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Invisible Improbable Rain Discovered!

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:15 AM GMT on April 01, 2013

A stunning discovery by a humble Weather Underground personal weather station owner has rocked the meteorological world. Boris Badi-i-sad-o-bist-roz, who maintains a backyard weather station in Watrousville, Michigan, has discovered the existence of improbable rain, which promises to revolutionize the understanding and prediction of the weather. In an interview, Mr. Badi-i-sad-o-bist-roz described his improbable discovery of improbable rain. "I was in my backyard, sticking a measuring stick into my rain gauge to measure how much rain I got last night. Now, I wasn't expecting to see much rain in the rain gauge because the weatherman had given such a low probability of rain. As I was thinking about low probabilities, I pulled out my newly purchased ticket for the $338 million Powerball jackpot, and ripped it up in a fit of disgust over my foolishness for thinking I could beat the highly improbable odds of winning the lottery. Some of the torn pieces of the lottery ticket fell into my rain gauge. But when I bent closer to measure the amount of water in my rain gauge, I noticed that the pieces of lottery ticket were actually floating well above the surface of the water. I realized then that some invisible substance was floating on top of the rain in the rain gauge, suspending the lottery ticket pieces. Now, when I stuck the ruler in the gauge, I measured 3/10 of an inch of rain, and another 7/10 of an inch of this invisible substance that the scraps of lottery ticket paper were floating on top of. Since the weatherman had called for a 30% chance of rain, I concluded that the invisible substance must be improbable rain, and one could use the measurement of actual rain and improbable rain to compute the odds of a rain event. Since potential winning lottery tickets were made out of a substance even more improbable than improbable rain, the paper was able to float on top of the improbable rain."



Mr. Badi-i-sad-o-bist-roz reported his findings to Weather Underground meteorologists, who promptly devised an "improbability float" made out of Powerball lottery tickets that one could put into a rain gauge to measure improbable rain. These new improbability floats were distributed to Weather Underground's entire network of 20,000 personal weather station owners for an experimental study on the nature, sources, and behavior of improbable rain. The results were astonishing. Improbable rain was discovered to always accompany rain, and fall with rain in proportions that allowed one to compute the probability of a rainfall event. Improbable snow was also discovered to exist. However, in some regions, amounts of improbable rain and snow far in excess of what was expected fell, leading to extended periods of really nasty, unseasonably wet weather. Our meteorologists struggled to come up with a scientific explanation for the discrepancies, ruling out the operation of nearby spaceships equipped with improbability drives. Finally, they employed the services of a Native American shaman. The shaman advised them that these highly improbable weather events--most notably the miserably cold, wet, and snowy March 2013 weather in the Eastern United States--were clearly due to curses affecting the region, which drastically affected rain and snow probabilities. "The people have forgotten the old gods," said shaman Norris Ogalallamanna, "and the old gods have become angry, calling down weather curses upon the land. The old gods deemed the Eastern U.S. unworthy of spring this year, and called down a curse to delay it."

The existence of improbable rain and weather curses were quickly seized upon by climate skeptics as evidence that climate models should not be trusted. "The computer climate models used by the National Intergovernmental and Territorial Panel to Investigate Climate Change--NITPICC--utterly failed to anticipate the importance of improbable rain and curses by the old gods on weather and climate," commented spokesman Markoff Chaney of the industry-funded think tank, Let's Attack Science to Protect Profits (LASPP.) The organization maintains of staff of top-notch scientists who swear that their funding from the fossil fuel industry does not affect the objectivity of their science. "This new 'improbability-gate' scandal proves that we can't trust climate models to say diddly-squat that's right about global warming," said Chaney.

The head of NITPICC, and professor of unspeakable truths at Miskatonic University, Dr. R. J. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname, conceded that his organization had some work to do. "We're working very hard to incorporate the effect of improbable rain and curses from the old gods into the NITPICC models," said Dr. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname. "We've gotten approval for dedicated new super-duper computer to model these effects, and we've formed a new Laboratory for Improbable Precipitation Studies (LIPS.) Our first research paper has already been accepted for publication later this millennium in the Journal of Irreproducible Results."

Happy April Fools!

References
Science Made Stupid: How to Discomprehend the World Around Us, by Tom Weller, published 1985.

Other weather and climate April Fools posts
Elderly Obama And Boehner Daughters Arrive In Time Machine To Demand Climate Action, climateprogress.org.
"Scientists Push to Change the Timing of the Seasons", Huffington Post.

Jeff Masters

Humor

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Why was I stupid enough to believe this at first?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Why was I stupid enough to believe this at first?

Haha same here...
Very nice Dr. Masters
817 BaltimoreBrian: Who are the moderators? It seems better here.

Discussion about the (Mod)s on WunderYakuza's blog

808 barbamz: New Models Predict Drastically Greener Arctic in Coming Decades
809 bappit: arrgh, Science Daily needs to post a map that's not so blurry.

Nah, the publishers and executive boards of most scientific journals (especially Science and Nature) need to be defenestrated for preventing free public access to research that the public paid for.

LATERCERA Tendencias

Smithsonian Surprising Science

"Presently (left), vegetated areas of Alaska are mostly covered by small shrubs and tundra mosses (represented by the pea green color). By 2050 (right), much of this area will be dominated forests (bright green). Image via Nature Climate Change/Pearson et. al."

"In Canada, areas currently covered by tundra shrubs (purple at left) will be taken over by forest (bright green at right). Image via Nature Climate Change/Pearson et. al."
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Why was I stupid enough to believe this at first?

At first I, stupidly, thought it was real, until I read the last names of the people.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Why was I stupid enough to believe this at first?


I believed it too. And I consider myself way above this sort of thing.

Guess that was kinda the point though, wasn't it? :)
Oh that may be the discovery of the century in weather Hahahaha
Not sure whether any of you have seen this yet, but it's gonna be a little (or maybe a lot) harder to post hurricane and tornado videos over the next several seasons:

Quoting KoritheMan:


I believed it too. And I consider myself way above this sort of thing.

Guess that was kinda the point though, wasn't it? :)

The fact that it wasn't posted on April fools day made it where I thought it was true. I was expecting something tomorrow, not tonight.
This is a radar image from about 30 minutes ago. This monster cell definitely put my reflectivity scale to test with a maximum of 82 dBZ! Softball-sized hail was reported with this storm, but GR2Analyst indicated the hail may have been even larger than that.

Definitely the most intense I've ever seen.

LOL and ROFL! Early post, Dr. Masters, thanks!
BTW: at the University of Frankfurt in Germany there is an "Institute for comparative irrelevance". Notice: this institute really exists, but only due to an act of leftish protest from some students some years ago (nevertheless, I love the name). Unfortunately the article on wiki is available only in German.

Good night into 1st of April!
Now it is actually raining outside, not that improbable stuff. Temperature is falling too. Supposed to snow a little tomorrow, mother natures way of saying April fools.
Well done Doctor Masters,


cool story bro

good april fools day

nice update
Very, very good! There were so many clues that should have given it away. It didn't hit me until the end of the first paragraph.
Apparently the last chart I made for this was confusing, so here it is re-done...tropical storms vs. major hurricanes since 1950:


Click to enlarge, then click again to enlarge further.
Good thing I checked this site even though I said good night on the last post.

Anyone think Google will do a April Fool's joke? They do things for the other holidays, so why not this one?

P.S. Dr. Masters, this would explain some of my readings in my CoCoRaHS gauge.
8 wxchaser97: The fact that it wasn't posted on April fools day made it where I thought it was true. I was expecting something tomorrow, not tonight.

"Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:15 AM GMT [*] on April 01, 2013"

* WunderBlog time
Quoting aspectre:
8 wxchaser97: The fact that it wasn't posted on April fools day made it where I thought it was true. I was expecting something tomorrow, not tonight.

"Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:15 AM GMT [*] on April 01, 2013"

* WunderBlog time

Well I was going on EDT.
Nice one Jeff.

Very creative. Might have to get you to join in the next adventure story on my blog.

Have a Good Night!
Thanks for the link about the moderators aspectre.

And could invisible improbable rain be related to the infinite improbability drive?
Oh my, good one Doc!

I signed up to run an April Fools 5k in the morning. I hope it's not an April fools joke...
we've been fooled all these years penguins do fly look i have pictures

Aristotle says that a probable impossibility is preferable to a improbable possibility. . .
finally back, what a nice/fun time...

rather unexpected blog, everything read became junk after I see the not so credible Dr. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname... although the first weird name kinda put up the doubt on my head

nice blog for the occasion

Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
finally back, what a nice/fun time...

rather unexpected blog, everything read became junk after I see the not so credible Dr. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname... although the first weird name kinda put up the doubt on my head

nice blog for the occasion



MAX! Didn't think I would see you back. Have a good time?
Good Night All - I imagine it will get much more out of hand tomorrow.
So, Stay Safe, Stay Warm, Sleep Well and don't get Pranked.... lol
Quoting Astrometeor:


MAX! Didn't think I would see you back. Have a good time?


yes, my sister did put up in my blog I'll be here tomorrow. In fact it's 10 mins to midnight..

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
we've been fooled all these years penguins do fly look i have pictures


they are birds...believe it nor not...
ostriches are also flightless birds
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

they are birds...believe it nor not...
ostriches are also flightless bids


1. I think he knows they are birds.
2. birds have an "r" in them, not called bids

just picking at ya, :)
Haha! Great April Fools blog as always, Dr. Masters!

Happy April Fools everybody!


32. DDR
Ah hahaaha
Quoting Astrometeor:


1. I think he knows they are birds.
2. birds have an "r" in them, not called bids

just picking at ya, :)


not everyone know penguins are actually birds...
we can survey that
My wife was born on April 1. Every year I ask her if she cares for a divorce, and she reminds me that it was she who tricked me.
Doc, I wasn't going to fall for it this year. I was trying to think of how you got me last year. Thanks
Quoting OracleDeAtlantis:
My wife was born on April 1. Every year I ask her if she cares for a divorce, and she reminds me that it was she who tricked me.


Tricked you?? I can't believe you didn't see it coming... :)

Have a great day everyone!
My current temperature in Hawaii is 65F and is forecast to dip down to the low 60s, thanks to the northerly winds bringing unseasonably cool air mass throughout the islands. Some areas could even get to the high 50s. This chilly weather will prevail during the next couple of days.

Good night/morning all.
Good morning to all,evening Aussie.

A return to more drier weather is expected to start today and last thru all the week. Only isolated showers will move thru during the week.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
449 AM AST MON APR 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS...LATEST SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTED SUBTROPICAL
JET MAXIMA NOW TO THE EAST OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...WHICH EXTENDED
SOUTHWARDS INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL RESULT
IN THE TROUGH LIFTING FURTHER NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY...AND THUS
REPOSITION THE RIGHT REAR ENTRANCE/DIVERGENCE SECTOR OF JET MAXIMA
NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS THEN EXPECTED
TO BUILD AND REESTABLISH ITSELF ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY AND
THRU THE END OF THE WEEK. AT LOW LEVELS...MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
ZONE ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY/SHEAR LINE RETROGRESSED FURTHER
WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA...AS A STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC...SHIFTED FURTHER EAST INTO THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO REACH
THE EASTERN SEABOARD OF THE UNITED STATES LATER TODAY. THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL HELP MAINTAIN A FAIRLY TIGHT LOCAL PRESSURE
GRADIENT...AND THEREFORE INCREASE THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS THROUGH
TUESDAY...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE
WORK WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SHEAR LINE WILL
MEANDER JUST WEST AND NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...WHILE CONTINUING TO
DISSIPATE THOUGH OUT THE DAY. THE BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED
TO LIFT NORTH OF THE ISLANDS AND OVER THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC
WATERS BY LATE MORNING. IN THE MEANTIME...MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AIDED
BY SUFFICIENT VENTILATION ALOFT AND THE PROXIMITY OF A MID LEVEL SHORT
WAVE...WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE EARLY MORNING SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE REGION.

