit 57 earlier in the week and the forecast for the rest of week was more unseasonable warmth, said National Weather Service climate science manager Rick Thoman in Fairbanks. He said it's possible that the state record January high of 62 could be broken later this week


Link
Middle Tn Forecast... if I wanted to live in MI I would have moved to MI!
Quoting 621. JNTenne:
Middle Tn Forecast... if I wanted to live in MI I would have moved to MI!
gee look at mid next week,man thats cold
Quoting 622. LargoFl:
gee look at mid next week,man thats cold
For sure.. we've been talking to long time residents and they say they can't remember the last winter that was this cold for as many days.. And it's not even February yet...
A but nippy this morning. My outdoor digital thermometer registered 37 and NWS issued Frost/Freeze warnings in inland Miami-Dade earlier this morning.

Quoting 623. JNTenne:
For sure.. we've been talking to long time residents and they say they can't remember the last winter that was this cold for as many days.. And it's not even February yet...
yeah my neighbor this morning said much the same thing FEB can be brutal some years.
Quoting 539. cRRKampen:

Well, looks like extraterrestrial life's messaging us. Where the suns don't warm but cool. Where graphs are pinned to the wall bottom-up.


I am going to get a woodburning stove from this place. In summer I'll throw in some anti-wood fuel and it will ice up and cool the back half
of my house.
Quoting 271. redux:


you are misdirecting my criticism of a bad argument into something that its not.

This topic came up because we were talking about mass shooters. frankly its a lame appeal to emotions, because who could be in favor of more mass shooters?

no offense, but if you are psychopath enough to shoot strangers for no reason whatsoever, you are probably not going to become a rational actor if you think a few people you are trying to kill might be carrying guns.

there was a story a few years back where a vigilante bank employee stopped an armed robbery.

he was fired shortly thereafter.

why? he was trained NOT to do that. there's insurance for a reason. don't get some innocent bystanders killed for money that doesn't even belong to you in case you fail.

at the end of the day, most people will probably choose to not get involved unless they felt their life was in danger. civilians won't stop crime for the sake of stopping crime.






Didn't intend to misdirect but interpreted your response as having a lack of understanding of who carries concealed weapons and why. When it comes to preserving oneself, most humans become rational actors if they think a few people might be carrying guns. Even the Boston bombers ran from the people with guns. Heck, the younger brother finished off his older brother by running him over while trying to run from the people with guns. The only thing that deters an unstable person with a gun is a stable person with a gun. That stable person can be police, military, or a "vigilante"; it does not matter. Guns deter guns and gun-free zones attract them; that was my point.
630. NCstu
I think NC Piedmont is trying to win "most boring weather in the country" award.
Quoting 628. NttyGrtty:


Didn't intend to misdirect but interpreted your response as having a lack of understanding of who carries concealed weapons and why. When it comes to preserving oneself, most humans become rational actors if they think a few people might be carrying guns. Even the Boston bombers ran from the people with guns. Heck, the younger brother finished off his older brother by running him over while trying to run from the people with guns. The only thing that deters an unstable person with a gun is a stable person with a gun. That stable person can be police, military, or a "vigilante"; it does not matter. Guns deter guns and gun-free zones attract them; that was my point.

Why are there about a dozen times as many 'unstable' people as there are in e.g. Holland?
Quoting 607. StormTrackerScott:
All values are now at warm neutral levels.






That's a ridiculously fast warmup in the 3.4 region, as well as a ridiculously fast stop too.
Quoting 623. JNTenne:
For sure.. we've been talking to long time residents and they say they can't remember the last winter that was this cold for as many days.. And it's not even February yet...


1976-77 November-mid Feb
1977-78 Christmas-March.
1989 December

Here in DC it's starting to look alarmingly like the January 1977 pattern
where salt sits uselessly on top of ice and powder, and it's cold but mostly dry. I doubt it will persist as long as the 1977 pattern which
was the whole month of January. We're only in day three now.. looking
at a ten day stretch inclusive of the past two.






Quoting 631. cRRKampen:

Why are there about a dozen times as many 'unstable' people as there are in e.g. Holland?
I have no idea...
Quoting 608. LargoFl:
old man winter isnt playing around this year huh..COLD..


I'm loving it, this is the coldest January since 2009 I believe.


Moisture beginning to work its' way towards that invading colder air mass....
Quoting 631. cRRKampen:

Why are the about a dozen times so many 'unstable' people as there are in e.g. Holland?
Population of Holland is 16.8 Million people compared to the 313.9 Million in the United States. Around 17x the population of Holland. That is possibly one reason among many others. There are an insurmountable amount of variables that go into the amount of mentally ill in any given country.
Quoting 635. CybrTeddy:


I'm loving it, this is the coldest January since 2009 I believe.



