Wisconsin Weather Update

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 29, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:14 PM GMT on April 29, 2011

What's that bright yellow sphere in the sky?

I believe it's a yellow dwarf star whose official name is "The Sun." Scattered showers passed through Wisconsin yesterday, generating fears around here that our front yards may have more white than the Royal Wedding,but the precip stayed pretty much as rain around here and now have moved off to the east. We've actually got a nice day on tap, with high pressure giving the central U.S. a much-needed break from the showers and thunderstorms that caused so much devastation in the south this week. We should warm up to near 60 today, which is close to our normal high temperature. Rain may return late tomorrow and colder temperatures come back on Sunday, so get out and enjoy today!



Today’s Forecast Grade: A-

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today: Mostly sunny and warmer. We may actually hit our normal high temperature today! High of 60 east-central, low to mid- 60s south. 

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 59-63.

Madison: Highs 63-64.

Waukesha: Highs 58-60.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Partly cloudy and breezy overnight. Lows in the lower 40s.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with showers developing later in the day. Highs

in the mid- 60s. Chance of rain 75%. 

Sunday: Partly cloudy and cooler again. Boo. Highs near 50.

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: Partly cloudy on Monday, a few more clouds on Tuesday, then maybe some rain showers on Wednesday and Thursday.

High Temperatures: In the low to mid- 50s Monday, then warming up to near 60 after that.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Weather in the News:

Severe weather across South could set tornado record, experts say

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/28/tornado.outbreak /index.html 

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 26, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:37 PM GMT on April 26, 2011

There's more colors on the radar than in a box of Lucky Charms!

Our lawns will enjoy this more than a double-rainbow, but I think the rest of us are getting rather tired of all the precip we've had this month. These April showers had better bring about some pretty spectacular May flowers! A low pressure system currently in eastern Iowa is moving slowly to the northeast. While the south-central United States is getting nasty severe weather from this storm system, we're cool and stable enough to just get a large blanket of rain from it. The rain should diminish by this evening from south to north, but moisture wrapping around the system could give us another dosage of rain tomorrow night. Temperatures will cool off as colder air circulates north of the low, but we should hopefully be back above 60 by Friday.


Today’s Forecast Grade: D

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today: Cloudy. Foggy. Breezy. Rain. High of 47 east-central, mid- to upper 50s south. Chance of rain 100%.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 45-53.

Madison: Highs 53-60.

Waukesha: Highs 59-61.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Rain should end later this afternoon south and this evening in east-central Wisconsin, but we still may have some fog and drizzle overnight. Lowslower 40s. Chance of rain 50%.

Wednesday: Cloudy, maybe a scattered rain shower during the day. More rain reappears tomorrow night. Yay for us. Highs near 50. Chance of rain 25% during the day, 75% tomorrow night.

Thursday: Scattered rain showers in the morning, then some clearing late. Highs again near 50. Chance of rain 25%.

This Weekend’s Outlook:

Conditions: Sunshine and warmer on Friday, rain on Saturday, clouds and breezy on Sunday.

High Temperatures: Above 60 on Friday and Saturday, back into the 50s on Sunday.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Hot weather forecast for Texas as battle against wildfires continues

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/25/texas.fires/inde x.html

Coolest Start to Spring at Milwaukee & Madison Since 1996

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=67196&source=0

14 Tornadoes on April 10th...Biggest Daily April Tornado Outbreak Ever in Wisconsin

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66565&source=0

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 19, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:36 PM GMT on April 19, 2011

You don't want to read this. No, really. You do not want to read this.

If the idea of a big snow after tax day makes you queasy, go eat a few TUMS as you're going to need them. But it's true, much of Wisconsin (north of Madison or Waukesha) is under a Winter Storm Warning this afternoon through tomorrow morning. A strong panhandle-hook-type storm is centered in Oklahoma this morning and absorbing a bunch of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. This storm is ready to be shot like a cannon to the northeast, and will spread heaping piles of snow across much of Wisconsin. If you live around Madison or Waukesha, you're still going to get as much precip as we are up here in the Fox Valley, but warmer surface and upper-air temperatures should keep most of the precip as rain, although you may still see a little bit of sleet this morning, then again early tomorrow morning. As for the rest of us, we can expect about 2-3" of snow this afternoon and evening, then another 2-4" overnight tonight and a lingering inch early tomorrow morning, bringing expected accumulations to 5-8".  If you already put away your snowblower for the season, you could just wait until this weekend when warmer high temperatures in the 50s will melt this new snow. And if you're one of the many who want to blame the messenger, you'll be glad to know I've already gotten punched once from this forecast (playfully thank goodness).

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=grb&storyid=61409&source=0

Active Advisory: (Source: National Weather Service)

Fox Cities:

... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 am CDT Wednesday...