AS THE CONVERGENT ZONE LIFTS NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATES...EXPECT A
SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR MASS TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.
THIS WILL RESULT IN DECREASING CLOUD COVER DURING THE REST OF THE
DAY. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL HOWEVER COMBINE WITH AND LOCAL EFFECTS
AND THE PREVAILING EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW...TO GENERATE AFTERNOON
CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. BY TUESDAY AND FOR
THE REST OF THE WEEK EXPECT GRADUALLY IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS
AS DRIER AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. DIURNAL
AND LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS WILL STILL HOWEVER INDUCE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR IN SHRA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOSTLY
TIST AND TJSJ WITH SEVERAL LAYERS OF BKN-OVC CLOUDS BETWEEN FL020
AND FL250 UNTIL AT LEAST 01/14Z. THIS WILL RESULT IN MOUNTAIN TOP
OBSCURATION ALONG THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PR. AFTER 01/16Z PERIODS
OF MVFR ARE EXPECTED ALSO ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
GRADUALLY AFTER 01/22Z. 01/00Z TJSJ SOUNDING INDICATED AN EASTERLY
WIND FLOW UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SURFACE TO FL100 FEET... BECOMING
SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCR W/HT ALOFT.

&&

.MARINE...DURING THE PAST HOURS...THE SAN JUAN BUOY 41053 SHOWED
7 FOOT SEAS WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 7 SECS...WHILE BUOY 41043
NNE OF SAN JUAN INDICATED SEAS NEAR 9 FEET AT 7 SECS. THESE CONDITIONS
WERE PRIMARILY WIND DRIVEN WITH PRESENT MARINE OBSERVATIONS INDICATING
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 15 TO 21 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS OR MORE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. HOWEVER...MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST A PULSE OF NORTHERLY SWELL WHICH WILL
MOVE INTO THE LOCAL PASSAGES LATER THIS MORNING...THEN PEAK DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SWELL IS EXPECTED TO PEAK TO
ABOUT 4 TO 5 FEET THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 76 88 75 / 20 20 10 20
STT 85 76 87 78 / 20 30 10 20
Good Morning folks..evening Aussie...
7 day for Tampa bay area...................
GFS for Monday......................
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie. It's back to teaching after a wonderful spring break. A nice 56 degrees here with a high in the upper 70's. Due to the storms yesterday, doubt we'll be able to take the kids out to recess.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: omelets, bacon or sausage, fresh fruit, toast and orange juice.
WOW, Snow in Macon, Georgia this morning!!!

Curly, Larry, and Moe are not happy campers. :)

Good morning/afternoon/evening

TropicsWeather:

So you got the floods, the earth moved for you and ...??

Over here the picnic got totally rained out, fortunately after we had eaten! I do believe I'm safe for the time being from attacking the metal shelving and tools for the cistern reading....

Now, we had a discussion about my problem and the women solved it for me and it was very simple. If you have a frog in your cistern (which many of us do) and its croak is echoing, you need water!!

Have a great day!

Lindy
Quoting Astrometeor:
Good thing I checked this site even though I said good night on the last post.

Anyone think Google will do a April Fool's joke? They do things for the other holidays, so why not this one?

P.S. Dr. Masters, this would explain some of my readings in my CoCoRaHS gauge.
google nose? Link
Everyone have a great Monday. Aussie, have a great Tuesday. Seven weeks til summer!
Watching April 9...it's already got a mention in the extended range outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. First "true" spring setup with a well-pronounced dryline. Dewpoints in the 60s all the way up into Kansas.



I didnt fall for this blog at all......

After yesterdays rains, pollen count is 179.
I suspect with warmth hanging around, that may increase today into tomorrow.
A big rain/chill may bring it down again, and then a massive release next week into mid april probably.



Does anyone know why the pollen scale is the way it is?

120 is high, but the pollen count can go up to 10,000 and regularly is in the mid thousands.
LOL!, happy 1 April Monday Jeff...
GFS shows this next week 10 days.
Limited threat South Mississippi Valley





We have Invest 90L!



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FSTDA
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NOTIFY=ATRP
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 90, 2013, DB, O, 2013040106, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL902013
AL, 90, 2013033118, , BEST, 0, 186N, 404W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040100, , BEST, 0, 194N, 416W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040106, , BEST, 0, 202N, 425W, 30, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 106, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
We will now be restoring normality, once we figure out what that is.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
We have Invest 90L!,



You're funny.
April fools
Quoting WxGeekVA:
We have Invest 90L!



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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 90, 2013, DB, O, 2013040106, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL902013
AL, 90, 2013033118, , BEST, 0, 186N, 404W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040100, , BEST, 0, 194N, 416W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
629 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-011600 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
629 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FOG IMPACT...
PATCHY FOG WILL CAUSE SOME REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM
HEADLIGHTS...AND MAINTAIN A SAFE FOLLOWING DISTANCE BETWEEN
VEHICLES THROUGH 9 AM.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS A FRONT STALLS
ACROSS THE AREA. STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
SOME DRIER AIR WILL BE BRIEFLY MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT DISSIPATES ACROSS THE STATE. THIS MAY CAUSE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL HUMIDITIES FOR NORTHERN AND INLAND AREAS. THIS WILL
CAUSE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF
WATERS AND EVENTUALLY DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE THE GREATEST HAZARDS WITH
THE STORMS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE
GULF WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE ADVISED OF THE ROUGH BOATING
CONDITIONS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET. RIP
CURRENTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS WINDS BECOME ONSHORE WITH THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

COLSON


We are now cruising at a level of two to the power of two hundred and seventy-six thousand to one against and falling

Buddy I sat on blisters? Still not getting that one. It reminds me of a line from "sick puppy" though.
Looks like a snowstorm for the northern Plains and Great Lakes region next week.

Off to school.

59. SLU
Quoting WxGeekVA:
We have Invest 90L!



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AL, 90, 2013033118, , BEST, 0, 186N, 404W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040100, , BEST, 0, 194N, 416W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040106, , BEST, 0, 202N, 425W, 30, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 106, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,


Hurrayyy!! Let the games begin! :P
good morning everyone, invest 90L? LOL
doc masters....if the moderators had been doing their job....this would have been covered up and the sceintific world would not be upset this morning
New Avian Flu Strain Kills 2 in China

Probably nothing to get too concerned about. China is 'ground zero' for emerging new strains of flu. They rear ducks and pigs in close proximity. Avian flus infect the ducks, these get passed on to pigs and sometimes 'reassort' their genes with swine flu viruses, to create hybrid forms which can be passed on to humans.

Purely avian flu viruses only rarely infect humans, and usually don't transmit from person to person. They need to acquire mammalian flu virus characteristics to become transmissible between people, and that's where the pigs come into it. However, the deadly 1918 Spanish flu pandemic is believed to have been a purely avian flu virus, and that was highly contagious.

The one all eyes have been on since it emerged about 10 years ago is the highly pathogenic H5N1, which is known to have killed 360 people, mostly in Asia. Only a handful of these are believed to have been infected by family members.

88 close contacts of the two victims have been tested, and none have been infected, so no cause for alarm, then. However, this from the Washngton Post:

"The health authority noted, however, that two sons of one of the Shanghai men also suffered from acute pneumonia, and the source of their infection is still unknown. The Chinese health agency said other people who were in close contact with the victims have not become sick, indicating that the virus is not easily transmitted between humans.

We don't know yet the causes of illness in the two sons, but naturally, if three people in one family acquire severe pneumonia in a short period of time, it raises a lot of concern, the World Health Organization's China representative, Michael O'Leary, said at a briefing in Beijing late Monday.
"

Bit of a coincidence that two sons of one of the victims came down with 'pneumonia'. Recently, 16,000 dead pigs and 1,000 dead ducks were found floating in the main river, near Shanghai, where the victims lived.

Washington Post Article
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Uh Oh

REUTERS-




For weeks, North Korea has made threats against the U.S.; their latest was to point rockets at American targets, including bases in the south Pacific and South Korea.
Now they've followed through.
Leader Kim Jong-un launched rockets aimed at the US mainland after the U.S. sent two stealth B-2 bombers on a training mission in South Korea again yesterday, a decision the American government stood behind.
President Obama stated,
%u201CWe stand shoulder to shoulder with our allies in South Korea to ensure that the interests of the United States and the allies of the United States remain protected,%u201D.
The US believes the missiles North Korea launched are a threat because they could have nuclear weapons in them.
"There is now an effective STATE OF WAR between the United States and North Korea", a pentagon release to top administration officials states.
The U.S. says the mission is to effectively and quickly dismantle this crisis.
%u201CWe have to take seriously every action that we take to ensure we don't enter or provoke a nuclear or world war%u201D said Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel.



Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/01/us-korea -north-war-idUSBRE93002620130401


k
Quoting aspectre:
817 BaltimoreBrian: Who are the moderators? It seems better here.

Discussion about the (Mod)s on WunderYakuza's blog

808 barbamz: New Models Predict Drastically Greener Arctic in Coming Decades
809 bappit: arrgh, Science Daily needs to post a map that's not so blurry.

Nah, the publishers and executive boards of most scientific journals (especially Science and Nature) need to be defenestrated for preventing free public access to research that the public paid for.

LATERCERA Tendencias

Smithsonian Surprising Science

"Presently (left), vegetated areas of Alaska are mostly covered by small shrubs and tundra mosses (represented by the pea green color). By 2050 (right), much of this area will be dominated forests (bright green). Image via Nature Climate Change/Pearson et. al."

"In Canada, areas currently covered by tundra shrubs (purple at left) will be taken over by forest (bright green at right). Image via Nature Climate Change/Pearson et. al."


Looks like HAARP is working overtime!
Government agents are posting the results as Climate Change!
65. SLU
Just in ..

The anomalies continue to rise with the tripole looking more defined in the lastest anomaly maps.



Quoting SLU:
Just in ..

The anomalies continue to rise with the tripole looking more defined in the lastest anomaly maps.





Was that one of the variable set up's we had in the pre-season of 2005?
Thanks for the blog update Dr. Masters..
It had me going pretty good until the "Magical Lottery Paper" comment..LOL..LOl..

Shame on you..Lol

"There is a small dark padded room and chair waiting for you in which you will be strapped and made to watch cloud formations projected on the walls..
Forever..Lol.. :) "


Thanks for the April Fools Joke..
You got me!!
Good Morning Max..
Hows things going for you this am?
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Uh Oh

REUTERS-




For weeks, North Korea has made threats against the U.S.; their latest was to point rockets at American targets, including bases in the south Pacific and South Korea.
Now they've followed through.
Leader Kim Jong-un launched rockets aimed at the US mainland after the U.S. sent two stealth B-2 bombers on a training mission in South Korea again yesterday, a decision the American government stood behind.
President Obama stated,
%u201CWe stand shoulder to shoulder with our allies in South Korea to ensure that the interests of the United States and the allies of the United States remain protected,%u201D.
The US believes the missiles North Korea launched are a threat because they could have nuclear weapons in them.
"There is now an effective STATE OF WAR between the United States and North Korea", a pentagon release to top administration officials states.
The U.S. says the mission is to effectively and quickly dismantle this crisis.
%u201CWe have to take seriously every action that we take to ensure we don't enter or provoke a nuclear or world war%u201D said Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel.



Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/01/us-korea -north-war-idUSBRE93002620130401


IF this is an April Fools joke... then you should be ashamed of yourself
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Looks like a snowstorm for the northern Plains and Great Lakes region next week.

Off to school.



HAHAHAHA

Nice try...
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning Max..
Hows things going for you this am?


everything is cool
Thanks Pcola
Im happy you asked
Let's enjoy a new day blogging
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


everything is cool
Thanks Pcola
Im happy you asked
Let's enjoy a new day blogging


Yes lets do..
I'm off to my blog now..
And to check yours as well.. :)
Quoting FtMyersgal:
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
629 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-0 65-011600 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
629 AM EDT MON APR 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FOG IMPACT...
PATCHY FOG WILL CAUSE SOME REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM
HEADLIGHTS...AND MAINTAIN A SAFE FOLLOWING DISTANCE BETWEEN
VEHICLES THROUGH 9 AM.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS A FRONT STALLS
ACROSS THE AREA. STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
SOME DRIER AIR WILL BE BRIEFLY MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT DISSIPATES ACROSS THE STATE. THIS MAY CAUSE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL HUMIDITIES FOR NORTHERN AND INLAND AREAS. THIS WILL
CAUSE DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF
WATERS AND EVENTUALLY DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE THE GREATEST HAZARDS WITH
THE STORMS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE
GULF WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE ADVISED OF THE ROUGH BOATING
CONDITIONS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET. RIP
CURRENTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS WINDS BECOME ONSHORE WITH THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

COLSON


SOUNDS GREAT Ft Meyers..we can use the rain huh..local met is kinda worried about Thursday..we'll see what happens
spring finally made it to DC.............
China Announces Plans to Export Greenhouse Gases to Terraform Mars

by Mike Chino



As an extension of China’s $16 billion plan to combat air pollution in its cities, today China National Space Administration (CNSA) head Sun Laiyan announced an ambitious plan to export the nation’s emissions to Mars. China is currently the world’s largest producer of greenhouse gases – its annual emissions total 8.9 billion tons. The unprecedented plan would greatly reduce emissions on Earth while warming the climate on Mars, causing the planet’s polar ice caps to melt and eventually creating an atmosphere capable of sustaining life.

