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Extreme Cold Blast and Heavy Snow Hit Midwest U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:26 PM GMT on January 06, 2014

The most extreme cold air outbreak since 1994 is in store for much of the U.S. on Monday and Tuesday, as Arctic air behind a major winter storm invades the Midwest. The powerful 989 mb storm blasted the Upper Midwest on Sunday, bringing snows in excess of a foot over portions of Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Missouri, and Ohio. The 11.4" that fell on Sunday in Indianapolis, Indiana made it that city's second snowiest day on record (the all-time record: 12.1" on March 19, 1906); Flint, Michigan also recorded its second snowiest day on record: 14.5" (the all time record: 15.0" on November 28, 1937.) A blast of Arctic air poured into the Upper Midwest on Sunday, and Sunday's playoff game between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers began with a temperature of 5°F and a wind chill of -10°, evoking memories of the legendary Green Bay Packers-Dallas Cowboys Ice Bowl NFL playoff game on December 31, 1967. On that frigid day, the temperature at kickoff was thirteen below zero, with a wind chill of -45°F. It's lucky that yesterday's game wasn't played today: the high temperature in Green Bay is expected to be near -10°, with wind chills as low as -40°. The temperature in Chicago at noon CST Monday was a remarkable -14°F, with gusty west winds of 20 mph causing a dangerously low wind chill of -40°. This is the 7th coldest noontime temperature ever measured in the Windy City (the record was -21° on January 10, 1982). The record-breaking cold air will spread eastward and southward over the next few days, bringing the coldest temperatures seen since January 1994 to many locations. The high temperature in Detroit on Tuesday is expected to remain below zero; the city's list of days with a high temperature below zero is a short one, with only three such days in recorded history. The frigid air is being propelled by strong Arctic winds of 15 - 25 mph, which will generate dangerously low wind chill readings in the -30° to -60°F range from Michigan to Minnesota on Monday and Tuesday. From the latest NWS Storm Summary, here are the coldest wind chill readings observed so far:

Comertown, MT: -63
Rolla, ND: -60
Grand Maraia, MN: -55
Hillhead, SD: -53
Mason City, IA: -48
Dexter, WI: -47


Figure 1. At my home in the northern Detroit suburb of Highland, Michigan, we got 14" of snow on Sunday, which made for some very low electrical output from my rooftop solar array! Photo by Ellie Masters.

The culprit: cold air from Canada and the polar vortex
In the winter, the 24-hour darkness over the snow and ice-covered polar regions allows a huge dome of cold air to form. This cold air increases the difference in temperature between the pole and the Equator, and leads to an intensification of the strong upper-level winds of the jet stream. The strong jet stream winds act to isolate the polar regions from intrusions of warmer air, creating a "polar vortex" of frigid counter-clockwise swirling air over the Arctic. The chaotic flow of the air in the polar vortex sometimes allows a large dip (a sharp trough of low pressure) to form in the jet stream over North America, allowing the Arctic air that had been steadily cooling in the northern reaches of Canada in areas with 24-hour darkness to spill southwards deep into the United States. In theory, the 1.5°F increase in global surface temperatures that Earth has experienced since 1880 due to global warming should reduce the frequency of 1-in-20 year extreme cold weather events like the current one. However, it is possible that climate change could alter jet stream circulation patterns in a way that could increase the incidence of unusual jet stream "kinks" that allow cold air to spill southwards over the Eastern U.S., a topic I have blogged about extensively, and plan to say more about later this week.


Figure 2. From wunderground's Jet Stream page, we see the large dip in the jet stream over the U.S. responsible for this week's extreme Arctic air outbreak.

Jeff Masters
Cotton Tree
Cotton Tree
Well, maybe not, but it is a lot of white fluffy stuff. When I took this early this morning, it was so beautiful and serene outside, but now the wind is blowing and howling. Getting a lot f drifting, and things aren't looking so pretty as early this morning. :-(
Solar Panel Snow
Solar Panel Snow
After two feet of snow in the past week, including 14 inches on Sunday, my solar panels needed a little attention!
Storm Ion..
Storm Ion..
right on schedule but not quite as predicted for us..no big thaw..heavy freezing rain and dense fog with temps holding at 32F before plunging back towards 0F later tonight..a real mess out there!
Big Horn Mountain storm
Big Horn Mountain storm
Momentary sun break thru on Big Horn Mountains in Shell area.
Ice bubbles
Ice bubbles
Bubbles can be very hard to capture even when they are frozen!

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting 498. Doppler22:

XD Here in PA we get fried squirrels all the time.



Yeah, my family is trying to limit power use so that doesn't happen. I mean we have blankets and some wood downstairs in case we need to start a fire in the fireplace.
Do you know about the blackout of 03
I really don't mind a Florida or Midwest climate.

When I lived in SW Illinois for three years, the winters weren't that inconvenient. Snow only accumulated a handful of times each winter. It was actually more interesting when it did snow because most of the winter there it was to warm to stick.

If you live somewhere where it at least gets into the 20's each winter at some point (which includes north Florida), I really don't differentiate to an extreme. In these climates, you still will usually need a jacket for a lot of the winter and you won't be able to grow plants that will be burned by a freeze

The only difference between places where you hit the 20's a few times (like North Florida), and places where it gets into the 20's a lot (midwest) is snow. Which I don't mind, cause I'd rather have it be more interesting with snow in the midwest or south than cold nights here in Florida where you're covering cold tender plants and it caches you more unaware.
Yeah, we're prepped. Not worried about pipes freezing since this house is old enough to remember the '94 outbreak and the pipes didn't freeze back then. If we did lose power, that's what our propane gas logs are for. We turned it on last winter, so good to feel fire in the dead of winter.
Quoting 501. Climate175:
Do you know about the blackout of 03


That shouldn't have happened. "safety" catches failed or were non-existent.

For anyone who's unfamiliar
Quoting 501. Climate175:
Do you know about the blackout of 03

Yeah I know about that.

Quoting 503. Astrometeor:
Yeah, we're prepped. Not worried about pipes freezing since this house is old enough to remember the '94 outbreak and the pipes didn't freeze back then. If we did lose power, that's what our propane gas logs are for. We turned it on last winter, so good to feel fire in the dead of winter.


XD I heard that people in Baltimore were placing bets on where water lines in the city were going to burst first because they are so old and crappy.
Quoting 461. StormTrackerScott:
Very unimpressed with this cold snap over C & S FL. It's not near as bad as the media made it seem. Temps leveled off some and the wind is blowing NW at 10mph. I am thinking we will struggle to get to freezing and not even the orange growers are worried about this weak snap of cool air.



It's weak for y'all because it's Florida. The cold is very severe for us north of FL/GA line.
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #8
TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN, CATEGORY ONE (07F)
12:00 PM FST January 7 2014
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Ian (995 hPa) located at 18.4S 176.1W has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. Position poor based on multispectral visible/infrared imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports. The cyclone is reported as moving moving west northwest at 2 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==================
60 NM from the center in northeast quadrant
60 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
50 NM from the center in southwest quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

Organization has not changed much in the past 24 hours. Convection remains persistent in past 24 hours. System lies in a low sheared environment under an upper ridge. Outflow fair to the north but restricted elsewhere. Sea surface temperature is around 29C. The system is slowly moving as it is located within a weak steering environment between a low level near equatorial ridge located to the north and a low level subtropical ridge located to the south.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.45 wrap yielding DT=2.5, PT=3.0, and MET=3.0. Final Dvorak intensity based on MET.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS

Most models agree on a northwestward movement then recurving southeast with gradual intensification.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 17.9S 176.6W - 40 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 17.6S 176.9W - 40 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.3S 177.0W - 45 knots (CAT 1)
It is currently 13 at my location.About two hours ago the temp was 25.Earlier this morning the temps was 50!.Impressive for sure.
Quoting 508. washingtonian115:
It is currently 13 at my location.About two hours ago the temps was 25.Earlier this morning the temps was 50!.Impressive for sure.


3.6 here in Nashville, TN Washi. Was 57 yesterday at 3 o'clock.
Quoting 491. Astrometeor:


Ped, you watching the game?


What channel?????
Quoting 509. Astrometeor:


3.6 here in Nashville, TN Washi. Was 57 yesterday at 3 o'clock.
Seeing the temps drop down the way they have it's like watching a clock on a bomb ticking away until the final second xD.
Quoting 510. PedleyCA:


What channel?????


ESPN

Auburn just scored TD.
-8F was the high for the day ..


Peoria, Illinois (Airport)

-9 °F
Clear
Windchill: -24 °F
Humidity: 65%
Dew Point: -18 °F
Wind: 7 mph from the WSW
Pressure: 30.45 in (Steady)

Quoting 513. whitewabit:
-8F was the high for the day ..


Peoria, Illinois (Airport)

-9 °F
Clear
Windchill: -24 °F
Humidity: 65%
Dew Point: -18 °F
Wind: 7 mph from the WSW
Pressure: 30.45 in (Steady)



Should switch to Kelvins wabit, it'll give you a false sense of warmth.
Quoting 506. Bluestorm5:


It's weak for y'all because it's Florida. The cold is very severe for us north of FL/GA line.


This outbreak is skirting South FL. Some others have driven much further south. The glancing blow was forecast and people new to the southern half of FL should realize it can get a lot colder than what is forecast tonight. Ask about the winter of 2009-10 and 2010-11 (and 1957-58) for persistant cold and about January 19, 1977, March 3 1980, Jan 11 1982 (which is somewhat like this one but more intense and a little further south), Christmas 1983, January 1985, December 1989, January 1997 (a radiation event in the SW and central part) FL isn't always warm and when it's cold it sometimes persists miserably for days. (yeah okay granted it's not "months")
I'm a weirdo, I love extreme cold and extreme heat and have experienced both. If I had the funds for it, I'd have a winter home in Montana and a summer home right here in Florida.
10.9 degrees i am telling you a ticking time bomb doing on here like Washi said.
Quoting 503. Astrometeor:
Yeah, we're prepped. Not worried about pipes freezing since this house is old enough to remember the '94 outbreak and the pipes didn't freeze back then. If we did lose power, that's what our propane gas logs are for. We turned it on last winter, so good to feel fire in the dead of winter.


Old fashioned woodstove but I'm down to about a cord with 60% of the winter to go and all the local tree guys are out of wood because of the 2012 derecho.
But I'm in much better shape in a power outage than most people in winter. (Not in summer!)
The Inside Edition News said that this polar vortex cold blast is colder than the temp of Mars.
Quoting 516. CybrTeddy:
I'm a weirdo, I love extreme cold and extreme heat and have experienced both. If I had the funds for it, I'd have a winter home in Montana and a summer home right here in Florida.


I'm a weirdo, I used my love for Weather Underground's blogs as the basis for my Common App essay.
Quoting 517. Climate175:
10.9 degrees i am telling you a ticking time bomb doing on here like Washi said.


17 here in College Park. Dropped from 30 at dusk. Fast drop was a few hours later than I expected but it's happening now. Mid single digits expected by dawn.
Quoting 521. georgevandenberghe:


17 here in College Park. Dropped from 30 at dusk. Fast drop was a few hours later than I expected but it's happening now. Mid single digits expected by dawn.
Getting very breezy too.
Quoting 516. CybrTeddy:
I'm a weirdo, I love extreme cold and extreme heat and have experienced both. If I had the funds for it, I'd have a winter home in Montana and a summer home right here in Florida.


Try the SW deserts for extreme heat in summer.
Skiing in the Northeast is pretty brutal some days in winter (My coldest is -20F with a 30 knot wind
in Killington VT during an arctic outbreak).
Quoting 519. Climate175:
The Inside Edition News said that this polar vortex cold blast is colder than the temp of Mars.