* A band of snow is expected to develop from southwest Wisconsin

to northeast Wisconsin. The snow could be heavy at times late

this afternoon and into tonight... before diminishing Wednesday


* The storm is expected to produce a band of 6 or more inches of

wet packing-type snow. Locations near Lake Michigan may see the

lowest amounts... due to the Warm Lake air keeping temperatures

just above freezing.

* Heavy snow will cause travel to become extremely hazardous as

roads become snow or iced covered. Heavy snow could also

reduce visibilities to a quarter of a mile or less at times.

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?Discu ssionCode=GRB


Today’s Forecast Grade: F

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:


Southern Wisconsin: A mix of sleet and rain this morning, changing over to all rain later today. Windy, highs in the upper 30s.

East-central Wisconsin: Cloudy this morning with snow beginning to develop this afternoon. 2-3" of snowfall is expected by this evening. Windy, high of 37.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 33-38.

Madison: Highs 38-39.

Waukesha: Highs 39-40.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES


Southern Wisconsin: Rain showers changing over to sleet or light snow overnight. Maybe 1" of snow by morning, but could be a little more if you live north of Madison or Milwaukee (and not near the lake). Windy, lows in the lower 30s.

East-Central Wisconsin: Snow and wind. 2-4" expected overnight. Sorry. Lows near 30.

Wednesday: Light snow becoming scattered and ending probably before lunchtime. Maybe 1" of additional accumulation. Total expected accumulation is for 5-8" in the Fox Valley but just an inch or so around Madison or Waukesha. Highs mid- to upper 30s east-central, near 40 south.

Thursday: Partly cloudy and warmer. Hoooooooray. Highs in the upper 40s.

This Weekend’s Outlook:

Conditions: Another storm moves through on Friday, but this one looks to be rain instead of snow so just relax, okay?  Otherwise, partly cloudy and dry through the weekend, although far southern Wisconsin might see a little light rain Saturday night.

High Temperatures: Lower 50s Friday, mid- 50s Saturday, upper 50s to near 60 on Sunday. That should melt this new snow.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Another round of severe weather could strike Midwest

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/19/severe.weather/i ndex.html

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 15, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:44 PM GMT on April 15, 2011

Summer is canceled? What?

Yes, according to a recent NCEP article, the effects of global warming include an elongated period of cool weather beginning shortly before the Earth's annual aphelion, which means that the summer of 2011 has been diminished to just one day, and that was this past Sunday. So now we're back in a November weather pattern, and December is sure to follow, right?  Well no, of course I'm kidding, but I bet that late April Fool's Day headline had you wondering for just a split-second though, given the unstable weather pattern we've had lately. 



What is this about snow this weekend?

Well, it may be true, but I wouldn't go running out to buy gas for your snowthrower or snowmobile. A large storm system currently in the central Plains is developing a large swath of showers and thunderstorms across much of the central United States. Severe weather is expected in parts of the south-central US again today, but around here we can expect windy conditions today and a cold rain to develop this evening, then continue into tonight and tomorrow morning. As even colder air blows into the state tomorrow, some of that rain may change over to a mix or snow before ending, but I doubt much will stick to anything.

http://weather.unisys.com/nam/nam.php?plot=pres&a mp;inv=0&t=4p

Active Advisory: (Source: National Weather Service)

Fox Cities:

Wind Advisory remains in effect from 10 am this morning to 1 am CDT Saturday...


Southern Wisconsin:

Wind Advisory remains in effect from 10 am this morning to 10 PM CDT this evening...


Today’s Forecast Grade: C

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today: Cloudy and windy with rain developing late in the day, starting this afternoon in south-southwestern Wisconsin, then entering east-central Wisconsin by this evening.High of 45.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 47-50.

Madison: Highs 48-50.

Waukesha: Highs 49-52.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Cloudy. Windy. Rainy. Sorry. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of rain near 100%.

Saturday: Cloudy, windy and still rainy, although the rain could mix with snow before ending around lunchtime as even colder air flows into the state. Little if any accumulation is expected. Highs in the low to mid- 40s. Chance of rain again near 100%.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, but probably dry and warmer. Highs in the upper 40s east-central, lower 50s south.

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: A new batch of wind and rain arrives on Monday, then lingers through Tuesday before departing Tuesday night. Several other storm systems look to quickly flow through the country later next week, but as of now the weather models are showing these as missing Wisconsin to the south. We shall see.

High Temperatures: In the upper 40s to lower 50s east-central, and in the 50s across southern Wisconsin.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Low to Medium

Weather in the News:


Record April Tornado Outbreak in Northeast Wisconsin on April 10, 2011

The eight tornadoes on April 10 is the largest tornado outbreak ever recorded in the NWS Green Bay service area. 