[...]

Throughout the 20th century, companies around the world outsourced their manufacturing operations to China in search of cheaper labor – and although the increase in production drove the nation’s economy, it wrecked havoc on its environment. China’s new plan marks a pivotal shift in its environmental agenda – starting in 2015, industrial greenhouse gases will be collected and exported to Mars, where they could actually do good by helping to terraform the planet.

[...]

The China National Space Administration plans to transport greenhouse gases to Mars using solar sails – small, lightweight crafts that can travel extreme distances using only the power of the sun. The CNSA is also developing plans for martian factory bases that would generate additional greenhouse gasses while 3D printing tools and building materials from the planet’s soil. In keeping with China’s copycat architecture trend, these buildings would be modeled after some of the world’s most famous factories and coal plants – including London’s Battersea Power Station and Foxconn’s HQ.

Speaking about the development, a CNSA representative said: “China is focused on the future, and the Red Planet is a natural next step for the People’s Republic of China. By turning China’s environmental problems into an opportunity for future development, we will secure a home for our expanding population in the far reaches of the Solar System.”
its NO april fools joke..this from CNN.............(CNN) -- North Korea has entered a "state of war" with neighboring South Korea, according to a report Saturday from the state-run Korean Central News Agency that included a threat to "dissolve" the U.S. mainland
..................here comes our next system..over texas wens.
Quoting LargoFl:
its NO april fools joke..this from CNN.............(CNN) -- North Korea has entered a "state of war" with neighboring South Korea, according to a report Saturday from the state-run Korean Central News Agency that included a threat to "dissolve" the U.S. mainland


They've been in a 'state of war' since the end of the Korean war, as no peace treaty was signed.
Quoting pcola57:

brThis is a very dangerous situation in which level headedness needs to prevail..


This part of your comment is what I agree with.

sorry if you were offended.

I can always remove it.

Quoting Xandra:
China Announces Plans to Export Greenhouse Gases to Terraform Mars

by Mike Chino



As an extension of China’s $16 billion plan to combat air pollution in its cities, today China National Space Administration (CNSA) head Sun Laiyan announced an ambitious plan to export the nation’s emissions to Mars. China is currently the world’s largest producer of greenhouse gases – its annual emissions total 8.9 billion tons. The unprecedented plan would greatly reduce emissions on Earth while warming the climate on Mars, causing the planet’s polar ice caps to melt and eventually creating an atmosphere capable of sustaining life.

[...]

Throughout the 20th century, companies around the world outsourced their manufacturing operations to China in search of cheaper labor – and although the increase in production drove the nation’s economy, it wrecked havoc on its environment. China’s new plan marks a pivotal shift in its environmental agenda – starting in 2015, industrial greenhouse gases will be collected and exported to Mars, where they could actually do good by helping to terraform the planet.

[...]

The China National Space Administration plans to transport greenhouse gases to Mars using solar sails – small, lightweight crafts that can travel extreme distances using only the power of the sun. The CNSA is also developing plans for martian factory bases that would generate additional greenhouse gasses while 3D printing tools and building materials from the planet’s soil. In keeping with China’s copycat architecture trend, these buildings would be modeled after some of the world’s most famous factories and coal plants – including London’s Battersea Power Station and Foxconn’s HQ.

Speaking about the development, a CNSA representative said: “China is focused on the future, and the Red Planet is a natural next step for the People’s Republic of China. By turning China’s environmental problems into an opportunity for future development, we will secure a home for our expanding population in the far reaches of the Solar System.”



Why don't they just send their air to Mars?

Their air has more greenhouse gasses than any factory can produce.
ok a scientific question for you smarter folks..you've read the report on the Chinese vision of shipping its greenhouse gases to mars..here is my question...IS there enough atmosphere on Mars to hold IN..those greenhouse gases?......
My focus next week




nice LLJ could spell trouble.




CAPE is not the issue it has been



I am wondering..ARE we smart enough to be able to PRODUCE a new atmosphere on Mars?......IF we are..there is a new direction coming for the Human population..
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


This part of your comment is what I agree with.

sorry if you were offended.

I can always remove it.



April Fools day is meant to be funny, not anxiety driven, unlike all of your other posts i found it grously inappropriate.

Its cool im glad you removed it, just serious stuff going on in the world today
Quoting LargoFl:
I am wondering..ARE we smart enough to be able to PRODUCE a new atmosphere on Mars?......IF we are..there is a new direction coming for the Human population..


we cant even prevent the destruction of the one we currently have... much less reproduce what nature has given us elsewhere
Quoting LargoFl:
its NO april fools joke..this from CNN.............(CNN) -- North Korea has entered a "state of war" with neighboring South Korea, according to a report Saturday from the state-run Korean Central News Agency that included a threat to "dissolve" the U.S. mainland
Is this the Fools' Blog today?! Relax, no one is going to war. Stick to weather related issues...mods need to WAKE UP...Kim Jong Un...WELCOME TO THE PARTY, PAL! AH HA HA HA! Prepare for your demise!!!
Amazing image from NASA.

This portrait of global aerosols was produced by a GEOS-5 simulation at a 10-kilometer resolution. Dust (red) is lifted from the surface, sea salt (blue) swirls inside cyclones, smoke (green) rises from fires, and sulfate particles (white) stream from volcanoes and fossil fuel emissions.

Image credit: William Putman, NASA/Goddard

Quoting LargoFl:
I am wondering..ARE we smart enough to be able to PRODUCE a new atmosphere on Mars?......IF we are..there is a new direction coming for the Human population..
Get your @ss to Mars!...Get your @ss to Mars!...Get your @ss to Mars!..Get your @ss to Mars!...Get your @ss to Mars!.....sorry got stuck....Get your @ss to Mars!...
Quoting LargoFl:
ok a scientific question for you smarter folks..you've read the report on the Chinese vision of shipping its greenhouse gases to mars..here is my question...IS there enough atmosphere on Mars to hold IN..those greenhouse gases?......



Post # 83 Got to be an April Fool's joke
NASA's planning a mission to capture a 500ton asteroid and bring it back into lunar orbit

While the GlobalPositioningSystem, communications, Earth-monitoring, Sun-monitoring, and various Earth-orbiting space-telescopes have been of extremely high value, asteroid-capture is what should have been NASA's Man-in-Space focus after the Apollo moon-landings instead of the Shuttle program, the InternationalSpaceStation, and the interplanetary probes.
0.23" of rain yesterday. More rain coming, word is 1-2 inches Tuesday-Wednesday
Quoting LargoFl:
I am wondering..ARE we smart enough to be able to PRODUCE a new atmosphere on Mars?......IF we are..there is a new direction coming for the Human population..
No, we're idiots.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


This part of your comment is what I agree with.

sorry if you were offended.

I can always remove it.



And I will remove mine as well GS..

A winter-like looking weather pattern will bring a high chance for rain to southeast Texas for the midweek period. Rainfall amounts Tuesday through Wednesday may range from 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts possible. A strong upper level trough, a stalling front, Gulf moisture inflow and a favorable jet stream splitting over southeast Texas will combine for the high chances of rain.
Quoting LargoFl:
ARE we smart enough to be able to PRODUCE a new atmosphere on Mars?
We've certainly been able to do so right here on Earth--though I don't know how much intelligence was required.
I bet CFC gasses would warm up Mars very well. How long CFC gasses would last with no ozone layer is another question.

Just sent a Von Neumann machine there to manufacture the CFC gasses.
Possible large scale MCS over TX by Wednesday, rains are coming.
God I hate April fools. I can't tell what articles are real in the comment sections.

Edit: I really hope the Chinese plan to export green house gases to mars is real.
Quoting ricderr:
doc masters....if the moderators had been doing their job....this would have been covered up and the sceintific world would not be upset this morning


Tried it.. FL lotto tickets work too.
indeed...fog was responsible for the crash/pileup in the highway NC/VA
Put more work into april fools joke than a real post.
Quoting RTSplayer:
Put more work into april fools joke than a real post.


The last blog had three references, this one only has one.

Every year, we always have a blogger who tries to do an April fools joke that just turns horribly wrong..

By the way Doc, no one would rip up a newly purchase powerball ticket without checking those numbers first..the improbable rain would surely come into play with the tears of sadness when they find out they threw away 338 million dollars..LOL..





109. SLU
Quoting ILwthrfan:


Was that one of the variable set up's we had in the pre-season of 2005?


Yes the Atlantic's SST anomaly profile for this year is shockingly similar to 2005 and 2010 ... needless to remind anyone that those were very serious seasons with a combined total of 47 tropical storms and 26 hurricanes.





Aspectre... I went over last night's blog after I returned, you asked me this


Carolina IS a city in Puerto Rico near San Juan...
Why did you say I did not specify which one, North or South?
Anyone notice that in the community activity, when you hover over another blogger's new blog post, it gives you the title of their blog..pretty soon, you might be able to read comments as its done in facebook in their live feed..
Quoting SLU:


Yes the SST anomaly profile for this year is shockingly similar to 2005 and 2010 ... needless to remind anyone that those were very serious seasons.






frightful hurricane season ahead!!!! if the NAO continues to trend more negative,will be horrible.
In Google Maps now they have a treasure map, and when you click it, and go to street view, it's in black and white looking thru a circular view
Quoting RitaEvac:
In Google Maps now they have a treasure map, and when you click it, and go to street view, it's in black and white looking thru a circular view


if you zoom out, the map looks odd but sharpens up as you zoom in... it's been out for 2 days. wonder why no one said anything before
Indian Ocean tropical waves
Hello everybody. And this is no joke:

Big April freeze in Poland
01/04 14:54 CET

Heavy snowfall has caused chaos in Poland.

Up to 100,000 homes in central and western parts of the country had to go without electricity after a combination of the snow and falling trees caused power cuts.

Authorities said road conditions remain difficult, although all main roads are passable.

Link with video
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


if you zoom out, the map looks odd but sharpens up as you zoom in... it's been out for 2 days. wonder why no one said anything before


What's the purpose of it??
Quoting RitaEvac:


What's the purpose of it??


check it out
This somewhat odd video is making the rounds on the internets in just the past hour. It's being labeled "cloud tsunami", though it appears to be just a very wide and well-defined fog bank rolling in:



Pretty cool, anyway...
Quoting Neapolitan:
We've certainly been able to do so right here on Earth--though I don't know how much intelligence was required.
my guess is mars has little or no atmosphere,hence no clouds etc..imagine what it would take to create..an atmosphere where there is none..Planet wide...my guess is, not in our lifetime..but who knows,if some nations are already thinking about it it may just happen in the future...i can see mining companies lining up to be the first in line.
Deadly floods hit Mauritius capital Port Louis
31 March 2013 Last updated at 18:59 GMT

At least 11 people have died after sudden rains caused flooding in the Mauritian capital Port Louis on Saturday, officials have said.

At least eight of the victims were caught in underground areas as the flood waters rose rapidly. Another died of a heart attack.

The island's metereologists said 152mm (6in) of rain fell in less than an hour, 70mm less than the March average.

Prime Minister Navin Rangoolam declared 1 April a day of mourning.

Speaking on national radio, he said Mauritius was suffering badly from the effects of climate change.


The floods caused chaos in the city, with a huge traffic jam paralysing its centre, L'Express de Maurice newspaper reported.


Read the whole article on BBC with video
Why don'ti see no one talking about this storm GFS is forcasting for thursday i think we could see some severe weather coming of of it.
Quoting belizeit:
Why don'ti see no one talking about this storm GFS is forcasting for thursday i think we could see some severe weather coming of of it.


There's gonna be a fireworks show coming outta TX heading that way
Quoting RitaEvac:


There's gonna be a fireworks show coming outta TX heading that way
I cant read wind barbs but i think the barbs are showinh TS force winds but the system is probably going to stay cold core
CFS v2 update April 1. Is showing Neutral to La Nina conditions until summer
Quoting Neapolitan:
This somewhat odd video is making the rounds on the internets in just the past hour. It's being labeled "cloud tsunami", though it appears to be just a very wide and well-defined fog bank rolling in:



Pretty cool, anyway...
I don't think your posted videos are coming thru. So far I have seen 2 blank ones but there is nothing there. Not sure if others can see them. Might want to check your posts.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


This part of your comment is what I agree with.

sorry if you were offended.

