Hello. I'm just a person who loves weather. I live in York County, PA and have 2 brothers... neither of which like weather ha :)
By: Doppler22 , 8:09 PM GMT on August 14, 2013
As you probably know, invest 92L is located North of Honduras and East of Belize. Some models are insane with this storm taking it to the S. Texas border as a strong hurricane. Other models keep it fairly weak and towards the Northern Gulf Coast. I believe the later of the two will happen. I believe that while a storm most likely will form, it should stay fairly weak and move to the Northern Gulf Coast. However, do not discount this storm. Because I also believe that this storm poses a major flood threat. The soil in most of the south remain saturated due to above average rainfall and this could trigger severe flooding. Dr. Masters himself mentions that the above average rainfall along the East coast makes flooding a huge threat from any tropical cyclone. After it hits the gulf states, I think the storm will move Northward into the Mid-Atlantic and could possibly bring heavy rain to those states as well which don't need it. Overall, 92L is a big threat to watch, no matter the intensity.
As for Invest 93L, I also think it will form into a storm (whichever invest gets to Erin first, we'll see). I see 93L becoming a moderate tropical storm however I think FOR NOW that it may end up like Dorian in the end.
My outlook name wise, 93L becomes Erin and 92L will become Fernand.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.