WunderBlog Archive » Category 6™

Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

Return of the Polar Vortex

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:06 PM GMT on January 21, 2014

It's "The Return of the Polar Vortex" over the much of the eastern half of the U.S. this week, as another round of bitterly cold Arctic air plunges southwards out of Canada. Like many sequels, "The Return of the Polar Vortex" will not be as impressive as the original, with temperatures averaging about ten degrees warmer than during the original Polar Vortex episode earlier this January. Still, with temperatures 15 - 25° colder than average expected over much of the eastern half of the U.S. Tuesday through Thursday, this week's sequel is a respectable cold blast. The cold air is centered over the Upper Midwest, and low temperatures in portions of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan dropped below -20° early Tuesday morning. Crane Lake, Minnesota bottomed out at a bone-chilling -32°F this morning, and Pellston, Michigan hit -25°.

On Wednesday, the cold air spills southeastwards over much of the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and New England, in the wake of Winter Storm Janus. The powerful storm is expected to bring 4 - 8" of snow to Washington D.C. on Tuesday, and 6 - 12" to Philadelphia, New York City, Providence, and Boston, Tuesday night through Wednesday. The most dangerous conditions are expected on Cape Cod, Massachusetts, where 8 - 12" of snow with sustained winds of 20 - 30 mph, gusting to 50 mph are expected. A blizzard warning is posted there.


Figure 1. Lake Erie lies 90% covered in ice on January 9, 2014, after the intense "Polar Vortex" cold air outbreak over eastern North America that week. The cold air brought the Great Lakes their highest ice coverage in 20 years for that time of year. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

What is the Polar Vortex?
It's curious that the media latched on to the term "Polar Vortex" earlier this month. It's a term that has been around for a long time, but is generally not used by meteorologists in their public discussions of weather, since it is a rather technical term. NOAA has this explainer of the Polar Vortex, and TWC meteorologist Stu Ostro also has a nice description in his latest blog post, Polar Vortex, Global Warming, and Cold Weather. A short excerpt here:

Polar Bear on Holiday
Polar Bear on Holiday
Met this fellow enjoying the sun in Santa Caterina. Dont know where his ski equipment is though...
Ice and fog
Ice and fog
At zero degrees, with sun and fog, the bay was a spooky place when the 1,000-foot Edgar Speer arrived in Sturgeon Bay.

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks Doc.7 hours from now will I see joy or disappointment is the big question.
Thanks Dr. Masters


I am telling you Wash, you need Cantore to go to Boston so maybe you get snow and they get a break :p :p
Thanks Dr. Masters !
its starting to snow in new York city
Thank you Dr Masters !

The projected cold temperatures are still rather impressive .
Thanks Dr. As I mentioned a few minutes ago just before this post, we are usually seeing a general west to east cold low pressure system pattern coming in from the Pacific Northwest region that sweeps across Conus during these months; or the Gulf lows that sweep across the Eastern Seaboard.

This year the "bottom fell out" of the US/Canada border and those polar lows-vortexes just push down right into the heart of the Mid-West. This might not be the case if we were in a typical El Nino or La Nina flow pattern so I am wondering how common this type of pattern has been in past Enso neutral winters.
Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 200,000 People

Some of the hardest hit areas, including Hinatuan and Surigao, have received more than 4 feet (1,220 mm) of rain since Jan. 1, with rainfall occurring each day so far this year.............While the southern Philippines have experienced a deluge of rain, Manila in the northern Philippines has recorded no measurable rainfall this month, as of Jan. 21.


Link
Thank you Dr. Jeff Masters.
Update: Snow is starting to come down with a little bit more force, roofs, areas with mulch under trees and grass is starting to get dusted.
All AirTrain JFK service has been suspended. Free shuttle buses are being provided.
Thanks Doc.
Meanwhile in D.C..
Quoting 7. ColoradoBob1:
Four Feet of Rain Floods Philippines, Displaces More Than 200,000 People

Some of the hardest hit areas, including Hinatuan and Surigao, have received more than 4 feet (1,220 mm) of rain since Jan. 1, with rainfall occurring each day so far this year.............While the southern Philippines have experienced a deluge of rain, Manila in the northern Philippines has recorded no measurable rainfall this month, as of Jan. 21.


Link


Fatal floods in France and Italy

Link
Climate175 - Where are you at?
Quoting 12. washingtonian115:
Meanwhile in D.C..
Washi i am not letting you have a Snowquester again , the snow line is quickly coming.
My power source this morning? Arby's fries and Orange Juice :) I am sure I will be able to stay awake for at least another two hours :p
Glad my better half got her flight out of BWI yesterday afternoon rather than the planned departure today.

I'm at work, but the Chief said we probably need to bail before it gets too bad.

Up in Harford County MD, I'll place a dollar on 8" totals. They've got brine down on 95 and 40 with salt/ash at some intersections.

We're set :-)

Oh and the Class 6 is open!


Cincinnati
Quoting 14. PressureDrop:
Climate175 - Where are you at?
Exactly between DC and Baltimore and they are the same distances away from me.
Quoting 20. hydrus:
The USA has a smile.
PennDOT is lowering the speed limit to 45 mph on major roads throughout South Central/ South East Pennsylvania starting at 10 a.m.
Woops :p
Thanks for the updated blog entry Dr. Masters..
Return of the Polar Vortex..
Like a bad re-run it's a blast from the past..
Thank goodness Washi is gonna get hers..
I expect a pic of a Snowman Washi.. :)
Make me jealous.. :)
Cool pic on Lake Erie freezing..
Thanks again..
snow coming soon!!
Quoting 19. Climate175:
Exactly between DC and Baltimore and they are the same distances away from me.


Your day is shaping up to be a fun one. Enjoy!
"We just had a snowflake!!!" -Jim Cantore XD XD
On a lighter note..
Sharing this image..
I found it humorous..
It's not really personal Nea..
Just a photoshop in good fun..



Credit: BaltimoreBrian
It' s going to be interesting around my area on Thursday Night- Friday Morning.
Quoting 28. Doppler22:
"We just had a snowflake!!!" -Jim Cantore XD XD
He's D.C's bad luck charm.
Quoting 25. pcola57:
Thanks for the updated blog entry Dr. Masters..
Return of the Polar Vortex..
Like a bad re-run it's a blast from the past..
Thank goodness Washi is gonna get hers..
I expect a pic of a Snowman Washi.. :)
Make me jealous.. :)
Cool pic on Lake Erie freezing..
Thanks again..
Hopefully 7 hours from now I will be able to go outside and report good snow totals.This snow will last too as temps for most of the week will be below freezing.
Quoting 28. Doppler22:
"We just had a snowflake!!!" -Jim Cantore XD XD


I want a snow flake!
Quoting 32. PressureDrop:


I want a snow flake!
Im sure for certain that the whole area will see some hopefully good accumulations.
All we get here this winter in NW Georgia out of all the Clippers and Arctic outbreaks are.... Busted Pipes.



:-(

Please send us some snow Weather fairy.
Oh...forgot to mention..HIGH UTILITY BILLS.

I-81 in PA
Today's forecast high temperatures for Alaska (yes, that's roughly mid-20s and above for a huge chunk of the state, while only the northernmost tip of the state--where it's been pitch dark for many weeks--stays at or below zero.)

cold

In the meantime, today's forecast highs for the Upper Midwest. The color scale is different from the Alaskan one above, so don't focus on that. Instead, notice that the entire states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa, along with much of several other states, will be colder than Alaska:

cold

This difference is well-illustrated in this image showing today's NH temperature anomalies:

cold

And we might be in for it again in a week or so if the GFS proves true (and look at that Siberian blast, while Alaska and the Arctic [relatively] sizzle):

cold
Quoting 33. Climate175:
Im sure for certain that the whole area will see some hopefully good accumulations.