I can always remove it.

Thks. Glad you removed it. For those of us who grew up during the Cold War, nothing concerning nuclear threats (large or small) is funny.
cool vid Nea, and thanks for sharing the aerosols image GeorgiaS!!
gotta say Doc, that is the driest humor about 'rain' i've ever read :P
(although NITPICC is great!)
Quoting RitaEvac:
0.23" of rain yesterday. More rain coming, word is 1-2 inches Tuesday-Wednesday

Looks like another Centex miss? :(
what an amazing story..........CLEARWATER --
The oldest living American - and Clearwater resident - Elsie Thompson has passed away.

Thompson would have celebrated her 114th birthday Friday. She had been the oldest living American since January, when Mamie Julia Rearden died at the age of 114 years and 117 days in Edgefield County, S.C.

Thompson died March 21 in her condo and was the fourth oldest living person in the world.

According to news accounts, she avoided meat outside of chicken and salmon and enjoyed cookies and coffee. She also had a sunny disposition and loved people. She sang, played the piano and enjoyed ballroom dancing.
A native of Beaver Falls, Pa., Thompson moved to Florida with her husband, Ron, a former state representative in Pennsylvania, in 1971. Ron Thompson died in 1986.

Until about two weeks before her death, Thompson went on an occasional walk and got facials and manicures, according to news accounts.
Quoting redwagon:

Looks like another Centex miss? :(


Central TX looks to get hit head on with this event
So, we've now seen the discovery of improbable rain. Will someone next discover "partly cloudy" precipitation?

Today's blog reminded me of a story told by weather forecaster Lee Grenci (Penn State Meteorology, Weather World) back around the early 90's. After a blown forecast, a WeatherWorld viewer contacted him and asked Lee to come out and help him shovel the 3" of "partly cloudy" in his driveway! (I might have some details slightly off. Also, Lee's story might be apocryphal, but I doubt it.)

Quoting WDEmobmet:


IF this is an April Fools joke... then you should be ashamed of yourself


Well, it is and it isn't. We just sent F-22 Raptors to South Korea. This is pretty provocative. So, is it April Fools or not?
Quoting FLwolverine:
Thks. Glad you removed it. For those of us who grew up during the Cold War, nothing concerning nuclear threats (large or small) is funny.
Thanks...Shook me up also...
Quoting VAstorms:


Well, it is and it isn't. We just sent F-22 Raptors to South Korea. This is pretty provocative. So, is it April Fools or not?
Threats have been going on for many years, since the Korean war... Nothing more than threats so far. A very uniformed and uncivilized part of our world... They have no idea.
Good Day. We will certainly start to see an uptick in terms of the yearly severe weather threat that we see in the US in April as the much warmer flow from the Gulf starts heading into the plains this month.

Here is a small snapshot of what happened last April in the US:

April 13-15 2012: Major Severe Weather Outbreak Strikes The US Plains

This major outbreak started on Friday afternoon in the southern plains from Texas and mostly Oklahoma. Reports on this day included tornadoes and large hail throughout the region.

One of the bigger tornadoes of the day struck in and near Norman, Oklahoma. There was also a tornado reported in California on this day near the city of Yuba City.

The National Weather Service reports that there was very large hail near the size of 3 inches found in Beckham, Oklahoma. This size hail is very dangerous and can lead to structural damage and also vehicle windshields being broken out. It is very important to be cautious and take cover when large hail is forecast.

The National Weather Service also reported a wind gust as high as 70 mph near the city of Coopertown.

As we can see Friday was a smaller day in this massive breakout of severe weather. As forecasted many days in advance by the SPC in Norman Oklahoma, things were only getting started. Saturday proved to be a tragic day with loss of life and tornado reports well over 100.

Saturday April 14 will probably be a day many will not forget. Early estimations by the National Weather Service have it documented as being a day in which we had near 126 tornadoes in all. These tornadoes formed a line from Oklahoma northward into Kansas and Nebraska and then eastward into southern Iowa.

A few tornadoes to point out happen to be the one in Woodward, Oklahoma as this one was responsible for the loss of life as it moved through in the overnight hours.

............What made this storm system so strong? What happened with this system was that we saw all of our ingredients come together on Saturday from the warm moist Gulf air moving into the Plains from the Gulf of Mexico. Also, the dry air from the southwest was able to get into the system in the mid-levels and the cold air from the Rockies was in place also during this time.

As the severe weather season continues to move forward, it is very important to pay close attention to your local news stations and NOAA weather radios for all the latest information in regards to any other severe weather events. This is already a warmer than normal Spring across large portions of the country so this severe weather season has the potential to be very long.

Be careful and be ready.


Link

Keep an eye on those GFS models this month.....




FloridaStormz

may be a little windy for the SE coast

Just checked the local radar... Not much out there right now..., My bf checks at least 20 times a day.... I believe he is only trying to get his daily peek of WPTV's Kait Parker. (she is a cutie)
Quoting barbamz:
BBC: April Fools Day: 10 stories that look like pranks but aren't


Well, I totally thought the flea circus one and Jabba the Hut Lego ones were fake!

I mean seriously, Jabba's palace was designed to look like that etc, long before some in America and most of Euro saw Muslims as baddies. Cause he's smoking a hooka?!

Was 19' degree wind chill when I got out to go to work early this morning. Brrrrr!
Heavy Rain north GA



Good Morning to all the April Fools..........
Cloudy this morning big time. Must be leftovers from the storm we didn't get. It is currently 59.2 Forecast is 67. Normal is 73/48 yesterday was 72/53
Storm chance day 8-9

Actually, Mars has an atmosphere dense enough to define the Martian "sea-level" air-pressure as equal to the pressure of the TriplePoint of water*: 6.1173millibars, 0.0060373atmospheres, or ~6/1,000ths of the pressure of Earth's atmosphere

Mars is about as small mass&density-wise as a planet (or moon) can get and still be terraformable for the long term. Dump enough ice and (sunlight) heat on it, and eventually enough water will disassociate to produce an oxygen atmosphere with enough pressure to hold the remaining water as a liquid. Due to Mars' escape velocity, the extra hydrogen from water's disassociation will escape relatively rapidly.
And as BaltimoreBrian said earlier, there are certain CFCs with GreenhouseEffects high enough that the addition of comparatively little to Mars' presentday atmosphere would set off the sublimation of CO2 solid into CO2 gas... which in turn would increase the rate of overall GreenhouseWarming.
SulphurHexafloride would be an even more effective Greenhousing agent.

Mercury is probably too small for long-term terraforming. Even if you dumped lots&lots of water on it, and cooled it to temperatures able to support Earth-type life, the escape velocity is so low that both the hydrogen and the oxygen (produced by water's disassociation) would escape into space. Since the oxygen would escape over a MUCH longer period of time than the hydrogen, such a "Mercury" might be able hold a terraformed atmosphere long enough for hucksters to sell it to the gullible and/or the absurdly rich... kinda like presentday EastCoast/GulfCoast developers selling beachfront properties.

Anything noticeably smaller than Mercury can never be terraformed with any foreseeable technology. eg In 2010: the Space Odyssey, the Monolith killed off any (currently) plausible Europan lifeforms when it ignited Jupiter: the pressure of the water-ice surface makes it possible that there is liquid water below. Without that surface ice, any liquid water would turn into vapor then immediately escape from Europa into space -- thereby making their "All these worlds are yours, but leave Europa alone" warning an exercise in absurdity.

* ie The lowest pressure at the lowest temperature at which water can exist as a liquid.
Per China/greenhousegasses/mars - the Martian atmosphere is already 95% CO2. Don't think it would help warm it! But it did help me remember a story in Bradbury's Martian Chronicles of an astronaut Johnny Appleseed who planted trees to take advantage of the high CO2 and begin putting O2 in atmosphere so could colonize later. Highly improbable, but still one of my faves from that book.

Happy April Fools and Opening Day (except in TX)! Glad the Birds open in AZ instead of MN, 33 for Opening Day, hope no one hurts their arm.
I was reading the headlines of my newspaper, The New York Times, then I went to the weather section (as always), for the first time in 2 years of reading the paper (and the weather section) I notice that it says just at the top right of the weather page "Meteorology by AccuWeather" I never seen that there, maybe ignored it.

Does WUnderground do forecasts for Newspapers as well...?
Nature played it's own April Fools on us with this cold snap.
I wonder if Marvin"s illudium Q-36 explosive space modulator contributes to high levels of C02 gases into the air on Mars?

For Ritaevac:

Georgiastormz' graphic shows the Centex that needs the
rain most missing out - D/FW gets the lion's share. And
sadly, we in Centex usually get about 1/4 of what's predicted for us. Mope......
Long way out..
Sorry, late to the blog today.

comment deleted, never mind.

Back to work for me.
Click twice to really enlarge.
156. SoAl
You made a Fool of me for a few sentences. LOL
.....
Quoting ncstorm:
I wonder if Marvin"s illudium Q-36 explosive space modulator contributes to high levels of C02 gases into the air on Mars?



Why ya gotta go and blame it on me..... :)
Great Blog Dr.,I have a Wallet full of Invisible Improbable money so I can surely relate.
TA13, Nino 3.4 remained at -0.1C in the latest CPC update.

Link
Quoting Skyepony:
Click twice to really enlarge.


Skyepony,

Thanks for posting that dramatic image of the fractured ice in the Beaufort Sea. Many of the experts, at Neven's Arctic Ice Sea Blog are of the opinion that this year's fractured ice is leading to another record-breaking year of Sea Ice Loss in the Arctic Ocean and unprecedented Mass Loss of the Greenland Ice Sheet. These events will have a significant effect on extreme weather events across the Northern Hemisphere for the remainder of 2013 thru 2014 and beyond.

For those that may not be concerned about what is happening in the arctic, please remember one thing:

"What Happens in the Arctic
............Doesn't Stay in the Arctic!!!"
Quoting PedleyCA:


Why ya gotta go and blame it on me..... :)
Dammit Jim, I'm a doctor, not a magician....
Quoting auburn:
Great Blog Dr.,I have a Wallet full of Invisible Improbable money so I can surely relate.
auburn........ Kinda like the waterfront lot for sale in Arizona
Quoting WxGeekVA:
We have Invest 90L!



BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al902013.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201304010413
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 90, 2013, DB, O, 2013040106, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL902013
AL, 90, 2013033118, , BEST, 0, 186N, 404W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040100, , BEST, 0, 194N, 416W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2013040106, , BEST, 0, 202N, 425W, 30, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 106, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,


And of course, my gullible self jumps straight for the NHC satellite pages + the RaleighWX model page.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
TA13, Nino 3.4 remained at -0.1C in the latest CPC update.

Link


On that same update: the cold phase of a kelvin wave is propagating eastward too.
Quoting CybrTeddy:


And of course, my gullible self jumps straight for the NHC satellite pages + the RaleighWX model page.

Soon enough there will be an actual invest 90L, only 2 months until June 1st.





I just finished a blog, feel free to check it out.
this MUST be later,not a cloud in the sky by me.....
Quoting Skyepony:
Click twice to really enlarge.
WOW with the continuing trend with the Alantic tripole, the positive AMO,the negative NAO, a neutal to la nina episode, low wind shear, weak trade windsa nd finally the sst is nearly one deg F above normal for this time of year one should expect an explosive 2013 hurricane season. it will be very interesting to see the CSU April forecast which comes out on Thursday 4th April.
Quoting Skyepony:
Click twice to really enlarge.
Skye...You must know my BF.Trust me, it doesn't work
Nam has east coast florida showers in afternoon.....
Quoting stoormfury:
WOW with the continuing trend with the Alantic tripole, the positive AMO,the negative NAO, a neutal to la nina episode, low wind shear, weak trade windsa nd finally the sst is nearly one deg F above normal for this time of year one should expect an explosive 2013 hurricane season. it will be very interesting to see the CSU April forecast which comes out on Thursday 4th April.