April 10th now the Biggest Daily April Tornado Outbreak Ever in Wisconsin (updated 540 pm April 14)

Although the major metro areas like Madison, Milwaukee, and Chicago were spared, at least 12 tornadoes, including four strong tornadoes (EF2 or EF3), were documented in portions of mainly rural central and northern Wisconsin.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66565&source=0

Storms head for Southeast after raking Oklahoma and Arkansas

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/15/severe.weather/i ndex.html?iref=NS1

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 12, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 1:03 PM GMT on April 12, 2011

Okay, it's not even the middle of April yet and I'm already sick of severe weather.

I can see why you'd feel that way after the biggest April tornado outbreak ever recorded in Wisconsin. Sunday also tied at #9 all-time for the largest single-day Wisconsin tornado outbreak for any month. At least 10 tornadoes struck Wisconsin on Sunday (read more at the link below) and did some major damage to many homes in northern and central Wisconsin. It's events like these which make owning an NOAA Weather Radio very important.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66572&source=0

http://www.facebook.com/home.php?sk=question& id=10150151386326394&qa_ref=ssp

Give me some sunshine already!

Okay fine. You'll be happy to know that today continues the trend we saw late yesterday with plenty of sunshine to go around. Temperatures should be just a few degrees warmer than yesterday too, with many spots probably getting above 60 today and maybe the mid- 60s tomorrow. Enjoy it as a colder and wet weather pattern is emerging for later this week and this weekend.  Scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday could be followed by a soaking on Friday and Saturday. But hey, at least it shouldn't be severe, and... uhhh... most of it will probably fall as rain instead of snow... maybe... hopefully... uhhh... what, did you already put away your snowblower for the season?

http://weather.unisys.com/nam/nam.php?plot=pres&a mp;inv=0&t=12

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/gfsx.php?inv=0& ;plot=pres&region=us&t=9p

Today’s Forecast Grade: A

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today: Sunny and warm today. Enjoy. High of 59 east-central, just above 60 south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 59-60.

Madison: Highs 63-64.

Waukesha: Highs 57-58.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Increasing clouds during the evening and overnight. Lows in the upper 30s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and slightly warmer with scattered showers developing later in the day. Highs in the low to mid- 60s. Chance of rain 25%.

Thursday: Cloudy, breezy and much cooler with more scattered rain showers. Highs only in the mid- to upper 40s. Chance of rain 50%.

This Weekend’s Outlook:

Conditions: Cloudy and windy with even more rain on Friday and Saturday, with the system finally exiting our region on Sunday. Some of the precip Thursday night, Friday night and/or Saturday night could mix with or change to snow, so be prepared to be annoyed.

High Temperatures: Only in the 40s. Sorry. You can take comfort that it's at least halfway to 80.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Biggest April Tornado Outbreak ever in Wisconsin

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66572&source=0

Sheriff: Tornado causes 'major devastation' but no deaths in Iowa city

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/10/iowa.severe.weat her/index.html

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 8, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:43 PM GMT on April 08, 2011

80 degrees this weekend? Oh do go on!

You can consider today the calm before the storm, as weather wackiness begins Saturday evening and will go right through Monday. A large storm system is revving up out west and is preparing to infiltrate the Midwest this weekend. Very mild air ahead of the storm should push temperatures into the 60s tomorrow and into the 70s on Sunday - heck, a few spots could even hit 80 in southern Wisconsin Sunday!  But of course all this warm air doesn't come without consequence, so you can expect showers and thunderstorms to accompany your brief summer-like temperatures. Some of these storms could be severe, especially on Sunday, so take heed and be aware of your surrounding clouds and know where to go if you have to take shelter quickly!  Temperatures begin their slow decline back to early Spring next week, but we'll deal with that then.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66253&source=0


http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=grb&storyid=61409&source=0


Today’s Forecast Grade: B+

3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today: Some lingering rain showers in southern Wisconsin this morning, otherwise mostly cloudy, high of 57.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 55-56.

Madison: Highs 54-58.

Waukesha: Highs 50-55.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Partly cloudy, lows near 40.

Saturday: Partly sunny during the day, but becoming breezy with showers and thunderstorms likely late and continuing Saturday night. There's a slight risk of these storms becoming severe with better odds the further southwest you live. Warmer highs in the lower 60s east-central, upper 60s south. Chance of rain Saturday night 75%.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk .html

Sunday: Cloudy, windy and mild with more showers and thunderstorms. There is a moderate risk of severe weather so keep a weather radio handy! High temperatures could get ridiculous during the day, but I'm going to guess we get to near or just above 70 east-central and the upper 70s to near eighty (80) in southern Wisconsin! We'll see if that actually happens. :)  Chance of rain 75%.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk .html

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: Cloudy, windy, colder and rainy on Monday as this storm system exits our region, then another chance of rain again on Wednesday and Thursday.