I will never forget the day a number of years ago when I woke up to my first southern MD blizzard warning with 15+ inches expected. We had flurries the entire day, with a few bands of light snow for a total of 2 inches.

Since then, I've learned to temper my expectations.
Radar indicates that snow has just reached North Western DC.
Quoting 1. washingtonian115:
Thanks Doc.7 hours from now will I see joy or disappointment is the big question.


I am seeing wind driven light snow outside.I see a very small white film on top of cars.
Link

The big NYC
Quoting 42. washingtonian115:
I am seeing wind driven light snow outside.I see a very small white film on top of cars.
wait for wash just a little bit longer
I am starting to get a dusting on the grass and roofs but it is still light.
Only 7 accidents in my county. Hopefully that number stays that low.
Quoting 46. Climate175:
I am starting to get a dusting on the grass and roofs but it is still light.


Same here. It's starting to increase in intensity though, and it has been snowing only 45 minutes. I guess patience is essential in this situation.
Polar Vortex?

Only six months to go before the Equatorial Ebullience comes.

New GFS predicts 10-12 inches for D.C.I'll hold off on that when the storm is done here.That would mean at least 14 inches for my neighborhood.
Quoting 50. washingtonian115:
New GFS predicts 10-12 inches for D.C.I'll hold off on that when the storm is done here.That would mean at least 14 inches for my neighborhood.
Wow! 14-15 for me then.
Link Check this link out to see live snow reports.
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 9:00 AM EST Tuesday 21 January 2014
Condition:Mainly Sunny
Pressure:30.2 inches
Tendency:rising
Visibility:15 miles
Temperature:-5.3°F
Dewpoint:-13.5°F
Humidity:67%
Wind:N 8 mph
Wind Chill: -21
Snow is a dry fluffy type and is being wind-driven across my window i am looking at. I expect it to pick up soon.
Short hello from the German "Polar vortex", lol. Nothing extreme and usually no news unless it happens in a way too warm winter as it has been until now. BTW, the cold temps did not yet reach me near Frankfurt, and models aren't sure when they will and whether they will at all, lol. "Frust statt Frost" (means: frustration instead of frost) is the comment on a German weatherblog :-)

Icy weather system brings subzero temperatures to Germany
EuroNews Video, 21/01 14:58 CET

BBL
Source | GFS / NCEP / US National Weather Service

Date | 2014-01-21 10:00 Local ⇄ UTC

Data | Wind @ Surface + Temp @ Surface

43.77º N, 79.28º W ✕

10º @ 16 km/h

-20.6 ºC

Link
Small flakes coming down pretty heavily now with a coating on the ground,buildings,and cars.
i think i'll not complain about our projected high of 63 today
Quoting 49. MisterPerfect:
Polar Vortex?

Only six months to go before the Equatorial Ebullience comes.



here are the twin vortex's

Link
CWG has "Flurries" in the forecast for Sunday-Monday..A high of 33 is projected..As Nea mentioned another cold shot is coming..Hmmm.
Left to take kids to school 39 and dry.. got halfway to school traveling NE, and it looked like there was smoke swirling on the road.. BAM car shook with the first gust of wind and light snow, been doing that for the last hour now.. LOVE IT! wish more moisture was going to be a part of the coldness but not to be for this part of TN...
Everyone Enjoy and BE SAFE if you have to be out in this!
Checking in from south shore of Long Island NYSDOT yard. I am office worker here. Looks my NYSDOT guys with their plows are already out and pre-treating the roads. Light snow reported, snowfall forecasts of 10-14 inches expected.
Barb
Just checked my deck and it is totally covered. The Grass is turning more and more white.
Quoting 61. washingtonian115:
CWG has "Flurries" in the forecast for Sunday-Monday..A high of 33 is projected..As Nea mentioned another cold shot is coming..Hmmm.


Quoting 63. longislander102:
Checking in from south shore of Long Island NYSDOT yard. I am office worker here. Looks my NYSDOT guys with their plows are already out and pre-treating the roads. Light snow reported, snowfall forecasts of 10-14 inches expected.
Barb
Continue to give updates if you can.Thanks.
Quoting 38. Neapolitan:
Today's forecast high temperatures for Alaska (yes, that's roughly mid-20s and above for a huge chunk of the state, while only the northernmost tip of the state--where it's been pitch dark for many weeks--stays at or below zero.)

cold

In the meantime, today's forecast highs for the Upper Midwest. The color scale is different from the Alaskan one above, so don't focus on that. Instead, notice that the entire states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa, along with much of several other states, will be colder than Alaska:

cold

This difference is well-illustrated in this image showing today's NH temperature anomalies:

cold

And we might be in for it again in a week or so if the GFS proves true (and look at that Siberian blast, while Alaska and the Arctic [relatively] sizzle):

cold
Hope Levi is doing good... anyone hear from them lately?
Checking in from south shore of Long Island NYSDOT yard. I am office worker here. Looks my NYSDOT guys with their plows are already out and pre-treating the roads. Light snow reported, snowfall forecasts of 10-14 inches expected.
Barb




stay warm and may your guys stay safe
PennDOT is working hard on main roads now. I likely won't see my road for hours now :p
Moderate snow band is now heading south according to radar.
No snow yet in southern MD with temp pretty steady at 37 degrees.
Quoting 74. PressureDrop:
No snow yet in southern MD with temp pretty steady at 37 degrees.
It's coming ! Trust me. :)
I-270 @ Clarksburg Rd (MD-121)

Traffic closest to camera is traveling North

its starting to snow here and very cold 18F IN new haven,conn
The Snow Has Begun, and i'm gonna get a lot...

Quoting 58. washingtonian115:
Small flakes coming down pretty heavily now with a coating on the ground,buildings,and cars.


We have about 2 inches to your west, and more coming down all the time. US Rt 50 is tricky, I passed some wrecks on the way here to work and I'm beginning to question my sanity for coming in at all :)
TRMM satellite calculates System 91W's deadly Philippine flooding

The analysis was done for the period from January 10-17, 2014. Extremely high rainfall totals of over 1,168 mm (about 46 inches) for that week were found near northeastern Mindanao

Link
I feel sorry for the first responders going out in weather like this.

Tractor trailer explodes in Adams County, PA
the front just moved through Cedar Key bringing rain, wind, lightning, and ruining a perfectly pleasant morning of 60F. dammit.
I was visiting a physics forum...came across a thread and below found this reply by heir admin and thought.....dang...this could be used here....enjoy!


Welcome to the forums RGK. We generally don't allow these sort of debunking threads, especially on these topics. The type of people you wish to argue with won't listen to your facts anyway, there is already a mountain of evidence they are ignoring so why would one more point hammer it home? This thread will remain locked but please feel free to utilise these forums for learning and discussing scientific subjects you are interested in.

Read more: http://www.physicsforums.com

@BrettAWX: Heavy lake-effect snow band near Gary, Indiana has stopped traffic on section of I- 80/94...

Nearby Airports

New Haven | Overcast | 20 °F
Chester | Light Snow | 21 °F
Meriden | Overcast | 19 °F

Wrong location?


Nearby Weather Stations

Bishops Orchards-Meadow Ridge | 18.3 °F
Orcutt | 21.2 °F
Bishop's Orchards | 21.0 °F
Coating on the ground now. 1 to 2 inches expected by 1pm this afternoon. Still saying storm totals for NYC and Long Island of 10-14 inches by tomorrow morning.
its cold and icy so I think this could be pseudo-relevant to the current blog trend...

Danish Speed Skater gone wild. or.. how not to come in second place..
Link

Big fat flakes now mixing with little flakes, still a coating.

NYC
We've got about three inches so far and they were predicting 4-8. Looks to me like we'll be on the low side of that because the radar is showing clearing to the northwest

Weston, WV
Panic is setting in as I watch a thin rain band approach from the west and fizzle out. I need my meds.