I think it is actually going to post on April 10th:

QUALITATIVE DISCUSSION OF ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR 2013

We discontinued our early December quantitative hurricane forecast last year and are now giving a more qualitative discussion of the factors which will determine next year’s Atlantic basin hurricane activity. One of the big uncertainties for the 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season is whether or not El Niño will develop.
Our first quantitative forecast for 2013 will be issued on Wednesday, April 10.
(as of 7 December 2012)
By Philip J. Klotzbach1 and William M. Gray
thanks for the correction. what a difference can six days make. LOL
174. beell
Chrome is giving me this on RickyRood's blog

Danger: Malware Ahead!
Google Chrome has blocked access to this page on www.wunderground.com.
Content from www.newenergy.org.cn, a known malware distributor, has been inserted into this web page. Visiting this page now is very likely to infect your computer with malware.
Malware is malicious software that causes things like identity theft, financial loss, and permanent file deletion. Learn more
Go back
Quoting stoormfury:
thanks for the correction. what a difference can six days make. LOL


Lol..........Just a little more time to add to the uncertainty and low probability of accuracy....
a very unbelivable attempt at a april fools joke
Quoting beell:
Chrome is giving me this on RickyRood's blog

Danger: Malware Ahead!
Google Chrome has blocked access to this page on www.wunderground.com.
Content from www.newenergy.org.cn, a known malware distributor, has been inserted into this web page. Visiting this page now is very likely to infect your computer with malware.
Malware is malicious software that causes things like identity theft, financial loss, and permanent file deletion. Learn more
Go back

Guess I'll add that web site to my hosts file. Won't come around here no more.
Totally surprised that Dr. M didn't do a April Fools article on AGW is not caused by humans.
Quoting beell:
Chrome is giving me this on RickyRood's blog

Danger: Malware Ahead!
Google Chrome has blocked access to this page on www.wunderground.com.
Content from www.newenergy.org.cn, a known malware distributor, has been inserted into this web page. Visiting this page now is very likely to infect your computer with malware.
Malware is malicious software that causes things like identity theft, financial loss, and permanent file deletion. Learn more
Go back
It's contained in the most recent comment from iceagecoming. You can either put him temporarily on ignore, hide the offending comment (292), or blacklist that site on your own firewall...
PalmBeachWeather- Pearls before swine, you got me laughing and chuckling and happy, thank you.
Quoting Neapolitan:
It's contained in the most recent comment from iceagecoming. You can either put him temporarily on ingore, or blacklist that site on your own firewall...


Don't forget the ever popular TorchesAndPitchforks, as well as my personal favorite, ChickenFeathersAndGoatBones.

All seem to be viable options around here.
184. beell
Quoting bappit:

Guess I'll add that web site to my hosts file. Won't come around here no more.


Action taken here. just passing it on.
Quoting aquak9:
PalmBeachWeather- Pearls before swine, you got me laughing and chuckling and happy, thank you.
aquak9.... Glad to make you laugh.. BUT..........LOL
I like to move it move it
I like to move it move it
Quoting beell:
Chrome is giving me this on RickyRood's blog

Danger: Malware Ahead!
Google Chrome has blocked access to this page on www.wunderground.com.
Content from www.newenergy.org.cn, a known malware distributor, has been inserted into this web page. Visiting this page now is very likely to infect your computer with malware.
Malware is malicious software that causes things like identity theft, financial loss, and permanent file deletion. Learn more
Go back

That's on post 292 from iceagecoming.

Wonder if he knows he went to a malware site?
check my new blog for today's forecast...just another normal day

Quoting Neapolitan:
It's contained in the most recent comment from iceagecoming. You can either put him temporarily on ignore, hide the offending comment (292), or blacklist that site on your own firewall...
Oh hell Nea........ Tell me what to do... I just had a terrible day at work and don't need anymore stress.......???
One day , you'll look
too see I've gone
But tomorrow may rain, so
I'll follow the sun
LMAO Jeff! You got me 2/3 of the way... in tears here!
Quoting LakeWorthFinn:
LMAO Jeff! You got me 2/3 of the way... in tears here!
Lake Worth here...Palmway
Quoting beell:
Chrome is giving me this on RickyRood's blog

Danger: Malware Ahead!
Google Chrome has blocked access to this page on www.wunderground.com.
Content from www.newenergy.org.cn, a known malware distributor, has been inserted into this web page. Visiting this page now is very likely to infect your computer with malware.
Malware is malicious software that causes things like identity theft, financial loss, and permanent file deletion. Learn more
Go back


That's a bit sinister. I posted a cut and paste from a comment on Ricky Rood's blog on to a comments section on a climate change related article on The Telegraph website, about two months ago. It was about how people are paid by the oil industry to post AGW denier comments on such articles. The Telegraph site is completely overrun with deniers, many of whom seem to be on there full time.

I post on health related articles on The Telegraph website, also. On some of these comments, I post a link to my blog on disease causation. This blog had my email address on it (I've since removed it).

Within an hour of posting the cut and paste, I got an email about my health blog. Usually, I get about half a dozen a year. Soon after I clicked on the email, my computer started to go wrong. First effect was that I couldn't type anything. As soon as I pressed a button, the '#' symbol would run riot, filling up the comment space. Same thing happened when I typed in the URL space.

Then, the IE, Chrome and Firefox icons disappeared, so that I couldn't even get on the Internet. Other 'disruptions' happened as well. The system restore, and system restore safe mode were disabled. It was clear that the email had put a virus on to my computer, and that its purpose was to stop me posting on the Internet.

I did a bit of googling in the local library, and found that viruses that disrupt keyboard function are known, but rare. They're classed as 'malicious' viruses, because, unlike most viruses, they are not designed to make money for the people behind them. At least, not directly.

Be warned.
Oh hell Nea........ Tell me what to do... I just had a terrible day at work and don't need anymore stress.......???

Of all the previously listed options, I found that my daughter's spider-killing method worked best.

Hairspray. Half-a-damn-can of hairspray. It won't be waring no mal, no more.
Quoting aquak9:
Oh hell Nea........ Tell me what to do... I just had a terrible day at work and don't need anymore stress.......???

Of all the previously listed options, I found that my daughter's spider-killing method worked best.

Hairspray. Half-a-damn-can of hairspray. It won't be waring no mal, no more.
Freezes spiders in their tracks...
getting back on-topic before I get banned-

A Davis VantagePro 2.



Temporary housing.

Computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely accurate. The measured temperature of the Earth has precisely followed each refinement of those models. The atmosphere has increased by an astounding 0.0065% CO2 over the last 40 years, and it is likely to continue well into the future. The implications for mankind are clear.
Quoting DoctorDave1:
Computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely accurate. The measured temperature of the Earth has precisely followed each refinement of those models. The atmosphere has increased by an astounding 0.0065% CO2 over the last 40 years, and it is likely to continue well into the future. The implications for mankind are clear.


We all sing Kumbaya
March temperature anomaly..

Quoting DoctorDave1:
Computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely accurate. The measured temperature of the Earth has precisely followed each refinement of those models. The atmosphere has increased by an astounding 0.0065% CO2 over the last 40 years, and it is likely to continue well into the future. The implications for mankind are clear.
Well, actually, computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely inaccurate, for the measured temperature of the Earth has continued to actually drop over the past several decades, with each succeeding year cooler overall than the one that preceded it. The Arctic has rebounded, with polar bears now cavorting on meters-thick ice where just a few years ago there was open water. Sea levels globally have fallen by several inches in the past year alone. The planet hasn't experienced a deep drought or a major flood in decades. There haven't been any large forest/wildland fires in the US or Russia in nearly as long. Extreme weather has practically become a thing of the past. Physicists just this past week announced that, contrary to what they believed for well over a century, atmospheric CO2 is actually a cooling gas, not a warming one. Glaciers around the planet are thickening and stretching, gaining what they lost over the past decades. Ocean acidification has reversed, and now all the planet's fish and coral species are healthier than ever. In fact, it's been found that not only are fossil fuels not harmful to the environment, they should actually be consumed as a healthy, beneficial, and necessary part of a balanced diet.

The following graph demonstrates the cooling:

cooling
Post 203.

Thanks for that.
I knew it, in my bones, all along.

Now that we have cleared that up, we can go back to Living life like there's no tomorrow.

Whew. It's about time, too !

ONWARD >>>>>>>>>>>>>
Quoting FunnelVortex:


HAHAHAHA

Nice try...

Sorry for the late response.

No, that wasn't my April Fool's joke. The northern half of the country seriously is in for a snowstorm next week.

A significant severe weather outbreak likely across the central and southern plains as well.
The CPC is still calling for a really good chance of above-normal temperatures across the eastern one-half of the Lower 48 over the next two weeks:

cpc

cpc

NOTE: these images don't mean it won't or can't get cold at some point over the coming fortnight; they just mean the overall odds for the describe multi-day time periods are likely to be warmer than normal.
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Freezes spiders in their tracks...
Slow suffocation. I didn't think you would be so cruel. A shoe works just as well. Good afternoon all:)
What if the big April Fools was the fact that April 2nd is April Fools Day, not April 1st?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
What if the big April Fools was the fact that April 2nd is April Fools Day, not April 1st?


...Thanks for the pending headache...
Does anyone besides me know the origin of April Fools Day. I know Grothar does, he was there.
northeast up again
12z surface kt winds


Clearing inland last, 65.9 here....
Quoting aquak9:
Oh hell Nea........ Tell me what to do... I just had a terrible day at work and don't need anymore stress.......???

Of all the previously listed options, I found that my daughter's spider-killing method worked best.

Hairspray. Half-a-damn-can of hairspray. It won't be waring no mal, no more.


Well on the flip side, that spiders hair is going to look absolutely fabulous.
Quoting PedleyCA:
Does anyone besides me know the origin of April Fools Day. I know Grothar does, he was there.


He's the reason.
Quoting PedleyCA:
Does anyone besides me know the origin of April Fools Day. I know Grothar does, he was there.
"Does anybody really know what time it is".."Does anybody really care


Not so nice today Keeper. Whats wrong with your radar on the WU?
Quoting kwgirl:
Slow suffocation. I didn't think you would be so cruel. A shoe works just as well. Good afternoon all:)
"BAM"
Quoting aquak9:


He's the reason.


Your right, he liked the old calendar better, still does. Is he doing it again?
Oh Well. Happy New Years Grothar.....
Quoting PedleyCA:
Does Anybody Really Know What Time It Is?
As I was walking down the street one day,A man came up and asked me
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
"BAM"


here's a stilleto, they're more fun
Quoting aquak9:


here's a stilleto, they're more fun
aquak......But so much harder to hit spiders......Better for other uses......BAM!
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
aquak......But so much harder to hit spiders......Better for other uses......BAM!


Hey Palm Beach
We got some great improbable research funding thanks to our grant writers Znot Hepanig and Know Wei.
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


Hey Palm Beach
How are you Max?
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
How are you Max?


going back to cold again after reaching 61... :(
peachy, isn't?
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
One day , you'll look
too see I've gone
But tomorrow may rain, so
I'll follow the sun


Hermans Hermits?!
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


going back to cold again after reaching 61... :(
peachy, isn't?
I think finally the cold mornings are over here... Now it's time to glow...(Glow is the female term for sweating) so much more ladylike.
Quoting mitthbevnuruodo:


Hermans Hermits?!
LOL........One more guess
Quoting PedleyCA:
Does anyone besides me know the origin of April Fools Day. I know Grothar does, he was there.


I think was something about the pagans spring celebrations colliding with Christianity's resurrection... so the pagan holiday turned into Aprils Fool. But I could be wrong!
Beatles

I'll Follow the Sun
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
LOL........One more guess


Oh durrr, thinking of wrong voice, Beatles of course haha How long did I live near Liverpool?! 5 Years! haha
Quoting mitthbevnuruodo:


I think was something about the pagans spring celebrations colliding with Christianity's resurrection... so the pagan holiday turned into Aprils Fool. But I could be wrong!
It's when I was a young girl in high school and I would drink 2 bottles of Boone's Farm wine and everyone said I was a fool.... Now that's the truth, It just so happened it was on April 1st....
Quoting mitthbevnuruodo:


I think was something about the pagans spring celebrations colliding with Christianity's resurrection... so the pagan holiday turned into Aprils Fool. But I could be wrong!


Origins

I blame it on them changing the Calendar.
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
LOL........One more guess


I'm Into Something Good
Quoting biff4ugo:
We got some great improbable research funding thanks to our grant writers Znot Hepanig and Know Wei.

Well done.
I'm sure that you will find a way forward, now, to continue your Vital Project in the conviction that you will submerge to the top of this crumbling heap of Research.

My regards to Znot and Wei.
234 Hey I like that. Makes me feel much cooler. I only have one question. What is a Metric Percentage. That sounds like an April Fools Joke right there.
Quoting PedleyCA:
234 Hey I like that. Makes me feel much cooler. I only have one question. What is a Metric Percentage. That sounds like an April Fools Joke right there.