Hehe...no.

Actual temperature measurements at the Viking landers' site range from −17.2 °C (1.0 °F) to −107 °C (−161 °F).
Climate of Mars
Isolated sprinkles and a brief light shower will continue to affect South Florida through the rest of the evening! Temperatures will continue to plummet tonight...with forecast lows ranging from the lower to mid 30s across Glades and Hendry counties
Quoting 525. SFLWeatherman:
Isolated sprinkles and a brief light shower will continue to affect South Florida through the rest of the evening! Temperatures will continue to plummet tonight...with forecast lows ranging from the lower to mid 30s across Glades and Hendry counties


Rain is increasing on radar from Fort Myers toward Melbourne. Very interesting!

My weather station in area code 21213 has a temp reading of 16 and wind chill of 5.

carry on.
Quoting 523. georgevandenberghe:


Try the SW deserts for extreme heat in summer.
Skiing in the Northeast is pretty brutal some days in winter (My coldest is -20F with a 30 knot wind
in Killington VT during an arctic outbreak).


Eh, that's a dull dry heat. I enjoy Florida/south's humidity and heat with an explosive thunderstorm in the evening.
Quoting 524. Astrometeor:


Hehe...no.

Actual temperature measurements at the Viking landers' site range from −17.2 °C (1.0 °F) to −107 °C (−161 °F).
Climate of Mars
LOL i was like that too
Today's selection of articles about science, climate change, energy and the environment.

!!! Dirtiest Coal's Rebirth in Europe Flattens Medieval Towns

In One Image: Cold Snaps In Global Context

Supernova 'dust factory' pictured

Moroccan Stone Age hunters' rotten teeth



Odor Receptors Discovered in Lungs: Just Like Ones in the Nose, but Instead of Conjuring Up a Cup of Coffee They Might Make You Cough

'Dark money' funds US climate deniers

Are Gifted Children Getting Lost in the Shuffle? for Nathan

New Fossils Shed Light On the Origins of Lions, Tigers, and Bears Oh My!

*** 79 Years of Monitoring Demonstrates Dramatic Forest Change

To Curb China's Haze, Air Pollution, Use Water I'm dubious about this.

* Earth appears to be an oddity, astronomers say

Future of Ice program at University of Washington


Wind's tax credit winds down, but debate at full force

Rush Limbaugh slams polar vortex 'hoax'

*** The Brain, in Exquisite Detail

*** A Symbol of the Range Returns Home

* Still Stuck in a Climate Argument

!!! US Dept of Agriculture proposes easing restrictions on GMO seeds

Ocean acidification threatens oyster farming

TechKnow 119: Tornado safety tech and vertical farming

Physicist's weird reverse-causality experiment goes in a new direction


Do dogs possess a poop compass? (And other weird science questions)

Bill Nye the Science Guy to debate evolution with creationist Hmmmmmmmmmm.

************************************************* **************************************************

The following articles are courtesy of etxwx

* Illegal ivory stash destroyed

*** Biogas fuel for schools eases pressure on Kenya's forests

Ark. art museum faces new challenge: groundhogs

Quoting 528. CybrTeddy:


Eh, that's a dull dry heat. I enjoy Florida/south's humidity and heat with an explosive thunderstorm in the evening.
How about a healthy tropical cyclone thrown in the mix for a little bit of extra quality?
DANG 9.9 here we go !!! Make that 9.5
Quoting 512. Astrometeor:


ESPN

Auburn just scored TD.


Thanks, I don't get ESPN, so basically I am screwed. I can find it on the radio.
I tried to get it online but it won't play nice. But I remembered that it said it was 87.3 for Los Angeles so I got it on the radio. Thanks...
Pulled this from the DC area forecast discussion on weather.gov. It reiterates that for the DC area this is not an exceptional or historic event. IAD is Washington Dulles airport, a site that radiates very well.


IAD FCSTD LOW TNGT: 6F (SOME MDLS ARE GOING W/ 5).

I DID A SEARCH OF THE COLDEST WINTER TEMPS AT IAD SINCE 1980. THE
COLDEST READING OCCURRED ON 1/22/84: A BONECHILLING -18! TO GET
REALLY COLD TEMPS YOU WOULD MOST LKLY NEED SNOWPACK...CLR SKIES...AND
LGT WINDS. ON 1/22/84 IAD HAD A SNOWCOVER OF 7"...AND THE AVG WIND
SPEED WAS 3 MPH.

GOING EVEN FURTHER...FOR THE DAYS 1/20/84 TO 1/23/84 THE LOW TEMPS AT
IAD WERE -6..-16..18..AND 0 (!).

#12 ON THE LIST WAS 1/21/85 (-6F) WHICH WAS THE DATE OF THE SECOND
INAUGURATION OF PRESIDENT REAGAN. MOST OUTDOOR EVENTS WERE CANX.

FOR THIS SEARCH THE TOP 20 MIN TEMP READINGS AT IAD WERE ALL RECORDED
IN THE 80`S OR 90`S (15 IN 80`S...5 IN 90`S). NONE OCCURRED IN
THE 2000`S.

READINGS OF THE FCSTD +5 (OR 6) DO NOT EVEN MAKE THE TOP 50: AT
#50 IS +3 ON 12/17+18/1989. IN FACT ONLY FOUR DATES POST-2000 MAKE
THE TOP 50...THE COLDEST BEING ZERO ON 1/17/2009 (#29).

THE DAILY RECORD MINS FOR THE THREE MAJOR AIRPORTS ARE BLO IN THE
CLIMATE SXN.
Quoting 527. BaltOCane:
My weather station in area code 21213 has a temp reading of 16 and wind chill of 5.

carry on.


17.6 in 21230
65 here with rain this morning at 7 am.....26 and falling rapidly at 9:50. Im making snow in my front yard with my snowathome.com system......I love it! little windy though so its kinda going everywhere
Quoting 424. Jedkins01:


Hey hes doing his job well not abusing power and banning at will, there won't always be agreement among bloggers, that doesn't necessarily mean there should be people getting banned.
Come on, Jedkins; you know I wasn't advocating any bans, and I wasn't criticizing Keeper (I thought he was doing a good job trying to prevent trouble).

But one of my pet peeves is the careless use of the word "debate". There's a format for a debate: a proposition is stated, one side argues in support, the other side argues against. The stuff that is called "debate" on here simply isn't. It might be discussion, or it might be argument, or it might just be bickering. But it's never been a debate.

/soapbox returned to storage
Quoting 531. KoritheMan:

How about a healthy tropical cyclone thrown in the mix for a little bit of extra quality?


Only in moderation, I'd like to be able to keep the house too.
Quoting 416. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
when it happens it will be real fast



Quoting 538. CybrTeddy:


Only in moderation, I'd like to be able to keep the house too.
lol
Quoting 527. BaltOCane:
My weather station in area code 21213 has a temp reading of 16 and wind chill of 5.

carry on.
My children will not be going outside to school tomorrow XD.Most schools around the area are calling for a delay or perhaps are reconsidering for a closing.
8.9 degrees and wind chill -4 degrees.
Areas N.W of D.C are already in the single digits.12 at my location now.
New Models out. Even Colder
Quoting 543. washingtonian115:
Areas N.W of D.C are already in the single digits.12 at my location now.
We gotta hit 0 degrees by dawn at this rate even possible -1 degrees.
Quoting 537. FLwolverine:
Come on, Jedkins; you know I wasn't advocating any bans, and I wasn't criticizing Keeper (I thought he was doing a good job trying to prevent trouble).

But one of my pet peeves is the careless use of the word "debate". There's a format for a debate: a proposition is stated, one side argues in support, the other side argues against. The stuff that is called "debate" on here simply isn't. It might be discussion, or it might be argument, or it might just be bickering. But it's never been a debate.

/soapbox returned to storage
attempts of debate
just come from outside did a walk its cold

went up to the roof 110 feet up and its howling winds could only stand on the catwalk for 3 mins just too cold

and getting colder chills will fall to -41 or greater by dawn
Caption from JeffMasters wuphoto in the blog,
After two feet of snow in the past week, including 14 inches on Sunday, my solar panels needed a little attention!"

Classic!
I can see the caption over at WUWT... "Climate Change guru shovels..."

Truly, Doc M, your smile tells the story. Thanks for posting that for all of us to see.
Quoting 542. Climate175:
8.9 degrees and wind chill -4 degrees.


4.5 with 10 mph winds in W. Loudoun. -10 wind chill. I'm sure we'll break 0 by 2 AM
edit:

Partly Cloudy

38 F
(3 C)
Humidity: 44 %
Wind Speed: W 13 MPH
Barometer: 30.06" (1018.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 18 F (-8 C)
Wind Chill: 30 F (-1 C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Quoting 551. ncstorm:
okay people..Eastern NC is in the thick of things..

Fair

15%uFFFFF

-9%uFFFFC

Humidity40%
Wind SpeedW 12 mph
Barometer30.25 in (1025.5 mb)
Dewpoint-5%uFFFFF (-21%uFFFFC)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 1%uFFFFF (-17%uFFFFC)

Last Update on 6 Jan 9:53 pm EST


it will become a night not fit for man nor beast



wunder how many birds I will find frozen this time around

last cold shot I found a dove and 2 sparrows
Retweeted Justin Berk (@JustinWeather):

9 months from now... ‪#‎justsaying‬ ‪#‎polarvortex‬ ‪#‎babyboom‬ http://t.co/Y3fWULrqZa

Quoting 552. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


it will become a night not fit for man nor beast



wunder how many birds I will fine frozen this time around

last cold shot I found a dove and 2 sparrows


we not there yet Keep..I was on greenville NWS..the polar air is still traveling to the east coast..
Quoting 553. ncstorm:
Retweeted Justin Berk (@JustinWeather):

9 months from now... ‪#‎justsaying‬ ‪#‎polarvortex‬ ‪#‎babyboom‬ http://t.co/Y3fWULrqZa

I posted a joke about Alaskans and that during times when the temps are -60 something they have nothing better else to do.So why isn't it one of the most populated states xD.It's like the people around here always take advantage.
"Rudolph" voice actor Larry D. Mann dies at 91
Quoting 556. Tazmanian:
"Rudolph" voice actor Larry D. Mann dies at 91
RIP
Quoting 555. washingtonian115:
I posted a joke about Alaskans and that during times when the temps are -60 something they have nothing better else to do.So why isn't it one of the most populated states xD.It's like the people around here always take advantage.


LOL..might be interested to check out fairbanks baby population when it gets hot up there..
Quoting 554. ncstorm:


we not there yet Keep..I was on greenville NWS..the polar air is still traveling to the east coast..


Quoting 558. ncstorm:


LOL..might be interested to check out fairbanks baby population when it gets hot up there..
The hot makes people want to get out and about.The cold wants to make people stay in.He he..I can see where this conversation is going.I bet if you put a bunch of people from the DMV area up there for the winter Alaska'a population will double.
0 F in Eastern Panhandle of WV - winds gusting 20-40mph
Quoting 562. wvjohn123:
0 F in Eastern Panhandle of WV - winds gusting 20-40mph


What town?
Quoting 543. washingtonian115:
Areas N.W of D.C are already in the single digits.12 at my location now.