93. josF
Clousey,25deg,no snow yet. NWmASS,VT-NH border. 325ft altitude.
Peace.
I'm seeing on facebook there are some NWS downgrading their totals for the midatlantic and the 12z GFS is coming in lower than expected..

models..smodels..just like hurricane season..
Just came across this wind map online.. it is an animation which looks way cool..
Link
Quoting 95. JNTenne:
Just came across this wind map online.. it is an animation which looks way cool..
Link

You should ♥ the updated global one you can flip around, zoom in & out.. now with temps:)
Quoting 90. MsZola:
We've got about three inches so far and they were predicting 4-8. Looks to me like we'll be on the low side of that because the radar is showing clearing to the northwest

Weston, WV


Keep on clearing, keep on clearing...
Quoting 94. ncstorm:
I'm seeing on facebook there are some NWS downgrading their totals for the midatlantic and the 12z GFS is coming in lower than expected..

models..smodels..just like hurricane season..


Ncstorm - go see Pcroton's blog - post 219
Quoting 98. air360:


Ncstorm - go see Pcroton's blog - post 219


thanks thats reassuring..bad time for the model though to underperform..we'll see what happens :)
Snow coming down extremely heavy here in Baltimore. The wind is roaring. Starting to FINALLY stick to roads and sidewalks. This is the beginning umph it needed to do so :)

Maybe we will get that foot after all, huh?
Quoting 100. weatherbow:
Snow coming down extremely heavy here in Baltimore. The wind is roaring. Starting to FINALLY stick to roads and sidewalks. This is the beginning umph it needed to do so :)

Maybe we will get that foot after all, huh?
Still a dusting here and i can see the grass LOL
Holy cow...Not trying to change the subject but I just randomly took a look at the Euro from 0Z. Did anyone notice the huge snowstorm for eastern NC at the end of the month (next week). Now only if THAT verifies!
Quoting 96. Skyepony:

You should ♥ the updated global one you can flip around, zoom in & out.. now with temps:)
Wow.. put some smooth jazz on and you can just watch that for days...
104. rpk6
With another outbreak of cold weather, I expect some loopy climate scientist to connect it to global warming.
Quoting 102. air360:
Holy cow...Not trying to change the subject but I just randomly took a look at the Euro from 0Z. Did anyone notice the huge snowstorm for eastern NC at the end of the month (next week). Now only if THAT verifies!


can you post that?? pretty please for another NC'ian
106. jpsb
Quoting 38. Neapolitan:

And we might be in for it again in a week or so if the GFS proves true (and look at that Siberian blast, while Alaska and the Arctic [relatively] sizzle):



Check this guy out Neo, he's been forecasting more cold in the eastern USA for some time now.



Blizzard From Washington, DC to Boston on Tuesday and Wednesday Becomes More Likely
107. jpsb
Quoting 55. Climate175:
Snow is a dry fluffy type and is being wind-driven across my window i am looking at. I expect it to pick up soon.
Expect big snow drifts in that case.
light snow at my house in new haven,conn
Quoting 105. ncstorm:


can you post that?? pretty please for another NC'ian


I tried to send you a pm but it says you are not accepting any...
Quoting 78. JTDailyUpdate:
The Snow Has Begun, and i'm gonna get a lot...

I'm right in the middle of the 10-14 band, in the inner Philly burbs. It's been snowing steadily for a couple of hours and the heavy stuff still isn't here yet.
Quoting 105. ncstorm:


can you post that?? pretty please for another NC'ian



Looks like the pattern is locked and loaded for Gulf storms coming across FL and up the eastern seaboard.


Nearby Airports noon time

New Haven | Light Snow | 18 °F
Chester | Light Snow | 19 °F
Meriden | Light Snow | 18 °F


Bishops Orchards-Meadow Ridge | 17.1 °F
Orcutt | 19.8 °F
Bishop's Orchards | 20.3 °F
Link

all around us but not quite there...
Hey all. Been a little while since I posted, but now something is happening. Winds gusting to about 15 mph with snow falling. Perhaps half an inch now. I'm two miles from the coast in an area predicted to receive 10-14". I'm plenty excited to see how this plays out. Everyone enjoy and be safe!
So what do you guys think about the chances of wintry precip over the course of Thursday and Friday along the Gulf Coast? I don't wanna get my hopes up, but given the temperatures, it seems fusible.
Quoting 95. JNTenne:
Just came across this wind map online.. it is an animation which looks way cool..
Link


thats cool...thanks
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR MIDWEST TO EASTERN U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014


Excerpt:

THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW YORK. HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 20 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...THE DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES.





Super Brrrrrr... ?
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR MIDWEST TO EASTERN U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEASTERN STATES...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL
MASSACHUSETTS.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...AND THE EAST COAST STATES FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO
MASSACHUSETTS.

WIND CHILL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
MIDWEST...AS WELL AS FOR PORTIONS OF THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...MID-ATLANTIC...NORTHEAST...AND APPALACHIANS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM EST...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003
MB...29.62 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.
ANOTHER DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002
MB...29.59 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER WEST CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
ALONG A STATIONARY POLAR FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE GULF COAST.
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...ANOTHER COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS...EXTENDED FROM THE PENNSYLVANIA/MARYLAND
BORDER ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WAS
ALSO FALLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND FROM THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. A FEW
ISOLATED LOCATIONS WERE REPORTING HEAVY SNOW.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG
THE MID-ATLANTIC COASTLINE. THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD...USHERING A BITTERLY COLD AIR MASS INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ACROSS
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATE THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 9
INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW YORK. HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 12
TO 20 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...THE DEEPENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. THESE WINDS WILL
RESULT IN BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO IN SOME CASES...AS
WELL AS REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF COASTAL NEW ENGLAND THIS
EVENING...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM EST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
Our Australian "landcane" beauty:



Monsoon low over northwestern Australia
CIMSS Satellite Blog, January 21st, 2014

McIDAS images of MTSAT-2 daytime 0.675 µm visible channel data and night-time 10.8 µm IR channel data (above; click image to play animation; also available as an MP4 animation) showed a monsoon low which exhibited a well-defined circulation for several days as it slowly tracked southwestward across the northwestern portion of Australia during the 15-21 January 2014 time period. ...

More see link above.
Quoting 111. StormTrackerScott:





thanks Scott
Anybody know when the really heavy snow is expected for Baltimore/Washington? It seems as if it has begun to really taper off, and it looks like a lot less than the last snowfall we had so far. Still really windy though.
Quoting 109. air360:


I tried to send you a pm but it says you are not accepting any...


Scott posted it for me..thanks
This is near where we are. Not expecting too much snow thankfully.


Issued by The National Weather Service
Binghamton, NY
Tue, Jan 21, 2014, 11:49 AM EST
Local Temperature Map
Updated Jan 21, 2014, 12:05pm EST


... WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND CHILL READINGS... AS LOW AS 22 BELOW.

* WINDS... NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES... 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR MIDWEST TO EASTERN U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEASTERN STATES...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL
MASSACHUSETTS.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...AND THE EAST COAST STATES FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO
MASSACHUSETTS.

WIND CHILL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
MIDWEST...AS WELL AS FOR PORTIONS OF THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...MID-ATLANTIC...NORTHEAST...AND APPALACHIANS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM EST...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003
MB...29.62 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.
ANOTHER DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002
MB...29.59 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER WEST CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
ALONG A STATIONARY POLAR FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE GULF COAST.
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...ANOTHER COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS...EXTENDED FROM THE PENNSYLVANIA/MARYLAND
BORDER ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WAS
ALSO FALLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND FROM THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. A FEW
ISOLATED LOCATIONS WERE REPORTING HEAVY SNOW.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM EST MON JAN
20 THROUGH 900 AM EST TUE JAN 21...