No, that would be a good example of an oxymoron.
Pretty solid line of downpours and thunderstorms moving through my are now, today was a beautiful 60 degree day until an hour or so ago... the strongest storm is just south of Boston.
Impressive cells firing in the Texas Panhandle this afternoon. Look out for some large hail with these guys. Tornadoes are possible but not expected.


Huge hail core.
Supercell in Texas is likely producing the size of tennis balls or roundabout. Doesn't compare to last night's monster.



Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Impressive cells firing in the Texas Panhandle this afternoon. Look out for some large hail with these guys. Tornadoes are possible but not expected.

You beat me...shouldn't have taken so long on my post.
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
I think finally the cold mornings are over here... Now it's time to glow...(Glow is the female term for sweating) so much more ladylike.


Yes the cold mornings are over in the DC area and Spring is finally here.

Wake up tomorrow morning

APRIL FOOL!!

Quoting Neapolitan:
It's contained in the most recent comment from iceagecoming. You can either put him temporarily on ignore, hide the offending comment (292), or blacklist that site on your own firewall...


Thanks, makes me feel better about putting iceage on ignore a long time ago.
Quoting Neapolitan:
Well, actually, computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely inaccurate, for the measured temperature of the Earth has continued to actually drop over the past several decades, with each succeeding year cooler overall than the one that preceded it. The Arctic has rebounded, with polar bears now cavorting on meters-thick ice where just a few years ago there was open water. Sea levels globally have fallen by several inches in the past year alone. The planet hasn't experienced a deep drought or a major flood in decades. There haven't been any large forest/wildland fires in the US or Russia in nearly as long. Extreme weather has practically become a thing of the past. Physicists just this past week announced that, contrary to what they believed for well over a century, atmospheric CO2 is actually a cooling gas, not a warming one. Glaciers around the planet are thickening and stretching, gaining what they lost over the past decades. Ocean acidification has reversed, and now all the planet's fish and coral species are healthier than ever. In fact, it's been found that not only are fossil fuels not harmful to the environment, they should actually be consumed as a healthy, beneficial, and necessary part of a balanced diet.

The following graph demonstrates the cooling:

cooling



At my home in the DC suburbs February was over 40F cooler than last August. It's clear GW has catastrophically reversed and we're headed for a new ice age by boreal summer.
This isn't no April fools joke this is real.I'm not looking forward to hurricane season this year..and I don't know why?. I'm not saying it as if fearing for the worst I'm saying it because I'm just not as enthusiastic as I was with past seasons.I was even pumped up for the 2012 season even when people were downing it.I just think this season is probably going to be a let down again with weak pointless storms that could have aided in the drought situation over the mid-west and lots of dust and lack of moisture over the Atlantic.
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
It's when I was a young girl in high school and I would drink 2 bottles of Boone's Farm wine and everyone said I was a fool.... Now that's the truth, It just so happened it was on April 1st....


haha yes, I remember Boones Farm! Rather that than anything strong I suppose?!
Good afternoon everybody!! I hope you all haven't been pranked too much today. Anyway, it has gotten quite windy at my place, gusting out of the NW up to 35 mph with temps falling through the 50's.
And in yet another example of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle, it has been found that a previously undocumented source of atmospheric heating is the computers used to run IPCC simulations.

Further forensic investigation has determined that the El Nino of 1983 can be traced to leakage of Mc Donald's coffee from a cruise ship holding tank December 4, 1982 off of the Peruvian coast when the magnetic fields used to contain the substance failed. Previous lawsuits had determined that this substance is the most highly superheated plasma known to science.

And since experience with senior scientists when I only had a BS degree suggests that my most idiotic statements are sometimes taken
seriously, I'll ask readers to remember the calendar date.
Quoting PedleyCA:


Origins

I blame it on them changing the Calendar.


They were probably combined!
A few showers in my area earlier in the afternoon, but skies are clearing out now.
Quoting washingtonian115:
This isn't no April fools joke this is real.I'm not looking forward to hurricane season this year..and I don't know why?. I'm not saying it as if fearing for the worst I'm saying it because I'm just not as enthusiastic as I was with past seasons.I was even pumped up for the 2012 season even when people were downing it.I just think this season is probably going to be a let down again with weak pointless storms that could have aided in the drought situation over the mid-west and lots of dust and lack of moisture over the Atlantic.


I don't think so, because of the patterns that we have right now , but is not Needless to say, that the season can only produce 1 hurricane, but if this hurricane reach your location the season turns bad for you immediately...
that is pretty bad

and of course global warming is an april fool's joke!
Quoting georgevandenberghe:
And in yet another example of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle, it has been found that a previously undocumented source of atmospheric heating is the computers used to run IPCC simulations.

Further forensic investigation has determined that the El Nino of 1983 can be traced to leakage of Mc Donald's coffee from a cruise ship holding tank December 4, 1982 off of the Peruvian coast when the magnetic fields used to contain the substance failed. Previous lawsuits had determined that this substance is the most highly superheated plasma known to science.

And since experience with senior scientists when I only had a BS degree suggests that my most idiotic statements are sometimes taken
seriously, I'll ask readers to remember the calendar date.
I knew it. so much for Walker Circulations and Kelvin Waves..
Quoting coyotejj:
that is pretty bad

and of course global warming is an april fool's joke!
Ten years and only 4 comments. Impressive.
Quoting Tornado6042008X:
A few showers in my area earlier in the afternoon, but skies are clearing out now.
It's been very light rain drops on and off with gray dark clouds and the sun coming occasionally out now now.It's still windy though.

Quoting georgevandenberghe:
And in yet another example of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle, it has been found that a previously undocumented source of atmospheric heating is the computers used to run IPCC simulations.

Further forensic investigation has determined that the El Nino of 1983 can be traced to leakage of Mc Donald's coffee from a cruise ship holding tank December 4, 1982 off of the Peruvian coast when the magnetic fields used to contain the substance failed. Previous lawsuits had determined that this substance is the most highly superheated plasma known to science.

And since experience with senior scientists when I only had a BS degree suggests that my most idiotic statements are sometimes taken
seriously, I'll ask readers to remember the calendar date.



Its probably the same coffee that burned that lady in the McDonald's parking lot back in 1992. I heard they used Whales to transport the coffee back to the US, once BP helped them extract from the ocean, and then they ground up the whales and used them in handburgers!

EVIL FOOD CORPORATIONS!
Sea surface temperature anomalies are beginning to take a hit from the quickly-reversing North Atlantic Oscillation. This will not be significant in regards to hurricane actiivity unless the flip lasts for an extended period of time (ex. a month or more).

Quoting stormchaser19:


I don't think so, because of the patterns that we have right now , but is not Needless to say, that the season can only produce 1 hurricane, but if this hurricane reach your location the season turns bad for you immediately...
I'm just not enthusiastic.I've been over this hurricane routine two years in a row.Sandy,and Irene.
Storms with potentially large hail moving through Childress, TX right now. Stay safe.
Gulf coast folks,pay attention on Thursday...........
Ominous words in most recent Houston Galveston NWS forecast discussion:

BOUNDARY OFFSHORE COULD BECOME A LONG LIVED FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENT.

That's happened before this year. Wound up with piddly amounts of rain onshore. No! Do no want!
a big WOW for Thursday huh...............
That coffee got me in '86 on my way out of the parking lot, fortunately only blistered my inner thighs!
Thurs/Friday are the Watchful days ahead........
wow for Friday Afternoon...................
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Sea surface temperature anomalies are beginning to take a hit from the quickly-reversing North Atlantic Oscillation. This will not be significant in regards to hurricane actiivity unless the flip lasts for an extended period of time (ex. a month or more).



GFS/ECMWF nailed the positive NAO.
here is the NAM for Friday.heed local warnings folks..
Good afternoon everyone hope everyone is having a good day.Heat has been intolerable I really prefer the cold weather.Going to the movies with some friends and Boyfriend :D so I am not going to be here in the next couple of hours.
Quoting LargoFl:
a big WOW for Thursday huh...............
That is one BIG flood threat especially for the Florida Panhandle. Going to have to watch this one for sure.
Quoting Tornado6042008X:
That is one BIG flood threat especially for the Florida Panhandle. Going to have to watch this one for sure.
yes the local mets are saying a possible significant rain event thurs/fri..we'll see how it goes, most of the models are sticking to it too..
now WENS its Texas/Louisanna for the storms............
yes hope no tornado's with this next system...........
CFS showing neutral to La nina ENSO in the hard of the season,lets see if the forecast is correct...




it went up to 60% chance now for My area.......
Tues/Wens STAY SAFE Texas,looks like it might start today..
Oklahoma also......................
New Tornado Warning.

054
WFUS54 KLUB 012157
TORLUB
TXC045-012230-
/O.NEW.KLUB.TO.W.0001.130401T2157Z-130401T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
457 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BRISCOE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 454 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF CAPROCK CANYON STATE PARK OR ABOUT NEAR
SILVERTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CAPROCK
CANYONS STATE PARK.
Thanks cyclone..the severe weather is beginning..stay safe Texans.
Might be a good Soaking rain event for them,they need it..
Confirmed!
Quoting cyclonekid:
New Tornado Warning.

054
WFUS54 KLUB 012157
TORLUB
TXC045-012230-
/O.NEW.KLUB.TO.W.0001.130401T2157Z-130401T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
457 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BRISCOE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 454 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF CAPROCK CANYON STATE PARK OR ABOUT NEAR
SILVERTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CAPROCK
CANYONS STATE PARK.
Quoting dabirds:
That coffee got me in '86 on my way out of the parking lot, fortunately only blistered my inner thighs!


Yeah that lady got really messed up, that I was referring to in my original post.

I laughed at the lawsuit at the time, but after reading the Wiki, yowzers, put'n the coffee there is a bad idea!
PING PONG BALL SIZED HAILSTONES....................SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
503 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

TXC045-012230-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130401T2230Z/
BRISCOE TX-
503 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN
BRISCOE COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 458 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...
AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF CAPROCK CANYON STATE PARK...OR 9 MILES EAST OF
SILVERTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
QUITAQUE...CAPROCK CANYONS STATE PARK AND VALLEY SCHOOLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LUBBOCK AT 8067451290.

DUE TO THE ROTATING NATURE OF THIS THUNDERSTORM...IT IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE
HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY SHOULD A TORNADO OCCUR OR A TORNADO WARNING
BE ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 10128 3470 10095 3432 10095 3436 10128
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 270DEG 22KT 3452 10112

$$
Quoting Neapolitan:
Well, actually, computer models created to forecast the warming of the Earth due to increasing CO2 levels have been extremely inaccurate, for the measured temperature of the Earth has continued to actually drop over the past several decades, with each succeeding year cooler overall than the one that preceded it. The Arctic has rebounded, with polar bears now cavorting on meters-thick ice where just a few years ago there was open water. Sea levels globally have fallen by several inches in the past year alone. The planet hasn't experienced a deep drought or a major flood in decades. There haven't been any large forest/wildland fires in the US or Russia in nearly as long. Extreme weather has practically become a thing of the past. Physicists just this past week announced that, contrary to what they believed for well over a century, atmospheric CO2 is actually a cooling gas, not a warming one. Glaciers around the planet are thickening and stretching, gaining what they lost over the past decades. Ocean acidification has reversed, and now all the planet's fish and coral species are healthier than ever. In fact, it's been found that not only are fossil fuels not harmful to the environment, they should actually be consumed as a healthy, beneficial, and necessary part of a balanced diet.

The following graph demonstrates the cooling:

cooling


Government Agents at work here!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHILDRESS COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 454 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
GOLF BALL SIZE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KIRKLAND...OR 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
THE INDICATED COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC197-012245-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0080.130401T2203Z-130401T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
503 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 456 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR KIRKLAND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
TWO INCH DIAMETER HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM SOUTH OF
CHILDRESS.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOODLETT AND LAZARE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LARGE DAMAGING HAIL IS LIKELY. TAKE SHELTER NOW IN A STURDY BUILDING
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
Looks like the Bad Storm is headed for oklahoma,heed your local warnings there folks in a lil while.
159 auburn: Great Blog Dr. I have a Wallet full of Invisible Improbable money so I can surely relate.
163 PalmBeachWeather: Kinda like the waterfront lot for sale in Arizona

Arizona has plenty of rivers, lakes, and streams. If ya mean oceanic waterfront, just wait awhile...
The ColoradoRiver's elevation at the YumaCounty border in SanLuis is 72feet(~22metres) above sea-level, which means that it's a fairly good bet that Arizona will have a seaport before this current mess is over.
...a couple of centuries or three, plus-or-minus a few years.
Yesterday I had Rabbit Stew.