8 for me, went out to take out the trash and I ran back up the hill to get inside
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 7:47 PM PST on January 06, 2014
Scattered Clouds
62.9 °F
Scattered Clouds
Humidity: 12%
Dew Point: 9 °F
Wind: 5.0 mph from the SSW
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Pressure: 30.12 in (Rising)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

same high as yesterday 73.6, currently 62.3 here.
Quoting 565. PedleyCA:
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 7:47 PM PST on January 06, 2014
Scattered Clouds
62.9 °F
Scattered Clouds
Humidity: 12%
Dew Point: 9 °F
Wind: 5.0 mph from the SSW
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Pressure: 30.12 in (Rising)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

same high as yesterday 73.6, currently 62.3 here.


Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 10:39 PM EST Monday 6 January 2014
Condition:Drifting Snow
Pressure:29.8 inches
Tendency:rising
Visibility:4 miles
Temperature:5.9°F
Dewpoint:0.1°F
Humidity:77%
Wind:W 32 gust 40 mph
Wind Chill: -19
Chicago Midway Airport
Lat: 41.79°N Lon: 87.75°W Elev: 612
Last Update on Jan 6, 8:51 pm CST

Fair

-10 °F
(-23 °C)
Humidity: 64 %
Wind Speed: W 20 G 25 MPH
Barometer: 30.25" (1028.0 mb)
Dewpoint: -19 °F (-28 °C)
Wind Chill: -35 °F (-37 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
Quoting 564. WxGeekVA:


8 for me, went out to take out the trash and I ran back up the hill to get inside
11 already in Atlanta. Threw a pot of water on the porch to see how fast it would freeze. Need to check it now.
Quoting 567. ErrorBot:
Chicago Midway Airport
Lat: 41.79°N Lon: 87.75°W Elev: 612
Last Update on Jan 6, 8:51 pm CST

Fair

-10 °F
(-23 °C)
Humidity: 64 %
Wind Speed: W 20 G 25 MPH
Barometer: 30.25" (1028.0 mb)
Dewpoint: -19 °F (-28 °C)
Wind Chill: -35 °F (-37 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.


they are forecasting a low of -13f here in T.O.
Quoting 482. PedleyCA:


My that is a nasty Purple almost Black color, think I will stick with the Lime Green variety..... Don't you wish you were still in Calif, at least for a few days...
Hang in there....
Thanks Pedley! Do miss the Pacific, and the mountains... and the desert... and 300+ days of sunshine (Temecula Valley) BUT.... I never knew what 4 seasons where and I wanted my kids to experience some real weather and not just an occasional earthquake.. and the people around here are sooooo friendly!
if we could get some of that snow to head inland off the NC coast..would make a winter satisfying..

Quoting 523. georgevandenberghe:


Try the SW deserts for extreme heat in summer.
Skiing in the Northeast is pretty brutal some days in winter (My coldest is -20F with a 30 knot wind
in Killington VT during an arctic outbreak).
Love the dry heat.. been camping in 120 near Palm Springs and did a winter back pack with a buddy during a winter storm up on San Jacinto winds gusting to 80 with temps in the the 10's I have no idea what the wind chill would have been. To be young again!
Evening to all... finally a few free moments to check the progress of the front.

Our local mets expect 50s over Grand Bahama and Abaco, with wind chill in the 40s, but in Nassau we aren't expected to go much lower than 65. We are supposed to get another sub-70 night before things return to [ab]normal...

Looking at the time, I expect to see some sharp temp drops in the next hour or so. Interestingly enough all three of the reporting stations on Wunderground - the airport out west and two PWS out east - were reporting low 80s at around 8 p.m. Since then the airport's gone out [which is VERY strange] and the other stations are reporting 74-ish.

On a personal note, I notice my bum ankle, which I sprained back in high school and which acts like a weather vane for sharp pressure drops, is suddenly killing me...

Oh, and am I the only one to note that the Doc goes on vacation to a warm, sunny, tropical island or three, and - you betcha - the worst polar air invasion in 20 years and 2 feet of snow happen at his house... mere coincidence? ;o)
Rhinelander, Wisconsin (PWS)
Updated: 11:03 PM EST on January 06, 2014
Clear
-23.3 °F
Clear
Windchill: -45 °F
Humidity: 61%
Dew Point: -32 °F
Wind: 9.9 mph from the WNW
Pressure: 30.09 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

My Sisters place, Yikes....
Quoting 561. washingtonian115:
The hot makes people want to get out and about.The cold wants to make people stay in.He he..I can see where this conversation is going.I bet if you put a bunch of people from the DMV area up there for the winter Alaska'a population will double.


might be a baby boom in the southern states in 9 months with this chill ..
We're down to 2.5 out here now.. The dog is happy to be inside for the 2nd night in a row..
Quoting 574. PedleyCA:
Rhinelander, Wisconsin (PWS)
Updated: 11:03 PM EST on January 06, 2014
Clear
-23.3 °F
Clear
Windchill: -45 °F
Humidity: 61%
Dew Point: -32 °F
Wind: 9.9 mph from the WNW
Pressure: 30.09 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

My Sisters place, Yikes....


beautiful area .. rented cabins up there on a lake a couple of years way back ..
Quoting 561. washingtonian115:
The hot makes people want to get out and about.The cold wants to make people stay in.He he..I can see where this conversation is going.I bet if you put a bunch of people from the DMV area up there for the winter Alaska'a population will double.


No...you don't understand Alaska. Cold is when you go outside. Hot is when you stay indoors...that place and Canada...perfect breeding grounds for mosquitoes.
Quoting 576. JNTenne:
We're down to 2.5 out here now.. The dog is happy to be inside for the 2nd night in a row..
he's grateful he will protect you with his life
Quoting 576. JNTenne:
We're down to 2.5 out here now.. The dog is happy to be inside for the 2nd night in a row..


1.9F here in Goodlettsville.

Edit: Dog not happy. His breed is from the Great Pyrenees Mountains.
11.3 outside my window now. Down 6.3 degrees in 80 minutes.
Quoting 580. Astrometeor:


1.9F here in Goodlettsville.

Edit: Dog not happy. His bred is from the Great Pyrenees Mountains.


Oh, bring him in!
I just read this on the internet, so it has to be true, right?

"Missouri Snow Found to Contain Radiation DOUBLE Normal

More concerns about possible impact of Fukushima"

(and a good night to all)
Quoting 582. BaltimoreBrian:


Oh, bring him in!


He's been in all day except for his walks. He enjoyed those walks.
Quoting 574. PedleyCA:
Rhinelander, Wisconsin (PWS)
Updated: 11:03 PM EST on January 06, 2014
Clear
-23.3 °F
Clear
Windchill: -45 °F
Humidity: 61%
Dew Point: -32 °F
Wind: 9.9 mph from the WNW
Pressure: 30.09 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles

My Sisters place, Yikes....


I had a maximum temperature of -12. The warmest wind chill was -38, here on the frozen shores of Chequamegon Bay.

Current wind chill values, purple requires caution, red are dangerous:

5 degrees and a windchill of -16. So very warm...

Quoting 440. luvtogolf:


But every weather event somehow GS gets brought into the discussion. Just like Dr. Masters did above.
Sure, AGW gets brought into the discussion by just about everybody these days. However, the Doc has been talking about these extreme cold events in the context of AGW for some time. I have seen him on numerous other occasions comment that there is no observable connection between some specific weather event and AGW. So even using the Doc alone as an example, the "GS gets brought into the discussion" can mean that the discussion is NOT connecting AGW to the particular event.

Most of the connection I've seen between AGW and specific events has been in the context of the kind of extreme kink in the Jet Stream which gets stuck into a blocking pattern, which then contributes to some of the extreme wx people are talking about e.g. severe cold, heat waves, droughts, floods. Most of the other events people talk about are usually not LINKED to global warming.
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
DEPRESSION BOB01-2014
5:30 AM IST January 7 2014
========================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, the depression over Sri Lanka moved southwestward and lays center near 8.0N 80.0E, about 55 km east southeast of Puttalam.

The system is likely to move west southwestward across Sri Lanka and emerge into Gulf of Mannar and weaken into a well marked low pressure area during next 24 hours.
Auburn 24 - Florida State 20.... still hanging in there.....
Oh, well 27-24 Seminoles
Quoting 589. PedleyCA:
Auburn 24 - Florida State 20.... still hanging in there.....


I'm thinking Auburn bout to do an Alabama and shock the nation..
592. Tygor
Imagine the wind chill if the old formula was still used. These -45 wind chills would probably stretch closer to -70 in the old days.
This is getting ugly.
Quoting 468. yoboi:



If I had the money I would every year.....cold is not for me....
Don't have to go that far... Trinidad would be warm enough... Shorter flight, too. [and prolly better rum]

Quoting 473. Barefootontherocks:
Implied is a great word!

Some who post here possess an extraordinary mastery of insinuation. This might cause someone else to mistake as a direct reference what the poster considers a general comment, especially when the words follow closely a comment by another whose thoughts you s/he does not share. Just might.

A good approach might be to ask the poster, "Are you implying...?" or "Are you insinuating...?"

Sarcasm, a statement directly opposite the poster's true thought, also abounds. Some purely scientific thinkers do not value any other kind of thinking and use sarcasm to devalue the thoughts of others. In this situation, a sincere, well-placed LOL sometimes helps.
Well said. I've seen pple get into heated arguments over "implied" ideas, some of which were not actually in the mind of the original poster. The printed word is a valuable method of mass communication, but it does lend itself to as many interpretations as there are readers, at least potentially.

Doesn't look good for the Tigers
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM WST January 7 2014
=========================================

There is a low near 11.0S 106.5E, about 100 km southeast of Christmas Island, and moving west at about 13 knots (25 km/h). While conditions are not favorable for development, it may still develop into a tropical cyclone over the next few days. It is forecast to continue moving west and should be west of 90.0E and out of the region by Friday.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
======================================
Wednesday: Low
Thursday: Moderate
Friday: Low
Oh, Well. that should do it.
13 seconds left....
9.9 at midnight outside my window.
Quoting 598. BaltimoreBrian:
9.9 at midnight outside my window.


Yikes
Dodged a bullet there didn't they.....
Quoting 583. JNTenne:
I just read this on the internet, so it has to be true, right?

"Missouri Snow Found to Contain Radiation DOUBLE Normal

More concerns about possible impact of Fukushima"

(and a good night to all)


there is always more
to the picture
than meets thee eye

now you will have me out there checking the snow


lol
OK, Good Night ALL - Stay Warm - Stay Dry - Stay Indoors - Hope the power stays on. Good Night All....
hr 63 gfs 00z beginning of rtn flow

later ped
by hr 90 rtn all the way sw OK.



FSUFSUFSUFSUFSUFSU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
hr 114

8 F in Bethesda (near Glen Echo), Md. (D.C. suburb)
Nova on PBS Jan. 22 is scheduled to be about Supertyphoon Haiyan.
Quoting 602. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Ugh.


You jinxed it.

TA's the reason Auburn lost, guys.
Quoting 587. BahaHurican:
Most of the other events people talk about are usually not LINKED to global warming.

All weather can be attributed to climate change, because the atmosphere carries more energy with more CO2. The question is then what are the odds of the event to become record breaking or if the record would have been broken without human interactions.

Another thing is that at least some systems respond non-linear.