...ILLINOIS...
OAK PARK 1.3 NNE 8.5
GLENVIEW 0.9 SW 7.5
LINCOLNWOOD 1.8 E 7.3
MIDWAY AIRPORT 3 SW 7.2
NORTHBROOK 6.6
HIGHLAND PARK 6.5
ROGERS PARK 6.5
OHARE AIRPORT 5.9
HIGHWOOD 5.1
SKOKIE 2 SW 4.5
PARK FOREST 4.0
ALTONA 3.3
LINCOLN 1 E 3.1
PEORIA 2.7

...INDIANA...
CHARLESTOWN 6.0
HANOVER 6.0
MADISON 5.0
AUSTIN 4.5
FLOYDS KNOBS 3 N 4.5
NEW SALEM 1.4 SSE 4.4
MOORES HILL 6 SSE 4.0
NEW CASTLE 2 SW 4.0
SCOTTSBURG 4.0
MARTINSBURG 3.5
LAWRENCEBURG 3 WNW 3.0
SHELBYVILLE 1 SSW 3.0

...KENTUCKY...
BEDFORD 5.0
GLENCOE 2.4 NW 5.0
PEWEE VALLEY 4.0
UNION 4.0
LOUISVILLE 7 NE 3.0
MAYSVILLE 2.7
GEORGETOWN 2.4

...MARYLAND...
OAKLAND 4.0

...MICHIGAN...
MUNISING 6.3
NAWAKWA LAKE 2 SSE 4.6

...OHIO...
GEORGETOWN 1 ESE 4.0
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 3.4
AMELIA 2 NW 3.0
LUCASVILLE 1 SSE 2.5
PORTSMOUTH 2.5
CHEVIOT 1 WSW 2.3
GENNTOWN 3 SSE 2.2
URBANA 1 W 2.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 2.4

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BARTOW 1 ESE 3.0
KLINE GAP 2 NE 3.0
FAIRMONT 2.0
MAXWELTON 2.0
MIDDLEBOURNE 3 ESE 2.0


THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG
THE MID-ATLANTIC COASTLINE. THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD...USHERING A BITTERLY COLD AIR MASS INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ACROSS
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATE THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 9
INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW YORK. HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 12
TO 20 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...THE DEEPENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. THESE WINDS WILL
RESULT IN BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO IN SOME CASES...AS
WELL AS REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF COASTAL NEW ENGLAND THIS
EVENING...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM EST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

RYAN
Rains up in the nature coast already.............
Quoting 125. Grothar:
This is near where we are. Not expecting too much snow thankfully.


Issued by The National Weather Service
Binghamton, NY
Tue, Jan 21, 2014, 11:49 AM EST
Local Temperature Map
Updated Jan 21, 2014, 12:05pm EST


... WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* WIND CHILL READINGS... AS LOW AS 22 BELOW.

* WINDS... NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES... 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


GFS just after midnight tonight..............
Quoting 126. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR MIDWEST TO EASTERN U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEASTERN STATES...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL
MASSACHUSETTS.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...AND THE EAST COAST STATES FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO
MASSACHUSETTS.

WIND CHILL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
MIDWEST...AS WELL AS FOR PORTIONS OF THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...MID-ATLANTIC...NORTHEAST...AND APPALACHIANS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM EST...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003
MB...29.62 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.
ANOTHER DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002
MB...29.59 INCHES...WAS CENTERED OVER WEST CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
ALONG A STATIONARY POLAR FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE GULF COAST.
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...ANOTHER COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS...EXTENDED FROM THE PENNSYLVANIA/MARYLAND
BORDER ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD
ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WAS
ALSO FALLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND FROM THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. A FEW
ISOLATED LOCATIONS WERE REPORTING HEAVY SNOW.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM EST MON JAN
20 THROUGH 900 AM EST TUE JAN 21...

...ILLINOIS...
OAK PARK 1.3 NNE 8.5
GLENVIEW 0.9 SW 7.5
LINCOLNWOOD 1.8 E 7.3
MIDWAY AIRPORT 3 SW 7.2
NORTHBROOK 6.6
HIGHLAND PARK 6.5
ROGERS PARK 6.5
OHARE AIRPORT 5.9
HIGHWOOD 5.1
SKOKIE 2 SW 4.5
PARK FOREST 4.0
ALTONA 3.3
LINCOLN 1 E 3.1
PEORIA 2.7

...INDIANA...
CHARLESTOWN 6.0
HANOVER 6.0
MADISON 5.0
AUSTIN 4.5
FLOYDS KNOBS 3 N 4.5
NEW SALEM 1.4 SSE 4.4
MOORES HILL 6 SSE 4.0
NEW CASTLE 2 SW 4.0
SCOTTSBURG 4.0
MARTINSBURG 3.5
LAWRENCEBURG 3 WNW 3.0
SHELBYVILLE 1 SSW 3.0

...KENTUCKY...
BEDFORD 5.0
GLENCOE 2.4 NW 5.0
PEWEE VALLEY 4.0
UNION 4.0
LOUISVILLE 7 NE 3.0
MAYSVILLE 2.7
GEORGETOWN 2.4

...MARYLAND...
OAKLAND 4.0

...MICHIGAN...
MUNISING 6.3
NAWAKWA LAKE 2 SSE 4.6

...OHIO...
GEORGETOWN 1 ESE 4.0
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE 3.4
AMELIA 2 NW 3.0
LUCASVILLE 1 SSE 2.5
PORTSMOUTH 2.5
CHEVIOT 1 WSW 2.3
GENNTOWN 3 SSE 2.2
URBANA 1 W 2.0

...PENNSYLVANIA...
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW 2.4

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BARTOW 1 ESE 3.0
KLINE GAP 2 NE 3.0
FAIRMONT 2.0
MAXWELTON 2.0
MIDDLEBOURNE 3 ESE 2.0


THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ALONG
THE MID-ATLANTIC COASTLINE. THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD...USHERING A BITTERLY COLD AIR MASS INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND AND INTENSIFY
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ACROSS
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES LATE THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 9
INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW YORK. HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 12
TO 20 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...THE DEEPENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. THESE WINDS WILL
RESULT IN BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO IN SOME CASES...AS
WELL AS REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF COASTAL NEW ENGLAND THIS
EVENING...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM EST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

RYAN

Just saw that. Would not be surprised if the blizzard warnings get extended back well into Long Island, if not further. Everything about this storm is trending badly.
Jus use what we learned in Tromso in 84 Gro, you should be OK, well, save for the Low Flying Air Cover.

GFS at noon tomorrow...wow what a storm up there huh..
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1011 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

DCZ001-MDZ004>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ040-042-051> 054-501-502-
212315-
/O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140122T0400Z/
/O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0005.140121T2300Z-140122T1700Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-
HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-
ANNE ARUNDEL-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...
GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS.. .LEESBURG...
CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...
FALLS CHURCH...WARRENTON
1011 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

* WIND CHILL...BETWEEN 5 AND 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE TEENS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO
BELOW ONE-HALF MILE AT TIMES. TRAVELING WILL BECOME DANGEROUS
TODAY. SIGNIFICANT IMPACT IS EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COMMUTE. DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR FROST BITE ON
EXPOSED SKIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP A BLANKET...AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

Wash? Climate? Snow totals so far at your place?
Blizzard Warning

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
919 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING......
HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

MAZ019-021>024-212230-
/O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0002.140122T0000Z-140122T1800Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
919 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL PLYMOUTH COUNTY IN MASSACHUSETTS...AS WELL
AS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES.

* TIMING...FROM MIDDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS WILL CAUSE VISIBILITIES TO DROP TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR WITH
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS MAY
BECOME LOST OR DISORIENTED...SO PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE
ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS.

&&

$$
$$

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1001 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT FOLLOWED
IMMEDIATELY BY BITTERLY COLD AIR...

