Sea of Cortez Weather 09/18/09

By: Geary , 2:27 PM GMT on September 18, 2009

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After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.

The following is from my daily ham radio Report


Voice to Text……….
. Well, before looking at the satellites I’m looking out my window to the east and I can see a very impressive lightning display the covers my peripheral vision to the north and south. It has been getting closer to Concepcion Bay for the past several hours. Every few seconds there are multiple flashes.
When I switch to the satellite images I can see a very large cell to the north of Los Mochis extending about half way across the Sea, pretty much directly across from Loreto. It’s probably 50-60 miles wide and perhaps 80-90 miles from this location. Obviously that is not what I’m seeing.
Interesting before sunup, with my naked eye in the dark, I can see the cloud formations being illuminated by the lightning. That would make them perhaps 15-20 miles away. The satellite image I’m looking at now does not show any of these thumpers off to the east of Concepcion Bay. So where did they come from? Could they be the remnants of TS Marty that is sending its debris clouds over most of the southern and central Sea this morning? One of the weather blogs I read every morning briefly mentioned that there was an elevated chance of thunderbumper developing in the southern and central Sea as Marty passed to the west. Well with all these fancy tools at my disposal, I still don’t have a clue. I thought that perhaps they will show up on updated images. At 7am they still did not show up on satellite images but I could plainly see a long line of thumpers off to the east
I digress, sort of rambling here this morning. , so here is what I can see. Lots of debris clouds from Marty passing over the southern peninsula right now. This image is showing the Sea north of Loreto to be cloud free. Well we know that’s not quite accurate.
Looking at the Riviera now: This image is showing that for the past 24 hours the Riviera has had a lot of active thunderbumpers working along the coast and inland as well.
Now looking at the tropical kitchen: I can see Tropical Storm Marty southwest of the cape right now sort of dying a slow death. Winds only in the 30-40 knot ranges and very disorganized sending debris clouds over the southern and central peninsula.
Of Note: Five years ago on this date (September 18th) his distant relative and namesake Himicane Marty devastated much of Baja. One of my saddest moments was accompanying Mad Dog to Puerto Escondito and seeing his trawler, Hi Jinks, a 42 ft. California sitting on the bottom.
Ok back to the images. Yesterday the National Hurricane Center gave a brief mention of a low sitting off the coast from Zihuatanejo. This morning it has been assigned Invest 98. Models are showing slow development and paralleling the Riviera into the Sea. Two models show it traversing the length of the peninsula to Concepcion Bay and hooking a right toward the mainland. The other model has it passing over the cape and hooking a right and passing over Los Mochis. Now this is very early in the development of this system and these models will change daily. As of right now we don’t even know when or what it will develop into. I, for one, am not going to speculate. Perhaps if I ignore it, it will go away.
Wishful thinking aside now, taking a look north to the west coast of America. There is a weak cold front will move briefly in from the Pacific only to be replaced by high pressure that will build this weekend over the entire western conus bringing an extended heat wave to southern California and the southwest for the remainder of next week. Many record high temps are forecast for California next week.
Back down here we should see some of the debris clouds from Marty pass over the central and southern peninsula today. Otherwise a day just like we’ve been seeing for the past week. Light to moderate winds, lots of sun and temps in the mid to high 90s.

73s Y’all


Friday, September 18, 2009
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor. They, however, are normally very close.
DAILYS

NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 18, 2009
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
TOMORROW: Saturday, September 19, 2009
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: SW 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: N 4-5
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: N 4-5
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, September 18, 2009
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
TOMORROW : Saturday, September 19, 2009
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: E 4-5
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-7
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST
Cedros Island to Cabo Falso
Cedros Island
Friday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 3 feet at 11 sec.

ABREOJOS
Friday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Seas: Seas: WSW 4 feet at 12 sec.
Saturday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 13-17
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 11 sec.

Mag Bay
Friday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Seas: Seas: W 4 feet at 12 sec.
Saturday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 11 sec.

Cabo Falso
Friday 9/18 Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSE 5 feet at 10 sec.
Saturday 9/19 Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 13 sec.
Sunday 9/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 12 sec.


. *STATION LISTINGS
* Weather Underground Stations
Legend: oc-Over Cast r-Rain t-Thunderstorm f-Fog

*Puerto Peanaco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 68 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008


*San Filepe, Campo Diamante :

Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature:
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 0

Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 92°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 0

San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: E 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12

Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 95°
Yesterday's Rainfall: n/a
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Mulegé : Hurricane Damage to station
Morning Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: n/a°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 0

*San Carlos
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1006

Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 4-5

Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10

*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds: ENE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 83°

Loreto :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9

La Paz: 11K Cormwells forecast this evening
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1008

*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15

Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Los Barriles Helmut's World : T&H Data not available at this time
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 0

Cabo Pulmo : Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.

*Cabo San Lucas El Medano:
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1006

*Mazatlan, El Cid
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1010

*Puerta Vallarta , Café Roma
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91°
Yesterday's Rainfall:
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 95
Sunrise Bar: 1012

Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 93
Sunrise Bar: 1010

Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 14-18

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Sea of Cortez Weather

About Geary

I broadcast a daily Sea of Cortez weather forecast on 3.968mh. My window to the world is a satellite Antenna hung on a palm tree next to my palapa.

Geary's Recent Photos

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Sunrise over Mazatlan December 18, 2015
18 ft Whale Shark

Personal Weather Stations

El Burro Cove
Bahia Concepcion, BAJA SUR
Elevation: 0 ft
Temperature: 60.5 °F
Dew Point: 43.3 °F
Humidity: 53%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 2.0 mph
Updated: 4:29 AM MST on December 09, 2016

About Personal Weather Stations