Mmmmm.

Sorry Easter Bunny, but your cousin was delicious.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Sea surface temperature anomalies are beginning to take a hit from the quickly-reversing North Atlantic Oscillation. This will not be significant in regards to hurricane actiivity unless the flip lasts for an extended period of time (ex. a month or more).



it's too windy now in the leewards and the sea is rough :(
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY MID
EVENING NORTHWEST OF A BOWIE...TO WEATHERFORD...TO COMANCHE LINE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

OVERNIGHT...LOW THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES MAY SPREAD AS FAR SOUTHEAST
AS AN ATHENS TO HEARNE LINE JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. A FEW STRONG
STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORM WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD DURING THE DAY TUESDAY
NORTH OF A HAMILTON...TO HILLSBORO...TO ATHENS LINE WITH A COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO NORTH TEXAS. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY REACH
SEVERE LIMITS WITH LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED WEST OF A BOWIE...TO
WEATHERFORD...COMANCHE LINE LATER THIS EVENING.

$$

05/


Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 6:13 PM EDT Monday 1 April 2013
Condition: Light Snowshower
Pressure: 29.9 inches
Tendency: rising
Visibility: 6 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 3

Temperature: 28.6°F
Dewpoint: 14.7°F
Humidity: 50 %
Wind: NW 28 gust 34 mph
Wind Chill: 13
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WIDESPREAD STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE APPROACH
AND PASSAGE OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR RAINFALL TOTALS TO AVERAGE 1 TO
2 INCHES WITH SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE
THIS EVENT ENDS THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE AREAS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MIGHT BE NEEDED TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.


Snow squall watch issued

Potential for snow squalls tonight with significant snowfall.

Today may be April fools' day, but mother nature is not kidding around with the weather. A sharp cold front crossed Southern Ontario last night, and introduced a fresh round of Arctic air buffeted by brisk northwest winds. As these winds blow across the relatively warm waters of Lake Huron, an organized band of heavier snow flurries is likely to develop this evening and continue into Tuesday. It may consolidate into a fairly strong snow squall and remain nearly stationary for several hours. This would create the potential for a significant snowfall with amounts up to 15 cm possible by morning. Further amounts are likely on Tuesday, although the squall is expected to weaken in the morning.

Brisk northwest winds up to 50 or 60 km/h are expected. This will create local blowing snow and associated low visibilities.

This watch may be upgraded to a snow squall warning this evening if the heavier snow squall begins to take shape.

Travellers should exercise caution tonight into Tuesday due to restricted visibility and accumulating snow from this potential snow squall.

Levi has added model forecasts for the "Caribbean Gradient Index" or "CGI" to the analysis tools section of his website. The CGI is defined by Levi as the anomalous difference in MSLP between two regions (as seen here). This index will help us describe the pressure gradient between the SE US and the Caribbean. The more positive (negative) the index the stronger (weaker) the pressure gradient will be relative to average, creating more (less) convergence in the Caribbean than normal. When there is greater convergence in the Caribbean, conditions are more favorable for tropical development in the region. Thus, when this index is positive, watch the Caribbean because conditions should be more favorable for development in the area. For now, since it is still only April, we can watch this index to see what the SSTs in the Caribbean will be doing (if it's positive, they'll tend to cool, opposite is true for the negative signal).


00z GEFS CGI

RE 312: The greater the pressure difference, the stronger the ridge over the southeastern USA is, and the more hurricanes get deflected west?
Tornado Report: DAMAGED A METAL BARN. ON GROUND FOR 5 MINUTES
Quoting TomTaylor:




Levi has added model forecasts for the "Caribbean Gradient Index" or "CGI" to the analysis tools section of his website. The CGI is defined by Levi as the anomalous difference in MSLP between two regions (as shown above). This index will help us describe the pressure gradient between the SE US and the Caribbean. The more positive (negative) the index the stronger (weaker) the pressure gradient will be relative to average, creating more (less) convergence in the Caribbean than normal. When there is greater convergence in the Caribbean, conditions are more favorable for tropical development in the region. Thus, when this index is positive, watch the Caribbean because conditions should be more favorable for development in the area. For now, since it is still only April, we can watch this index to see what the SSTs in the Caribbean will be doing (if it's positive, they'll tend to cool, opposite is true for the negative signal).


00z GEFS CGI


Also, Levi, if you are on here reading...

I like this idea of the CGI. A similar index could be made with the MSLP field over the eastern Atlantic to monitor the evolutin of SST anomalies over the East Atlantic. Not sure if this is something you'd want to add or if it's even worth the resources, but I'm just throwing out ideas.

Another thing possibly worth plotting numerical values for could be OLR anomalies or maybe velocity potential anomalies over the ENSO regions and MDR. Or perhaps the anomalous difference between these regions. You already got SST anomalies, but OLR and/or velocity potential will give us an idea of the atmospheric response to the ocean. Or, perhaps you could do the same thing but for MSLP instead, though the SOI already describes the atmospheric response over the Pacific. Maybe Atl-Pac could be added though.

Again, I'm just throwing out ideas. Lots of this stuff can already be observed through model plot interpretation. Numerical values would help give us a more objective interpretation but it's up to you to decide how many of these ideas are actually worth it lol
Could evaporation from the shallow hot sea covering southwestern Arizona and southeastern California help offset greater droughts in the southwest as the world warms up?

I remember seeing a computer simulation a few years ago that showed summer precipitation in Florida fell drastically during ice ages because the peninsula was so wide that the sea breeze fronts could not collide.

Rising oceans that cover significant land areas could produce significant second-order effects.

Quoting aspectre:
159 auburn: Great Blog Dr. I have a Wallet full of Invisible Improbable money so I can surely relate.
163 PalmBeachWeather: Kinda like the waterfront lot for sale in Arizona

Arizona has plenty of rivers, lakes, and streams. If ya mean oceanic waterfront, just wait awhile...
The ColoradoRiver's elevation at the YumaCounty border in SanLuis is 72feet(~22metres) above sea-level, which means that it's a fairly good bet that Arizona will have a seaport before this current mess is over.
...a couple of centuries, plus-or-minus a few years.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
544 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

TXC191-012300-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-130401T2300Z/
HALL TX-
544 PM CDT MON APR 1 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
HALL COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 539 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
EAST OF VALLEY SCHOOLS...OR 13 MILES EAST OF QUITAQUE...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN HALL COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LUBBOCK AT 8067451290.

&&
51 WxGeekVA: We have Invest 90L!
164 CybrTeddy: And of course, my gullible self jumps straight for the NHC satellite pages...

Not gullible when such an early appearance of an Atlantic Invest is quite plausible. Weren't you one of those who pointed out that the 2013HurricaneSeason is a Bust cuz 2012 had had an Invest before April?
The Southern Indian basin is going to be a lot of fun to watch in the coming days. Here's the 18z GFS at 192 hours, with twin storms:



The weaker storm on the right hangs around for the entire run:



The Euro has a strong storm at 216 hours:



And the CMC has a serious monster at that same time period, with another weaker storm on the other side of the basin like the GFS shows, as well as a third weaker one near Madagascar:



The CMC also shows a storm on Australia's Pacific side in that image.

Doesn't look like any of these would impact land.
Ok so when do you think we will have our first tropical wave
A first week of April
B second week of April
C third week of April
D forth week of April
E first week of may
F second week of may
G third week of may
H forth week of may
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Ok so when do you think we will have our first tropical wave
A first week of April
B second week of April
C third week of April
D forth week of April
E first week of may
F second week of may
G third week of may
H forth week of may


I go with F.
MDR is heating up. Mid latitudes heating up.

Hope everyon had an Egg-cellent Easter! Looks like a nice week coming up for West Palm Beach...

Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Ok so when do you think we will have our first tropical wave
A first week of April
B second week of April
C third week of April
D forth week of April
E first week of may
F second week of may
G third week of may
H forth week of may


I'll go with G..

I have seen and read forecasts that have said otherwise...but here is this one.
Quoting RTSplayer:
Yesterday I had Rabbit Stew.

Mmmmm.

Sorry Easter Bunny, but your cousin was delicious.


cook! where's my hassenpfeffer !

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Hope everyon had an Egg-cellent Easter! Looks like a nice week coming up for West Palm Beach...



Need good weather on Saturday.. Oyster Fest outdoors in Ft. Pierce.
Quoting indianrivguy:


Need good weather on Saturday.. Oyster Fest outdoors in Ft. Pierce.


It's been a year since I've had oysters. What I would do for a steamed oyster (no raw) over a saltine cracker with a splash of hot sauce right about now. Enjoy IRG!
Heights over the Atlantic coast, indications of another warm up!

The cooling of the eastern Pacific is very noticeable in the image below. You can see the start of the cooling trend in the MDR as well.

Quoting indianrivguy:


Need good weather on Saturday.. Oyster Fest outdoors in Ft. Pierce.


Are they trucking in any oysters from up here in the Big Bend region (Apalachicola Bay ones)? Some of the best oysters in the US if you ask me....Great salinity/fresh water balance. Conversely, and much like issues facing the Indian River Lagoon, that perfect "sweetness" is a by-product of enough fresh water in the bay from the Apalachicola River (which flows down from the Flint in Georgia). As you know, lots of issues/litigation potential between Florida and Georgia to ensure that we get enough fresh water downstream to keep that bay alive with good oysters and the hundreds of folks who work them employed in the long-term.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The cooling of the eastern Pacific is very noticeable in the image below. You can see the start of the cooling trend in the MDR as well.



The East Pacific Hurricane season, maybe will be below average this year!!!!
Quoting StAugustineFL:


It's been a year since I've had oysters. What I would do for a steamed oyster (no raw) over a saltine cracker with a splash of hot sauce right about now. Enjoy IRG!


Thanks... I was just up in New Smyrna working with a clam farmer and we had platters of raw oysters and clams from there for lunch. VERY good stuff.. the salinity in Mosquito lagoon was 41 ppt so both the bivalves were naturally salty and ohhh so tasty.
Images of the TX tornado:





Wonder how that happened. Conditions were not favorable for the development of twisters today.
Quoting indianrivguy:


Thanks... I was just up in New Smyrna working with a clam farmer and we had platters of raw oysters and clams from there for lunch. VERY good stuff.. the salinity in Mosquito lagoon was 41 ppt so both the bivalves were naturally salty and ohhh so tasty.


More of a shrimp and scallop fan!
Quoting weathermanwannabe:


Are they trucking in any oysters from up here in the Big Bend region (Apalachicola Bay ones)? Some of the best oysters in the US if you ask me....Great salinity/fresh water balance. Conversely, and much like issues facing the Indian River Lagoon, that perfect "sweetness" is a by-product of enough fresh water in the bay from the Apalachicola River (which flows down from the Flint in Georgia). As you know, lots of issues/litigation potential between Florida and Georgia to ensure that we get enough fresh water downstream to keep that bay alive with good oysters and the hundreds of folks who work them employed in the long-term.


I am aware, the water wars issue is very important for downstream users. Most folks have no idea how rich Apalachicola Bay is, and just how dependent it is on a proper supply of clean unpolluted water. I am very glad we don't have the same laws here that they do in the west. I work with Captain Dan Tonsmeire your Apalachicola Riverkeeper. We are two of Florida's 5 Waterkeepers.

We had a recipe "taste test" for this years fest, and I was part of that. Those oysters came from Texas, and were good, but I was disappointed they weren't Florida oysters.

Geoff.. me too, but they were excellent...
stay alert and safe texas.......good night folks!....
Quoting LargoFl:
stay alert and safe texas.......good night folks!....


G'night sir, sleep well!
213 aquak9: ...my daughter's spider-killing method worked best. Hairspray. Half-a-can of hairspray...
213 CybrTeddy: Well on the flip side, that spider's hair is going to look absolutely fabulous.

The spider'll also be deafened...
...which means screaming won't help none in shooing the hunting spider away.
I just found out from a friend of mine that he was in the the recent massive car pileup, he says hes ok but the same can't be said everyone in that jam...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The cooling of the eastern Pacific is very noticeable in the image below. You can see the start of the cooling trend in the MDR as well.



Not Good. Texas needs jumpers from the EPAC to spin up landfalling disturbances and storms, like Hermine from '10.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Images of the TX tornado:





Wonder how that happened. Conditions were not favorable for the development of twisters today.