.A FAST MOVING BUT POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO OUR
ENTIRE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. AS THE STORM STRENGTHENS TO
OUR EAST LATER TODAY...THE WINDS WILL INCREASE RESULTING IN AREAS
OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. AS THE STORM CONTINUES TO EXIT...
BITTERLY COLD AIR WILL QUICKLY SETTLE IN TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ012>020-022-025>027-PAZ070-0 71-102-104-106-
212315-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140122T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.WC.Y.0004.140122T0600Z-140122T1600Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOY LESTOWN
1001 AM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL FALL AT RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR FOR
THE DURATION OF THE AFTERNOON. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
SHIFT INTO NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE DURING THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
PERIODS OF VERY LOW VISIBILITY. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW WILL DEVELOP ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING RUSH HOUR WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED.
THE MORNING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE AFFECTED BY DRIFTING SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S INTO THE TEENS.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 10 BELOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL GREATLY REDUCE THE
VISIBILITY ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SNOW BLOWING BACK ONTO
PREVIOUSLY PLOWED ROADWAYS. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$
20" of snow reported in Griffith, Indiana due to extreme lake-effect snow.
Global Analysis - December 2013

The average combined global land and ocean surface temperature for December 2013 was the third highest for December since records began in 1880, at 0.64°C (1.15°F) above the 20th century average of 12.2°C (54.0°F).

Official totals thus far (and it definitely does seem to be winding down, snowwise)

Full pic


Zoomed in on ruler. (5 inches exactly)


Although I do think this pic is more important:



Feel free to share the above pic, it updates at 1am EST every day.
2-3" at my location (Nassau/Suffolk border Long Island). Snow is moderate to heavy.
Quoting 132. LargoFl:
GFS at noon tomorrow...wow what a storm up there huh..
Interesting. Just watched a lcoal TV weathercast and their model had the snow in the Philly pretty much tapered off by midnight. The GFS shows the storm still cranked up around midnight and still dumping snow here at 24 hours. Even the TV station model now has 9-16 inches. If the GFS holds true, we could be looking at over 20 inches. Yuck.
Quoting 143. Doppler22:
20" of snow reported in Griffith, Indiana due to extreme lake-effect snow.
the way they expect this storm to intesify later today we must remember nws usually tends to be conservative on snowfall amounts..would not surprise me to see places getting almost 2 feet,especially with winds blowing so hard up there..it all depends on how strong the sytem does get and just how long it takes to get off the coast..gfs still has it snoiwing tomorrow morning wow..
Quoting 147. AGWcreationists:
Interesting. Just watched a lcoal TV weathercast and their model had the snow in the Philly pretty much tapered off by midnight. The GFS shows the storm still cranked up around midnight and still dumping snow here at 24 hours. Even their model now has 9-16 inches. If the GFS holds true, we could be looking at over 20 inches. Yuck.
yes folks up there really need to pay attention to this storm alright,we'll see later just how strong it does get huh..stay safe up there..im hoping NO power outages,doesnt take much to start dropping tree branches on power lines huh..
Quoting 148. LargoFl:
the way they expect this storm to intesify later today we must remember nws usually tends to be conservative on snowfall amounts..would not surprise me to see places getting almost 2 feet,especially with winds blowing so hard up there..it all depends on how strong the sytem does get and just how long it takes to get off the coast..gfs still has it snoiwing tomorrow morning wow..


I think you may be right, the Winter Storm Warning from my local NWS office (Mt Holly) has snowfall accumulations between 8 and 12 inches for my area, yet the Snow Total Range forecast is predicting between 10 to 14 inches of snow for my area


Another Cold Blast For Eastern U.S.

Another cold Winter storm will produce several inches of snow for much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through Wednesday morning, where upwards of a foot of new snow is possible. Cold air behind the storm will send temperatures dropping into the single digits.Winter Storm Janus Forecast
and THURSDAY MORE snow.........................
img src="">

Only 24 hours to go. Long Island
and AGAIN another snow storm SUNDAY...OMG
Quoting 149. LargoFl:
yes folks up there really need to pay attention to this storm alright,we'll see later just how strong it does get huh..stay safe up there..im hoping NO power outages,doesnt take much to start dropping tree branches on power lines huh..
The good thing about this storm is that it is cold. Usually big storms here are close to freezing and the snow is wet and heavy (the January 1996 storm and 2003 President's Day storm being notable exceptions).

The snow should not pile up too much on branches before the wind blows it off.

However, road effects will be prolonged as the dry snow will continue to blow around well after the storm is done. And soon it will be too cold for salt to be effective, all the way thru Thursday morning.

I figure I'll be working from home again tomorrow. The local transit agency SEPTA has train trouble in the snow, it shorts out vital systems. Imagine that - Philly trains that have a hard time with snow. Who made that purchase decision? 50 cars were out of commission the last snowstorm.
Quoting 155. LargoFl:
and AGAIN another snow storm SUNDAY...OMG
Ungh...
Quoting 141. Patrap:
Dang, looks like thundersnow is running along I-95, with a batch down in Delaware County coming my way soon.
Thanks for the New Post Dr. Masters,

Rhinelander, Wisconsin (Airport)
Updated: 11:53 AM CST on January 21, 2014
Clear
-3 °F/-19.44 °C
Clear
Windchill: -15 °F/-26.11 °C
Humidity: 65%
Dew Point: -12 °F/24.44 °C

Wind: 6 mph from the West
Pressure: 30.32 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

67.9F at my place


Snow in Louisiana in 2008, could we see it again Thursday Night- Friday Morning?
I don't mind another snow event Sunday.
Link
well here in florida we are awaiting this strong cold front too,supposed to drop us down 20 degree's or so..just had a rain shower so its getting closer to me, nice outside right now and kinda warm,maybe close to 69-70..and suns out
165. wxmod
China's air pollution is venting out and traveling across the Pacific. I hope you quit buying Chinese soon as your parents will probably die from asphyxiation, heart attacks, strokes or asthma soon if you don't. MODIS satellite image.

Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 1:00 PM EST Tuesday 21 January 2014
Condition:Mainly Sunny
Pressure:30.2 inches
Tendency:falling
Visibility:15 miles
Temperature:0.5°F
Dewpoint:-11.7°F
Humidity:56%
Wind:N 9 gust 18 mph
Wind Chill: -14
81.6 inside the apartment

6 boiler's running 20 psi over 160 c
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1127 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-57 5-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-22 0530-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1127 AM CST TUE JAN 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTS RANGING FROM
30 TO 40 KNOTS. SEAS WILL ALSO PEAK AROUND 8 FEET IN THE OUTER
WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE OPEN WATERS.

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE LAND AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
ARE LIKELY FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM MCCOMB
TO LAPLACE TO HOUMA. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS
AREA.

FINALLY WITH MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THIS
MORNINGS COLD FRONT FREEZING CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
DROP BELOW FREEZING DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS FOR AREAS ALONG
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WOODVILLE TO HAMMOND TO SLIDELL. THIS
INCLUDES COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. LOWS IN THESE AREAS WEDNESDAY
MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 21 TO 25. WITH LOWS BELOW 26 AND FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR 6 TO 12 HOURS A HARD FREEZE WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED.