Quote:
Changes in the temperature profiles, in turn, affect the circulation, triggering a development of a local blocking structure when the sea-ice extent is reduced from 80% to 40%. But Petoukhov and Semenov also found that it brings a different response when the sea-ice is reduced from 100% to 80% or from 40% to1%, and hence a non-linear response. http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/201 0/12/cold-winter-in-a-world-of-warming/
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 12:00 AM EST Tuesday 7 January 2014
Condition:Drifting Snow
Pressure:29.8 inches
Tendency:rising
Visibility:10 miles
Temperature:2.3°F
Dewpoint:-6.0°F
Humidity:68%
Wind:W 38 gust 49 mph
Wind Chill: -25
Great win for the ACC..breaking the SEC hold on College Football championships!!
I stuck my head out for a few minutes to see what it's like. So far nothing extra cold, but still winds and super clear skies.
615. flsky
Quoting 461. StormTrackerScott:
Very unimpressed with this cold snap over C & S FL. It's not near as bad as the media made it seem. Temps leveled off some and the wind is blowing NW at 10mph. I am thinking we will struggle to get to freezing and not even the orange growers are worried about this weak snap of cool air.


At the moment it's 41 in ECF. A few years ago I moved from SoCal to FL. That kind of illustrates how I feel about low temps. The coldest weather I've ever experienced was Moscow (the Russian one) in January. Had a VERY hard time with it. Anything in the 50s or lower drives me crazy.
Quoting 614. BahaHurican:
I stuck my head out for a few minutes to see what it's like. So far nothing extra cold, but still winds and super clear skies.


zippie.seven here. (0.7)

KEEP, it's still falling. 7 hours to go max.
Quoting 614. BahaHurican:
I stuck my head out for a few minutes to see what it's like. So far nothing extra cold, but still winds and super clear skies.
its not going to get cold out maybe a chill but not cold
Quoting 616. Astrometeor:


zippie.seven here. (0.7)

KEEP, it's still falling. 7 hours to go max.
kinda curious to see how low it will get in places
Quoting 616. Astrometeor:


zippie.seven here. (0.7)

KEEP, it's still falling. 7 hours to go max.



Quoting 617. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
its not going to get cold out maybe a chill but not cold
Well, it's going to do whatever without me... I'm calling it a night....
good night
Polar Vortex in U.S. May be Example of Global Warming

While the ongoing cold snap is breaking records from Minnesota to Florida, it will not go down in history as the most significant Arctic outbreak in U.S. history, not even by a longshot. Scientists said the deep freeze gripping the U.S. does not indicate a halt or reversal in global warming trends, either. In fact, it may be a counterintuitive example of global warming in action.

Researchers told Climate Central that the weather pattern driving the extreme cold into the U.S. — with a weaker polar vortex moving around the Arctic like a slowing spinning top, eventually falling over and blowing open the door to the Arctic freezer — fits with other recently observed instances of unusual fall and wintertime jet stream configurations.

Such weather patterns, which can feature relatively mild conditions in the Arctic at the same time dangerously cold conditions exist in vast parts of the lower 48, may be tied to the rapid warming and loss of sea ice in the Arctic due, in part, to manmade climate change. http://www.climatecentral.org/news/polar-vortex-i n-u.s.-may-be-valid-example-of-global-warming-1692 7
What a nice night. Was getting a little disappointed with what they were saying our temperatures were going to be. Had us at a low of 20 tonight, but here we are at midnight and already at 21. So maybe just maybe I can get the coldest weather that I've had for at least a few years and reach the mid teens? Maybe i'm asking to much for South Central Tx lol


Would be nicer with some snow though.
Quoting 461. StormTrackerScott:
Very unimpressed with this cold snap over C & S FL. It's not near as bad as the media made it seem. Temps leveled off some and the wind is blowing NW at 10mph. I am thinking we will struggle to get to freezing and not even the orange growers are worried about this weak snap of cool air.



I spent a couple hours this evening covering everything to be safe, but this event is nothing remarkable at all here, as January cold events go. May hit 32F here briefly, which, by the way, does not constitute a freeze. I'm actually disappointed that it will be warming back up so quickly. But I am loving having all the windows open while it lasts.

Heck, northern Maine reached a record -50F in early 2011. I haven't seen a single actual temperature even close to that low anywhere in the entire US during this event.
7.5 at 1:10, down from 9.9 at midnight.
Quoting 35. Xandra:
Two animations from the Climate Reanalyzer:

Last Glacial Maximum Seasonal Cycle

These animations depict the temperature and precipitation seasonal cycle of the Last Glacial Maximum (ca. 21,000 years ago), as calculated from the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4) (see publication). Each frame is a 50-year average.




Modern Seasonal Cycle

Animations within this group depict the modern seasonal cycle of common meteorological parameters as derived from monthly ERA-Interim reanalysis. Each frame represents an average of values from 1979-2000, thus providing a climatological signal.




Absolutely fascinating graphics! It looks like someone breathing.
0.0 currently!

I am going to witness negative degrees in F for the first time in my life! In Nashville, TN, to boot!
Quoting 627. Astrometeor:
0.0 currently!

I am going to witness negative degrees in F for the first time in my life! In Nashville, TN, to boot!


Edit: Negative has been breached! Hooray! I'm way too excited!
Walk around outside and breathe it in Nathan. This is your big chance!
Quoting 629. BaltimoreBrian:
Walk around outside and breathe it in Nathan. This is your big chance!


Imma wake up real early tomorrow and BREATHE it in.
Do it now Nathan! You don't know if wind will stir things up towards morning, or if it gets cloudier. If you go to bed without doing it now, I bet it will be 3 or 4 when you wake up!

Down to 6.8 at my window now. We've breached our forecast low.
Quoting 626. weatherhistorian:



Absolutely fascinating graphics! It looks like someone breathing.



it is nice and there is a trend signal in there



Quoting 630. Astrometeor:


Imma wake up real early tomorrow and BREATHE it in.


I've found that the first thing it hits is your ears...they become irritated almost instantly.

Source: I walked outside and sat down.
DR MASTERS::: BEWARE it looks like you had that aluminum pole very close to your power line going into the house . dont do that as we all here really enjoy you being around,
Quoting 515. georgevandenberghe:


This outbreak is skirting South FL. Some others have driven much further south. The glancing blow was forecast and people new to the southern half of FL should realize it can get a lot colder than what is forecast tonight. Ask about the winter of 2009-10 and 2010-11 (and 1957-58) for persistant cold and about January 19, 1977, March 3 1980, Jan 11 1982 (which is somewhat like this one but more intense and a little further south), Christmas 1983, January 1985, December 1989, January 1997 (a radiation event in the SW and central part) FL isn't always warm and when it's cold it sometimes persists miserably for days. (yeah okay granted it's not "months")
Very well put and very well said!

You also got the dates absolutely correct and I believe you would have been capable of entering the temperature stats as well but refrained for the sake of brevity. Not a problem.

I have noticed some on this blog who reveal themselves by way of their comments to be neophytes when it comes to just how cold Florida can get and how cold it has gotten in the past. Frankly, this current cold wave is looking less than impressive to me, so far, and a disappointment. I have lived in Florida for almost four decades (moved here at age 12) and experienced all the cold waves you referenced in your post. Some of those also included measurable snowfall, by the way. And yes, even as recently as the winter of 2009-10 we had extended periods of temperatures well below normal in Florida. In my area of West Central Florida we had one full week where the temperature dropped below freezing every single night and two of those days had high temps well below 40F here.

South Floridians of today would be shocked to see just how cold it can get there too, when conditions line up just right. I see a lot of comments here about how "65 degrees is really cold for us here in Fort Myers" and similar statements and just chuckle to myself, knowing that the person who made the comment really has no idea about what can happen and has happened before.
Seriously, everyone: Bundle up
MINNEAPOLIS - The coldest, most dangerous blast of polar air in decades gripped the Midwest and pushed toward the east and south yesterday, closing schools and day-care centers, grounding flights and forcing people to pull their hoods and scarves tight to protect exposed skin from nearly instant frostbite.
Many across the nation's midsection went into virtual hibernation, while others dared to venture out in temperatures that plunged well below zero.

"I'm going to try to make it two blocks without turning into crying man," said Brooks Grace, who was bundling up to do some banking and shopping in downtown Minneapolis, where temperatures reached 23 below, with windchills of minus 48. "It's not cold - it's painful."

The mercury also dropped into negative territory in Milwaukee, St. Louis and Chicago, which set a record for the date at minus 16. Windchills across the region were 40 below and colder. Records also fell in Oklahoma, Texas and Indiana.

In Philadelphia, feels-like temperatures will range from 10 below zero to 20 below zero.
Forecasters said about 187 million people in all could feel the effects of the "polar vortex" by the time it spread across the country last night and today.


Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/news/nation_world/20 140107_Seriously__everyone__Bundle_up.html
637. Kumo
It's in the Mid to low 20's now in the Houston area with a few more hours to go before temps bottom out.

People down here must be freaking out, the roads were unusually quiet this evening.

God forbid if we ever get snow down here, I bet folks are going to think the world is ending. :D
Interesting that the price of a megawatt hour on my screen which is normally about $40, maybe a bit less sometimes, has been running at about $270 this morning
Or about 7 times higher than normal for the price.
the source it says is PJM. The link.

http://powerisknowledge.com/

I know it fluctuates all the time but this is the highest I have ever seen the US paying for electricity!

I imagine its about 3.30 am in the States now, it being 9.30 am here in Southern Europe with unbroken sunshine and a temp of 6/C rising later to about 17/C today.
Not a breath of wind in my area today unlike the countries of northern Europe who are still under storm warnings.
11 meter or 36 foot waves forecast for the north coast of Spain today.
Quoting 637. Kumo:
It's in the Mid to low 20's now in the Houston area with a few more hours to go before temps bottom out.

People down here must be freaking out, the roads were unusually quiet this evening.

God forbid if we ever get snow down here, I bet folks are going to think the world is ending. :D
Until last year, Houston had at least one measurable snow event each year for three years in a row. If I am not mistaken, at least one of those events totaled more than three inches, on average. You must be new to that area.
As a foot note to my comment at 638.
I now note that at 9.45 am European time, the price of electricity is now running at $259 a megawatt or about 7 times what it normally seems to be.
I am sure somebody will be able to put up a graph of this phenomenon later!
You may be experiencing historic power price charges as of now?


http://powerisknowledge.com/

I am sincerely hoping you people in North America don't suffer any dangerous power cuts in this historic cold spell.
Good Morning All,
Detroit -13 Windchill -39
Grayling Army Air Field, Mich -7 Windchill -26
Grayling, Alaska 26
maybe we need to ship some of the cold back
good morning..cold but no freeze by me............
Wow, so part of the USA have to go all the way back to 1994 for a comparison.
Holland smashed the date record yesterday, second one this year. Heat. Records as of summer 1900.

If it's somewhere cold as to near some records there's a five times greater area on the world smashing all time warmth records, easy.

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 10 TO 25 DEGREES FOR LEVY...
CITRUS...HERNANDO...AND SUMTER COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE WIND CHILL
VALUES OF 21 TO 35 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED. THE COLDEST READINGS
WILL OCCUR AROUND SUNRISE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...SENSITIVE PLANTS AND PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT
INSIDE OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES WILL
DROP TO 35 OR LOWER...EXCEPT 25 OR LOWER ACROSS THE NATURE COAST
AND SUMTER COUNTY.

&&

$$
cold dont last long here in florida..look whats ahead..
I've been watching the electricity wholesale prices now for a bit over 2 hours.
At he moment as of 11 40 European time the price is stated to be $573 per megawatt hour.
This as far as I can see works out at $0.573 cents a kilowatt hour.
The average for New York last year was:-
New York Graph 18.89 / 18.44 Cents a kilowatt hour sold to the consumer.
Based on this and nobody has checked my figures but the wholesale price of electricity in the US today, now is about 3 times what the retail price was last year.
As the price the consumers pay must be fixed somewhere down the line then the power supply companies must be running at a massive loss today and probably on going for as many days as this cold spell or spells last.
As of now 11.45 Am, here, probably with the US morning wake up period the price has risen to $631 a megawatt hour or $0.631 cents a kilowatt hour.
Have a good day everybody. I'm going off to work now.
I hope you don't get any power cuts in this present freeze.
Morning all. I just stepped outside, and the front definitely went through at last... later than expected. It rained enough to leave a couple puddles, and the air is definitely cooler. The airport is reporting 69 and the other 2 stations 68.