High Temperatures: Near 60 to start the week, then dropping to the lower 50s by mid- week and maybe even back in to the upper 40s by next week's end.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Another active Atlantic hurricane season expected

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/06/hurricane.season .forecast/index.html

50 yards from nature's fury

http://www.cnn.com/2011/LIVING/04/06/tornado.chas er.natures.fury/index.html

Wildfires put Oklahoma to the test

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/06/oklahoma.wildfir es/index.html

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 5, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:37 PM GMT on April 05, 2011

There's still a few patches of snow on the ground. Any more rain on tap to get rid of the remnants?
Why yes, I'm glad you asked! A weak disturbance is going to move through tonight and tomorrow, bringing clouds and a few light rain showers. Another round of showers and thunderstorms arrives Thursday night, although much of this storm system may miss Wisconsin to the south. The storm to watch is going to be this Saturday night and Sunday, which could be another one of those rainy, thunderstormy Sundays just like we had this past weekend. Mild air is going to accompany the storms and high temperatures in the 60s are expected this weekend, so any leftover snow patches may be gone before you drive to work Monday morning.

And this time I'll even write the forecast in Fahrenheit, not Celsius. (yes, that was the primary April Fool's Day joke from last Friday)

Today’s Forecast Grade: B+
3-Day Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly sunny this morning with increasing clouds late in the day. High of 47.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 46-48.
Madison: Highs 50-55.
Waukesha: Highs 47-51.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Cloudy with isolated rain showers or sprinkles overnight. Lows in the mid- 30s. Chance of rain 20%.

Wednesday: Cloudy and a little warmer with more isolated rain showers or sprinkles. Not really a big deal. Highs in the lower 50s east-central, mid- 50s south. Chance of rain 30%.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with thundershowers developing late in the day in southern Wisconsin. One or two showers could sneak up into east-central Wisconsin Thursday night. Highs in the low to mid- 50s east-central, mid- to upper 50s south. Chance of rain 30% east-central, 60% south.

This Weekend’s Outlook:
Conditions: Clouds on Friday, maybe a shower south Friday night, but heavier showers and thunderstorms are expected late Saturday, Saturday night, and Sunday.
High Temperatures: Warmer with highs in the upper 50s Friday and in the 60s this weekend. I wouldn't be surprised to spot a 70 or two somewhere in southern Wisconsin.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Two Hail Events Sunday
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=66161&source=0

Thousands without power after storms hit South
http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/04/05/severe.storms/in dex.html

Wisconsin Weather Update for April 1, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:39 PM GMT on April 01, 2011

Snow in the forecast? But it's April!
Yeah, too bad. A small disturbance located in southern Manitoba is going to bring light rain or snow showers through Wisconsin today. I wouldn't expect much snow to stick, so it'll be more of a minor annoyance today, plus if you live in southern Wisconsin it'll be mostly light rain showers anyway. We have a dry Saturday planned but a stronger storm system arrives on Sunday. Windy conditions with rain showers are expected, although some snow could mix with that as well. If you're looking for that big April warm-up, you're going to have to wait a bit longer as well. Next week looked slightly warmer than this week, but still a little bit below normal.

Today’s Forecast Grade: C
3-Day Forecast Confidence: High

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Cloudy with light rain or snow showers this morning, then scattered light rain showers this afternoon. Little if any snow accumulation is expected today. High of7 east-central, 8-9 in southern Wisconsin.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 7-8. Chance of precip 61-69%.
Madison: Highs 8-9. Chance of precip 68-74%.
Waukesha: Highs 8-9. Chance of precip 56-73%.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, lows near zero.

Saturday: Partly sunny and slightly warmer, highs around 8-9 east-central, near 10 south.
Sunday: Cloudy and windy with rain likely. Rain could mix with snow at times early and again late in the day. Highs around 7-8.

Next Week’s Outlook:
Conditions: Cloudy and windy with leftover rain or snow showers on Monday, then a weak storm system may bring a few rain showers on Wednesday.
High Temperatures: 8-10 east-central, in the lower teens south.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Very high.

Weather in the News:

El Nino and La Nina at the same time? Scientists agree this is now possible
Could have significant impact on global warming

Fahrenheit temperature scale to be replaced by Celsius in the United States
Less (degrees) are more, say local Meteorologists

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Wisconsin Weather Update

About HaleStorm

Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences degree from UW-Madison: 1998. Former broadcast Meteorologist for NewsRadio 1310 WIBA in Madison. NWS Storm Spotter.

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