A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE
PARISHES. THE FREEZE WARNING WILL INCLUDE BOTH THE NEW ORLEANS AND
HOUMA AREAS. BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES OF BETWEEN 28 AND 32
DEGREES ARE EXPECTED FOR 3 TO 4 HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY. WINDY
CONDITIONS OFFSHORE ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD HAZARDOUS WAVE ACTION
FOR SMALL CRAFT THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

VERY COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT COULD PRODUCE
ANOTHER HARD FREEZE OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND BORDERING
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT LIGHT PRECIPITATION
COULD LINGER INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS...COINCIDENTAL WITH THESE
COLD TEMPERATURES. THERE ARE STILL LARGE UNCERTAINTIES IN THIS
FORECAST RANGING FROM DRY WEATHER TO THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SNOW
OR FLURRIES FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. GIVEN THE
OVERALL UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE...THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANY WINTRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

32
170. wxmod
Quoting 161. washingtonian115:
I don't mind another snow event Sunday.
Link


That's because you don't pay for the damage or do the cleanup.
Quoting 167. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
81.6 inside the apartment

boiler is running 20 psi over 160 c
LOL keeper..stay indoors
81.6 inside the apartment


grab the speedos....some suntan lotion...layout by the couch and grab some rays
173. wxmod
Quoting 167. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
81.6 inside the apartment

boiler is running 20 psi over 160 c


Sound's like you are heavily contributing to global warming.
cold front approaching

cold front approaching



what...you gonna drop to mid 60's :-)
Quoting 173. wxmod:


Sound's like you are heavily contributing to global warming.
water boiler just use natural gas to heat the water about 20,000 dollars worth for the month
heavy snow coming soon
Heaviest snow band on radar over us now, and it's coming down like crazy.
for south florida..................
Quoting 170. wxmod:


That's because you don't pay for the damage or do the cleanup.
Sigh..Another one of you ignorant people coming for my throat with out even asking me in a polite way.I despise people like you.I was talking about a minor snow event where the snow doesn't stick.More like conversational snow.so STHU and leave me alone.Thanks!.Tigerose is once again hiding and couldn't wait for some one to come for me again xD #downer,
Special Weather Statement

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1229 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>022-026-027-PAZ070-071-102-1 04-106-211930-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CECIL MD-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE PA-EASTERN CHESTER PA-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-LOWER BUCKS PA-MERCER NJ-
MIDDLESEX NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1229 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...DANGEROUS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...MON MOUTH...NORTH
CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...NORTHEASTERN CECIL...NORTHERN NEW
CASTLE...NORTHERN OCEAN...NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC...PHILADELPHIA...SALEM...SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS...SOUTHEASTERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHERN CHESTER...SOUTHERN MERCER AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

AT 1220 PM EST...A DANGEROUS BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WAS ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 95 AND 295 CORRIDORS AND IS SHOWING LITTLE MOVEMENT.
SNOWFALL RATES HAVE INCREASED TO 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR UNDER THIS
BAND. THIS DANGEROUS BAND IS SHOWING LITTLE MOVEMENT.

EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS RAPIDLY
ACCUMULATING BAND. CONSIDER DELAYING ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL.

LAT...LON 4023 7414 4016 7409 4019 7400 3990 7407
3938 7529 3960 7540 3987 7477 3998 7483
3971 7545 3960 7541 3955 7552 3959 7555
3952 7558 3974 7595 4019 7499 4046 7422
4042 7402 4046 7401 4045 7396 4031 7396

$$

Wash, snow totals?
Quoting 179. LargoFl:



east coast system

Date | 2014-01-22 04:00 am Local ⇄ UTC

Data | Wind @ 850 hPa + Temp @ 850 hPa


Link
Quoting 186. Doppler22:
Wash, snow totals?
I have 2 inches...Kinda hard though because the snow is blowing.If it wasn't we could have had 3 in place by snow.It's coming down heavy now.
Quoting 187. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



east coast system

Date | 2014-01-22 04:00 am Local ⇄ UTC

Data | Wind @ 850 hPa + Temp @ 850 hPa


Link
wow what an aamzing pic there keeper
Quoting 188. washingtonian115:
I have 2 inches...Kinda hard though because the snow is blowing.If it wasn't we could have had 3 in place by snow.It's coming down heavy now.

Yeah it is hard. Last time I measured I had 4" but that was an hour ago. So might have more. It isn't coming down as hard as it was earlier but I was told that it is going to start back up again as the storms transfer energy.
BBL stay warm out there..................
Heavy snow banding on south shore of Long Island. I wonder if our forecast of 10-14 inches will hold or if they will have to up the totals. Visibility is about a 1/4 mile with blowing and heavy snow falling.
barb
Quoting 190. Doppler22:

Yeah it is hard. Last time I measured I had 4" but that was an hour ago. So might have more. It isn't coming down as hard as it was earlier but I was told that it is going to start back up again as the storms transfer energy.

Yes.NWS expects the heaviest bands late this afternoon and early this evening.
KJFK 211834Z 36019G24KT 1/4SM R04R/1600V2800FT +SN BLSN VV005 M08/M11 A2990 RMK AO2 P0002 $

Snow, Blowing Snow, Low Ceiling. NY hits the Jackpot again. Wish I was there. Love blizzards.

Quoting 192. longislander102:
Heavy snow banding on south shore of Long Island. I wonder if our forecast of 10-14 inches will hold or if they will have to up the totals. Visibility is about a 1/4 mile with blowing and heavy snow falling.
barb


I can confirm this.
Quoting 193. washingtonian115:

Yes.NWS expects the heaviest bands late this afternoon and early this evening.

I just think its funny how the heaviest snow has apparently not occurred yet.
Quoting 185. LargoFl:
Special Weather Statement

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1229 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>022-026-027-PAZ070-071-102-1 04-106-211930-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CECIL MD-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE PA-EASTERN CHESTER PA-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-LOWER BUCKS PA-MERCER NJ-
MIDDLESEX NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1229 PM EST TUE JAN 21 2014

...DANGEROUS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT
BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...MON MOUTH...NORTH
CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...NORTHEASTERN CECIL...NORTHERN NEW
CASTLE...NORTHERN OCEAN...NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC...PHILADELPHIA...SALEM...SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS...SOUTHEASTERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHERN CHESTER...SOUTHERN MERCER AND SOUTHERN
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

AT 1220 PM EST...A DANGEROUS BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WAS ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 95 AND 295 CORRIDORS AND IS SHOWING LITTLE MOVEMENT.
SNOWFALL RATES HAVE INCREASED TO 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR UNDER THIS
BAND. THIS DANGEROUS BAND IS SHOWING LITTLE MOVEMENT.

EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS RAPIDLY
ACCUMULATING BAND. CONSIDER DELAYING ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL.

LAT...LON 4023 7414 4016 7409 4019 7400 3990 7407
3938 7529 3960 7540 3987 7477 3998 7483
3971 7545 3960 7541 3955 7552 3959 7555
3952 7558 3974 7595 4019 7499 4046 7422
4042 7402 4046 7401 4045 7396 4031 7396

$$



Just drove through it. Real bad.

The forecast timing for this storm isn't exactly panning out well. The thinking was that the worst conditions would not occur until later this afternoon. Now we have this intense band just sitting over I-95 Philly metro just as jobsites and schools let out early. As a result the traffic is horrendous. Many reports of gridlock.

Franklin Institute Weather Cam, Philadelphia:


Quoting 196. Doppler22:

I just think its funny how the heaviest snow has apparently not occurred yet.
The arctic front is not behaving like originally thought.It was suppose to come through earlier.Ah well it's nature :).I'm glad winter is here though.
Quoting 173. wxmod:


Sound's like you are heavily contributing to global warming.


Not attacking you, but it is cold where Keep is at. If I lived in Canada in an apartment building with 6 furnaces I would want them running to keep me warm as I am SURE you would like as well.
Don't let the detractors get you down Washingtonian 115. I've lurked this site for many years for information and seldom post. I enjoy your inputs and would hate to lose you because you finally get fed up with others. We've lost too many good ones here over the years because of this. Hope you are enjoying your snow! Me, another hard freeze warning for the Mississippi Gulf Coast tonight. Better cover the roses when I get off work.
Quoting 197. wxgeek723:


Just drove through it. Real bad.

The forecast timing for this storm isn't exactly panning out well. The thinking was that the worst conditions would not occur until later this afternoon. Now we have this intense band just sitting over I-95 Philly metro just as jobsites and schools let out early. As a result the traffic is horrendous. Many reports of gridlock.