Your calculations were wrong.
Amazon’s ‘invisible flying rivers’
Matches very well with the titel of the current blog post ... Good night from Germany!
Speaking of random tornadoes forming in unfavorable locations, here's a video from two nights ago in Oklahoma. The twister was just today reported and added to the SPC site.



Quoting RTSplayer:


Your calculations were wrong.

I may be the only one who thinks this, but tornadoes don't typically occur with dewpoints in the upper 30s to lower 40s and instability near 1000 j/kg, along with 35 knots of shear at 500mb and <20 knots at 850mb.
239 PedleyCA: 234...one question. What is a Metric Percentage? That sounds like an April Fools Joke...

They're quite handy: eg there's a small micro% chance of any given ticket winning the lottery, and a small nano% chance that any given WUber's HurricaneSeason prediction made thus far will be accurate.
Ewww delete the spider picture at once!.Phobia is starting to kick in! Lordy now you 'don set it off!.
Quoting aspectre:
239 PedleyCA: 234...one question. What is a Metric Percentage? That sounds like an April Fools Joke...

Actually it's quite handy: eg there's a small micro% chance of winning the lottery...
...and a small nano% chance that any given WUber's HurricaneSeason prediction made thus far will be accurate.


What if there were zero named storms in the Atlantic this year?

That would be hilarious, historically speaking.

The site would be dead since the majority of it's traffic is tropical weather hype.
Quoting aspectre:
213 aquak9: ...my daughter's spider-killing method worked best. Hairspray. Half-a-can of hairspray...
213 CybrTeddy: Well on the flip side, that spider's hair is going to look absolutely fabulous.

The spider'll also be deafened...
...which means screaming won't help none in shooing the hunting spider away.


Whoa, was NOT prepared for that scrolling down the comments.

Isn't that an Everglades jumping spider?
James E. Hansen, the climate scientist who issued the clearest warning of the 20th century about the dangers of global warming, will retire from NASA this week, giving himself more freedom to pursue political and legal efforts to limit greenhouse gases.

His departure, after a 46-year career at the space agency’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in Manhattan, will deprive federally sponsored climate research of its best-known public figure.

At the same time, retirement will allow Dr. Hansen to press his cause in court. He plans to take a more active role in lawsuits challenging the federal and state governments over their failure to limit emissions, for instance, as well as in fighting the development in Canada of a particularly dirty form of oil extracted from tar sands.

Link to article
Deleted for the version below: edited a quote of my comment instead of editing my comment here.
5.3 quake felt on the northern coast of Iceland.. felt in Reykjavik as well
Well dern....I gotta say Dr. Masters, I was fooled on that one...I sat there thinkin "This is the stupidest thing I ever heard" and then I seen 'Dr. Donteventrytopronouncemylastname' and figured it out :D
Jedkins01, I feel that has the whiff of implausibility. :P
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Jedkins01, I feel that has the whiff of implausibility. :P

Quoting Jedkins01:
Link

It's actually pretty cool. The screen doesn't smell...of course...but the brain makes you think it smells like that object. I spent all of my second period playing around with this with my friends.
*bumps fist with analyst*
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
*bumps fist with analyst*

*bump*

Not seen you around here in a while...how's it been?
Life is good! I dropped out of here for a while because I didn't think this site was moderated well, if at all. And I was busy. I checked it out yesterday and it seems much better.
Shaking again in Japan
343 aspectre: The spider'll also be deafened [by being hairsprayed]... which means screaming won't help none in shooing the hunting spider away.
348 washingtonian115: Ewww delete the spider picture at once! Phobia is starting to kick in!

Sorry -- you can use Hide on the posting -- no can do when people are talking about killing some of the best friends that humans have ever had (cats and dogs also being on the top 4 list).

350 wxgeek723: Isn't that an Everglades jumping spider?

Don't know about the Everglades, but it's an adult female Phidippus mystaceus
(scroll down a bit past the initial set of photos) which is apparently listed in the
Revision of the Jumping Spiders of the Genus Phidippus (Araneae: Salticidae)
By G B Edwards, PhD, Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Life is good! I dropped out of here for a while because I didn't think this site was moderated well, if at all. And I was busy. I checked it out yesterday and it seems much better.


Hi Brian! Missed ya!
Thanks Geoffrey, good to see y'all again :)
Quoting pcola57:


I'll go with G..
E
Although the pun I posted in the weatherhistorian blog may get me banned forever ;)
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Although the pun I posted in the weatherhistorian blog may get me banned forever ;)


That was funny.....
Well Gotta Go, Hope Everyone Got through April 1st all right. Have a Good Night....
Interesting pic from Binghamton NWS web site.

"Fogs such as this develop during nights favorable for radiational cooling - conditions of clear skies and light winds."

Only invest at the moment..90S. Finally come off the land. Click pic for loop.


Quoting bappit:
Interesting pic from Binghamton NWS web site.

"Fogs such as this develop during nights favorable for radiational cooling - conditions of clear skies and light winds."



Looks like the pattern one would see in blood vessels, bronchi or a leaf.
The problem is, his warming hysteria propaganda makes every day April Fools Day.
Dendritic. Fog in all the river valleys.
West Atlantic has some interesting features...extratopical low.
Oceansat of that.
SUNSET SHOT
from mid atlantic skye
alright im going to bed. gnite bloggers
And there is this smaller shrimp want to be blob. This is as good as this one is probibly going to look for strength & warmer core. A low should come together SE of it & dance, draining the energy out of it.
compare nino/nina regions 2013/2012

Recent ASCAT of that one.
Quoting Skyepony:
Oceansat of that.


Skye, do you know where to find satellite imagery over the Russian Arctic Ocean that will reveal ice cracking as well as the images you posted earlier of the Canadian and Greenlandic Arctic?
The cloudsat for the shrimp one is really disappointing..weak.
Tropical Atlantic compare 2013/2012

HERE IS LINK TO NORTH SATS

SCROLL DOWN TO SEE EM

Link
Nws and local mets in Orlando are all agreeing that a moderate to high risk for severe weather is becoming likely for C and N FL Thursday thru Friday morning. Large violent tornadoes can be expected late thursday across FL. Also 2" to 4" of much needed rain as well. People I can't say enough please heed warnings come Thursday.
The discussions coming from Melbourne Florida are the most ominous since the 1998 February killer tornadoes. Squall should approach the west cost of FL Thursday evening.
Quoting StormTrackerScott:
Nws and local mets in Orlando are all agreeing that a moderate to high risk for severe weather is becoming likely for C and N FL Thursday thru Friday morning. Large violent tornadoes can be expected late thursday across FL. Also 2" to 4" of much needed rain as well. People I can't say enough please heed warnings come Thursday.
..scott my local mets are getting a lil anxious also for the Tampa Bay area..so far its up to 60% chance of storms but my Guess is..it will be much higher thursday..stay safe over there ok.
today its texas, stay safe and heed your local warnings..
Tues/Wens storms and Rain for Texas.............
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
239 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXC143-020815-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-130402T0815Z/
ERATH TX-
239 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL ERATH COUNTY...

AT 239 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
STEPHENVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HUCKABAY AROUND 250 AM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 9842 3247 9841 3229 9799 3208 9819
TIME...MOT...LOC 0739Z 224DEG 10KT 3222 9823

$$


82/JLD
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
255 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXC093-143-020830-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-130402T0830Z/
ERATH TX-COMANCHE TX-
255 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN COMANCHE AND SOUTHWESTERN ERATH COUNTIES...

AT 254 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
NORTH OF GUSTINE OR NEAR PROCTOR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GUSTINE AROUND 305 AM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 9867 3218 9853 3216 9842 3202 9801
3192 9821 3184 9816 3169 9846 3172 9849
3172 9852
TIME...MOT...LOC 0754Z 299DEG 18KT 3194 9842

$$


82/JLD
North Atlantic oscillation is expected to become positive by the next two weeks.

6Z NAM at 36 hours:


THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VISIBILITY: PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY DENSE FOG WITH
VISIBILITIES POSSIBLY DROPPING TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS.
SMOKE AND FOG IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT INTERSTATE 75 AND COUNTY ROAD
29 TONIGHT, WITH VISIBILITIES POSSIBLY DROPPING TO A QUARTER MILE
OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THE GREATER RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE SITUATED NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA,
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

EAST WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY, BECOMING
SOUTHEAST WHILE INCREASING IN SPEED ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES
MID WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
WOW......................LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON TWO GEORGIA RIVERS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

PATCHES OF DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA.

MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE SATILLA RIVER AT ATKINSON...AND THE
ALTAMAHA RIVER AT BAXLEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON
THURSDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH OUR AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. A SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE IN ONSHORE WINDS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPECTED BY EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION BY LATE
THURSDAY...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP THROUGH
OUR AREA ON FRIDAY...POSSIBLY PRECEDED BY A SQUALL LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH
THIS STORM SYSTEM ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. NEAR GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS ON THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

NELSON
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
LOCALIZED SMOKE AND VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
VICINITY OF A LIGHTNING INDUCED FIRE BURNING NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL.
THE EFFECTS WILL BE CONFINED NEAR TITUSVILLE AND NORTH MERRITT ISLAND.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
DRY VEGETATION AND MODERATELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO A MODERATE FIRE WEATHER DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER
BREVARD...ORANGE AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE INTO GEORGIA THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL BRING A THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER LATE THURSDAY...OR EARLY FRIDAY TO EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA. THE THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE IN THE FORM OF A LINE OF
STORMS. A STRONG WIND PROFILE WILL BE PRESENT...LEADING TO A
THREAT OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF
TORNADO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

PENDERGRAST
GFS HOLDS THE STORMS WEST ON THURSDAY HMMMMM....
From the CIMSS Satellite blog:

53rd anniversary of the first image from a meteorological satellite



Link
Good morning Mr. Largo, everyone!

Good evening Mr. Aussie!
I'm already up to where the precursor tropical wave to eastern Pacific Hurricane Lane moves off the coast of Africa on 26 August in my quest to finish my TCRs. The northern portion of the wave would go on to spawn Hurricane Leslie east of the Leeward Islands. I've been knocking these out extremely quickly over the last few days, and the only one that will take a really long time is Sandy, who will come after Rosa.

If I have enough time remaining before the May 15 deadline (which is doubtful), I'll try and arrange a best track for all the storms like I've been promising. Either way, for those of you following my reports, I will continually post updates on the progress of things.

As an addendum, Carlotta and Fabio were upgraded to brief 100 kt major hurricanes by me. The former is less conclusive, but the latter was almost certainly a major hurricane given the Dvorak estimates.

Anyway, yeah. Carry on.
Quoting indianrivguy:
Good morning Mr. Largo, everyone!

Good evening Mr. Aussie!


Good morning, sir!
Morning Kori, I look forward to your report sir!
Good morning. Here's the Day 1 severe weather outlook from the SPC today, central and western TX are the target areas:



Large hail will be the biggest threat, along with isolated damaging winds and probably a tornado or two. Doesn't look like a big deal at this point though.
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie. A warmer 57 degrees here with a high of 78 expected, as well as more rain.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Belgium waffles with syrup or fruit, bagel with cream cheese and jelly, fresh orange juice. Enjoy!
Drive extra careful this morning folks......
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
610 AM EDT TUE APR 2 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-021600 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
610 AM EDT TUE APR 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...DENSE FOG IMPACT...
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CAUSE VISIBILITIES TO QUICKLY FALL TO ONE
QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW
BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND MAINTAIN A SAFE FOLLOWING DISTANCE BETWEEN
VEHICLES THROUGH 9 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION...AND DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE
GULF WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE ADVISED OF THE ROUGH BOATING
CONDITIONS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS BUILDING UP TO 8 FEET. RIP
CURRENTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS WINDS BECOME ONSHORE WITH THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

COLSON
414. MahFL
Quoting LargoFl:
Drive extra careful this morning folks


The problem is you can drive carefully but it only takes one person to mess up and it's DEATH............
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
528 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

TXZ115-021100-
STEPHENS TX-
528 AM CDT TUE APR 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHWESTERN STEPHENS COUNTY

AT 528 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRECKENRIDGE...MOVING NORTH
AT 20 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BRECKENRIDGE AND CRYSTAL
FALLS.

PENNY-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3296 9909 3296 9895 3295 9882 3262 9891
3265 9910 3275 9911
TIME...MOT...LOC 1028Z 188DEG 16KT 3272 9900

$$
Humidity by me is 93% whew...........
Remember that sinkhole that killed that man...geez.....
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Tropical Atlantic compare 2013/2012

That looks interesting.