Our high has been revised down to 71, so maybe tonight it will actually be cold... :o)

Off to look for a sweater!

Quoting 643. LargoFl:
good morning..cold but no freeze by me............


Yep, temps are ranging from 41-44 degrees down here in Fort Myers (forecasted low was 38).

But we're having light rain in my area that really wasn't planned for this morning.
Just as I said yesterday C FL would not get a freeze. Temps really struggled to fall last night due to so much cloud cover in place.
the one good thing this morning here by me on the coast this morning, those 35mph winds died down or we would be having some serious wind chill factors here wow..those winds last evening were plenty strong..lots of dead branch parts all over the place here..
Quoting 650. Sfloridacat5:


Yep, temps are ranging from 41-44 degrees down here in Fort Myers (foreasted low was 38).

But we're having light rain in my area that really wasn't planned for this morning.


Remember I was saying that yesterday. I have only seen it once where we had a freeze with clouds in place and that was January 2010.

Quoting 652. LargoFl:
the one good thing this morning here by me on the coast this morning, those 35mph winds died down or we would be having some serious wind chill factors here wow..those winds last evening were plenty strong..lots of dead branch parts all over the place here..


It's really not that cold here in Orlando. Light winds no 25mph winds that the NWS in Melbourne was calling for.
Airport now reporting 68.
Too much moisture in place for FL to get a freeze.

one cold day and one more morning and its all over for my area..
Quoting 654. StormTrackerScott:


It's really not that cold here in Orlando. Light winds no 25mph winds that the NWS in Melbourne was calling for.


Winds did come in during the night down here. Local news said winds are gusting to 35 mph.

Officially right now
Speed / Dir

13 mph from NNE

Wind Gust

22 mph
Quoting 654. StormTrackerScott:


It's really not that cold here in Orlando. Light winds no 25mph winds that the NWS in Melbourne was calling for.
gee scott it sure was blowing around me yesterday wow..tree's were swaying big time.
wow check out DC area.................URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
340 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ054>057- 071645-
/O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140107T2300Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...
WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...
FREDERICKSBURG
340 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WIND CHILL...5 BELOW TO 15 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...TODAY. THE LOWEST WIND CHILL VALUES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDAY HOURS.

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS EARLY THIS MORNING...RISING INTO
THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE
AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$
Wunderground shows 0% chance of rain for Fort Myers. It's raining all around the area right now.

Cold rain - 10 degrees colder and we'd be looking at snow.
1 local location reporting - 39 with rain. That's horrible weather.
Here, winds r out of the N @ 20 mph....
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's all of 18 degrees with a wind chill of 17. My wired in smoke detector in my bedroom has been going off all night about every five minutes, occasionally setting the others off with it. Needless to say I haven't slept well. High is supposed to be around forty, but yesterday it was supposed to be 35 and never got past thirty. We had kids coming to school in nothing but a sweatshirt.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Fruity Baked Oatmeal, Spicy Scrambled Egg Sandwiches, apple cinnamon waffles, Corned Beef Hash with Fried Eggs, Glazed Cinnamon Rolls with Pecan Swirls, Omelet Soufflé, Oversize Breakfast Biscuits with sausage patties and strawberry jelly on the side, sweet and spicy bacon, Apple-Pecan Baked Oatmeal, Cajun Breakfast Casserole, cheesy grits and shrimp, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Special treat of flavored cappuccinos, cinnamon, Irish cream, white chocolate caramel or French vanilla . Enjoy!
Quoting 661. Sfloridacat5:
Wunderground shows 0% chance of rain for Fort Myers. It's raining all around the area right now.

Cold rain - 10 degrees colder and we'd be looking at snow.
temps are supposed to drop more til sunrise..
Quoting 663. aislinnpaps:
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's all of 18 degrees with a wind chill of 17. My wired in smoke detector in my bedroom has been going off all night about every five minutes, occasionally setting the others off with it. Needless to say I haven't slept well. High is supposed to be around forty, but yesterday it was supposed to be 35 and never got past thirty. We had kids coming to school in nothing but a sweatshirt.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Fruity Baked Oatmeal, Spicy Scrambled Egg Sandwiches, apple cinnamon waffles, Corned Beef Hash with Fried Eggs, Glazed Cinnamon Rolls with Pecan Swirls, Omelet Soufflé, Oversize Breakfast Biscuits with sausage patties and strawberry jelly on the side, sweet and spicy bacon, Apple-Pecan Baked Oatmeal, Cajun Breakfast Casserole, cheesy grits and shrimp, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Special treat of flavored cappuccinos, cinnamon, Irish cream, white chocolate caramel or French vanilla . Enjoy!
good morning TY for the great breakfast
Freeze Warning

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
357 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

...FREEZE AND HARD FREEZE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING...

FLZ045-046-053-141-147-071400-
/O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140107T1400Z/
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORLANDO...SANFORD...KISSIMMEE...
ST CLOUD...DAYTONA BEACH...TITUSVILLE
357 AM EST TUE JAN 7 2014

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...VERY COLD AIR WILL AFFECT ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
OSCEOLA AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS
MORNING. EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO
THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
AROUND 15 MPH INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOUR. TWO TO FOUR HOURS OF
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ARE EXPECTED.

* IMPACTS...THE COLD TEMPERATURES CAN KILL CROPS AND OTHER
TENDER VEGETATION IF NOT ADEQUATELY PROTECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE HIGHLY LIKELY.
REMEMBER TO BRING PETS AND HOUSE PLANTS INDOORS. PROTECT OUTDOOR
TENDER VEGETATION. DRESS APPROPRIATELY FOR THE COLD TEMPERATURES.
BE EXTRA CAREFUL WITH KEROSENE AND SPACE HEATERS. BE SURE TO KEEP
SPACE HEATERS AWAY FROM CURTAINS AND OTHER FLAMMABLE MATERIALS.

&&

$$
its strange how it always gets colder, just before sunrise huh...
Two digital thermometers in my yard.

front yard currently reading 20.3F
back yard currently at 18.5F
144 days until Hurricane Season.
Quoting 669. PensacolaDoug:
Two digital thermometers in my yard.

front yard currently reading 20.3F
back yard currently at 18.5F


It's like my house (ranging from 42 - 44 degrees). But I've got you beat. I've got 3 outdoor digitals. Two are just low budget (digital) ones attached to trees. Then I have my Vantage Vue. I ususally see about a 2 degree difference based on location.
All are about the same distance from the house though.
Quoting 671. Sfloridacat5:


It's like my house. But I've got you beat. I've got 3 outdoor digitals. Two are just low budget ones attached to trees. Then I have my Vantage Vue. I ususally see about a 2 degree difference based on location.
All are about the same distance from the house though.



The front yard (attached to a tree surrounded by azalea bushes) is a remote that sends to a clock.
The back yard is an off brand PWS with the sensor located about 2 feet above the eave of my garage.
Morning everyone, from a cold person in MD.

Thermometer read -2.6 Degrees outside with a wind chill of -23. Today is one of those days where when you leave your 75 degree house and take one step outside, your chest feels like it gets crushed by the shock of how cold it is outside.

Local weather station:

Link

Edit: This is the coldest day in my county since 1/17/92, when it was about -3 degrees outside with a wind chill of -25, and we might potentially shatter that record if official estimates are lower than my extremely close to record temperature readings.
Quoting 670. Climate175:
144 days until Hurricane Season.


Counting already, eh? I don't expect much from this year's season.
Quoting 667. LargoFl:


Heres my advisory.


... Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EST this
evening...

* wind chill... 20 below to 25 below zero.

* Timing... today. The lowest wind chill values are expected
through the midday hours.

* Temperatures... zero to 5 above early this morning... rising to 10
to 15 above this afternoon.

* Winds... west 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Impacts... dangerously low wind chills could lead to frostbite
and hypothermia.

Quoting 654. StormTrackerScott:


It's really not that cold here in Orlando. Light winds no 25mph winds that the NWS in Melbourne was calling for.

I'm not far from you. The low here at the house so far is 35. Winds ~5 mph.
Quoting 676. Birthmark:

I'm not far from you. The low here at the house so far is 35. Winds ~5 mph.


35 here as well winds around 9 mph from the North. Forecast low was 30 for me.
Wow. I haven't seen so much blue in so long now....

Cant believe that its warmer in Oregon than in part of Florida.

Coldest air stayed across N FL.

Quoting 677. StormTrackerScott:


35 here as well winds around 9 mph from the North. Forecast low was 30 for me.
Morning, 32 n wind at 8 wind chill was 27 at my house, Zephyrhills Fl.
Good morning everyone. We hit the exact temperature predicted here, it's going to be a slow warm up today.

Pinebrook Estates, Largo
Elevation
30 ft
Station Select
Now
ClearClear
Temperature
36.1 °F
Feels Like 33 °F

682. yoboi
Quoting 676. Birthmark:

I'm not far from you. The low here at the house so far is 35. Winds ~5 mph.



16.3 here the record was 19.....Brrrrr I am producing so much co2 right now and it's not keeping me too warm...;)
Quoting 679. StormTrackerScott:
Coldest air stayed across N FL.

They say the coldest of air is still coming south.
Quoting 680. severstorm:
Morning, 32 n wind at 8 wind chill was 27 at my house, Zephyrhills Fl.



Good morning buddy long time no see! Yeah you are guys are in a cold pocket it seems on the westernside of FL.
Quoting 683. severstorm:
They say the coldest of air is still coming south.


Forecast is for 38 tonight but that comes in the evening as temps warm overnight by us as the winds switch to the NE and pulls Atlantic moisture over eastern FL.


Here comes the heat in 24 hours. These temps are 10 to 12 degrees above normal.

Quoting 684. StormTrackerScott:



Good morning buddy long time no see! Yeah you are guys are in a cold pocket it seems on the westernside of FL.
your right it has been awhile. I'm on here almost every day just not much to say. Yes i'm in a cold pocket always.
Even coastal locations are near freezing which says a lot about this airmass. Daytona Beach is now under freezing and only expected to reach up to 45 today.

ERAU Daytona Beach, Daytona Be
Elevation
26 ft
Station Select
Now
Mostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
Temperature
31.8 °F
Feels Like 25 °F
good morning everyone!

26 F here in st. augustine, FL, 14 with that wonderful ocean breeze. good thing i kept my michigan clothes from years ago :) stay warm.
Quoting 687. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Even coastal locations are near freezing which says a lot about this airmass. Daytona Beach is now under freezing and only expected to reach up to 45 today.

ERAU Daytona Beach, Daytona Be
Elevation
26 ft
Station Select
Now
Mostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
Temperature
31.8 F
Feels Like 25 F


All reporting stations near and around Orlando are all in the mid 30's. Villages to Daytona Beach are hovering around the 32 mark but they just got there in the last 30 minutes not anything to worry about citrus wise.

This might have been our chance to get a freeze this Winter. Next couple of weeks going into February look very warm and wet at times.
Quoting 689. StormTrackerScott:


All reporting stations near and around Orlando are all in the mid 30's. Villages to Daytona Beach are hovering around the 32 mark but they just got there in the last 30 minutes not anything to worry about citrus wise.
That's interesting that it seems coastal locations are colder than the interior. I think the wind chill is what is driving down the temperatures.
Quoting 690. GTstormChaserCaleb:
That's interesting that it seems coastal locations are colder than the interior. I think the wind chill is what is driving down the temperatures.