Franklin Institute Weather Cam, Philadelphia:


5-6 inches so far in Cheltenham Township. I-95 has some serious snow problems.
I have about 2 inches here but it is really hard to tell due to the blowing of the winds.
Quoting 200. BILOXIPAT13:
Don't let the detractors get you down Washingtonian 115. I've lurked this site for many years for information and seldom post. I enjoy your inputs and would hate to lose you because you finally get fed up with others. We've lost too many good ones here over the years because of this. Hope you are enjoying your snow! Me, another hard freeze warning for the Mississippi Gulf Coast tonight. Better cover the roses when I get off work.
Awww thanks :) (blushes).Thankfully I have good blogging buddies.I'am enjoying the snow for sure!.It's blowing but not blizzard like.Really beautiful to watch.I have beef stew on the stove which is perfect for days like this!.
Well, it was snowing hard here for few minutes, but the ground was too warm. NWS GSP lowered their forecast amounts for UNCA from inch to trace... very disappointing!
Delaware declares state of emergency due to severe weather
Quoting 205. Doppler22:
Delaware declares state of emergency due to severe weather
I think they'll have it worse over there than here in land.NAM has been advertising blizzard like conditions for them on the past few runs.Well for pretty much anyone on the coast.
207. flsky
Quoting 180. AGWcreationists:
Heaviest snow band on radar over us now, and it's coming down like crazy.

Please tell us your location when posting this kind of info. Thanks.
Quoting 206. washingtonian115:
I think they'll have it worse over there than here in land.NAM has been advertising blizzard like conditions for them on the past few runs.Well for pretty much anyone on the coast.
I am telling you things are going to be bad and go downhill tonight! Can not wait.
Quoting 207. flsky:

Please tell us your location when posting this kind of info. Thanks.

Cheltenham Township, PA. Just north of Philly in Montgomery County.

It's tapered off some now. But we have 5-6 inches so far and the storm's just getting started.
Quoting 208. Climate175:
I am telling you things are going to be bad and go downhill tonight! Can not wait.
Not many people are out on the roads except for the brave and adventurous type.I have seen people get their tires caught and have a hard time but thankfully no accidents.The road is competely snow covered.
Another snow event to watch next Sunday.
Quoting 78. JTDailyUpdate:
The Snow Has Begun, and i'm gonna get a lot...


I don't know why I'm torturing myself reading this.

(Atlantic City High School Class of '81, currently living with goats in the Lahontan Basin, Nevada)

Actually I'd love to see (still torturing myself) if there are any reports from AC. Still have fond memories of '77/78 winter.
Snow has come down heaviest in the last hour. At least an inch or inch and a half have come down since around 1:30pm. And this isn't the heaviest? I'm not complaining...
Quoting 210. washingtonian115:
Not many people are out on the roads except for the brave and adventurous type.I have seen people get their tires caught and have a hard time but thankfully no accidents.The road is competely snow covered.
The snow is coming down in buckets now here with this band it is near a white out here!
Quoting 211. Climate175:
Another snow event to watch next Sunday.
Yeah Henry Margasity thinks it will be similar to this event.He thinks "Deja vu" is possible.
time for some weather headlines.....


Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter says all city schools will be closed Wednesday due to the snow - @NBCPhiladelphia
Delaware declares state of emergency due to severe weather - @NBCPhiladelphia
Up to 6 inches of snow reported in parts of the Philadelphia area - @TWCBreaking
Apparently the coastal low has not even cranked up yet is that true ?
NASA study: 2013 was 7th hottest year since 1880 - @latimes
20 inches of snow reported in Griffith, Ind., due to extreme lake-effect snow following winter storm now hitting East Coast - @TWCBreaking
All commercial flights scheduled to depart from Long Island MacArthur Airport after 3:15 p.m. ET have been canceled - @LIMacArthur

DC
2,747 flights canceled nationwide due to severe weather; 1,209 flights delayed - @flightaware via @NBCNews
Quoting 219. Climate175:
Apparently the coastal low has not even cranked up yet is that true ?
It's just getting started according to Gary McdGrady.
Due to the snow, President Obama's meeting with his Commission on Election Administration postponed; White House press briefing also canceled - @markknoller


Buoy apprx 100 miles off the coast near the Virginia/North Carolina border
Organizers cancel New Jersey Gov. Christie's inauguration party, to be held on Ellis Island, due to weather - @NBCNews
Outside my house right now...

Question, does anyone know the accuracy of the WPC Winter Weather Forecast with their chances of getting a certain amount of snow/freezing rain?
well some of yall to the north got snow while I have possible thunderstorms approaching and possible snow showers after 8 pm tonight..nothing like NC weather at a 64 degrees right now

JUST IN: @GovChristie declares state of emergency in New Jersey as winter storm impacts the area”
Quoting 223. Doppler22:

DC
Beautiful ain't it :).
Quoting 225. washingtonian115:
It's just getting started according to Gary McdGrady.
What did he say on Fox 5?
Quoting 212. nonblanche:


I don't know why I'm torturing myself reading this.

(Atlantic City High School Class of '81, currently living with goats in the Lahontan Basin, Nevada)

Actually I'd love to see (still torturing myself) if there are any reports from AC. Still have fond memories of '77/78 winter.


Coastal areas of South Jersey are actually getting dry slotted right now.

Weather cam at NY Ave:


Very different story further inland.


Convective banding at the bottom of the image. The low is starting to deepen.
Random question and a bit off topic.

Has anyone ever thought about building a weather model that learns from it's mistakes and improves itself?

From my understanding weather models run independent of each other - meaning the program has no idea what its previous runs said or showed...every run is isolated to itself.

With all the technology and AI we have it would be cool if the model could "learn from it's mistakes" and use previous runs to compare to what has really happened and learn why things do what they do...

I think you know what i mean....that would be awesome.
Off-Topic=And the dip at Nino 3.4 continues.

CPC 1/21/14 update dips to La Nina threshold at -0.7C

Quoting 229. weatherbow:
Outside my house right now...

The roads are almost identical here expect for the busiest roads like in Downtown.
Shew... The snow is coming down hard! Blowing like crazy! Can't see out my front window!
Quoting 239. washingtonian115:
The roads are almost identical here expect for the busiest roads like in Downtown.


I don't know how the main roads are here. I haven't been outside since 9AM.

Maybe if the snow decides to crank up and get heavier, we could see all the roads look like the local secondary roads...
Quoting 218. ricderr:
Up to 6 inches of snow reported in parts of the Philadelphia area - @TWCBreaking
Friend of mine in Bensalem, just NE of Philly, says she has 7 inches. She would have been under the persistent snow band that plagued I-95 today.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Off-Topic=And the dip at Nino 3.4 continues.

CPC 1/21/14 update dips to La Nina threshold at -0.7C



Oh oh, stormstrackerscott will NOT like this graph! He was called for El Nino all year :) Clearly not the case, and looks like we may have neutral conditions for this hurricane season?

NYC
Some conversational flakes on Thursday..repeat on Sunday..Henry says to watch out for February.


@USNavy The weather doesn't stop us from honoring a shipmate at @ArlingtonNatl.
Well, here in New Jersey we know Christie as the disaster governor, even before Sandy. It's only appropriate he has to declare a State of Emergency the day of his inauguration.
Mayor Marty Walsh has already canceled #Boston schools for tomorrow.
Quoting 245. Doppler22:
Is this Downtown D.C?.
Quoting 244. Doppler22:
Another Blizzard or snow storm for super bowl weekend?.Bad timing.
Friend of mine in Bensalem, just NE of Philly, says she has 7 inches. She would have been under the persistent snow band that plagued I-95 today.


bensalem is beautiful country
About 3 inches here now.
Quoting 246. washingtonian115:
Some conversational flakes on Thursday..repeat on Sunday..Henry says to watch out for February.
I have always said to watch for a stormy Feb.
Quoting 250. washingtonian115:
Is this Downtown D.C?. Another Blizzard or snow storm for super bowl weekend?.Bad timing.

