2007 Season jumping the gun? Invest.90L

By: ForecasterColby , 6:34 PM GMT on May 07, 2007

Invest 90L statement
2:30 EDT May 7, 2007.

Invest 90L continues to rapidly deepen and pull convection to the center, and is pulling away from the backdoor front stretching across the Atlantic. However, SSTs are only 22C or so below the storm (pushing it even for Epsilon of '05), and shear is between 20 and 40 knots over most of the storm. All models take it at least shallow warm-core, with several going deep, and the trend is certainly in that direction regardless of the conditions around it. Uncertain though the situation is, I have a forecast to make, and here it is - I expect at least a Subtropical Storm out of 90L, but a short-lived one. 90L should continue to develop central convection and reach STS or TS status tomorrow sometime, losing a little bit of strength from loss of baroclinic fuel, with a max intensity of perhaps 65mph. 90L will make landfall on the Florida coast near Jacksonville quite soon afterward, and dissipate over land, with the remnant reaching the Gulf of Mexico. Regeneration is extremely unlikely.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

No reader comments have been posted for this blog entry yet.

Ad Blocker Enabled

Colby and the 'Canes

ForecasterColby doesn't have a bio yet.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
79 °F
Mostly Cloudy

ForecasterColby's Recent Photos