Remember Daytona is a good bit north of me. Daytona is 63 miles NE from where I live.
Quoting 689. StormTrackerScott:


All reporting stations near and around Orlando are all in the mid 30's. Villages to Daytona Beach are hovering around the 32 mark but they just got there in the last 30 minutes not anything to worry about citrus wise.

This might have been our chance to get a freeze this Winter. Next couple of weeks going into February look very warm and wet at times.


Just hit 32.5 in downtown Orlando by the Executive Airport.
Quoting 692. Naga5000:


Just hit 32.5 in downtown Orlando by the Executive Airport.


It is only 33.1 at my house in Citrus Park just a few miles north of the airport in Tampa.
Despite the local news folks hyping the cold snap with constant decrees of today bringing "...the most frigid temperatures in decades", that turns out to be no where close to the truth. In fact, it's not even the coldest morning in the past year. Further in fact, it's 46 here in my part of Naples at the moment, which is just three degrees cooler than the 49 I recorded on Thanksgiving morning. Ah, well.

Att any rate, I love the whiplash-y weather coming up for South Florida over the next few days. Tomorrow (Wednesday) morning is forecast to bring upper 30s and lows 40s to some areas, while Thursday morning's forecast lows--that is, just 24 hours later--are expected to not fall out of the 70s in places. And both lows and highs are expected to run 15-20 degrees above normal from Friday through the weekend.
Euro is showing a .5" to a 1.00" of rain on Thursday. GGEM has 1.00 to 2.00" total across the region. I think the Euro is right here as this will be a light to moderate overrunning rain.

Quoting 694. Neapolitan:
Despite the local news folks hyping the cold snap with constant decrees of today bringing "...the most frigid temperatures in decades", that turns out to be no where close to the truth. In fact, it's not even the coldest morning in the past year. Further in fact, it's 46 here in my part of Naples at the moment, which is just three degrees cooler than the 49 I recorded on Thanksgiving morning. Ah, well.

Att any rate, I love the whiplash-y weather coming up for South Florida over the next few days. Tomorrow (Wednesday) morning is forecast to bring upper 30s and lows 40s to some areas, while Thursday morning's forecast lows--that is, just 24 hours later--are expected to not fall out of the 70s in places. And both lows and highs are expected to run 15-20 degrees above normal from Friday through the weekend.


Media outlets really hyped this one as are temps are 5 to 7 days warmer than forecast across the board in the Orlando area.
Quoting 692. Naga5000:


Just hit 32.5 in downtown Orlando by the Executive Airport.


temp down to 34.6 here.
Quoting Neapolitan:
Despite the local news folks hyping the cold snap with constant decrees of today bringing "...the most frigid temperatures in decades", that turns out to be no where close to the truth. In fact, it's not even the coldest morning in the past year. Further in fact, it's 46 here in my part of Naples at the moment, which is just three degrees cooler than the 49 I recorded on Thanksgiving morning. Ah, well.

Att any rate, I love the whiplash-y weather coming up for South Florida over the next few days. Tomorrow (Wednesday) morning is forecast to bring upper 30s and lows 40s to some areas, while Thursday morning's forecast lows--that is, just 24 hours later--are expected to not fall out of the 70s in places. And both lows and highs are expected to run 15-20 degrees above normal from Friday through the weekend.


Very similar to how the media hypes global warming...
Quoting 690. GTstormChaserCaleb:
That's interesting that it seems coastal locations are colder than the interior. I think the wind chill is what is driving down the temperatures.


Really ?

Quoting 694. Neapolitan:
Despite the local news folks hyping the cold snap with constant decrees of today bringing "...the most frigid temperatures in decades", that turns out to be no where close to the truth. In fact, it's not even the coldest morning in the past year. Further in fact, it's 46 here in my part of Naples at the moment, which is just three degrees cooler than the 49 I recorded on Thanksgiving morning. Ah, well.

Att any rate, I love the whiplash-y weather coming up for South Florida over the next few days. Tomorrow (Wednesday) morning is forecast to bring upper 30s and lows 40s to some areas, while Thursday morning's forecast lows--that is, just 24 hours later--are expected to not fall out of the 70s in places. And both lows and highs are expected to run 15-20 degrees above normal from Friday through the weekend.
A few areas are getting cold that is near or record breaking, especially the Mid South..bbl.
Quoting 698. Thunderfan:


Very similar to how the media hypes global warming...

Really? The media apparently does nothing with AGW, otherwise you would have understood the message of that post.
17 degrees here in the middle FL Panhandle!! A repeat of 2010.

I just went outside to check on my citrus which I took a lot of time to cover yesterday.

just being outside for a few minutes made my fingers numb and start to hurt.. absolutely brutal.
I hardly call it hype when we are dealing with -40 degree or lower wind chills that can cause hypothermia and frostbite. Some areas are even nearing or hitting record cold. Just remember FL. is not the only state on the map. :P
Edited: I dunno what happened..See post below
Quoting 694. Neapolitan:
Despite the local news folks hyping the cold snap with constant decrees of today bringing "...the most frigid temperatures in decades", that turns out to be no where close to the truth. In fact, it's not even the coldest morning in the past year. Further in fact, it's 46 here in my part of Naples at the moment, which is just three degrees cooler than the 49 I recorded on Thanksgiving morning. Ah, well.

Att any rate, I love the whiplash-y weather coming up for South Florida over the next few days. Tomorrow (Wednesday) morning is forecast to bring upper 30s and lows 40s to some areas, while Thursday morning's forecast lows--that is, just 24 hours later--are expected to not fall out of the 70s in places. And both lows and highs are expected to run 15-20 degrees above normal from Friday through the weekend.



Good Morning Nea and All..
19 degrees here..
Record of 19 in 1924..
Tied now..
Probably drop maybe 1 more degree..
Not much..
But it's the wind thats a pain really..
A steady 10mph with gusts to 22..
Alot of cold, wet. tired Plumbers will be heading to the bank by sunset..
Happens every time it gets below around 25 here..
Glad I'm happily retired and not a plumber.. :)
Sometimes being a Florida gardener can be ridiculous: we grow numerous plants and even trees in the yard that will be burned in cold weather, and have to go outside each time there is a freeze, withstanding the cold blast.
Quoting 703. GTstormChaserCaleb:
 Just remember FL. is not the only state on the map. :P
Tell that to the general blog populace when this year's hurricane season gets into full swing. :)

EDIT: What I mean by that is... people are too Florida-centric on this blog. But I suppose that applies to any location if you live in a hurricane-prone area. Not trying to trivialize that, it was just a poor shot at a joke that's no doubt going to fall on deaf ears.
Good morning everyone. 34F here in Orlando (no freeze) and the lowest in FL has been 16F in Defuniak Springs. Florida has seen ALOT worse, even in recent history.
Quoting 708. HurrMichaelOrl:
Good morning everyone. 34F here in Orlando (no freeze) and the lowest in FL has been 16F in Defuniak Springs. Florida has seen ALOT worse, even in recent history.

It's funny though, cause when it got to 17 at my location (halfway between P'cola and Panama City) back in 2010, Orlando got to around 30 or below I believe..

I can't remember the exact date at the moment, I think it was late January
Quoting 708. HurrMichaelOrl:
Good morning everyone. 34F here in Orlando (no freeze) and the lowest in FL has been 16F in Defuniak Springs. Florida has seen ALOT worse, even in recent history.


Morning Micheal..
I guess it depends on where your at..
I dunno..


Here's WU reporting station for Defuniak Spring ATM..

Edited: Corrected Link
Quoting 703. GTstormChaserCaleb:
I hardly call it hype when we are dealing with -40 degree or lower wind chills that can cause hypothermia and frostbite. Some areas are even nearing or hitting record cold. Just remember FL. is not the only state on the map. :P
Well, I specifically noted that I was talking about South Florida, where wind chills are nowhere close to -40. And I'm not stating that it isn't cold; just that, for us in the southern tip of the peninsula, it's far from "the deepest blast of Arctic air in decades". Again, for us, it's not even the coldest weather in the past year.
I kinda have a bad feeling that we are going to see another freeze event, possibly worse than this one, before the winter is over.
43f. not bad. considering the island is surrounded by warm water e cen fl impressive drop in temp.
Peoria airport

Mostly Cloudy
-8 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Windchill: -24 °F
Humidity: 75%
Dew Point: -14 °F
Wind: 8 mph from the SSW
Pressure: 30.40 in (Steady)
Quoting 702. opal92nwf:
17 degrees here in the middle FL Panhandle!! A repeat of 2010.

I just went outside to check on my citrus which I took a lot of time to cover yesterday.

just being outside for a few minutes made my fingers numb and start to hurt.. absolutely brutal.


I can relate. The heater was not working in my truck yesterday morning. (Plugged up heater core) When I got in my breath fogged up the windows and immediately froze.

-24 will do that for you.

With the heater working today, the -8 seemed almost balmy.

Cheers
Qazulight (Fargo)
Current conditions

Chapel Hill, Williams Airport (KIGX)

Lat: 35.94°N Lon: 79.07°W
Elev: 509ft.

Fair

8°F
-13°C

Wind Speed NW 5 mph
Barometer 30.39 in (1029.6 mb)
Dewpoint -9°F (-23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill -1°F (-18°C)





Florida Declares Emergency Over Its Worst Freeze
January 23, 1985

About 90% of Florida's orange crop is used for juice concentrate. The current cold spell--with temperatures plunging to 6 degrees in Tallahassee, 19 in Orlando and 28 in Miami--calls for a frenzied harvest. The fruit can still be used for juice if it is picked quickly.

This^^ freeze makes the one we are having now look like child's play
Quoting 705. pcola57:



Good Morning Nea and All..
19 degrees here..
Record of 19 in 1924..
Tied now..
Probably drop maybe 1 more degree..
Not much..
But it's the wind thats a pain really..
A steady 10mph with gusts to 22..
Alot of cold, wet. tired Plumbers will be heading to the bank by sunset..
Happens every time it gets below around 25 here..
Glad I'm happily retired and not a plumber.. :)


Well suns been up for about an hour and locally 18.3 degrees..
I'm positive NWS will go with 19 so a tie with 1924 record here..
Quoting 708. HurrMichaelOrl:
Good morning everyone. 34F here in Orlando (no freeze) and the lowest in FL has been 16F in Defuniak Springs. Florida has seen ALOT worse, even in recent history.


We can thank all the cloud cover last night and breezy conditions keeping the air stirred up. Temps now have risen to 35.3 in Longwood. Low was 34 about 30 minutes ago.
Everything is still green and all the plants are doing fine this morning. Very happy for the no freeze as this is the first Winter that my yard has looked this fantastic. Grass is greener than ever and all my plant are in bloom due to the warm Winter we have had.

Quoting 627. Astrometeor:
0.0 currently!

I am going to witness negative degrees in F for the first time in my life! In Nashville, TN, to boot!


If you go to Penn State it won't be the last time! :-)
Quoting 708. HurrMichaelOrl:
Good morning everyone. 34F here in Orlando (no freeze) and the lowest in FL has been 16F in Defuniak Springs. Florida has seen ALOT worse, even in recent history.
You are definitely right about that. Cloud cover and winds typically keep actual air temperature from falling off as would expected from a clear, calm night or radiational cooling. At any rate this cold snap will be remembered more for the wind chill values, but some places will have tied or broken records. I'm just thankful it didn't get any colder for the sake of farmers across FL. Too bad the air at the surface dried out and didn't allow for that precipitation that is showing up on NEXRAD to make it to the ground. Still yet there is a chance tonight and early in the morning along the NE coast of FL. up by Daytona with the return flow.
PRECEDENTED, OFTEN BEFORE SEEN, cold has verified in College Park. 5F this morning. WInds have died down to breezes and dogs did not ask for early walk termination as they often do in our summer heat.