No its Brooklyn, sorry for not saying. And haha yes how lucky for NYC.
Riverside, California (Airport)
Updated: 11:53 AM PST on January 21, 2014
Clear
79 °F/26.11 °C
Clear
Humidity: 7%
Dew Point: 9 °F/-12.78 °C
Wind: 7 mph from the ENE
Pressure: 30.08 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

Colby Fire Update

Current Situation
Total Personnel 299
Size 1,952 acres
Percent Contained 95%
Estimated Containment Date Wednesday January 22nd, 2014 approx. 12:00 AM
and as more report in on snowmegeddon....let me add


here in el paso....


today to date: 0" snow
expected snowfall 0"
Quoting 250. washingtonian115:
Is this Downtown D.C?. Another Blizzard or snow storm for super bowl weekend?.Bad timing.


That farmers almanac prediction may be coming true.
5 accidents currently in my area. Glad to hear as of now that nobody has been seriously hurt today. Hope that continues.
Riverside, California (Airport)
Updated: 11:53 AM PST on January 21, 2014
Clear
79 °F/26.11 °C





has the snow started accumulating at your place yet ped???
Quoting 254. Doppler22:

No its Brooklyn, sorry for not saying. And haha yes how lucky for NYC.
Ah okay.What about the first pic with the coastal storm next weekend?.Lucky N.Y..Winds are blowing hard.A heavy snow band is moving towards the city.
Quoting 257. weatherbow:


That farmers almanac prediction may be coming true.
The Farmers Almanac is predicting many snowstorms for Feb.
1st-3rd. Intense storm, heavy rain, snow, strong winds. This could seriously impact Super Bowl XLVIII on Feb. 2, which will be played for the 1st time at a cold weather site (New Jersey's MetLife Stadium). Here is one.



oh no, I want snow not freezing rain...
Is the snow leaving DC already?

Didnt seem to be there that long, just got back and checked radar.
Quoting 235. wxgeek723:


Coastal areas of South Jersey are actually getting dry slotted right now.

Very different story further inland.


Thank you very much!

Took me a minute, but I was able to place the camera - triangulating between the Trop and the Claridge, the camera's about two, maybe four blocks from my mom's old apartment building, corner of Pennsyvania & Atlantic (burned down in 1980 or so, a few months after she sold it.)

That dryslotting happened a lot as I remember. Mom used to say it was all the salt air melting the snow, and I guess growing up in Poland and her wartime years meant that this did not bother her at all.
Quoting 263. GeorgiaStormz:
Is the snow leaving DC already?

Didnt seem to be there that long, just got back and checked radar.
The snow is not leaving D.C for another few hours.
Quoting 263. GeorgiaStormz:
Is the snow leaving DC already?

Didnt seem to be there that long, just got back and checked radar.
Nope the worst is yet to come between now and around midnight.
I saw a flurry today


#ByeGuysINeed2GoCry
NWS, Wilmington, NC..I hope they wrong..

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...A WINTER WX ADVISORY IS POSTED FOR INLAND
PENDER...BLADEN...AND ROBESON COUNTY FOR UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO JUST FLURRIES POTENTIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...AND NEW
HANOVER COUNTIES. BEST TIMING OF SNOWFALL IS FROM 2Z/9PM OVER
ROBESON COUNTY PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
ZONES TO INLAND PENDER COUNTY AROUND 5Z/MIDNIGHT...THEN OFF THE
COAST COMPLETELY BY 7Z-8Z/2AM-3AM.
Quoting 259. ricderr:
Riverside, California (Airport)
Updated: 11:53 AM PST on January 21, 2014
Clear
79 °F/26.11 °C





has the snow started accumulating at your place yet ped???


Nope, but that would be OK with me. I clicked on one of my PWS links this morning and that one is using the Beta site and it came back with 10.6 as a temp. It didn't say F or C and I knew it wasn't right because I had been outside. It changed after a bit to 51.08 That PWS was reporting old reading anyways, but it was amusing.
heavy snow here!!!


Buoy 75nm east of Long Beach NJ.
Quoting 267. GeorgiaStormz:
I saw a flurry today


#ByeGuysINeed2GoCry
Now you guys know how I felt for three years.
Quoting 268. ncstorm:
NWS, Wilmington, NC..I hope they wrong..

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...A WINTER WX ADVISORY IS POSTED FOR INLAND
PENDER...BLADEN...AND ROBESON COUNTY FOR UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO JUST FLURRIES POTENTIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...AND NEW
HANOVER COUNTIES. BEST TIMING OF SNOWFALL IS FROM 2Z/9PM OVER
ROBESON COUNTY PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
ZONES TO INLAND PENDER COUNTY AROUND 5Z/MIDNIGHT...THEN OFF THE
COAST COMPLETELY BY 7Z-8Z/2AM-3AM.


Only thing I can say is that if you look on the radar back towards Charlotte that is the main band that will potentially give us whatever snow we will see...It appears to be rapidly developing...so our main hope is that southern portion of that will continue to keep developing southward enough to give you/me some snow for a little bit without missing us to the N


Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 3:00 PM EST Tuesday 21 January 2014
Condition:Mainly Sunny
Pressure:30.2 inches
Tendency:falling
Visibility:15 miles
Temperature:1.2°F
Dewpoint:-11.9°F
Humidity:54%
Wind:N 11 mph
Wind Chill: -15

I just saw a person walking outside in shorts...

It looks like a blizzard outside, and there are people in shorts
Quoting 274. air360:


Only thing I can say is that if you look on the radar back towards Charlotte that is the main band that will potentially give us whatever snow we will see...It appears to be rapidly developing...so our main hope is that southern portion of that will continue to keep developing southward enough to give you/me some snow for a little bit without missing us to the N


the cold air got to here before that band or we will be looking at rain..again as usual
Quoting 267. GeorgiaStormz:
I saw a flurry today


#ByeGuysINeed2GoCry
See how it feels.
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting 276. weatherbow:
I just saw a person walking outside in shorts...

It looks like a blizzard outside, and there are people in shorts


I just sweep the front step of the building off in shorts hoodie and steel toe work shoes took about 15 mins at 1.5 f no chill protected from wind
one hour of heavy snow 3 inches of snow!!
From the latest NESDIS Satellite Precip Estimates:

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS
HIGHLY DYNAMIC SET UP WITH POTENT SHORT WAVE PIVOTING THROUGH E TN/
W CAROLINAS AT THIS TIME AS SFC LOW INVOF SE VA HAS HAS HELPED INCREASE
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. NOT THE BEST SATELLITE PRESENTATION IN TERMS OF
IR..HOWEVER, IR DOES INDICATE INCREASING ENHANCEMENT IN SW AND CENTRAL
VA AS ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH S/WV HAS INCREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.
THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT HAS ALSO SHOWN MOISTURE BEGIN TO WRAP UP THE
EAST COAST AND PIVOT BACK INTO HEAVY SNOW REGION INVOF SE NJ WHERE
PWATS JUST OFFSHORE ARE APPROACHING .6". GENERALLY EXPECT HEAVY SNOW TO
CONTINUE IN DEFORMATION AXIS FROM DC NE TO BOSTON WHERE 1-2"+/HR RATES
POSSIBLE IN BEST BANDS. RAP MODEL INDICATED REGION OF BEST LIFT/MAXIMUM
OMEGAS REMAINING FROM DC TO SE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND EXPECT ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ON SOUTHERN EDGE JUST SW OF DC AS S/WV CONTINUES TO PIVOT
SE...ALSO EVIDENT IN NEW ENHANCEMENT SEEN IN IR/VIS TRENDS IN CENTRAL VA.
Quoting 256. ricderr:
and as more report in on snowmegeddon....let me add


here in el paso....


today to date: 0" snow
expected snowfall 0"


Only 5" less than in Suburban MD.