You may be loving this. Cold but. CA needs rain. And why the mid W stays. Cold CA stays. Dry. We need this weather pattern too chages. Soon. Two where it's warmer in the mid W and wetter and colder. In CA
Tipping El Ninos harder as Pacific sensor array output 'collapses'


Floating sensors that have predicted extreme weather events for decades and saved lives in the process have been left to "collapse" amid vandalism and US budget cuts.

The United States and Japan set up the Tropical Pacific Observing System - made up of about 70 buoys - after a large El Nino event in 1982-83 caught forecasters unaware. Fourteen years later, the moored devices helped provide warnings of the “super” 1997-98 El Nino almost a year before it hit, probably saving lives and preventing billions of dollars in damage.

But the performance of the moored devices, which take atmospheric readings and monitor conditions down to 500 metres below the sea's surface, has fallen to about 40 per cent since 2012, according to the the climate observation director of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, David Legler.



Read more: Link
Quoting 635. CybrTeddy:


I'm loving it, this is the coldest January since 2009 I believe.



You forgot January 2010. I remember temps getting down to 18 at my house that month.
Quoting 466. Doppler22:
Can anyone make any correlation between this year/winter soo far and 1994?? (as in like 1993-1994 winter)??

Because several people in my state are comparing this year to 1994, and the summer of 1994 was a violent year in regards to Severe Weather in my home state if PA.


Ooh I remember. I was working in the Flourtown, PA Channel Home Center that winter and the entire state nearly ran out of salt.

And the summer - wasn't that the summer where the tornado took out a house and a young family near Limerick? 'cause I was hanging out with a friend near King of Prussia, leaning out the window actually watching the funnel cloud forming as it headed that direction. Horrible tragedy there.

I seem to remember those three years ('91 through '94) being particularly exciting as far as weather events go. July '91 an F0 tornado actually jumped over our new house the day after we made closing, ripped out a 50 foot black walnut in the yard behind ours, and I watched out our front door as it splintered the huge willow across the street. (Like a series of freeze frames - everytime the air cleared enough to see that far there was less and less of the tree.

That was one darned sturdy row of twins, it was. Neighbor two doors down had the dog house he'd just finished building - stick framed, drywall screws and everything - flattened - but the dog's water dish never moved.

I must be getting old. Can I not express an opinion without telling stories? :)
Quoting 631. cRRKampen:

Why are there about a dozen times as many 'unstable' people as there are in e.g. Holland?


That is why they make full auto weapons... And hand grenades. And MOABS if it gets really out of whack.

Quoting 638. Tazmanian:



You may be loving this. Cold but. CA needs rain. And why the mid W stays. Cold CA stays. Dry. We need this weather pattern too chages. Soon. Two where it's warmer in the mid W and wetter and colder. In CA


I like the cold in the SE part of the US, but you need water more than I need the cold.

I'll take moderate weather and rain in California for $200, Alex.
my dog loves the snow!!
Quoting 609. StormTrackerScott:


Largo they keep saying freezes but yet we still haven't had one infact not even close. Last night was a big bust temp wise as even in the Hard Freeze areas temps didn't even hit freezing there. Our low in Orlando was around midnight then temps warmed.

Urban Heat Island effect. Strange too, because near the coast in Daytona Beach we hit an actual low of 31 degrees and there was frost as well.

Link
I remember temps getting down to 24 for me at my house and i got down to 32 at 8:30 PM one night!
Quoting 640. StormTrackerScott:



You forgot January 2010. I remember temps getting down to 18 at my house that month.
Quoting 635. CybrTeddy:


I'm loving it, this is the coldest January since 2009 I believe.

I'm loving this cold, and snow, too. Of course, I'm getting it on a different severity than you are. :P
Quoting 644. hurricanes2018:
my dog loves the snow!!


More like, blends in with snow.

What part of the world is that in H2018?
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting 632. CybrTeddy:


That's a ridiculously fast warmup in the 3.4 region, as well as a ridiculously fast stop too.


Wonder how much the missing bouy data is affecting data/models:

From: Monthly Ocean Briefing


If Atlanta does not get at least 1-2 inches in these cold events I will be furious. All that cold and nothing to show for it. Hopefully early February will get Atlanta some snow.
652. MahFL
Quoting 609. StormTrackerScott:


Largo they keep saying freezes but yet we still haven't had one infact not even close. Last night was a big bust temp wise


Big bust in Orange Park too, was supposed to be low 20's but it only got down to 32.
Quoting 652. MahFL:


Big bust in Orange Park too, was supposed to be low 20's but it only got down to 32.
yes it seems the hard freezes are staying up in oh..levy county northward so far
gfs has it as rain here wens...
i moved back to nc in 2000 from denver co., i remember that epic snowstorm in jan in golf town, i hope we get it again!!! in denver i was there for the -26 low, not real bad ,it is just a different kind of cold, yet, after 14 years back in the south, i still prefer denver weather!!! take care all and stay warm, only 4 more months until the 3 h's kick in[heat, humid hazy] for the next 5
656. josF
Started snowing around 2:15pm here.
325ft NH,VT,mASS border. 36deg.