It is the coldest of the 21'st century.


Quoting 712. Neapolitan:
Well, I specifically noted that I was talking about South Florida, where wind chills are nowhere close to -40. And I'm not stating that it isn't cold; just that, for us in the southern tip of the peninsula, it's far from "the deepest blast of Arctic air in decades". Again, for us, it's not even the coldest weather in the past year.
Yes, I do agree with that, it was stated by some of the news outlets here in the Tampa Bay that this would be the coldest blast of air since 2010 from Central to South FL. but that wasn't the case. Amazing what little cloud cover and winds can do to stir up the temperatures.
Good Morning from Tallahassee.........Cold start to the morning (22) but that's OK cause there's a warm fuzzy feeling in town................Nuff Said.
Ian.

It is 4 degrees at my house.Brrr is right.With the wind chill well into the negative teens.It is currently 7 at R.N.A
Link
Quoting 709. opal92nwf:

It's funny though, cause when it got to 17 at my location (halfway between P'cola and Panama City) back in 2010, Orlando got to around 30 or below I believe..

I can't remember the exact date at the moment, I think it was late January
If i remember it was jan, 22 2010 and i got down to 19 in z-hills fl.
Quoting Qazulight:


I can relate. The heater was not working in my truck yesterday morning. (Plugged up heater core) When I got in my breath fogged up the windows and immediately froze.

-24 will do that for you.

With the heater working today, the -8 seemed almost balmy.

Cheers
Qazulight (Fargo)


lol yesterday I drove my usual vehicle to work thru all the snow and stuff - an '87 Samurai and on the way home with the wind and zero temp it was a cold ride.
This morning I took the Liberty (love to drive the Samurai but wanted something a little more reliable just in case)and had to turn down the heat with it -13 outside. wuz nice and comfy
Quoting 721. StormTrackerScott:
Everything is still green and all the plants are doing fine this morning. Very happy for the no freeze as this is the first Winter that my yard has looked this fantastic. Grass is greener than ever and all my plant are in bloom due to the warm Winter we have had.

Amazing what spray paint will do. lol i'm up to 34 now.
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 9:00 AM EST Tuesday 7 January 2014
Condition:Mainly Sunny
Pressure:30.1 inches
Tendency:rising
Visibility:15 miles
Temperature:-8.1°F
Dewpoint:-17.3°F
Humidity:64%
Wind:WSW 20 gust 28 mph
Wind Chill: -33
our low was -11.3f at 7 am
Quoting 727. weathermanwannabe:
Good Morning from Tallahassee.........Cold start to the morning (22) but that's OK cause there's a warm fuzzy feeling in town................Nuff Said.
go seminoles
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET January 7 2014
====================================

In the Mozambique Channel
--------------------------------------

The monsoon flow extends southward down to 22.0S and supplies locally a strong convective activity around a 23.0S 38.0E - 18.0S 44.0E axis. A weak low level clockwise circulation (05/15 knots according to the ASCAT data of this morning, but reaching 20-25 knots locally 30 kt in the vicinity of the western coast of Madagascar) is visible on satellite imagery. At 0930Z, it is located approximately over land near 21.0S 34.3E with a current moving north-eastward. Low wind-shear and good divergence equatorward aloft foster the convective developments. In relationship with the arrival of high pressures from the southwest, the trade-wind flow is accelerating and penetrating over the south of the Channel. The low level convergence is improving and upper level divergence remains favorable with a good divergence establishing polewards.

This low is expected to exit over seas at the end of the day, and available numerical weather prediction models suggest a east southeastwards track on Wednesday, then south southeastwards on Tuesday (close to the southwestern coasts of Madagascar). From Tuesday, this low may progressively undergo the influence of a northerly vertical wind shear unfavorable for significant development.

East of 90.0E
-------------------

Thursday and beyond, a low could form over the far eastern part of our area. It should be within a marginal environment (poor equatorwards low level inflow, moderate to strong easterly shear) as it is expected to track westwards rather rapidly. Some slow development is however likely.

The likelihood that a tropical depression develops over our basin is very low today, become moderate on Wednesday (in the Mozambique Channel), then high on Tuesday. Over the far eastern part of the basin, the likelihood that a tropical depression develops is very low up to Friday and becomes low Saturday, moderate on Sunday associated with a developing low.
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #10
TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN, CATEGORY ONE (07F)
0:00 AM FST January 8 2014
======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Ian (995 hPa) located at 18.3S 176.6W has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. Position poor based on hourly multispectral infrared imagery and peripheral surface reports. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 2 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==================
60 NM off center in northern semi-circle an within 30 NM off center elsewhere

organization has not changed much with deep convection remaining persistent in past 24 hours. System remains in a low sheared environment under an upper ridge. Sea surface temperature is around 28C. System is moving westward on the northern periphery of the mid level ridge situated to the south of the system.

Dvorak analysis based on 0.30 wrap yielding DT of 2.0, PT=2.5, and MET=3.0. Final Dvorak intensity based on PT.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24HRS

The consensus of global models agree on a west to northwestward movement then recurving it southeastward with gradual intensification.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 18.0S 176.8W - 35 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS: 18.0S 176.9W - 40 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.7S 175.9W - 45 knots (CAT 1)
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA BOB01-2014
8:30 AM IST January 7 2014
========================================

At 3:00 AM UTC, the depression over Sri Lanka weakened and now lays as a well marked low pressure area over Sri Lanka and adjoining Gulf of Mannar.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory on this is system from the India Meteorological Department..
Quoting 713. opal92nwf:
I kinda have a bad feeling that we are going to see another freeze event, possibly worse than this one, before the winter is over.
ya after this one it will moderate all the while fresh batch of arctic will will be building for the plunge for late jan and feb
Got down to 17 in Mandeville La before I left the house. Never got above freezing yesterday. This global warming sucks LOL
This should be interesting.
we all must remember, days ago they said tuesday evening into wens morning may be the coldest temp wise,after that we warm up again here in florida,lets see if it verifies tomorrow morning,supposedly here by me it stays in the 40's today...
Tampa.......................
Quoting 713. opal92nwf:
I kinda have a bad feeling that we are going to see another freeze event, possibly worse than this one, before the winter is over.
That's entirely possible. The recent SSW event (which wasn't behind the current cold blast) may condemn parts of the US to a below-normal late January and February. But, as always, we'll see...
3F and windy aint that bad.

What was bad was auburn choking and ending the SEC streak....worst of all it's to FSU
747. ARiot
Quoting 744. Neapolitan:
That's entirely possible. The recent SSW event (which wasn't behind the current cold blast) may condemn parts of the US to a below-normal late January and February. But, as always, we'll see...


I guess a year or so ago the last big SSW popped the Artic over to N. Europe? (I forget the year, but it was when western Europe sat photos were all white and everyone was so amazed).

It's good that people can see these things coming and give at least decent 7 day trends. That way you can plan.

However, the variations in the jet stream probably caused by slowing due to lower temperature variants is more troubling, and probably harder to factor in to a forecast.

We'll see.

I agree that generally speaking, we ain't seen nothing yet. The next 20 years will be soup sandwich, that's for sure.
What was bad was auburn choking and ending the SEC streak....worst of all it's to FSU




first of all a wonderful 14 degrees this morning....and some of us are thrilled the sec lost.....and go noles!!
hr 192 6z run

GFS and Euro show more cold air in 10 days.
I have received 9 complaints of bang or large popping noises overnight the last one was about 15 mins ago

lots of frost quakes the last 18 hrs or so

I am telling people whats causing the noise and there like huh

ya the noise is being caused by the extreme cold I tell em its frost quakes should stop after today for we will reach the max cold point then and it will slowly warm up

Quoting 748. ricderr:
What was bad was auburn choking and ending the SEC streak....worst of all it's to FSU




first of all a wonderful 14 degrees this morning....and some of us are thrilled the sec lost.....and go noles!!


What a game and Go Noles!!! Noles should back in the title game next year too as they have a tremendous amount of talent coming back next year from all positions.
Quoting 751. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I have received 9 complaints of bang or large popping noises overnight the last one was about 15 mins ago

lots of frost quakes the last 18 hrs or so

I am telling people whats causing the noise and there like huh

ya the noise is being caused by the extreme cold I tell em its frost quakes should stop after today for we will reach the max cold point then and it will slowly warm up

Sounds like a good sci-fy movie.
Quoting 751. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I have received 9 complaints of bang or large popping noises overnight the last one was about 15 mins ago

lots of frost quakes the last 18 hrs or so

I am telling people whats causing the noise and there like huh

ya the noise is being caused by the extreme cold I tell em its frost quakes should stop after today for we will reach the max cold point then and it will slowly warm up



Probably not a frost quake, those are quite rare. More likely just loud creaks, bangs, and pops coming from the houses due to rapid shrinking of exposed materials.
Oh HELL no




I ain't come all the way to 2014 to continue getting drowned by rain again.... dadgum.
Quoting 751. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I have received 9 complaints of bang or large popping noises overnight the last one was about 15 mins ago

lots of frost quakes the last 18 hrs or so

I am telling people whats causing the noise and there like huh

ya the noise is being caused by the extreme cold I tell em its frost quakes should stop after today for we will reach the max cold point then and it will slowly warm up



Happening around here for the last 2 days !!
108 hrs



Followed promptly at 144 hrs





Hopefully the GFS is just over linearizing the rain swath, put pushing up against the sub 980 lows and another trough to the north, it might not be.... maybe we end up in a training flow.
Any early predictions for the next Atl. Hurricane season?
Quoting 754. ClimateChange:


Probably not a frost quake, those are quite rare. More likely just loud creaks, bangs, and pops coming from the houses due to rapid shrinking of exposed materials.
Neapolitan image

(Source)
Quoting 740. StormPro:
Got down to 17 in Mandeville La before I left the house. Never got above freezing yesterday. This global warming sucks LOL
Yeah, LOL.
Any early predictions for the next Atl. Hurricane season?


yep....they'll be some
Quoting 758. nocanesplease:
Any early predictions for the next Atl. Hurricane season?
Shhh.I kinda want this hurricane season to sneak up on us.Sorta like the "They'll never see this coming" thing.Like a good horror film.
Greetings, from a warm, occasionally showery, bright and breezy Trinidad.
Currently 82F heading for 83.

Enjoy your Beastly Cold weather.
This too shall pass.

(sorry. couldn't resist, heheheheheheh)
From my local NWS in Mobile,Al..



DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 530 AM CST TUE JAN 7 2014/

SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...BROAD 1038 SFC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE LA/MS BORDER THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TO THE TN RIVER VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH 12Z
WED. AS THE SFC RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE CWFA DURING THE DAY TODAY
THE STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION THAT IS BRINGING THE UNSEASONABLY COLD
TEMPS TO THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT POSSIBLE AFFECTING OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS PATTERN WELL WITH 925 MB TEMPS REBOUNDING FROM
-10 TO -12 C TO AROUND 0 C BY 06Z AND 1 TO 2 C BY 12Z WED. ALOFT A
MORE ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS THROUGH TONIGHT SUPPORTING THE QUICK
REBOUND IN THE LOWER LEVELS ALSO. LATEST MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO
SHOW HIGH BASE MOISTURE SUPPORTING THE CONTINUANCE OF SCT TO BKN
CIRRUS STREAMING EASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. WITH THIS TONIGHTS
LOW TEMPS WILL HAVE TO BE A RESULT OF GOOD RADIATION COOLING AND
DECOUPLING AT THE SFC. THIS WILL LIKELY HAPPEN FOR MOST INLAND AREAS
WITH A LESSER CHANCE CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE HIGHER SFC WINDS ARE
NOTED IN THE GUIDANCE. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN TOWARDS THE
CURRENT FORECAST TEMPS FOR TONIGHT USING A BLEND OF THE CURRENT MAV
AND MET GUIDANCE THOUGH SOME ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE COAST WITH THE NEXT COUPLE OF MODEL RUNS. FOR NOW WE WILL
CONTINUE WITH HARD FREEZE WARNING FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT SOME
ADJUSTMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. TODAYS HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWFA AND
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S CLOSER TO THE COAST.
32/EE
Quoting 759. Neapolitan:
Neapolitan image

(Source)Yeah, LOL.


iam thinking its happening more because of the brief warmups
then frigid cold snaps
with large swings in temps that's why hearing more of them
once temp swinging settles down
so will the noises
peeps are hearing as well will stop
Official 6F in atlanta...


ECMWF might suppport a small severe wx threat in 8 days.
Interesting cloud break across much of Florida..





And lake effect snows are still cranking..





City of Toronto
10:13 AM EST Tuesday 07 January 2014
Wind chill warning for
City of Toronto continued

Persons in or near this area should be on the lookout for adverse weather conditions and take necessary safety precautions. Watch for updated statements.

Please refer to the latest public forecasts for further details and continue to monitor the situation through your local radio and television stations or Weatheradio.
No reason to suggest that global warming might cause an increase in the frequency of cold weather events. In fact, there has been a marked decrease as I showed in this blog post from 2012: Link.

This cold snap is completely consistent with global warming. It dropped to -12F here, which was the coldest since 1994. However, the very fact that this was a 20-year cold snap shows how much the frequency of extreme cold has changed. -12F or lower temperatures occurred at least once in each of the following winters: 1977, 1979, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1989, and 1994.

Even with the -12F low already recorded in 2014, the average extreme minimum temperature for the 2010s is just -1.8F.

This is consistent with a continuing warming trend in the decadal averages. In the 1960s, the average extreme minima was -7.9F. In the 1970s, -8.6F. In the 1980s, -11.3F. In the 1990s, -3.5F. In the 2000s, -2.3F. And in the 2010s, so far, just -1.8F.
Quoting 768. ClimateChange:
No reason to suggest that global warming might cause an increase in the frequency of cold weather events. In fact, there has been a marked decrease as I showed in this blog post from 2012: Link.

This cold snap is completely consistent with global warming. It dropped to -12F here, which was the coldest since 1994. However, the very fact that this was a 20-year cold snap shows how much the frequency of extreme cold has changed. -12F or lower temperatures occurred at least once in each of the following winters: 1977, 1979, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1989, and 1994.

Even with the -12F low already recorded in 2014, the average extreme minimum temperature for the 2010s is just -1.8F.

This is consistent with a continuing warming trend in the decadal averages. In the 1960s, the average extreme minima was -7.9F. In the 1970s, -8.6F. In the 1980s, -11.3F. In the 1990s, -3.5F. In the 2000s, -2.3F. And in the 2010s, so far, just -1.8F.


To better illustrate this, the average annual low over the thirty-year period from 1960 to 1989 was -9.3F. From 1990-2014, the average annual low has been -2.7F. In fact, the -9.3F average from 1960-1989 has been exceeded just three times (-22F in 1994, -10 in 2009, and -12 in 2014).
Quoting 761. washingtonian115:
Shhh.I kinda want this hurricane season to sneak up on us.Sorta like the "They'll never see this coming" thing.Like a good horror film.


Let's not skip severe wx season
Bottomed out at 26.1 here. Had a little rain with the front yesterday and have my first icicle in the 11 years living in my house.

Quoting 751. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I have received 9 complaints of bang or large popping noises overnight the last one was about 15 mins ago

lots of frost quakes the last 18 hrs or so

I am telling people whats causing the noise and there like huh

ya the noise is being caused by the extreme cold I tell em its frost quakes should stop after today for we will reach the max cold point then and it will slowly warm up

Sorry KEEP, I was eating some Pop Rocks Candy
It didn't get to bad in Palm Beach county...I registered 49...A little chilly with the wind though.
774. etxwx
Good morning all. We bottomed out at 20F here on the farm, cold for this area of Texas but balmy compared to my sis in Michigan who had -16F last night. It's nice and sunny and warming up now. Poor plants...temps at the end of the week will be near 70F. Now that's a weather roller coaster.

Freezing Weather Nearly Sends Texas Into Rolling Blackouts



Quoting 771. StAugustineFL:
Bottomed out at 26.1 here. Had a little rain with the front yesterday and have my first icicle in the 11 years living in my house.



Back in 2009-2010 we had rain all day and it was 37 that day! But that night we got down to 32 at 7 PM we got down to 28 next morning but where I live now we got down to 24 that night! And this is in WPB!! :)
Bottomed out at 15F with a strong northwest wind this morning. Highs probably won't reach 30F. Lows near 10-12F tonight.

I wish it would snow.
Quoting 764. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


iam thinking its happening more because of the brief warmups
then frigid cold snaps
with large swings in temps that's why hearing more of them
once temp swinging settles down
so will the noises
peeps are hearing as well will stop
keeper what is booming exactly...the ground freezing..or is it homes and tree's etc
Got down to 45 for me up to 51 now!
Quoting 773. PalmBeachWeather:
It didn't get to bad in Palm Beach county...I registered 49...A little chilly with the wind though.
funny thing here..if you stand in the sunlight..you can feel the warmth, but in the shade you shiver,come on sun, you what you do best..get this cold outta here lol
Quoting 778. SFLWeatherman:
Got down to 45 for me up to 51 now!
First time I have had on long pants for months.
Quoting 706. opal92nwf:
Sometimes being a Florida gardener can be ridiculous: we grow numerous plants and even trees in the yard that will be burned in cold weather, and have to go outside each time there is a freeze, withstanding the cold blast.


Gardening in NJ, MD, VA, and PA, as well as 1984-87 at FSU in Tallahassee, I lost more things to frost and freezes in Tallahassee than
anywhere else I have gardened.
after tonight no more freezing temps thru jan 15th per gfs..
Quoting 780. PalmBeachWeather:
First time I have had on long pants for months.
yep same here
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
442 am CST Tuesday Jan 7 2014

Short term...

High clouds have thinned out substantially since around midnight
and this was allowing temperatures to fall close to forecast
values ranging from the middle teens north to the middle 20s
south...with the only exception being the immediate southeast
Louisiana coast where temperatures were in the upper 20s to around
30.

The frigid Arctic airmass will remain entrenched over the region
today and tonight before modifying on Wednesday as the center of
surface high pressure shifts from the north Gulf Coast to the middle
Atlantic coast. Have gone below the GFS mav MOS guidance for highs
both today and Wednesday to blend in the cooler low level
temperatures indicated by the Euro and NAM.

Tonight...winds will be fairly light to calm...and skies are
expected to be pretty much totally clear as the stream of high
clouds should be well off the southeast and north of the forecast
area. Dewpoint temperatures should be very low...ranging from
below zero to the single digits in most locations through the
afternoon leading into tonight. The only thing working against a
colder night than this morning is the low level temperatures above
950 mb/ 1800 feet will be warming this afternoon through
tonight as the upper flow becomes more zonal...but it is expected
all the other factors for strong radiational cooling will offset
the warming aloft. Have stayed close to the mav MOS which is lower
than the previous forecast. This means another very cold night is
in store with temperatures plunging below freezing quickly this
evening and dropping to the middle teens to middle 20s in most locations
except the immediate southeast Louisiana coast. Have issued
another hard freeze warning that will go in effect at 6 PM over
the northern half and 8 PM southern half this evening.
Quoting 777. LargoFl:
keeper what is booming exactly...the ground freezing..or is it homes and tree's etc
its more of a large pop or bang like someone hits the floor above ya with a hammer it happens once then maybe an hr will go by and ya hear it again

just got 3 more complaints one was my dog has not slept all night

well we are all hearing it and will continue till temps rebound back

I even had one lady leave a note on the door of the tenant above threatening to call the police because of it

can't go posting notices on peeps doors only I can post notices
she did not like that reply
Louisiana citrus farmers harvest fruit in anticipation of overnight freeze

The anticipated prolonged freeze on Monday night and Tuesday morning had Louisiana citrus farmers frenzied throughout the day, trying to pick as much fruit as possible and to cover and heat sapling trees.

While generally writing off any fruit that they hadn't been able to pick by day's end, citrus farmers prayed that temperatures wouldn't drop low enough and long enough to cause major damage to the trees themselves and thereby also affect next year's crop.

"Well, we are gearing up for the coldest night of the season," said Joseph Ranatza, 69, who helps run his family's Star Nursery, one of the two largest citrus farms in Plaquemines Parish. "Whoever has fruit who hasn't picked it, they will lose it tonight."

Most citrus farmers already had picked the majority of their satsumas and navel oranges for the season that started in November. But many farmers scrambled on Monday to grab the remainder of that fruit, which makes up the majority of Louisiana's citrus crop.

Ranatza already had harvested all his satsumas, but he picked the last of his navels on Monday.

Since most local farmers typically harvest their grapefruit and blood oranges beginning this month, they also scrambled to grab as much of that ripe fruit as possible.

Now, satsumas, navel oranges, lemons, blood oranges and grapefruit are expected to flood the market in the next couple weeks.

"But if the cold weather hadn't been here, we could have had fruit a month or so longer," said Alan Vaughn, the Louisiana AgCenter agent who works with the Plaquemines citrus industry.

After Hurricane Isaac's water and wind damage devastated the 2012 citrus crop, the current season was very strong. The hard freeze, by forcing the early harvesting of some fruit, could cause a 10 percent drop overall for the current season, Vaughn predicted.

In an industry already struggling to stay afloat, the hard freeze could push additional growers out of the business. Many Hurricane-Isaac damaged trees, or sapling trees planted after the storm's damage, also are more vulnerable to extreme weather, Vaughn said.

Unsurprisingly, freezes and hurricanes have long plagued the Louisiana citrus industry. Freezes in 1921 and 1923 wiped out St. Tammany's citrus crop, and the impact from Hurricane Katrina cut Plaquemines' citrus acres and growers in half, Vaughn said. Hurricane Isaac came along in 2012 and flooded 200 of the remaining 500 acres of citrus in Plaquemines.

Vaughn said that while the fruit picked in anticipation of this week's freeze is ripe and ready, consumer perception could affect the market. For example, the local blood oranges already are sweet, but their distinct red coloring might not have had enough time to develop, Vaughn said. That could throw off consumers who are used to and desire that bloody hue. Also, Vaughn said that simply knowing that there was a freeze could cause some buyers to unwarrantedly fear the quality of the fruit in the marketplace.

In terms of the health of the trees themselves, Vaughn said the weather forecasts are "right on the verge of that 26 degree threshold" that can greatly harm the crop. And he said that "two degrees can really make the difference," especially if it lingers at 24 degrees or lower for six hours or more.

In general, forecasts on Monday were predicting possible freezing temperatures for 15 to 20 hours, from around sunset Monday to late Tuesday morning.

"There is nothing you can do but hope and pray that God doesn't send us that 20 degree or so weather," Ranatza said.
Hazy Shade of Winter..."Bangles"
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